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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. Yeah, Reese Olson and David Fry would look great on this team right now. Might have a ten game division lead already. Good thing the guy that traded them away works in New York now.
  2. Funny, was just looking at this same thing. Think the Rangers fit the bill too, 29-27 minus their three game sweep by Philly.
  3. Just to weigh in on the Freddy debate from earlier in the thread, I’ve always thought the best “quick and dirty” classification system for starting pitchers was… 5.0+ WAR = ACE 4 to 5 WAR = #1 3 to 4 WAR = #2 2 to 3 WAR = #3 1 to 2 WAR = #4 Using that breakdown and sorting by rWAR, among 117 SP with at least 100 IP in 2023 there were six ACE, fifteen #1, twenty one #2, twenty seven #3, twenty five #4, and then everybody else is essentially in the fungible fifth (or sixth) spot. For more of a rate stat breakdown I’d go something like… 69 ERA- or lower = ACE 70 to 80 ERA- = #1 80 to 90 ERA- = #2 90 to 100 ERA- = #3 100 to 110 ERA- = #4 Applying that criteria to the same 117 SP with at least 100 IP in 2023 comes out to five ACE, fourteen #1, twenty seven #2, twenty three #3, and thirty #4.
  4. Entering today the Brewers 293 PAs with two outs and RISP were most in MLB. Their .818 OPS ranks 4th (league average is .704) and only the Phillies have more than their 99 RBIs.
  5. With today’s results the Cubs are three times closer to the Reds in last place (2.5 games) than they are to the Brewers in first place (7.5 games).
  6. Williams has zero innings. Payamps, our second best reliever last year, has 21.0 IP which ties him with Craig Kimbrel for 141st in MLB. Megill, our de facto closer this year, has 15.0 IP which ranks 213th in MLB. Enoli Paredes, who has been electric in Nashville and since his call up, has 5 IP (plus 20.2 in AAA). Milner has 29 IP, but he’s thrown a ton of games (168, 3rd) and innings (158, 10th) going back to 2022 so he might just have a rubber arm like many submariners. Koenig and Hudson are converted starters that have each topped 100 IP twice in their careers who have been carefully managed and well rested after multi inning appearances this season.
  7. Yelich and Chourio aren’t going anywhere. Mitchell doesn’t really have any value until he proves can stay healthy and productive for more than a month or two at MLB. That leaves Perkins or Frelick as the only two real trade candidates. Problem with dealing one of them is if Mitchell or Yelich get hurt again you’re back into the territory of having guys like Bauer, Wiemer or Roller as the 4th OF. I like the Brewers depth in the OF, but with Chourio learning on the job and Yelich/Mitchell being varying degrees of health risks, I think it’s still tenuous enough that they won’t look to maybe move anyone until the offseason.
  8. Pretty great encapsulation of the depth in the system currently and also a testament to the Brewers scouting and development staff to nab him as a 10K eighth rounder which freed up cash for some of the over slot guys to boot. He’s not in the MLB Top 30, He wasn’t on the FanGraphs Top 42 (or one of the 19 “other prospects of note”). I don’t subscribe to BPro or BA, but I’m guessing he isn’t on either of their lists either. I put him #20 on my ballot because the results and grainy internet footage of his stuff are too much to deny, even if he was a 24 year old reliever in A+ ball at the time of voting. Looking back on the voting thread it looks like he turned up on five ballots with a high rank of #14. If he keeps it up at AA twixt now and the next iteration I could see more voters jumping aboard.
  9. 7-3 last ten for Brewers versus 2-8 for Cubs. Obviously still early and anything can happen, but that recent stretch has the Cubs closer to last place in the division (3.5 games up on the Reds) than first.
  10. Wisco up 3-0 heading to bottom of four. Dylan O’Rae (single, walk), Jadher Areinamo (two singles) and Luke Adams (single, double) have each reached twice already while Tayden Hall has a RBI sac fly. Yujanyer Herrera has three walks and three strikeouts through four IP.
  11. I definitely thought Murphy should have been playing Ortiz with more regularity earlier than he did, but even then the Brewers have gone 12-5 in the 17 games Dunn has started at 3B. Maybe one or two more wins, sure, but several would be hard to pull off from a starting point of 12-5.
