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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Yeah, if Lee and Walker Jenkins are off the table I would hope any Twins package would include at least three of Emmanuel Rodriguez, David Festa, Marco Raya, Connor Prielipp and/or Charlee Soto. Anything less than that and I'd rather just hold Burnes or deal him to a team that matches up better.
  2. sveumrules
    Saw on MLBTR that Jesus Aguilar signed with the Seibu Lions of NPB. Kind of interesting that all sorts of non-40 Man calibre guys have been signing minor league deals and foreign contracts so far, but nary a peep about our old friend Keston Hiura. Considering all the consternation around his alleged mis-treatment by the Brewers the last couple summers I thought some enterprising MLB club would have snatched him up to be their full time DH vs RHP by now.
  3. sveumrules
    Festa is intriguing, but Polanco is old, expensive, injury prone and bad at defense. 3/30 for a 30 year old 2B projected at maybe 5 or 6 WAR over the next 3 years just doesn't really interest me at all in return for Burnes. Prielipp sounds like a reliever and has 6.2 professional innings heading into his age 23 season. If this is the best offer the Brewers have I would hope they just hold Corbin.
  4. sveumrules
    That's because for most pitchers, FIP is stickier year over year than ERA. Miley is the biggest outlier in baseball though with regards to beating his FIP. Since 2018, among 91 starting pitchers with at least 500 IP, his 3.45 ERA is 0.79 runs better than his 4.25 FIP. The next biggest gap in the sample is Kershaw at 2.77 ERA vs 3.36 FIP for a 0.59 run difference. If you narrow it down to Miley's 201 IP with the Brewers he is at a 2.91 ERA vs 4.25 FIP for an even more massive 1.34 run difference.
  5. sveumrules
    Welcome to the board!
  6. sveumrules
    Lose a whole year of service time taking him in the Rule 5 while he's on the 60 Day IL recovering from TJ. Also clogs up a 40 Man spot in the offseason when he can't be on the IL. With the way the Brewers value 40 Man flexibility and years of team control I'm not surprised they viewed trading for him as a better option than selecting him in the Rule 5.
  7. sveumrules
    Crow plus about $6.5M to potentially spend elsewhere.
  8. sveumrules
    Because getting something back is better than getting nothing back?
  9. sveumrules
    What do posters upset with the trade believe would have been a more appropriate return for one year of an inconsistent back of the rotation SP and a 4th OF coming off a career worst year? It may be a salary dump, it may not. All depends on how the rest of the offseason plays out. If they keep Burnes and Adames and reinvest the money, it will pretty clearly not be solely about saving money. If they end up dealing Burnes and/or Adames, payroll was always going to go down in that scenario.
  10. sveumrules
    Yo, Adrian! You better call Tyrone. Adios, to the two longest tenured Brewers. Thanks for everything, fellas.
  11. sveumrules
    Eric Brown Junior.
  12. sveumrules
    Really thoughtful interview with Jed Bradley leads off this week’s Sunday Notes column over at FanGraphs.
  13. sveumrules
    They literally just signed a player for eight guaranteed seasons, plus two team options. Its the second longest contract of the offseason so far after Ohtani.
  14. sveumrules
    It's been reported as both. Initial reporting of $700M for clicks. OMG OHTANI GOT HOW MUCH?!?!?! Subsequent reporting identified the contract as being only worth $460M in present dollars (pretty much right in line with what was expected following his arm injury) due to the massive deferrals. For the purpose of dollar/WAR calculations, the $460M figure seems more relevant to me since that is how much MLB values the contract at.
  15. sveumrules
    Uh-oh, this guy better win a couple two tree Rolaids Reliever of the Year awards to justify trading long time BF.netcom favorite Cam Devanney.
  16. sveumrules
    Had a couple nice seasons from a peripheral perspective in 2021-22, with his 3.41 FIP ranking 43rd among 126 relievers who threw at least 90 IP over those two seasons. Didn't really strike anybody out (97 K%+, 97th of 126), but was decent at preventing HRs (86 HR9+, 76th of 126) and among the very best at limiting walks (65 BB%+, 13th of 126).
  17. sveumrules
    I would guess Wilken spends most of the year in AA, before getting a bump to AAA at some point in the second half. While Chourio got a full season in AA, most of the other recent young Brewers bats like Wiemer (84 G), Black (84 G), Mitchell (79 G), Turang (73 G) and Frelick (52 G) moved through Biloxi more quickly since they were already 21 to 23 instead of 19.
  18. sveumrules
    Hey, he’s getting a cool million more than Ohtani this year
  19. sveumrules
    MLBTR projected 3/42. FanGraphs came in at 3/39. Not too much of a Royals tax.
  20. sveumrules
    From the reporting on the Ohtani contract it sounds like MLB has proposed deferral limits in the past, but the union has rejected them. The easy fix would seem to be to continue to allow deferrals, but ditch the practice of applying the "present day value" towards the CBT. Maybe the owners will present something similar in the next round of negotiations if this kind of thing continues to happen beyond singular talents such as Shohei.
  21. sveumrules
    Because if they weren't allowed to defer the overwhelming majority of the salary, they wouldn't have signed him for $700 million in the first place. If all the money were required to be paid over the life of the contract, it would have come in much closer to the CBT hit of $460 million over ten years than the $700 million it was announced as with all the deferrals included.
  22. sveumrules
    It's all perfectly legal, just dirty and in bad faith, but hey, that's Capitalism in a nutshell.
  23. sveumrules
    Feliciano can't field the position and hasn't hit since A+ in 2019.
  24. sveumrules
    He was an 18th round pick in 2019 and didn't get his pro career underway until 2021 so definitely flew under the radar until he hit the ground raking. FanGraphs did have him #18 on their 2022 Twins list with this capsule summation to close his report... Patient bordering on passive, Julien’s bat is what will carry him to the big leagues. He could end up tracking like Josh Rojas, who was also not a good defender but ended up playing several positions, kind of like a blunt Swiss Army Knife. Julien has played first, second, third, and in left field, and projects as a bat-first platoon role player. They then bumped him to #3 on their Twins list and #82 overall with a 50 FV entering 2023 before graduating. Looks like they were the high outlet on him though as BRef doesn't list him making any other Top 100 lists.
  25. sveumrules
    Kind of funny that Taylor at 2/30 and Muncy at 2/24 are currently the Dodgers 4th/5th largest contracts on the books after Ohtani/Betts/Freeman and their remaining $1.1B in guaranteed cash. Don’t think they’d trade Max though because he just signed another under market extension. Mookie moving to 2B also bumps Taylor up a spot on the OF depth chart with Outman and Heyward their only other proven 40 Man options on the grass. I’d guess their priorities on offense the rest of the offseason will be to acquire an OF better than Taylor (moving him down to the 4th spot) and a SS better than Lux (who only has 500 MLB innings at the six and is coming off an ACL).
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