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brewcrewdue80

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Everything posted by brewcrewdue80

  1. Garcia previous high IP was 2.1 is about to complete his 4th with 0s. Great start for a bullpen game. Ope they pulled him just as I was writing that and checking his season. Still a great job by a LHP.
  2. Thats nice to see. He was a guy I dreamed on from that trade. Sorta the thing with international signings 8years to make your Big League debut, just too long to hold on to. Seen on twitter Hedbert Perez promoted to Carolina. Good sign for us.
  3. I think you can toss Seattle's record and 1pct chance at the fact that the East teams exist with a 40win Baltimore team to beat up on for at least 14wins in 19games. Then add the NL East teams to also beat up on. Next you have the West teams which Seattle resides in that are beating up on below 50win teams Texas and Arizona. That's just bound to happen with 2teams from each division gobbling up wins and just not keeping up that pace. Honestly the Reds were supposed to be further out of it had the Padres remained on that winning trend in the West. Essentially fallen in to where Seattle stands only the NL East had the Mets fall even further so the Padres are within reason to make wild card still. Seattle also has to have some less pct of making it simple because their roster looks weak. They've probably out-performed in win expectancy to even be where they are. No SPs and an offense that is Milws pre Adames level. Little different as Milw has had a higher pct throughout the season due to the SPs.
  4. The money is a deferral. He accepted less pay for 2021 but that 6.5mil has always been in his pocket. What you suggest is maybe what was always planned. Brewers FO just found a way to entice him to sign while not paying much in 2021 and with new CBA forthcoming see where future money is headed.
  5. That fine balance between high Ks and having pitches put in play. Tonight high Ks 10! through 5. Throwing a lot of pitches because nobody able to put the ball in play.
  6. This holds true for pretty much every series left. Head to head is always a bit overrated in my opinion. We just don't want to find ourselves on a losing streak when the Reds are on a winning streak. I have always thought playing the other team is somewhat unbeneficial. The other team is pretty good (I would rather be playing the Pirates) and there is no way to win a series 2-1 and gain two games. If the Reds won a series against someone else and we got swept they can gain 2 games over a 3 game period. Just feels like there is less opportunity to keep pace or gain decent ground....as sweeping a team as good as the Brewers is pretty darn unlikely. I thought the Reds were going to need to really gain some ground to cut the lead before the calendar flipped, probably make it sub 5 games back. They are really running out of time to get within reasonable distance. What do you mean H2H is overated? 3 game series and a sweep one way or the other is a 6 game swing in the standings. In any other series not heads up is just 3games where both teams can have the same results. That is essentially what the Brewers have done to the Reds since All Star break is match their record when not H2H. So if the Reds can't gain in a non H2H they need to win the games vs the Brewers to gain games on them. We need to start preparing for the Dodgers catching SF and SF and Reds being the wild card teams. 14-2 in last 16 and Scherzer is 3-0 in 4LA starts, who may just snipe in here on Cy Young and steal it when LA does overtake SF. Milwaukee's late season runs always included a SP who came in and won games that you didn't expect that type of result. Scherzer looks to be that guy for LA and you expect those results.
  7. Williams/Hader closeout would throw a stamp on why Milw is a favorite to win WS. After this comeback.
  8. 7+ inning games: -Woodruff has 8, but only one since June. -Peralta has 4, but none since June. -Burnes has 5, most of them in the July/August. Out of 68 combined games, they have went 7+ in about 25% of them. If one of the "Big 3" is pitching well, keep him in there, but we can certainly win with them only going 5-6 innings. We've done it all year, and not that there's a correlation, but the team's winning percentage went up while Woodruff and Peralta went less deep into games. But to your point, Counsell is not going to pull them "just so he can pitch everyone possible." With at least two of Houser, Lauer, and Anderson going to the pen for the playoffs, he will have a strong bullpen, and I trust him to use it wisely. It would be great if they can get a day's rest because the starter goes deep into the game, but that's not really the Brewers main focus under Stearns/Counsell. They seem to prefer to pitch starters while they're strong, but give them a pretty quick hook after they've been through the lineup a couple times and show that they are starting to tire, relying on a strong bullpen to finish things out. I also wouldn't consider it a "bullpen game" if they decide to start Houser, Anderson, or Lauer in game four. Each of them have been above average starting pitchers this season. We're a bit spoiled by how good our top three have been, but there is a good argument to be made that any of the "bottom three" pitching on full rest would be a better option than one of the "Big 3" pitching on short rest after a season in which they have become accustomed to extended rest between starts. I mean game 4 as bullpen game in that Houser/Lauer pitch through the order once maybe 12 batters. And not through a batting order a full 2 times.
