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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Zona Crew currently trailing 8-1 through six. Lone run came around on a Johan Barrios double followed by a Ramon Moreno single. Eric Prado had 0 BB | 6 K over 4 IP but also gave up 8 H including back to back to back solo shots to open the 4th inning. To his credit he followed up that barrage with a ground rule double before striking out the side. The Dodgers have a guy named Mairoshendrick Martinus.
  2. sveumrules
    Nashville prevails 7-4. Chad Patrick worked around 2 H | 4 BB over 5.2 IP to surrender 1 R | 1 UER with 2 K while Nick Bennett picked up his first save of the year with two scoreless frames (2 H | 2 K). Joey Wiemer doubled, Yonny Hernandez & Brian Navarreto each tripled, and Isaac Collins went deep for the ninth time this year.
  3. sveumrules
    Not much of note in a 7-2 Biloxi loss. Zavier Warren had a two RBI double.
  4. sveumrules
    Wisco gets walked off in a 5-4 loss. Will Rudy hit the qualifiers for a quality start with 6 IP | 3 ER | 5 H | 2 BB | 6 K and Aaron Rund followed up with two perfect innings (1 K) in relief. Gregory Barrios (2-5, 2B, SB), Luke Adams (0-3, BBx2, SB, CS), Matthew Wood (2-5, 2B), Felix Valerio (2-5) and Jesus Chirinos (3-4) all reached multiple times.
  5. sveumrules
    Carolina with a big 10-2 victory. How about Enniel Cortez with four scoreless innings of 3 H | 1 BB | 5 K work in his A ball debut? Aidan Maldonado (1 K) and Miguel Briceno (1 H) - yes, infielder Miguel Briceno - also put up zeros in an inning each. Lotsa juice for the offense with Fillipo Di Turi (2-5, 2B), Yophery Rodriguez (2-4, SF), Cooper Pratt (1-4, 2B, BB) all having big nights out of the top three spots.
  6. sveumrules
    17yo RHP Lukas Gonzalez is now three for three on scoreless appearances to start his young career after posting 3.0 IP | 1 H | 1 BB | 1 HBP | 4 K in the 8-6 DSL Uno loss today.
  7. sveumrules
    Lopez is one of the only viable trade assets the Bucks have, but I'd be hesitant to move him. Last season they were 6.2 points per 100 possessions better on defense with him on the floor, in 2022-23 they were 8.5 pts/100 better on defense when Brook was playing. As fun as it is to dream on Giannis at center lineups on offense, he's better utilized as more of a free safety/roamer on defense than he is playing the primary rim defender role that Brook has occupied throughout his time as a Buck.
  8. sveumrules
    Joel Kuhnel goes 1-2-3 top of ten. Collins, Hicklen, Miller lined up bottom of ten with Capra starting out on second base.
  9. sveumrules
    Still knotted at nothing nothing in Nashville heading to bottom of nine. Kahle - Zamora - Mitchell due up to try and walk it off.
  10. sveumrules
    Pretty nondescript Wisco box in the 5-1 loss but Patricio Aquino did finish the game with four scoreless frames of one hit ball striking out five.
  11. sveumrules
    Zero zero in Nashville bottom of six. Evan McKendry has thrown 4.2 IP in relief of DL Hall with only one hit against five strikeouts.
  12. sveumrules
    Yeah, the defense is included in the projected runs allowed. One reason I think the Brewers have consistently beat their projections during the Stearns/Arnold era is they excel at both defense and relief pitching, two things the projections regress extra hard because of their inherent volatility.
  13. sveumrules
    Thru 38 G | 156 PA before his hamstring Rhys was at 233/340/477 (131 wRC+). I think that is more or less what the Brewers were hoping for when they signed him. Hoskins is never going to put up big WAR numbers because he is slow (-10 BSR career) and a poor defensive 1B/DH (-74 DEF career) so he is starting off about 13 to 14 runs in the red per every 500 PAs. As long as he gets back to putting up something around his career 124 wRC+ he'll be providing definite value even if the accompanying WAR is underwhelming.
  14. sveumrules
    Yeah, believe there was a report that the Astros watched him throw a bullpen recently. They are pretty much in the perfect spot on the Venn diagram of "Already Hated Franchise" and "Need SP Badly" and "Six Games Under .500 Almost Halfway Through The Season"...but does not appear as though they've reached Bauer levels of desperation just yet.
