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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. Bob Uecker Harry Doyle bobblehead is probably the culprit for higher demand pricing on that one.
  2. What games are you looking at? I'm seeing $69 (sec 215 row 5) or $56 (sec 215 row 9) for Friday against the Yankees. For Monday against the Rays its $54 (sec 215 row 2) or $43 (sec 215 row 10). Thursday May 9 vs Cardinals its $55 (sec 215 row 2) or $45 (sec 215 row 13). Saturday STL game is a little pricier at $65 (sec 215 row 4) or $54 (sec 215 row 8). Tuesday May 14 vs PIT is $54 (sec 215 row 2) or $43 (sec 215 row 10).
  3. Elvis has the most shutdown appearances and the second highest WPA on the team out of the bullpen. Among relievers to this point, only Hudson has had more positive impact on the team’s winning percentage.
  4. Looks like it’s three guys holding them back from the very top currently… Hoskins at 1B (expected), Contreras at C (should hopefully improve based on last year) and Frelick in LF (likely small sample noise).
  5. Peguero (+0.53 WPA | 6 shutdowns) has been one of our best relievers along with Hudson (+0.77 WPA | 4 shutdowns) in the early going. Elvis’s 3.27 ERA is a little inflated by that BABIP you mentioned, but his 2.48 FIP is bettered only by Payamps (2.28) among RP that have gotten regular work so far. As far as the sustainability goes the bullpen is likely due for some regression as a group with a 3.09 ERA vs a 3.94 FIP, but the good news is Brewers bullpens have a recent history of beating their FIPs… 2023 (-0.62 | 1st) 3.40 ERA vs 4.02 FIP 2022 (-0.11 | 15th) 3.94 ERA vs 4.05 FIP 2021 (-0.32 | 6th) 4.02 ERA vs 4.34 FIP 2021-23 (-0.35 | 4th) 3.79 ERA vs 4.14 FIP
  6. Good summation. Obviously 20 games is still a tiny sample, but there are already some Brewers hallmarks showing up on the stat sheet... Defense. Brewers are currently 5th in the DEF column on FanGraphs. DRS (+2) has them closer to middle of the pack, but they are tops by OAA (+9). Framing is still in the red (-1.2), so should likely see positive regression there. Speed. 27 SB is 3rd in MLB while only 4 CS gives them a nice 87% success rate vs a 78.5% league average. Currently 5th in the BSR column on FanGraphs which also includes extra bases taken and outs on the bases with balls in play. Bullpen. Not quite on last years historic level, but currently at +1.79 WPA and 1.6 rWAR, which are both 3rd in MLB. They haven’t shown overwhelming stuff (98 FIP- | 13th), but have kept runs off the board (74 ERA- | 4th). Rotation. Similar story to the bullpen where they haven’t had the best stuff (103 FIP- | 16th), but are still keeping runs off the board (93 ERA- | 7th). A scooch ahead of the 2018 (97 ERA- | 107 FIP-) and 2019 (99 ERA- | 103 FIP-) rotations on a rate basis to this point. Lineup. Here’s where the Brewers have broken character. Currently sporting a 120 wRC+ and 5.7 R/G, both 3rd in MLB. I don’t think anyone honestly believes they are as good as the 82 Brew Crew (who also sported a 120 wRC+ at the plate) but barring major injury they should be much improved over last year (92 wRC+) and even with regression incoming have a shot at topping 2018 (105 wRC+) for the best hitting group of the Stearns/Arnold era.
  7. Nine days and one sweep of the Cardinals later, here is how FG sees the NLC shaking out… APRIL 22nd MIL (14-6) 84.9 Wins | 34.3% WinDiv CHI (13-9) 84.6 Wins | 31.7% WinDiv STL (9-13) 81.0 Wins | 13.6% WinDiv CIN (12-9) 80.9 Wins | 13.0% WinDiv PIT (11-11) 78.7 Wins | 7.3% WinDiv
  8. TRats go final with the 2-0 win. Jimenez finished with 5 IP | 2 H | 1 BB | 4 K before Chase Costello (2 K), Stiven Cruz (1 H | 1 BB), Aaron Rund (2 K) and Craig Yoho (2 K) finished it up with a scoreless frame each.