  9. I use BRef often to look at standings they have a past 10, 20, and 30. I cant remember the last time in the last 30 the brewers were worse than 17-13. At 20-10 now. This seems inevitable. And just think Williams is 2020 Williams once again. Ashby is a bullpen addition. Yelich may be finding a power stroke. The team could be ready here to go on a 10game winning streak like the Yankees are in now.
  10. So the discussion is whether or not you have 4 starters or 3. Um, if we put Houser and Lauer(Dodgers slayer) in the bullpen they are available to be used as a Starter. Theres gotta be at least 1 if not 2 starts by the big 3 going 7innings or more. Which you'd turn over to Williams and Hader to complete. I'd really hate for CC to pull the top 3 after 5IP just so he can pitch everybody possible every 2 games getting them an inning. Definitely could see a bullpen game featuring Houser, Lauer and Anderson before you turn to your Williams-Hader finish. I think when you reach game 4s you have an idea the importance of the game. Up 3-0 or 2-1 you dont have to lean on Burnes or Woody and trust the quality of the other guys capable to get it done.
  11. Too expensive. With the year hes having he must be looking at over 10Mil this upcoming Arb. ~11.6? my guess which heads to the 18-21Mil the last year. That year will be very expensive already for Mil with Arb players. Tellez meanwhile has an adequate bat that may improve with more experience. He will possess the cheap player the team needs over these next 2 or 3 seasons while giving a better than Replacement level bat in return.
  12. I don't know how some posters are so concerned with the pitching staff we have starting games. Burnes has an "off" night of 6IP and 0ER. Remeber a year or two ago we had starters that were lucky to even complete 6IP? It was the 5.1IP starting squad. Leaving 11outs for the bullpen to complete the game. Consistently this has been the narrative of our top3. Struggled to get through 6IP giving up 0-2ER. Meanwhile when they arent struggling 7IP is a breeze while still giving up 0-3ER. Brewers have a fair schedule finishing the season. Yes the Reds have an easier schedule, but I thought originally was to refer to them catching one of the West teams for a wildcard and then maybe beating the other in that game. Then it turned to Reds catapulting us because we play the Cardinals 13games? (Think it began with someone mentioning the WS loss to them and that mojo just going to keep the faith Cardinals ruin a Brewers good thing) Padres are in trouble. Remember they are in the stretch about to finish playing 45+straight games their opponent wasn't above .500. That ends Friday with possibly the Padres playing just two series vs below .500 opponents(up to 5] and the whole month of Sept vs. better than .500 teams. Might need to check on Atl and Philly schedules here as they have entered 2nd wild card spot potential. Padres all but removed from it. Dodgers and Giants will take care of it.
  13. With 22 games against the Pirates, Cubs, and Marlins, the Reds could easily go better than 26-17 if they can beat the Cubs and Pirates at close to the same rate the Brewers beat them and add 4 or 5 wins against the Marlins. 16-6 in those 22 isn’t hard to see at all. Just a reminder the Marlins are a far better team than the Cubs or Pirates. A lot of 1run losses give them their poor record, but basically the are near a .500 team quality. Trevor Rogers is currently sitting on Bereavement but that hopefully ends in time for him to pitch vs the Reds. The 2nd series vs Miami comes immediately after the last series vs the Brewers at Miami. Which has its abilities for long nights out in town and poor games played. This leads to immediately playing the Cardinals at home flying back from Miami. That point right there after the Cardinal series will be the tell all whether to be concerned of the Reds or not. They could easily find themselves at a 5-8 or 6-7 stretch after and be much further out of it or completely right in it if the opposite. The final stretch beyond that is cake for them. The Reds may also be dealing with an IL stint to Jesse Winker that would cause him to miss the Brewers series.
  14. You know it already but after the HR last night, Rowdy Tellez and Willy Adames are Brewers through 2024! Making Rookie money.
