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brewcrewdue80

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Everything posted by brewcrewdue80

  1. I think where you read Peralta's agents mildly upset he took this deal, is where youve gotta see Woodruff's agents at. Pitch this season, set a true value, not a projected one. For all the troubles Nelson had he made. 7.4mil the last 2 years. Nelson did that behind 1 terrific season. Woodruff has that now under his belt. Another season like last year and Woodruff will hit Arb over the 3.7mil Nelson got. Falls back somewhere above 4ERA and under 160IP, that's still in the Nelson territory, which is good money. The difference in an extension though would be pretty great. Woodruff could be looking at himself as a final Arb season over 20mil vs say 11-13. Just enjoy the ride with no thoughts on a contract extension til next year.
  2. The Brewers have said that if Lauer is the #6, he'll be in the AAA rotation. Peralta however would be in MLB rotation or pen. Team needs to trade away or wave Anderson because this is going to backfire. If they take Lauer a 2yr starter for SD and demote him to AAA when he's done nothing in Spring to warrant it? Talk about a major buzzkill on his confidence. This is why I think the piggyback needs to happen. Or move on from the 1yr contract that is Anderson. Burnes down to AAA can be reasonable due to his last season. Lauer? It'll be a problem.
  3. I can't imagine the Dodgers would want another OF or INF in place of a pitcher. They are loaded with talent in their OF and have so many talented infielders already. Rengifo wouldn't even come close to making their 26 man roster. It could be argued that Pages is a better prospect than Lutz. I'm not so sure the Angels make out on the deal either. The Brewers would do it in a split second. They come out way ahead of the other two teams. The Angels completely take this trade in an instant. Brewers 2nd. Dodgers have to be scratching their head what did we just do? Angels getting a legit SP(vs Stripling), and and Inf that is basically 3 years behind what they are giving up now all for a RP and a utility inf with less upside. Brewers get a fit after these Spring Training games of a Swingman, a backend RP, and a superb looking international signing prospect closer to the ML team at a need 3 years from now. Dodgers, get an Infielder to backup/start, and an OF prospect that may be a AAAA type or 4th OF.
  4. I could use a 1200pt or more session loss. Moved conservative last year in April as it approached All time high. This referring to 401k. Should finally be able to buy back what I moved and more.
  5. Wow what a terrible list. No wonder we're around last in prospect rankings. I did wonder on Caden Lemons. I thought he was going to be the best or 2nd best for the Brewers from that draft. Brewers aren't even aggressive with their pitching prospects.
  6. These combine numbers are better than Ezekial Elliot's who was drafted 4th. Ohio St versus WI reputation.
  7. As a Receiving RB yes extremely well with Brady check downs 2809yds receiving, 1119 rushing 5 seasons. I think if White had been on GB he wouldn't have lasted all too long. That's less than 250yards a season rushing. Though I do see he's eclipsed that each of the last 2 seasons. Maybe he'll break out to 1,000 before he ends his career. I always liked White better than Ball or Clay. He did some things I believe his Fr. year or first year that were more thrilling/talented than the other 2. Just to date, he's not your classic RB, but a true 3rd down RB. Like I mentioned, watch that mocks now over what you seen before the combine, there's no reason for Taylor not to be considered a 1st rd choice now.
  8. It's certainly been good news so far on many of the question marks, including Peralta, Burnes and Arcia. Heck, even Brett Anderson, who a few people here love to hate, has looked good. But ... it's still February. I haven't seen any hate for Anderson, just people knowing for 100% certainty that he will not pitch a full season. What is the over /under on 15 starts? Um I think you just gave the O/U....15starts. The HR Arcia hit I just seen to lead off today, Back was that 1 foot finish and 2nd foot leaning off the ground. So maybe we are seeing the positive on hands being higher? Isn't that kinda reverse with what worked for Broxton and another Brewer hitter? Anyway, Kudos to him that he's having some success. Certainly better than a 28/52 Ks to PA Spring.
  9. I think part of the rankings come with how WI RBs have performed in the NFL. Gordon has 1 season above 1,000yards. Sure we'll call it 2 (997) in 5 seasons. After Gordon, which WI RB has seen that success? So I would think that there's a knock on the WI with the system and OL put in front of them. Looking at draft history and rarely are there more than 2 RBs drafted in the 1st round, if any drafted in 1st at all. The game is a passing league, RB is constantly a, "We want to run the football more." But there's Gordon with only 2 seasons getting above 200carries and the other 3 avg around 13 carries a game. You also have the Fumble history with Taylor. You have the workload to ding how long a career he'll have. Whoever drafts him though is likely getting the best RB in the 2020 class. Looking at Walter Football, Charlie Cambell has Taylor going 26th to Miami. Taylor may be jumping up certainly as a 1st round pick after his Combine. I'd begin paying attention where mocks put him moving forward.
