sveumrules

DSL Uno prevails over DSL Dos 5 to 4 in ten innings. Some standouts in addition to the aforementioned Luis Corobo... Luis Pena (2 for 5, double) Kevin Garcia (1 for 3, walk) Joandrew Pena (1 for 3, walk) Jonathan Rangel (0 for 2, walk, HBP, two stolen bases) Manuel Moreno 4.1 IP | 1 ER | 1 H | 0 BB | 3 K Saul Sanchez 2.0 IP | 0 ER | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Aldrin Gonzalez 2.0 IP | 0 ER | 1 H | 2 BB | 0 K Johan Zapata 2.0 IP | 0 ER | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Ever Urena 1.0 IP | 0 ER | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K

Turang has hit 149/208/161 over his last 73 PA. Ortiz is at 143/213/167 over 47 PA since coming off the IL. Monasterio is at 195/283/268 for the season. I’d be looking for an infielder.

After homering yesterday Jackson Chourio has gotten his full season wRC+ back up to an even 100. thru 0601 (176 PA) 0.2 WAR 207/251/323 (60 wRC+) 5.7 BB% | 27.3 K% 52.2 Swing% 35,4 O-Swing% 73.2 Contact% 40.7 HardHit% since 0602 (153 PA) 1.6 WAR 319/366/518 (145 wRC+) 7.2 BB% | 15.0 K% 45.5 Swing% 27.1 O-Swing% 80.4 Contact% 47.1 HardHit%

There's a couple different ways to slice things up for sure. One would be to just separate out their insane 13 game stretch to start the season versus what they've done since... First 13 (0329-0413) 10 W - 3 L 287/358/478 (135 wRC+) 6.69 R/G Next 92 (0414-0728) 50 W - 42 L 249/327/388 (103 wRC+) 4.47 R/G I think those "Next 92" numbers are about the best estimate we have of the group's ever elusive true talent level at this point. The good news is that even with offense that is only a smidge above league average they've still played at an 88 Win pace for the majority of the season after a blazing start. Another way to slice it up is to follow the ebbs and flows by team record, this time I'll include some pitching numbers and league ranks during each stretch to give a bigger picture view... First 13 (0329-0413) 10 W - 3 L Hit: 135 wRC+ (2nd) | 6.69 R/G (1st) SP: 63 IP (26th) | 87 ERA- (8th) | 1.2 rWAR (11th) RP: 53 IP (10th) | 91 ERA- (12th) | +0.61 WPA (8th) [Pretty much clicking on all cylinders. Offense was unsustainably hot, bullpen was more good then elite, starters weren't throwing many innings but were preventing runs when they were out there.] Next 23 (0414-0508) 11 W - 12 L Hit: 97 wRC+ (14th) | 3.91 R/G (21st) SP: 114 IP (22nd) | 114 ERA- (23rd) | 1.2 rWAR (23rd) RP: 89 IP (7th) | 96 ERA- (14th) | +2.00 WPA (3rd) [Offense regressed with Yelich hurt, starters put up their worst stretch of the year, bullpen made sure they won the games they were supposed to limiting the fallow stretch to only one game under .500] Next 51 (0509-0703) 31 W- 20 L Hit: 105 wRC+ (13th) | 4.75 R/G (9th) SP: 236 IP (28th) | 98 ERA- (13th) | 4.1 rWAR (12th) RP: 216 IP (1st) | 68 ERA- (3rd) | +5.71 WPA (1st) [Offense bounced back with Yelich's return, starters kept the team in most games, bullpen was dominant. Went from tied for first in the NLC with Chicago on 0508 to having a seven game lead over STL on 0703] Last 18 (0704-0728) 8 W - 10 L Hit: 104 wRC+ (18th) | 4.39 R/G (18th) SP: 84 IP (30th) | 99 ERA- (11th) | 1.0 rWAR (18th) RP: 77 IP (9th) | 92 ERA- (14th) | +0.66 WPA (15th) [Pretty middle of the pack across the board with the exception of the SP/RP innings. Crazy thing about the offense during this recent stretch is that most of the roster has been hitting... Adames (78 PA | 129 wRC+), Contreras (76 PA | 105 wRC+), Chourio (68 PA | 137 wRC+), Hoskins (61 PA | 138 wRC+), Yelich (52 PA | 135 wRC+), Mitchell (47 PA | 130 wRC+), Perkins (36 PA | 126 wRC+), Bauers (27 PA | 192 wRC+) and Haase (25 PA | 214 wRC+) is nine of thirteen hitters above average and eight of them comfortably so. That leaves Frelick (57 PA | 89 wRC+) who has been below average as a regular, Monasterio (24 PA | 63 wRC+) who has been bad as the last man on the bench, then Turang (73 PA | 8 wRC+) and Ortiz (47 PA | 10 wRC+) who have been absolutely brutal.] If anyone made it this far, my takeaway is that in addition to the obvious SP need Arnold & Associates should to be looking long and hard for an IF that can supplant Monasterio and give Turang/Ortiz more consistent rest days.