  15. While the Cards do face us a lot to gain games, It is also easy for the Brewers to just win 3 straight and put them outta their misery. Each Brewer win is a 2 game net loss on the magic number. Did anybody see what Rowdy Tellez did to a baseball last night? For nearly half this season we watched Hiura not do anything like that. Have some confidence.
  16. Just go look at the 2014 Brewers SPs and RPs and their ERA+ vs the 2021 Brewers Pitching ERA+ This year's #5 and 6 are having better seasons than that years #1. Zach Duke led the RP with 155ERA+ We currently have at least 6 that are better than that. In Ranking terms. 2021 Pitching #2 in the League 2014 Pitching #10. That teams Deadline deal was Geraldo Parra. That is it. Just look how the additions of Adames, Tellez, and Escobar have improved the team's offense.
  17. Pitching is just way too good to blow their current lead. Lets be serious, if Yelich is batting any kind of season similar to those in Miami, Milw is the WS favorites at this moment. We wouldn't need MVP Yelich. That is how far he's fallen. No reason whatsoever as it stands to believe Milw would lose the Division. 60pct of these games Milw is throwing a top 10 in all of baseball Starting Pitcher to win us games. Not #2s and 3s like a Lohse and Gallardo. Legit aces 3 outta 5 man rotation. Followed with 3s Anderson, Lauer, and Houser. The Brewers have the best RP to close a game in Hader in a few categories. 2014 didnt contain this. The bullpen was littered with awful. Still in favor of Cincy beating out the Padres for the Playoffs due to their remaining schedule though as I pointed out earlier San Diego would reach close to 50 games straight without facing a team above 500. They could go on an 8-10game winning streak and make it tougher for Cincy.
  18. Right now I would consider Narvaez buying out his last year of Arbitration and adding 2years with an option. He's a solid hitting catcher and he overall WAR doesn't make it seem like he'd be a guy able to command a Grandal height of a deal. You could maybe give it a 6 or 7mil for 20202 and 9 and 11 mil the two following seasons. The option being something like 13 or 14 with a 3Mil buyout. So essentially 3/30mil that option picked up is 4/40Mil. Without knowledge of what these Minor League Catchers will look like gives you security post Pina. I'm sure a good Narvaez on that contract could easily be moved in any offseason if one of the MiLB Catchers need to be playing Starter vs backup. Only Feliciano is projected to MLB in Brewers top 30 before 2023. Pina is a FA this year. Somebody mentioned Garcia and there's no way I consider bringing him back after his contract. He's nearly having a career year and you know go figure happens to be a year he may be able to be a FA. But let's get real. He's older has almost 10WAR in 10 season career. That is not something you clamor to extend. He has a higher K% that I think he teeters on a huge dropoff when older age kick in and increases. You can pick up or graduate prospects for 1-2WAR a year. If so many on this team weren't having poor seasons (aside from the position acquisitions via trade) Garcia wouldn't look so positive a player to keep on your team after this season for 12million. Via BRef it looks like Milw is headed for a salary crunch these next 3 seasons with Arbitration values exceeding 140Mil in Payroll and up to 190 for 2024 season! Not exactly the 3 year span for an extension to like Adames or 1 of the SP Burnes/Woodruff.
  19. The save is listed on mlb.com Now it is, must've taken a proofreader to fix it. May have been trying to find a way to credit Suter with the Win
  20. Perdomo’s inning at Wrigley back in April was 35 pitches. So combined at Wrigley he’s gone 67 pitches, 1.2 IP, 3 H, 5 ER, 4 SO, 4 BB in those two outings. That could be excused if it were Colorado. But Wrigley? Game Day those pitches even had a lot less movement than the previous Brewer Pitchers. So I fear he'd get rocked if he had control. Also, interesting Gameday didn't even show this Wick guy as in the bullpen. Maybe the 27th player for a double header?
  21. Perdomo extended this game at least 10mins with that .2IP 32Pitches. My word it's 1115
  22. Thinking Perdomo gets optioned for Lindblom. Lindblom can do the same thing but maybe better these days.
  23. Seriously this Cousins guy was released by the Nats in 2019 in March and Signed by Milw in July. How did we find this guy before any other team? What an addition to this bullpen and it doesn't look fake.
  24. As I was saying.... Should have said we may see a position player pitching before end of this game.
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