  10. What's different? Which one is the new swing and which is the old? I watched this like 15times. I assume the Left is the newer swing? Higher hands being the tell? What I see in the left, is an earlier leg kick that is bigger, a wind up further back. Once the swing begins going forward it is the same as the right. The left takes longer and in the end is a few frames behind the right. Head has same movement.
  11. I think when you mention Urias for 3b it is beyond this season. That's considering Arcia makes a drastic improvement for him not to play SS near everyday. While Arcia's statcast was just a little bit better than the last 2 seasons. The Expected isn't above a .700OPS. Thats a bit of climbing to reach that. Urias hits for avg and OB like in the minors hes an easy Arcia replacement. Maybe this is why Milwaukee is playing 3b this way this season. Should Arcia take that step forward, Urias can just slide in to the open 3b after 2020. I dont believe it will happen. I think Arcia stands as much a chance not being with the team after this season as I do him succeeding enough to stay. If Arcia has a slightly positive year, I think hes a trade off selling high as he stands at that point. Urias to SS full time 2021 if its not finishing 2020 on his own. But the Arcia SS-Urias 3b is a thought for a combo in 2021.
  12. He has a 6degree loft on his balls hit in play. I know Yelich was like that but Yeli had exit speed averages over 90MPH. Arcia is just creeping to 87. He needs a little more loft. And added power wouldn't hurt. My problem with him isnt just the bat, but his defense has trailed the last 2 seasons. Its at a level where I dont see him as a GG SS. 700OPS isnt good enough with this defense. He has to be higher than 740.
  13. That should translate to: Braun Can Steal 20bases I imagine as well Yelich Garcia Hiura Narvaez Cain 3b SS Pitcher
  14. I'm for having Yelich at the 3 spot, ideally with two runners on base. So, I'd go Sogard, Cain, Yelich against lefties, maybe go Holt, Cain, Yelich against righties. It drove me crazy to see Thames batting leadoff or second so often - wasted a lot of power. Putting that lineup together that would leave Hiura 4, Smoak 5, Braun/Garcia 6, Narvaez/Pina 7, SS/3b 8th? I just think about that 4-7 and too much power giving up vs a Sogard OB ability. Putting that lineup together does leave me with a Yelich/Hiura interchangeable 2/3 platoon or just Yelich 2 Hiura fairly everyday. 4 of Smoak being Switch hitter. Maybe the platoon idea has merit? Say days Braun plays 1b. Hiura 2 Yelich 3, Braun 4. Sogard or Urias would leadoff that day? Narvaez 5th. Cain 6? Man it is so interchanging these IGT takes this season are going to a blast pregame.
  15. Good contract. The guaranteed is low. The upside on pucking up the options is great. Peralta becomes say the next Johnny Cueto huge win with the FA years being drastically low. If He is just an avg RP I'd say the guaranteed money essentially buys one of those yearly. I think the loss in this situation would only be if he starts 3seasons and is a poor #5 before tossing him in the bullpen to at least give you avg RP value. They did this with Chase a few years back but I dont think the upside was ever there. Just the #3-4 value in it.
  16. The thought would be that Urias is healthy and playing. Sogard would be the Lefty portion on the 3b. And really it's not an everyday lineup. It's the way to just play around your roster with Gamel in the minors having been optioned. Holt would be the 5th OF with Garcia backing up Cain. Braun/Holt backups on Garcia/Yelich in corners. for however long they had to deal with Gamel down in the minors to be recalled. Obviously, if it were to a DL it'd just be a game or 2. But say an IF injury occured and Holt doesn't mix for an OF backup, they may call up Taylor or Ray briefly before calling back up Gamel when he was able to be. You're really looking at 2 Perez on the team with Holt/Sogard and probably even Urias when Healthy. Pretty much way to some it up, the team may not have the biggest need for Gamel in 2020, but that need may be more in 2021. Say Ray or even Taylor were used for a mid-season trade, you'd still have Gamel post-Braun.
  17. Just remember for the season they have a 26man roster, the RPs have the 3batter minimum. I think the worry on RPs being tired/overused will sort itself out on the new rules. Alex Claudio appeared in 83 games last season for 62IP and a total of 267batters faced. The year prior he appeared in 66 games with 68.1ip and 299bf. Another year before it was 70games appeared 82.2ip and 323 batters faced. His usage will result in more IP in less games appeared. and my word, did he have some nice numbers for Tex. How nice would he be to pitch to a 3.34Fip vs the 4.92Fip he gave us last season. I mean, wow, just think about this. Albers, Jeffress, Claudio, Burnes, Nelson+Barnes, just all these RPs gruesomely underperformed to what you expect or hoped from them, and Milw made the playoffs. Also via BRef, when looking at the Splits, the SPs had a 4.4ERA as did the RPs at a 4.4ERA. So we can set a mark to reach 4.1/4.2ERA and be improved on last seasons pitching. I found it really interesting that the team posted a .708OPS against at Miller park. Only 3 parks did they beat that number-Phi, Cin, Mia. Hey feel good on the vs Cin pitching vs them well! Pitts meanwhile came in 13th/19 at .827OPS against. That should be better considering where they are going this season. You gotta put Peralta as the leader for #4 or 5, after today's showing, he seems on a level to just go after that fall. That would put Lindblom/Lauer atm as your #4/5 last man battle, Maybe that can be your tandem/piggyback. R/L or L/R depending the makeup of the team you're facing. Just gotta feel much better heading in to this season with how the pitching staff as a whole is shaping up. Suter in relief a full season, Kneble returns, Hader, Can we have Burnes?, Claudio bounceback, vs the Albers/Jeffress/Hader headlining last year at this time.