  15. sveumrules
    BRef methodology is pretty shoddy... The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. So at this point they are still estimating the team's quality based on games from the end of last season when we had Burnes, Williams, Woodruff made starts down the stretch, Canha, Santana, hot Tyrone, etc.
  16. sveumrules
    Yeah, pretty much comes down to the projections believing the Brewers are still due for some pretty serious regression. Can’t get into the guts on BPro, but FanGraphs thinks the Brewers will score 4.43 R/G (13th) and allow 4.46 R/G (21st) the rest of the way versus actually scoring 4.80 R/G (7th) and actually allowing 3.91 R/G (8th) through their first 74 games.
  17. sveumrules
    72.2% Win Division & 85.4% Make Playoffs at FanGraphs. 69.6% Win Division & 85.1% Make Playoffs at BPro.
  18. sveumrules
    In addition to the aforementioned Jesus Made bomb, 18yo RHP Wenderlyn King has worked around 5 H | 1 BB | 3 HBP to allow only 1 ER through 4 IP (4 K) for Crew Uno so far today.
  19. sveumrules
    Crew Dos falls 2-0 in the rare low scoring DSL duel. Pedro Tovar (3-3, 2B, SB), Kevin Ereu (2-3, 2B) and Luis Corobo (1-3, 2B) made most of the noise on offense while Frandy Lafond went 0 for 2 with a walk and stolen bag in his debut. 18yo RHPs Johan Zapata (3 IP | 1 H | 2 K) and Omar Camilo (1 IP | 1 H | 3 K) finished with four frames of scoreless, walkless work.
  20. sveumrules
    Alec has -11 OAA in only 685 career innings as an OF. That is pretty brutal. Right up there with teammate Jordan Walker at -14 OAA in 1,055 innings as an OF. For comparison someone like Hunter Renfroe has also put up -11 OAA over that same time frame, but it took him 2,533 innings to do it. Andrew Benintendi put up -14 OAA too, but in 2,740 innings. Kind of emblematic of the Cardinals problems as a whole the last couple years... 2018-22 STL 392 W (7th) | -0.29 ERA/FIP (2nd) | +80 OAA (3rd) 2023-24 STL 107 W (24th) | +0.30 ERA/FIP (28th) | -8 OAA (20th) Defense has collapsed and pitchers have gone from one of the best in MLB at beating their peripherals to one of the worst. Meanwhile the Brewers... 2018-22 MIL 395 W (6th) | -0.12 ERA/FIP (9th) | +25 OAA (10th) 2023-24 MIL 135 W (5th) | -0.47 ERA/FIP (1st) | +57 OAA (1st) Pretty close with STL from 2018-22, but Arnold's Brewers have pulled away the last year plus by leaning even harder into defense than they did under Stearns. The bullpen's MLB best +19.14 WPA over the last two years (2nd place is all the way down at +11.81, STL in 19th at +1.61) has obviously been huge too.
  21. sveumrules
    Nice. Believe a win tonight would run the division lead to 7.5 games then which would be the Brewers largest margin of the season so far.
  22. sveumrules
    Bad News: The Brewers 92 wRC+ versus LHP this year ranks 23rd in MLB. Better News: They still have gone 9-8 in games against LH starters so far. As far as Hoskins specifically, it is only 35 PA vs LHP so far this year so I would expect him to put up better results against southpaws as the season goes on and he hopefully gets his legs back under him.
  23. sveumrules
    Most teams have multiple awful relievers occupying the last couple few spots in the bullpen. That the Brewers only have one (and that is only due to numerous injuries) is a testament to their ridiculous pitching depth. For all the runs they’ve given up, guys like Vieira, Mitch White and now Elieser have eaten up 36.2 IP (over 12% of the relief workload) while combining for -0.37 WPA and one credited loss.
  24. sveumrules
    Good thing Chourio had off yesterday so he’d have enough juice to get around the bases today.
  25. sveumrules
    If the Brewers thought Black was a possibility for 2B (or even 3B) at the MLB level they’d be giving him occasional reps there in Nashville to keep him sharp. That he hasn’t played 2B for two years, or 3B this year aside from one game where he made two errors, tells me the Brewers don’t consider him a realistic option at those spots currently.
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