He’s a little short of the standard currently, but a couple two tree more good years should put him over the top… Freeman 59.9 WAR | 39.7 peak WAR7 | 49.6 JAWS Helton 61.8 WAR | 46.6 peak WAR7 | 54.2 JAWS avg HOF 1B 64.8 WAR | 42.0 peak WAR7 | 53.4 JAWS A lot of people don’t consider Votto 1st ballot material and he’s at 64.5 WAR | 46.9 peak WAR7 | 55.7 JAWS.

Bauers positional splits are insane this year… as OF (28 PAs) 364/500/591 (208 wRC+) [doesn’t include today’s 2 for 3 with triple, HR and walk] as PH (21 PAs) 286/524/489 (184 wRC+) as 1B (177 PAs) 195/277/352 (77 wRC+)

Looks like Nashville is postponed, so three outs away from a 4 W - 0 L day.

Dylan O’Rae swings at nothing loading the bases with a five pitch walk.

Insurance Run(s): Achievement Unlocked 🏆🏆

Sam Gardner back out and works a three up three down (1 K) eighth. Brock Wilken has singled to lead off the ninth trying to get some insurance run(s) for the Shuckers.

Will Childers worked around a trio of one out singles in the fifth to record the zero. Bo Bowman worked a one two three sixth (1 K). Sam Carlson struck out the first two batters in the seventh before going walk (stolen base) single, getting Pensacola on the board at 2 to 1. Sam Gardner now on and walks the first batter before getting a groundout to end the inning.

Wild pitches were Montverde, the Pensacola pitcher.

Dylan O’Rae single, Brock Wilken walk, Connor Scott RBI single, Wilken to 3rd on a Lamar Sparks fly out and a wild pitch have Biloxi up 2 to 0 top of five. Misio went popout, lineout, walk in the fourth before being lifted for Will Childers who got the K to end the inning.

Misio gets the first two batters of the third on a pop out and strikeout. Walk, errant pickoff throw and HBP has now put runners on the corners, and Jacob gets a fly out to keep things even at zero each. Biloxi bats have gone nine up nine down the first trip through.

Misio works around a single and walk to put up a zero in the second inning with another strikeout added to his ledger.

Misio goes one two three (1 K) in a fifteen pitch first inning.

Sees the Mudcats score is now 12 to 3. Thinks to self, no way Luis Castillo drove in two more for an 8 RBI day. Checks the log…Luis Castillo two run HR, now up to 8 RBI thru six innings.

& Chase seals the TRats win with a strikeout and groundout.

Carolina putting together another big inning top of four. Juan Baez double, Cooper Pratt HBP, Daniel Guilarte RBI single (wild pitch), Luis Castillo RBI groundout, and a Reece Walling sac fly has the score at 10 to 1 Mudcats.

Eduardo Garcia double drove in the Manfred Mann, Luke Adams HBP (another two walk, two plunk game for Luke), Jose Acosta sac bunt and a two RBI Felix Valerio single gives the TRats a three run lead heading to bottom of ten.

Carolina erupted for five runs top of two highlighted by a three run Luis Castillo home run. Now leading 7 to 1 top of three.

Carolina picked up a pair of two out runs top of the first via Cooper Pratt walk, Daniel Guilarte single and Luis Castillo double.

Any package for Crochet starts with two of Misio/Pratt/Quero. Mitchell has been hurt a bunch and is already over a year of service time, Black’s offensive game hasn’t been as eye popping in AAA and he can’t play defense, the Brewers have used 16 SP this year and Patrick still sits in AAA. I’m guessing the White Sox will receive considerably more than that in return if they move Crochet. ”Post several over the next few days”…I’d prefer one quality trade proposal over an indeterminate number of ideas with minimal chance of coming to fruition. What purpose does flooding the forum with lopsided, unrealistic offers serve?

Peguero 76 ERA- | 96 FIP- | +0.21 WPA Garcia 68 ERA- | 63 FIP- | +1.83 WPA Harvey 103 ERA- | 80 FIP- | +0.51 WPA Yimi is on a whole other level of performance from the other two. Peguero might be able to fetch a return in the neighborhood of Harvey, but teams likely see their respective ERA/FIP gaps and believe Hunter is in line for positive regression while Elvis is a candidate to fade down the stretch from a run prevention standpoint. Harvey also has a little longer track record of success with 100 IP of 63 ERA- | 65 FIP- work over the last two years versus Peguero at 61 IP of 77 ERA- | 86 FIP- in his breakout last year.

Kikuchi a one year rental, so he shouldn't require top prospects. If you are just looking at ERA (4.54) you might not be impressed, but his peripherals (3.99 xERA, 3.58 FIP, 3.40 SIERA and 3.32 xFIP) all say that he has gotten some bad luck and is due for positive regression in the run prevention department. He's pretty much the best SP option on the market not named Skubal, Crochet, Flaherty or Fedde.