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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Eye Black
    Not your average 38 year old pitcher, but still I agree it appears the Mets did well on this one.
  2. Eye Black
    Well I guess we know what must be sitting on DM's coffee table... http://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/News_Articles/2012/~/media/Images/News_Images/2012/murnighan_book.ashx?w=250&h=379&as=1
  3. Eye Black
    Texas seems less willing to part with top prospects compared to other teams with a handful of top 150 prospects. Still, I do think they would consider some of the guys you mentioned like Perez and Buckel. Odor is intriguing, a much greater potential for high risk/reward than the others. Gallo (who is not currently eligible to be traded) was someone I really liked going into last year's draft, but I don't think the Brewers were quite as high on him (or at least concerned about his signability).
  4. Eye Black
    Agree with TLB, this option is gaining appeal over paying too much for multiple years via free agency. I think Jason Vargas could be a solid one year rotation filler, and as mentioned would potentially turn into a comp pick.
  5. Eye Black
    I don't think anyone is referring to Sanchez as an Ace. Regardless of if Sanchez is the first (or second behind Garza) pitcher in the Cubs rotation, that certainly doesn't qualify him as an Ace. I think the point was more that the market is trending upward at such a rapid rate that this is now the cost of a pitcher of Sanchez age and talent level. 5/$75mil isn't going to get you a #1 or even a high #2 pitcher, it is more likely to get you a #2/#3. The number of Ace pitchers has nothing to do with the number of teams. There are not 30 Ace level pitchers in MLB. In fact there are closer to a dozen of them total. You can't just say draw a line and say there must always be X number of Ace pitchers in baseball, the number of Ace pitchers is dictated by the number of pitchers considered on the highest tier of talent. The total number of Aces fluctuates from year-to-year.
  6. Eye Black
    In 2017 the Angels are going to owe over $50-mil combined to an age 36 Hamilton and an (allegedly) age 37 Pujols. The fact that they can hand out those contracts without flinching makes me worry about the future of baseball. I think "money is tight" was just a nice way of saying, "we don't want you here".
  7. Eye Black
    I don't believe he is going to just give up on exploring FA pitching options. I do believe however that he doesn't want to get in another situation of tying the team down with a big dollar, multi-year contract to an aging veteran pitcher that will basically be guaranteed a rotation spot regardless of their actual on-field performance. I think they have learned there is value in having the flexibility to alter the rotation without being handcuffed by financial commitments.
  8. Eye Black
    No!!!!!!!!! Only pay big bucks for ace pitchers like Felix, Sabathia, or Cain not 2nd tier #1's. Unfortunately, I don't think 5/$75mil is considered big bucks anymore. At least not Ace caliber money.
  9. Eye Black
    Roenicke said in an MLB Radio interview during the Winter Meetings that he considers Estrada his #2 starter this year. He will be in the rotation.
  10. Eye Black
    Heard a Joe Maddon interview from the Winter Meetings in which he said he would prefer to go into a game with a disadvantage on offense every time over being overmatched in the pitching department. He also said he thinks the game should be named "Pitching" instead of Baseball. In my very basic (and probably highly flawed) "research", I found this interesting... *8 teams allowed less than 650 runs in 2012 (Tampa Bay, Cincinnati, Washington, LA Dodgers, Atlanta, Oakland, St. Louis, San Francisco). Those teams had a combined winning percentage of 0.572 and 6 of them made the playoffs. *6 teams scored more than 750 runs in 2012 (Texas, NY Yankees, Milwaukee, LA Angels, St. Louis, Colorado). Those teams had a combined winning percentage of 0.527 and 3 of them made the playoffs. I realize Colorado skews the sample and there are park factors at play, but still interesting that only half of the 6 teams scoring the most runs in MLB even made the playoffs.
  11. Eye Black
    The Rays seem pretty good at the whole low-budget thing.
  12. Eye Black
    I agree, I just meant a lot of starting pitchers, not necessarily "quality" starters. I would be sick about this trade if I was a Royals fan. They have preached patience and got their fan base excited about the future.... and now with some potential franchise caliber players on the horizon it appears they have pulled the plug on the plan in order to put together an average starting rotation over the next couple of years.
  13. Eye Black
    Ned Yost will have a lot of potential starting pitching options this year. Add Shields and Davis to Jeremy Guthrie, Ervin Santana, Bruce Chen, Luke Hochevar, Luis Mendoza, Jake Odorizzi and Mike Montgomery. Not to mention some other talented pitching not far away. EDIT: Didn't realize they shipped out Odorizzi, wow seems like too much to trade away if your the Royals.
  14. Eye Black
    Nice Fangraphs article on Aoki for those who may have missed it. Nice to see him get some recognition for being a big part of the late season surge. My favorite line of the article... "His season was so impressive that you could probably win a lot of bar bets by simply knowing that only three players managed to hit at least 10 home runs, steal 30 bases, and have an OBP of .350 or more last year: Braun, Mike Trout… and Aoki."
