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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Eye Black
    Well actually... "The Belt" In all seriousness, for a franchise that never truly bottomed out during the "rebuild" they have done about as well as I could've imagined over the past 5 years. Navigating the next 5 years with seemingly increased pressure on the budget and a need for more top tier organizational talent under 25 years old will prove a challenge. I trust Stearns and Matt Arnold to be equipped to handle those challenges better than most alternatives.
  2. Eye Black
    Craig Counsell insinuated that Luis Urias was the shortstop of the future in September (in bold below). This is an excerpt from the Milwaukee-Journal Sentinel article on September 9th and includes the following quotes from Counsell: It seems like the writing is on the wall a bit for Arcia’s future with the team. I do think Arcia showed real improvements this year which could certainly continue to trend in the right direction, but I don’t get the sense that opportunity will come with the Brewers. I’m fine with it because I don’t think you can start the 2021 season with both Arcia and Urias filling starting infield positions.
  3. Eye Black
  4. Eye Black
    Brett Phillips and Randy Arozarena Dance Off
  5. Eye Black
    There were 10 teams that had negative Wins Above Average (according to Baseball-Reference) at the shortstop position during this shortened 2020 season. Listed below from worst-to-"less worse": Reds (-0.8 WAA) Pirates (-0.8) Brewers (-0.6) Royals (-0.6) Rangers (-0.5) Twins (-0.5) A's (-0.4) Tigers (-0.3) Mets (-0.3) Yankees (-0.1)
  6. Eye Black
    This is a really good point regarding the SS market, and Francisco Lindor is also expected to be traded this offseason. The initial post was more of a PSA than a suggestion that Kim was a likely option for the Brewers, but if they do look for outside help at shortstop this offseason then every added option at the position helps the likelihood for a team like the Brewers to add one of them.
  7. Eye Black
    Kiwoom Heroes shortstop Ha-Seong Kim, who ranked as the No. 1 prospect in the KBO will be posted after the season. He is soon to be 25 years old and both Kyle Glaser of Baseball America and Kiley McDaniel of ESPN have noted that he should be considered a top 100 prospect in baseball once he joins an organization. Below is some additional information on Kim. MLB Trade Rumors article: Baseball America article & scouting report:
  8. Eye Black
    Cubs sending Glyber Torres, Billy McKinney, Rashad Crawford and Adam Warren to the Yankees for Aroldis Chapman? Baseball America's 2016 list of Cubs top prospects: Torres (#1), McKinney (#7), Indians sending Justus Sheffield, Clint Frazier, JP Feyereisen, and Ben Heller to Yankees for Andrew Miller? Sheffield and Frazier were consensus top 100 MLB prospects. Nationals sending Jesus Lazardo, Blake Treinen and Sheldon Neuse to Oakland for Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson. Big time relieves get traded all the time, its just usually during the season when a team in the hunt is looking to shore up a bullpen. Another in-season example of relievers for a top prospect was 2018 when the Indians acquired Brad Hand and Adam Cimber from the Padres for catching prospect Francisco Mejia. At the time Mejia was ranked the #5 prospect in baseball by Keith Law, #15 by MLB Pipeline, and #24 by Baseball America.
  9. Eye Black
    Good start on that front as Kenley Jansen gives up two runs in the 9th inning tonight and is pulled after Grisham’s RBI single cuts the Dodgers lead to one. Unfortunately the Dodgers held on to win, but Jansen doesn’t look like a pitcher destined to be the Dodgers closer much longer. His fastball was sitting 89-90 mph tonight. After the game last night Dave Roberts promised to rethink the closer role. I’ll just add that something is definitely going on with Jansen. He is throwing his sinker less reliably and his cutter velocity this season has been dropping rapidly. According to Brooks Baseball in August his cutter averaged 91.66 mph, in September it averaged 90.16 mph, and now in the playoffs it’s averaging just 89.71 mph. The Dodgers have a good bullpen, but if this is the end of the road for the 33 year old Jansen as their closer they don’t really have an obviously replacement. Graterol appears very good, but he is likely best suited to a multi-inning reliever role. I don’t know if they’ll ever be willing to pay a high price for a closer, but they are definitely a team that appears in need of one this offseason.
