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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Brewer walked and Chris Roller singled to bring home two more Nashville runs. Roller steals second and Yonny Hernandez walks to load the bases for Patrick Dorrian.
  2. sveumrules
    A Francisco Mejia walk and a pair of doubles from Tyler Black and Wes Clarke has plated a pair of runs for Nashville in the top of the first. Vinny Capra HBP has runners on first and second for Brewer Hicklen with one down.
  3. sveumrules
    Have fun! I got lucky when I went to a couple games back in 2017 and saw Burnes deal eight shutout innings. Also took a little day trip when I was there to Kiln, MS to see the Favre sights and have a couple beers at the Broke Spoke.
  4. sveumrules
    Shades of Yovani in that delivery.
  5. sveumrules
    Believe I saw it mentioned somewhere (maybe when the signing classes were announced?) that Christopher is Freddy’s cousin.
  6. sveumrules
    Brock Wilken has left the yard in Biloxi to even the score at one to one through one inning played.
  7. sveumrules
    KC Hunt dealing with 7 K | 1 H | 1 BB through five scoreless. Wisco got a pair of runs in the first on a Luke Adams double, Dylan O’Rae single, Jadher Areinamo double sequence.
  8. sveumrules
    Including the 4.1 IP covered by Koenig in his four starts the Brewers are at 4.7 IP/GS, 30th in MLB. Replace that with the 20.2 IP covered by Wilson/Rea in those four games and they move up to 5.0 IP/GS which scooches them up to 28th. Arbitrary endpoints and all that, but through their first 19 starts until Hall left the rotation they averaged 4.72 IP/GS. From game 20 through Ross’s last start on May 20th (game 47) they averaged 4.94 IP/GS. From game 48 through last night, with Rea/Wilson’s innings subbed in for Koenig’s they are at 5.27 IP/GS. League average is 5.3 IP/GS.
  9. sveumrules
    Small sample caveats obviously apply, but over the last week (0606 to 0612) EBJ is at 250/344/464 (142 wRC+) in 32 PAs. Hopefully a sign that he’s starting to get it going.
  10. sveumrules
    Brewers have lost three in a row four times this year. After the first three gamer (April 14-16) they responded by winning four in a row. After the second (April 27-29) they won three in a row. After the third (May 4-6) they went 4-1. Given the state of the rotation and with momentum only extending as far as tomorrow’s starting pitcher, that the Brewers have not only avoided extended losing streaks but also bounced back strong after the handful of short ones they have had is pretty remarkable.
  11. sveumrules
    BRENT SUTER...oh wait, wrong year, nevermind.
  12. sveumrules
    Should move them up to ACL to take the spots of Mitchell & Valerio once their rehab is done. I'm not sure if I'm half joking or half serious.
  13. sveumrules
    Zona Crew scored another run top of four when Antony Gomez singled, moved to third on a Johan Barrios base hit, then both moved up a base on a wild pitch.
  14. sveumrules
    A quintet of singles from Eric Martinez, Adam Hall, Josh Adamczewski, Felix Valerio and Luiyin Alastre netted three runs for the Zona Crew who lead 3-1 bottom of three.
  15. sveumrules
    I'd pass on Montgomery unless he majorly turns it around twixt now and the deadline. If he doesn't, that twenty plus million dollar player option is getting picked up for sure and likely to be flushed money for next year. 219 IP last year including the playoffs + missed spring training this year floating on the Boras raft = predictably struggles to start the year.
  16. sveumrules
    Luis Guevara (3 IP | 1 H | 1 BB | 3 K) and Saul Sanchez (2 IP | 1 H | 0 BB | 2 K) close it out with five scoreless relief innings in the 13-6 DSL Uno victory.
  17. sveumrules
    wRC+ was developed specifically as a context independent measure. The only context it considers is ballpark and the league run scoring environment.
  18. sveumrules
    Sequencing is the primary factor. A team has a walk, single, double and home run in an inning. How many runs did they score? Runs scored credits them with somewhere between one and four for the inning depending on the order of events, wRC+ credits them with the weighted run value of a walk, single, double, and home run (and three outs) for the inning.
  19. sveumrules
    Because runs scored includes a number of contextual factors which don’t even out over 162 games, much less smaller samples like we’re dealing with slicing up an already small 66 games into even tinier, less reliable samples. wRC+ strips that all out and just compares overall performance to league average.
  20. sveumrules
    Yeah, those three plus Ashby, Taylor Clarke and I’d even throw Chad Patrick in there gives them like a half dozen in house rotation depth options to choose among twixt now and the deadline so I don’t see them paying a prospect premium to go out and get somebody before then. The only scenario I could see pushing them to a more aggressive posture would be something happening to Freddy (please, nothing happen to Freddy).
  21. sveumrules
    Stats don’t include tonight, but going back to the Astros series (May 17th) team wRC+ is 97 (17th). Base running (+3.6, 1st) and defense (+2.7, 4th) lifts them to 10th at 3.3 WAR over that stretch. This is more akin to the standard 2017-23 kinda Brewers position player production. Over the 43 games prior they were at a 119 wRC+. We knew regression was incoming at some point and here it is. The good news is that even with that regression in the batters box, and a starting pitching staff that is 18th with 1.0 rWAR over that stretch, the Brewers are still 13-10 after tonight - with the bullpen’s +2.95 WPA (1st) a big reason (along with the mediocrity of the division) why they’ve not only stayed afloat but also gained 5.5 games on second place over their last 23 games of struggle.
  22. sveumrules
    The good news is Flores picked up two more strikeouts in the third. The bad news is he gave up a single, Reach On Error (Adamczewski), home run, walk, wild pitch, double and single. Score now 8-6 heading to bottom of three.
  23. sveumrules
    AZ Crew officially pouring it on as Tyler Rodriguez walked to load the bases before Antony Gomez singled home two more runs, 8-2 Brewers. Cubs have finally changed pitchers after their guy faced nine hitters with four singles, three walks, an HBP and a K.
  24. sveumrules
    Josh Adamczewski and Pedro Ibarguen walks brought home another run, and Edgardo Ordonez has just plated two more with a single. Now 6-2 Crew, runners on 2nd and 3rd with two outs bottom of the second.
  25. sveumrules
    Gomez double triggered a pitching change. New guy has promptly drilled Johan Barrios and given up an RBI single to Felix Valerio to even the score at two apiece. And now Mitchell has singled to put the Crew ahead 3-2.
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