SRB
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Everything posted by SRB
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I mean, a 4.09 FIP last season is not bad for a guy who might be looking for a minor league deal at this point in the offseason. Jeffress has been weirdly up-and-down throughout his career. I'd not be opposed to a (fourth? fifth?) reunion at all.
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Why so much confidence in Boxberger, who has had only one passable 30 inning season (2017) since his career year as closer way back in 2014? I'm skeptical he will make the team at all.
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Fair point about Hiura, who might also see a few games at 2B. Whether Wong ends up ranking second or third though, I think he's one of the few guaranteed everyday starters on the roster.
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Given how little competition Shaw should have from other (non-Robertson) utility guys in camp, I wonder if the non-guaranteed aspect of this and the early opt-out suggests they are still looking at other 3B options?
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Some cherry-picked optimism for the current roster, if they all match their best individual years from the last three full seasons (or best 2021 projections for Urias). Hey, it's possible! LHB 2B Kolten Wong, .285/.376/.412/.788, .336 wOBA, 108 wRC+ RHB CF Lorenzo Cain, .308/.395/.417/.812, .359 wOBA, 125 wRC+ LHB LF Christian Yelich, .329/.429/.671/1.100, .442 wOBA, 175 wRC+ RHB 1B Keston Hiura, .303/.368/.570/.938, .388 wOBA, 140 wRC+ LHB 3B Travis Shaw, .273/.349/.513/.862, .361 wOBA, 120 wRC+ RHB RF Avisail Garcia, .330/.380/.506/.886, .375 wOBA, 138 wRC+ LHB C Omar Narvaez, .275/.366/.429/.795, .348 wOBA, 121 wRC+ RHB SS Luis Urias, .250/.331/.377/.708, .312 wOBA, 93 wRC+ RHSP Corbin Burnes, 13.3 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 2.04 FIP RHSP Brandon Woodruff, 11.1 K/9, 2.2 BB/9, 3.20 FIP RHSP Josh Lindblom, 10.3 K.9, 3.2 BB/9, 3.88 FIP LHSP Brett Anderson, 5.3 K.9, 1.5 BB/9, 4.17 FIP RHSP Adrian Houser, 9.4 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 4.22 FIP RHRP Devin Williams, 17.7 K.9, 3.0 BB/9, 0.86 FIP LHRP Josh Hader, 15.8 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 2.23 FIP
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Obviously Hiura, Wong and Urias are locks. Arcia and Robertson are probably close to it. If they keep 13 position players, it will probably be 4-5 outfielders, 5-6 infielders and the two catchers. That means Vogelbach and Shaw may be competing for one spot. I suppose they could keep both, but then that means only 4 OFers. Can't see them keeping Vogelbach to be honest, unless there is a last minute deal to keep the NL DH. The Wong signing more or less forces them to be serious about Hiura at 1B, and Hiura is not going to be sitting very often. Even assuming Vogelbach is a better bet to hit well against RHP than Shaw (not entirely clear), being a 1B/DH versus a 3B/1B/2B is a huge difference.
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I think Wong is a safe bet to finish second in games started behind Yelich. Almost no way is he getting benched regularly. His numbers against LHP are not even bad over the last three or four seasons, as was discussed at length in his signing thread.
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Houser was very good as a reliever in 2019. As a starter, he was much like he was last year and has always been as a starter, which isn't very good. It would be such a great thing for some of these other guys to bump him back to the pen where he belongs. Houser had a 9.4 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 4.22 FIP, 3.71 xFIP as a starter in 2019. I recall him looking quit good, notwithstanding a couple 5-run blowups.
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I'd be surprised if he doesn't make the roster, no? Who does he have to beat out for the last infield bench spot, Mark Mathias/Jace Peterson, or is it Daniel Vogelbach? I think Robertson is pretty safe.
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Houser was very good in 2019, not sure why some seem down on him. This rotation quietly has a lot of upside if everybody clicks. You've got at least eight guys who could feasibly put up sub-4.00 ERA seasons in a changing six-man rotation Woodruff Burnes Lindblom Anderson Houser Peralta Lauer Suter Not even counting Zimmermann, who is still an interesting depth option in his own right.