  12. After last night’s outburst, the Brewers are up to a 117 wRC+, which at the moment ties them with the 1978 squad for 2nd in franchise history behind only 1982 who came in at 120 wRC+. The best hitting Melvin teams came in between 107 to 109 wRC+. In addition to the hot hitting, Brewers are leading MLB in base running (+9.2 BsR), and their +12 OAA is third. Add it all up and their 13.4 WAR is just fractions behind LAD (13.7) and NYY (13.9) atop the MLB leaderboard. Pretty fun stuff.
  13. Yup. In Year of the Pitcher 1968 league average for position players was 245/309/354 This year it’s at 240/310/387 so pretty much dead on to 1968 but with a few more extra base hits.
  14. Anybody foresee “Entering June With A Six Game Division Lead And A Top Three Offense In Baseball” looking into their crystal ball two months ago?
  15. Arizona Crew wins 8-4 to pull within one game of .500 on the year. Enniel Cortez (4 IP | 2 ER | 4 H | 1 BB | 7 K) and Anfernny Reyes (3 IP | 2 UER | 2 H | 1 BB | 3 K) handled the pitching part. Fillio Di Turi was 1-4 with a two RBI double, Gery Holguin hit a pair of bombs and Ramon Moreno went 2-2 with a sac fly and stolen bag to account for most of the scoring.
  16. Sounds win 7-2 with Ashby going SEVEN SCORELESS with 2 H | 3 BB | 5 K. Tyler Black (2-5), Joey Wiemer (2-4, BB), Chris Roller (1-4, HR) and Francisco Mejia (2-4, HRx2) did the heavy lifting on offense.
  17. Shuckers hang on for an 8-5 win. Darrien Miller (1-4, 2B, BB), Mike Boeve (2-3, SF), Carlos Rodriguez (3-4, 2B), and Noah Campbell (2-4, 2Bx2) had the big nights in the box.
  18. Logan Henderson’s final line came in at four scoreless with 3 H | 0 BB | 7 K. Dylan O’Rae singled, got beaned, stole a bag and scored two of the three Wisco runs in the 4-3 extra innings loss.
  19. In addition to the aforementioned stellar piggy backing by Rivero, Josh Knoth (5 IP | 2 ER | 5 H | 2 BB .| 5 K) picked up his first professional win. Yophery went 2-3 with a 2B and BB.
  20. With Rhys returning, there have essentially been three different Brewers offenses to this point of the season... 03/29 to 04/12 (everybody) 136 wRC+ | 6.33 Runs/Game 04/13 to 05/07 (no Yelich) 103 wRC+ | 4.22 Runs/Game 05/08 to 05/13 (everybody) 132 wRC+ | 6.00 Runs/Game 05/14 to 05/30 (no Hoskins) 107 wRC+ | 4.87 Runs/Game
  21. All getting swept in that series ultimately did was prevent the Brewers from winning the division by ten games.
  22. Old Hoss Radbourn scoffs at the puny weaklings passing themselves off as pitchers these days.
  23. 10-13 when Fedde or Crochet start (.435 W%) versus 5-29 (.147 W%) when anyone else starts.
  24. Everybody would love Luzardo, but I’m not sure I’d want to surrender the prospect capital it will likely take to win the bidding. If the Rays keep scuffling I could see us linking up with them for someone like Zack Littell who shouldn’t require quite as large of an outlay. Last two years as SP… Littell (25 GS | 133 IP) 95 K%+ | 32 BB%+ | 93 HR9+ 83 ERA- | 86 FIP- Luzardo (41 GS | 230 IP) 122 K%+ | 87 BB%+ | 93 HR9+ 87 ERA- | 85 FIP- Jesus has the obvious stuff and track record edge, but Littell has gotten similar results via elite command.
  25. These dominating KC Hunt multi inning outings have me hoping he’s on the Shane Smith slowly transition to starting path. Saw the Johan big game and OPS climbing, made me wonder what Jhonny Severino is up to. Also a small Complex League sample, but he’s off to quite the blazing start himself.
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