  10. Eye Black
    Good start on that front as Kenley Jansen gives up two runs in the 9th inning tonight and is pulled after Grisham’s RBI single cuts the Dodgers lead to one. Unfortunately the Dodgers held on to win, but Jansen doesn’t look like a pitcher destined to be the Dodgers closer much longer. His fastball was sitting 89-90 mph tonight.
  11. Eye Black
    Don't sleep on Arozarina, though. All he's done since getting into affiliated ball is hit. He's also major league ready. I think he's a stud. Glad to see him out of the NL Central. Looking like the Rays evaluation of Arozarena was pretty on point so far. Well thanks a lot for digging this one up. I admittedly didn’t know anything about Arozarena when the trade was made, but I’ve followed his progress since he started playing games this season, and he’s an exciting player and hopefully one the Cardinals ultimately regret trading.
  12. Eye Black
    I’m sort of curious to see what sort of contract LHP Jose Quintana receives in free agency. The Brewers reportedly tried to acquire him back in 2017 before he ultimately went to the Cubs. He’s had mostly solid yet unspectacular results since then. He missed most of this season after cutting his pitching hand while washing dishes, but did make it back for some appearances over the last month. He’ll turn 32 this offseason so maybe he tries to squeeze out a multi-year deal from someone, but if he was willing to take a one year prove it deal then I wouldn’t hate the Brewers taking a shot on him having a bit of a 2021 resurgence.
  13. Eye Black
    That’s a great question regarding Max Lazar. He was one of only a small group of pitchers that spent the offseason at the Maryvale complex including working in the pitching lab. It’s hard to believe they wouldn’t have included him in either Camp Appleton or the Instructional League. It’s probably reckless to speculate too much, but it does seem likely there’s more to the story.
  14. Eye Black
    Ryan Weathers is two years removed from pitching in high school. The Midwest League is the highest level of professional baseball he has competed in before tonight. He’s now pitching against the Dodgers in the 3rd inning of a scoreless game one of the NLDS. Incredible.
  15. Eye Black
    Lux did make the Dodgers’ NLDS roster, sort of curious to see how much he plays in this series. I still think the Dodgers hold onto him long-term, but he did struggle in a limited sample this season (69 plate appearances).
  16. Eye Black
    Came across this tonight, looks like Bauer may not be as committed to his one year deal strategy as he once proclaimed. Bauer video on one year deal strategy Regardless, I would put the Brewers odds of signing Bauer at close to zero. Even the financials aside, it seems like the Brewers current FO values starting pitchers differently than fans and media. They seem pretty content with developing their own starters and mixing in some mid-to-back of the rotation types. One last thing I’ll add on Bauer, I think he’s a risky play. It seems apparent he’s using some type of tacky substance to increase the life on his fastball. Every team in baseball has pitchers that do the same, but in Bauer’s case he’s been so vocal in the past against such a practice that it now almost seems like he’s begging MLB to come after him for it. Nothing may ever come of it, but he could also be targeted by either MLB or other players at some point due to his outspoken nature and the perceived hypocrisy of such a tactic. Regarding the accusation and evidence, there has been a lot of speculation about it this year, here is a Defector article that sums up a lot of the general details, Trevor Bauer Should Just Admit It.
  17. Eye Black
    I get the feeling this offseason will be slightly more interesting than last (which is admittedly a low bar). I don’t think they’ll make many notable free agent acquisitions, but I think there will be a surprise trade or two.