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Yep. Two low-cost, non-splashy moves that probably make the team better. I'm not expecting Shaw to remember how to hit like he did in 2017-18 at age 31, but it sure would be great if he could contribute power... Against LHP: 3B Robertson 2B Urias SS Arcia Against RHP: 3B Shaw 2B Wong SS Urias Should be good defensively and hopefully can provide some offense. Not sure why Wong would ever sit in favor of Robertson. That seems unlikely.
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I think Lindblom is going to surprise some people this year. Excellent peripherals last season with the type of inflated ERA you can luck into across just 10 starts. Slots in as the #3 for me in terms of talent (not that it matters).
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Plus defense at 3B and (in an ideal scenario) a righty masher. Makes perfect sense for what our current roster needs. If you want to dream: 2017-18 Shaw vs. RHP: .266/.359/.533/.892, .373 wOBA, 131 wRC+ 2018-20 Urias vs. LHP: .337/.373/.500/.873, .372 wOBA, 133 wRC+ I don't think Urias is going to be the short-side of a platoon, but he can start at 3B against LHP and at SS against RHP. Is there anything they're not negative about?
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Brett Anderson re-signs with Brewers - 1-year / $2.5 million
SRB replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Career stats Brett Anderson (age 33): 1044.1 IP, 4.06 ERA, 3.93 FIP, 3.86 xFIP Trevor Bauer (age 30): 1190.0 IP, 3.90 ERA, 3.85 FIP, 3.96 xFIP -
Brett Anderson re-signs with Brewers - 1-year / $2.5 million
SRB replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
One of the best LHSP available, great deal! Also excellent synergy between this signing and the Wong signing. Lots of groundballs to 2B coming. -
Franco is pretty clearly worse than a guy like Todd Frazier at everything, I think. The only advantage he offers is there might be some upside left for a former hyped prospect who is still only 28. (And he was actually pretty good with Kansas City in 2020.) There's a reason the Phillies kept putting him out there even when he was terrible. Since we already have our own internal upside options, a steady veteran makes the most sense to me.
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Walker is not that exciting to me. 2.70 ERA last year but a 4.82 xFIP.
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Any player will look bad if you highlight their worst errors. Stats suggest Fisher is actually an average-ish defender in the OF, and in fact all of his bad stats (in limited sample sizes) are when he was playing CF/RF versus his normal LF. Maybe he's just a guy who can't adjust right away to playing "out" of what he is comfortable with. His LF stats are actually quite good in 739 innings.
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27-year-old former top prospect with crazy tools who actually hit well in a small sample size in 2020. What's not to like about this?
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Lamb's decline is not mysterious, he had a serious injury and has never been able to hit the same. Plus he's a very poor defender. I think Todd Frazier is the best option out there for us. He's getting up there in age at 35, but he's still been a steady enough contributor, he plays solid defense at 3B, and he can handle himself against both RHP and LHP. That gives us flexibility to either utilize him as the everyday 3B, let him backup Urias against tough righties, or even move over to play 1B and give Hiura a day off against tough lefties. Meanwhile, he shouldn't be very expensive. Last season he only made $3,500,000 with a $1,500,000 option buyout that the Mets exercised this offseason. I'm sure he could be had on a one year deal for less than $4,000,000 at this point in the offseason.
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Bauer, Buehler, legitimate worst fanbase in baseball.. what else? Going to be funny to see the Dodgers get overwhelmed by the Padres this year. They'll probably still make the playoffs through the Wild Card though, now that half the league makes the playoffs.
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Urias is almost surely a much better prospect than Rios, even at 3B. I guess Urias/Rios > Arcia/Urias, but still I would not give up a lot for just another promising question mark.
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Todd Frazier is also a reliable standby at 3B not getting a lot of attention. He is probably the safest option remaining, even at 35. As for pitching, Shoemaker on a one-year deal could be interesting. Or Cole Hamels if his health checks out?
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Wong signing was nice, but it is starting to look like a huge failure of an offseason. I guess we're back to square one a few months ago when the rumor was Mark A was unwilling to commit much money and was looking to reduce payroll. If only "they" (by which I could mean Justin Turner's agent making things up) hadn't gotten our hopes up.
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So much for that... Can't believe the Brewers wouldn't match that offer.