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SRB

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Everything posted by SRB

  1. Realmuto's career line is .283/.327/.442/.769. Granted that's excellent for such a good defensive catcher, but I wouldn't bat him third. (For what it's worth, last year Pina hit .279/.327/.424/.751, and he is an equally good defensive catcher)
  2. I don't feel any urgency to go get Realmuto when catcher is only the third worst position in our starting lineup, and when Pina seems like such an important part of the clubhouse and in working with our (surprisingly effective) pitching staff. I have much more faith in Pina getting hot in the second half than I do Villar or Arcia, and when Pina is hot he's actually a comparable hitter to Realmuto in his career (minus the career year Realmuto is having, which further complicates things by making him a buy-high candidate..)
  3. I'm sure there's been a thread on him in the past, but it's worth starting a new one with recent confirmation that the Rangers are preparing to be sellers. I don't think Elvis Andrus makes any sense for us, because he is expensive through 2022 and (hopefully) we only have an immediate need at SS for 2018 while Arcia fixes his swing. Profar, on the other hand, seems like an ideal fit as a guy who can be the everyday SS this season, and then move to a utility role in 2019-2020 or whenever Arcia is ready. (Profar is controllable via arbitration through 2020.) Although it would be a little strange since they are both switch hitters, Profar's career platoon splits also complement Villar at 2B. So far this season Profar is hitting .240/.317/.444/.761 with 8 HR and 41 RBI in 281 PA. He can play roughly average defense at SS/2B/3B/OF, and he's still only 25 years old. How much would you give up for Profar, if anything?
  4. Isn't Shaw one of the best in all of the majors against RHP, and likewise with two outs?
  5. Didn’t we score double digit runs in game one? True, but today and yesterday their approach at the plate has been terrible.
  6. The Brewers offense has been dreadful this series. We're very lucky to have two wins.
  7. This is so frustrating... Anybody watching the games must realize that Arcia's swing is messed up and he's not going to fix it in the majors on a contending team. Sogard obviously should not be playing, and Perez shouldn't really either. Hopefully Saladino is coming back soon is all I can say. (Or Counsell is being misleading and they really are going to let Miller take over at SS)
  8. Not to be dramatic, but if Anderson gives up more homerun(s) tonight I wonder if it's time to start questioning his spot in the rotation.
  9. Braun has been hitting the ball hard into bad luck. I expect him to outhit Dickerson over the remainder of the season, with comparable or even better OF defense.
  10. Honestly Braun is in a tough spot right now. He's obviously not going to play over Aguilar at this time and he's really not going to play over Thames against RHP. Santana is a total non-factor and Braun is still kind of on the verge of getting wedged out. Depth is good, I get that, but having your highest paid player on your bench when you're at full strength for the next 2.5 years is probably not the most ideal thing ever. I don't know what the Dodgers OF situation looks like off the top of my head but I wonder if they'd still have any interest. Who do they got, Bellinger, Kemp, Puig? Braun should still be able to rack up quite a few AB spot starting in the OF and starting over Thames against all LHP. Santana is the one who really is getting squeezed out right now. Let's not forget that Aguilar is unlikely to stay this hot forever, and that Braun is unlikely to keep smoking the ball into outs all season. We're on the downswing of Braun's career, but I wouldn't feel desperate to move him just yet. Braun is actually hitting with the highest line drive % of his career, and a hard contact % above his career line.
  11. Aguilar and Thames are so much fun to watch. We have a musclebound 1B carrying a .396 wOBA against RHP that we're having to move to another position because somebody else is playing better.
  12. Can Brinson be considered a major asset any longer? I know 321 PA is a tiny sample size, but he has just been lost against major league pitching (.228 OBP, 30.8 K%) and he's not crazy young.
  13. Brewers don't do that. I know the Braves have an excellent system, but you're not even getting one top 10 organizational prospect for two major league pieces that have been above-average as recently at last year, are still very young, and are under team control for several more seasons.
  14. unfortunately he's a 25 year old who basically was demoted from AAA after last year, I don't believe he has much stock Hager was drafted in the first round out of high school, and had some success his first couple years as a pro as a teenager. Then things got tougher for him. He likely always has had the talent to put up the numbers he is this year. I wouldn't write him off. Some guys take longer to mature. Hager also had a severe knee injury early in his career that probably set back his development a couple years. I'm not counting on him to become a top prospect, but it's always interesting to see a former well-regarded draft prospect who is suddenly putting up big numbers that don't appear to be flukey.
  15. Why not try a 6-man rotation for a while to keep our SP arms fresh? The bullpen should be fine because we have a number of guys you can cycle through from AAA, and several of our high-leverage guys can easily go multiple innings per appearance. If you want 13 P on the roster, you could also send Domingo down to fix his swing and just play Braun/Thames in the OF.
  16. With Syndergaard, you'd be getting 3.5 years of a 25-year-old ace who at his best pitches as good as anyone in the world. Even factoring in his recent injury history, the cost of Syndergaard has to be staggering. I don't think I can remember a player with more value being traded?
  17. I think the wild card is going to be Rasmussen. He doesn't have a lot of leverage, but he has the talent to turn down a really low offer. I'm guessing he signs for around $50K-75K, giving the Brewers another $175K or more, but it will be really close to the deadline. It sounds like Turang might be a difficult sign as well. That extra $700k or whatever could be going to sign Turang overslot closer to $4m, and if he refuses to sign anyways then maybe Cabell is the backup option.
  18. Just throwing this out there as pure speculation, but I wonder if the Giants would consider a trade centered around Brandon Crawford for Orlando Arcia if they fall further out of contention. Crawford is under a reasonable contract through 2021, but he's already 31 so his prime is probably not in front of him, whereas the should-be-rebuilding Giants could give Arcia a couple seasons to turn into a star. It also helps them clear a bit more off their overstuffed payroll. When Crawford is on, as he has been so far this season, he's not much worse than Manny Machado as an overall player. Elite defense and he can hit a bit. A couple moves like adding Tyson Ross and Brandon Crawford could help us a lot more than one big splashy player.
  19. The Angels are definitely not going to trade Simmons when he's having a breakout offensive season. He's arguably the best SS in the game right now, better than Machado, and is on a team friendly contract. We'd be better off trading for Machado, who should be cheaper, and hoping that Arcia can rebound in 2019. Not that I think there is a >1% chance the Brewers get Machado.
  20. One season worth of defensive statistics is meaningless, which is why Tampa Bay's decision to move him to 1B made no sense. Ranking 16th out of 21 players who were good enough to be regular major league shortstops seems about right: below average but a credible starter there.
  21. He hasn't fielded balls from the middle infield in an actual game in several years. I wouldn't read too much into a couple of errors as he knocks the rust off... Once again, Miller's career numbers at SS by advanced metrics are -3.0 UZR/150 and -6 TZ/year. Those are below average but perfectly normal numbers for a major league SS. The entire narrative that Miller is a butcher on defense seems to be based on Tampa Bay's bizarre decision to move him to 1B, which in any event was because they had numerous glove-only SS to start instead, and also probably because Tampa Bay are a dumb franchise. David Stearns and the front office clearly disagree with that decision by Tampa Bay, so who are you going to trust? The fact that Miller is arguably a platoon bat is a legitimate criticism. I remain skeptical that his defense is, especially when we've been playing Villar in our middle infield for several years now.
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