  18. Eye Black
    It obviously isn’t ideal to have to move a mid-20’s player down the defensive spectrum, so I think they’ll give it as long as possible before they seriously consider moving him there long-term. I do think he’ll play there at least a few games a year moving forward, and I think he’d be fine at 1B. I don’t really understand the “too small” crowd. Sure in youth baseball having a big target to throw to can be beneficial. In MLB there really isn’t a big advantage to having a 6’2” first baseman over a 6’0” first baseman. Curious what people think Hiura’s height is? He’s listed at 6’0”. I wouldn’t be shocked if that’s inaccurate, but I don’t think he’s shorter than 5’11”. He’s surely no shorter than Jedd Gyorko (5’10”) who just played there to end this season. As was mentioned, Prince Fielder played the position at 5’11”. Among current first baseman there are several at the listed height of Hiura or shorter including Carlos Santana (5’11”), Danny Santana (5’11”), Yuli Gurriel (6’0”), and Max Muncy (6’0”). Looking at some of the greatest first baseman of all time, other notable Hiura height or shorter first baseman include John Kruk (5’10”), Steve Garvey (5’10”), Dick Allen (5’11”), Pedro Guerrero (5’11”), Harmon Killebrew (6’0”), Don Mattingly (6’0”), Keith Hernandez (6’0”), Rafael Palmeiro (6’0”), and Jeff Bagwell (6’0”). Even really short players like Matt Stairs (5’9”) and Ronnie Belliard (5’8”) played some games at first base during their careers. I don’t think height will be the ultimate determinate of whether or not Hiura plays first base.
  19. Eye Black
    Starting this thread to discuss any of the four Division Series for those interested.
  20. Eye Black
    Of the catching prospects that were part of the 60-man player pool (Feliciano, Henry, Dillard), only Thomas Dillard will also be appearing at instructs. Guessing they wanted to give those other two a break, while Dillard is someone they are trying to develop as a switch hitting bat in addition to a catcher.
  21. Eye Black
    Good stuff JosephC. I didn’t initially spend too much time evaluating the fairness of the original offer, but agree with your assessment that it’s probably low. I do have a feeling García is a player teams may value slightly higher than the publicly available prospect evaluations.
  22. Eye Black
    I might try another stab at this after the World Series, but here’s a first attempt. FA Signings: Sign OF Joc Pederson Sign RHP Kevin Gausman Trades: 1B/OF Mark Canha (A’s) for RHP Adrian Houser and OF Ben Gamel LHP John Means (Orioles) and SS/3B Jose Iglesias (Orioles) for Comp Balance Round A Pick (#30-35 overall), SS Eduardo Garcia, C Payton Henry, and SS Orlando Arcia Position Players LF: Yelich CF: Cain/Taylor RF: Garcia/Pederson 1B: Canha 2B: Hiura SS: Iglesias 3B: Gyorko/Urias C: Narvaez/Piña DH: Vogelbach Starting Pitching Woodruff Burnes Means Gausman Lindblom/Lauer Relief Pitching Williams Hader Peralta Suter Rasmussen Yardley Topa Knebel
  23. Eye Black
    Profar seems to be starting to put it all together, and his splits as a switch hitter this year are pretty even. Since 2018 he’s spread his playing time over 3B, SS, 2B, 1B, and LF. He’s at an age (just 27) where a true All-Star type breakout season could still be on the horizon. As I mentioned in the previous post, I think he’ll hit for decent power going forward. I’ll be curious to see if San Diego makes a strong play to keep him, since AJ Preller has known him since he was a teenager and traded for him a year ago.
  24. Eye Black
    Well if the Reds had that much offense they’d be playing another game tomorrow. Would depend on what game they scored two runs in. I was referring to the game when they took a 0-0 tie into the 13th inning, but yeah the Brewers we’re merely an Arcia HR away from matching them. Wouldn’t have helped them today.
  25. Eye Black
    It was great to have some old regulars back tonight. Appreciate everyone contributing to the IGTs this year, it’s been fun even when the baseball hasn’t been.
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