  15. Eye Black
    Zack has mentioned on occasion that he prefers to bat as well. Still tough to argue that any factors outside of $$ played a significant role unless it becomes public that he turned down a comparable financial package from the Rangers. If he ends up signing a 2 year deal in the $20-22 million range, then he made a significant miscalculation in reportedly already turning down two year offers of $25 and $26 million from the Red Sox and Royals.
  16. Eye Black
    If Hamilton were willing to accept a 3 year deal he would have plenty of offers to consider. I think he will end up somewhere in-between the reported 7 years sought and 3 years being offered. I still believe Hamilton will get a 5 yr/$115mil type deal.
  17. Eye Black
    Exactly. The market for FA pitchers deemed to be in demand is ridiculous. Melvin needs to be disciplined and just stay away from those guys. If somebody makes an attractive offer for Hart that includes a guy that can help them win in 2013 by shoring up a need, then fine. But dealing him to dump salary makes zero sense to me. Would you trade one year of Corey Hart (at $10 mil) for two years of Justin Masterson?
  18. Eye Black
    Not to get too far from Mass Hass topic regarding Wiggington, but I am also curious what others think of Freddy Sanchez as a potential RH bench bat? He was mentioned on MLB Network the other day and it got me curious, assuming he is fully recovered from back surgery, would he be a good fit? He could fill-in throughout the infield and he has a career OPS of .872 vs. LHP. He obviously isn't going to offer HR power off the bench, but could be a very capable hitter to plug into the lineup in the late innings.
  19. Eye Black
    I would say no. I am as big of a prospect advocate as anyone, but I think Gallardo is too valuable to trade for an OF prospect. Even if Wil Myers does realize something close to his ceiling, it probably isn't worth giving up on a #2 caliber starting pitcher in his prime (26 yrs old) that has pitched 801 innings over the last four seasons and still has two years and an additional team option year left on his contract.
  20. Eye Black
    Nothing earth shattering, but some speculation from Nick Calardo's article in The Boston Globe...
  21. Eye Black
    TLB, great question. Have to assume the Marlins are receiving plenty of inquiries on Stanton. The Red Sox seem to make a lot of sense. Boston could afford to put together a very enticing prospect package. I could see 2-3 players among the group of Bogaerts, Barnes, Bradley Jr., Garin Cecchini or Webster getting the deal done. Red Sox might not be willing to part with Bogaerts though. The D-Backs could be an interesting trade partner. They have young pitching to offer or they could even get Justin Upton involved in a potential three team trade to acquire Stanton. The Yankees would be able to put together a package highlighted by some solid prospects (Gary Sanchez, Mason Williams, Manny Banuelos). Makes a lot of sense for the Yankees as a way to significantly upgrade an aging lineup immediately without adding luxury tax. Stanton is a guy I really enjoy watching play, but man would I hate him in Yankee pinstripes. Regarding the idea of the Brewers making a push for Stanton, I just don't see any realistic hope they have the young talent it would take to make a deal.
  22. Eye Black
    Anibal Sanchez reportedly starts the bidding at 6 years / $90 million according to Jon Morosi. $15 million per year doesn't seem to far off from what others think is realistic.
  23. Eye Black
    This thread seems to have started out on the right track (i.e. Lester). While I think Lester is most likely unobtainable, I could see the Brewers coveting a late 20's left-handed starting pitcher this off-season. Someone along the lines of a Jason Vargas or Clayton Richard. Both have seen success more recently in their careers and could potentially be signed to a longer term contract prior to reaching free agency. I realize this wouldn't add the #2 starter some are hoping for (myself included), but it would help stabilize the starting rotation for 2013 and add a LHP starter to the mix.
  24. Eye Black
    My guess on Jackson is 3 years/$37.5m, with a 4th year option. Fangraphs published the results of their Crowdsourcing exercise, and here are some of the projected contracts for FA starting pitchers: Zack Greinke - 6 yrs / 114 mil Anibal Sanchez- 4 yrs / 52 mil Kyle Lohse - 4 yrs / 52 mil Dan Haren - 3 yrs / 36 mil Edwin Jackson - 3 yrs / 36 mil Ryan Dempster - 3 yrs / 36 mil Hiroki Kuroda - 2 yrs / 24 mil Brandon McCarthy - 2 yrs / 20 mil Shaun Marcum - 2 yrs / 20 mil Joe Saunders - 2 yrs / 16 mil
  25. Eye Black
    Seems strange that a team with a payroll below $70 mil would be willing to pay Ervin Santana $12 million. Could be an early indication that the FA market for pitchers is going to be pricey.
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