  9. Meeker induces a fly out to RF before striking out some guy named Cam Devanney to squash the Omaha rally.
  10. Nashville up 3-1 early via Chavez Young and Tyler Black solo shots plus a Vinny Capra sac fly. Brewer Hicklen has also walked twice and stolen a base. Nick Bennett stepping up admirably so far with 1 ER over 3.1 IP as James Meeker comes on to try and bail him out of a runners on first and second, one out jam.
  11. Wisco scored two bottom of first with a Dylan O’Rae walk, Jadher Areinamo double, Luis Lara fly out (Jadher to 3rd) and Matthew Wood sac fly. Edwin Jimenez has gone three scoreless with 1 H | 1 BB | 2 K.
  12. Denominator for K% is plate appearances (same as OBP) so “only” a 34:4 K% for Yophery so far. It would be nice if it were lower for sure, but given his production and age relative to league I think it’s live with-able for now. Chourio K’d 28% of the time when he was with Carolina so I’d hope Yophery’s K rate will creep down as he gets more exposure to A ball pitching.
  13. They were five games over before losing five of their last six. Offense has been fine, 112 wRC+ is 6th, 4.2 WAR is 5th, +0.68 WPA is 5th. Starting pitchers are throwing even fewer IP/GS than the Brewers by a fraction, but are still middle of the pack by WAR, WPA, ERA- and FIP- so they’re at least pitching decent in aggregate when they’re out there. Bullpen has been the drag so far with -0.4 rWAR (22nd) and -0.32 WPA (23rd) on account of a 107 ERA- and even less encouraging 114 FIP-.
  14. I know of thousands of people who think the Bucks will win this series. Their conviction is so strong they’ve bet money on it and everything.
  15. There are a lot of guys pitching well in Nashville, but they are mostly relievers, like Rob Z.
  16. If Murph wants to give someone else a shot I guess he could switch Wilson to the rotation and Hall to the bullpen? Maybe Bryse can be counted on for 4-5 IP instead of 3-4 that DL has been providing outside of his 5.1 IP against SEA. If the front office wants to give someone else a shot their current options are Janson Junk, Corbin Martin, Tobias Myers or Ashby, none of whom are any guarantee to be any better than Hall. I don't think Blalock is really a possibility with only 3 starts at AA under his belt to this point.
  17. Which pitcher do you think could throw more innings while surrendering fewer runs?
  18. Ethan Murray single, Darrien Miller single, Freddy Zamora double, wild pitch, Zavier Warren single has plated three more for the Shuckers to extend their lead to 8-0 with nobody out bottom of five. TJ Shook has raised his K total to 7 over the last two IP while ceding no additional base runners.
  19. Luis Castillo has joined Yophery in the Carolina homer club today. Juan Baez (3-4, 2B, BB), Daniel Guilarte (1-4, BB), Kay-Lan Nicasia (1-3, BB), and Blayberg Diaz (2-3) have also reached multiple times with Castillo adding a walk and Yophery adding a pair of singles to their respective bombs. 8-6 Mudcats middle of six.
  20. TJ Shook with 2 H | 1 BB | 3 K through his first 3 IP. Meanwhile the Shuckers bats have gone off for 5 runs with Darrien Miller (double), Freddy Zamora, Zavier Warren and Noah Campbell (double) each batting in a run so far.
  21. Hall as a starter was always going to be a work in progress. If he can get something like 25 GS and 125 IP I'll take whatever results come along with it. But yeah, gotta figure that barring improvement he is the odd man out once Gasser or Junis are ready to join the rotation.
  22. Yophery with another bomb. Again with the terrible angle...
  23. With Boeve's promotion he now has two different minor league stops with a .500 or better batting average. 15 for 30 (.500) in the ACL last year and now 21 for 38 (.553) at Wisco this year. Obviously tiny samples and that, but can't be too many guys with that on their resumé.
  24. “Hello Stifel, I’d like to cash out all my accounts.” ”May we ask why?” ”Yeah, no problem, (expletive) the Cardinals.”
  25. Myers was just coverage after Koenig threw back to back days. He was sent back down once Megill was ready to go. Believe the original timeline for Gasser was mid to late April, not sure if there have been any updates since then. Don’t remember a timeline being mentioned with Wilken. Think it was wait for swelling to go down, then surgery.
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