  18. The team dealt Grisham who I figured would make the most likely CF replacement to Cain. Gamel is the #2 CF. He only had 65 starts last season. Gamel has the option. 100% he is on the Brewers for this season. But some of that may be in the minors. I would wonder on Holt playing a Corner OF at times with Avisail Garcia as Backup for Cain in CF and Gamel optioned down to the minors. This would be more of, expect a Garcia/Braun, Cain, Yelich OF split, and if Cain happens to go down to injury, Garcia moves to CF, and Holt or Braun replaces Garcia's OF spot. Think of it this way. Braun is having his last season with the team. Using Gamel's option this year won't matter so much next season as he can replace Braun as the OF. Next up well, I'd think is Corey Ray for the Optional OF role in 2021. This reasoning makes it out to be dealing Gamel, isn't in the cards for the next 2 seasons. 2seasons from now will bring to us the 1year remaining on Yelich/Cain, gone will be Holt, Garcia, Kneble, Smoak, Sogard, Pina, Claudio, and Phelps. Stearns would be set up prime for a tear it down rebuild 2021-22 offseason. Depending on how Gamel had played in 2021 he may have more value then, than he has now.
  19. Awesome good stuff. Peralta threw 2IP today. Would guess he was to throw 1IP game 1? I've often thought the pitchers never seem ready to go the first couple weeks in the regular season. So I feel a light workload could explain. Wonder how the pitchers would do if the began that schedule from 2ip and worked to every 5days 4ip+ though its only a 2day bump.
  20. All right we have games being played. Who are all these guys? Yelich missed these 3games? What's up with that? Evry possible Starter but Peralta has 1IP now. Seems odd. Who will be your starters games 5&6? Or are you pitching the first games guys on short rest?
  21. Heres the thing. Is Houser being projected as a full time starter? Lauer most likely is as thats been his career to date. Houser has data from being a good RP to mix with SP. Also gotta bring up that Lauer for his career is basically a 3.55 ERA SP once you remove his IP at Coors field. 4.6s ERA projections is laughable and lazy homework.
  22. This would likely happen once Gamel reached Arb and/or ran out of options. I believe he has 1. What would Milw get in return for him? Probably some International pool money from Baltimore or other various team, but Baltimore I know seems to always trade from that. I think that would be your best deal.
  23. This may have merit. Toronto would then add Nate Pearson the current #8 prospect in baseball, RHP With 3games to his career at AAA. That would likely indicate an ability to pitch for Milw in 2020. Biggio takes over 2b and adds a higher OB, less HR/BA, better D, lower Avg than Hiura. Maybe we can toss in Brett Anderson or Lindblom.
  24. Man how is it that Lauer is battling for 5th? You traded a SP for a possible SP? Makes me wonder where Lauer is in terms of control clock? So Urias really was the high get in that trade? Lauer has 1.160 service time. He'll be a Super 2 unless he was in the minors about 50? Days. That would be rough and obvious if they left him down there that long and obvious to a 2.120 service finish on season getting out of Arb yr 1 next offseason.
  25. I see via statcast, what you say is very true about his Fastball. Far below ML avg in movement. Meanwhile, some his other pitches appear to be top 10 or higher in relation to movement. Statcast shows him has having a 4seam Fastball. So considering how elite his spin rate is and the advantages of movement with a 2seam fastball, I wonder if he just simply dumped the harder throwing, but straight 4seam and moved to a 2seam slower but movement inducing? How would that work out with the rest of his variety of pitchers? Also, his career thus far has been 62games with only 4 of them as Starter. So Percentage wise on his FB thrown vs other pitch types thrown may need to be considered a bit different when he'd throw more pitches 2nd and 3rd time through an order, vs less than 10 batters faced. His career 3rd time seeing a batting order is just 18PAs. His career seeing Batters a 2nd time is just 38PAs. He'll be interesting to hope on, but seeing where he stood vs statcast makes me believe he may need more time to iron out his pitching approach. Pretty much the 4-seam fastball needs to be a 3rd offering pitch and not the primary offering. Thrown up in the zone.
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