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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Checking his game log it looks like they normally give him one day off a week, likely to make sure everybody gets playing time. He is listed with the other bench players in the box. Or he could covertly be on a flight.
  2. sveumrules
    1.000 batting average, 2.000 OPS…it’s all down here from hill.
  3. sveumrules
    Logan Henderson dealt to the tune of 6 IP | 1 R | 2 H | 2 BB | 6 K while Jace Avina, Jose Sibrian and Kay-Lan Nicasia have all homered as Carolina leads 8-1 bottom of seven.
  4. sveumrules
    Thanks for the link, will definitely check it out. Looks like you went into quite a bit more depth than I did. I had originally intended to include every player that made MLB, but after a couple teams there were so many negative or marginal guys that I decided to draw the line at one WAR to streamline things a bit. Those early 2000 Brewers drafts were certainly phenomenal, the cult of Jack Z was strong. Sometimes it seems like Brewers fans treat that run as a baseline for what every draft “should” be even though we were picking Top 7 four years in a row then.
  5. sveumrules
    For this snapshot of time I’d probably have STL, LAD, CLE in tier 1A with TOR and TBR in tier 1B. But even then, juggernaut LAD got the entirety of their value from the 2016 draft. After that MIL is one of eleven teams with at least 19 WAR. If you adjust for players traded, etc they’re about #8 overall. Granted, most of that is Burnes, but if you chop off the most recent three drafts since they’ve produced a negligible amount of one WAR players to this point, and instead add the 2013-15 drafts they’d have Woodruff, Grisham and Williams among the hits. But then that was a different scouting director and GM so it’s of limited utility as well with regards to looking forward. But at the same time, the current FO and staff developed Woodruff/Williams & dealt Grisham for Urias/Lauer so they probably deserve some credit too.
  6. sveumrules
    ACL Guardians feature Jackson Chourio’s brother Jaison, currently slashing 349/486/470 (149 wRC+) with 23 BB vs 22 K in 107 PA and 9 to 1 SB/CS.
  7. sveumrules
    Jesus Chirinos stays hot doubling home Lara (ROE) and Adams (BB) for two more runs bottom of five. Chase Costello has gone two scoreless in relief with two each hits and strikeouts. And they’ve got more bottom of six. Reidy Mercado single followed by Blayberg Diaz and Alexander Perez HBPs loaded the bases for a Tayden Hall RBI groundout. And now Guilarte has singled home Blayberg and Perez. Now 7-1 MudCats still bottom 6th.
  8. sveumrules
    A Wes Clarke homer has up 5-0 Biloxi after three. Carlos Rodriguez with three hits and three strikeouts through three scoreless.
  9. sveumrules
    Thanks, appreciate it. Was something I’d been curious about for awhile and no baseball during the break gave me a chance to put it all together.
  10. sveumrules
    Wisconsin on the board top of third with a Robert Moore single and SB followed by an Ernesto Martinez blast. Currently trailing 4-2 bottom of third.
  11. sveumrules
    It’s non stop runs in affiliate land. Nashville goes Urias walk, Frelick ROE, Toro single, Hiura walk, Bolt sac fly, Henry pop out, Devanney walk, Dorrian GRAND SLAM, Monte double and now an Urias bomb. 8-0, still bottom first.
  12. sveumrules
    Felix Valerio homer, Tyler Black walk and another Chourio bomb notch Biloxi three more runs top of the second with Quero at the plate.
  13. sveumrules
    Carolina running wild tonight. Daniel Guilarte walked, then went to third on a Luis Lara single. Double steal for a run, then Lara stole third for good measure. Now up 2-0 top of fourth.
  14. sveumrules
    Biloxi scored a run top of one with Jackson Chourio singling home Tyler Black after a lead off triple. Jackson subsequently stole second, and advanced to third of a Jeferson Quero fly out to RF, but alas was stranded.
  15. sveumrules
    Carolina up 1-0 heading into bottom of three with a Jace Avina knocking in Luke Adams after he singled then stole second. Will Rudy with two each hits, walks and strikeouts through three frames.
  16. sveumrules
    As Freddy’s leaned on the fastball less his batted ball profile has shifted from 52% fly balls vs 30.5% ground balls as a rookie to 40.8% fly balls vs 39.2% ground balls this year. Another indicator his fastball may have lost some giddy up is his infield fly ball rate is down to 8.7% this year after sitting at 15.8% from 2019-22.
  17. sveumrules
    He had a defined role until he stopped hitting. From his call up on 6/28/19 through the end of the season he had the 3rd most PA on the team and posted a 143 wRC+. Sure, the 30.1% K rate and .412 BABIP were red flags as to the sustainability of that production, but he did plenty to earn an everyday role. In 2020 Keston had the 2nd most PA on the team, only one fewer than Yelich. But the Ks ballooned to 34.6% and the BABIP cratered to .273 so the wRC+ was an underwhelming 88. But yeah, it was the pandemic. Write it off and start anew. For the first month of 2021 Hiura had the 4th most PA on the team. But his 36.0 K rate and .239 BABIP and 43 wRC+ weren't cutting it so he got demoted. Called back up, he got the 7th most PA from 5/24 until 6/6, but his 48.5 K rate and .154 BABIP and -36 wRC+ weren't going to keep him up and getting regular PAs so he got demoted again. It's been up and down ever since with the volatility of Keston's batting line combined with his near zero defensive value preventing him from having a defined role.
  18. sveumrules
    Renfroe is at 101 wRC+ and 1.0 WAR so far. That'd be a boost over what we've gotten from RF, but he'll need to get pretty hot to match last year's 124 wRC+ and 2.5 WAR. Given the depth of OF in the system, I'd rather have Peguero 38 IP | 65 ERA- | 75 FIP- | +1.88 WPA at the minimum with the additional years of team control. Wong is at -1.2 WAR and a 33 wRC+, he's been even worse than Winker (66 wRC+, -0.8 WAR).
  19. sveumrules
    McMahon is projected for something like a defense heavy 11 WAR over the next four seasons with $56M owed over that time, so I’d say he has slightly positive trade value. Problem is he’s got a career best 101 wRC+ so far this year. Coming into the year he had an 89 wRC+ in 2,151 career PAs. Teams typically want more offense than that out of 3B no matter how good the glove is. About that glove. Coors also inflates the defensive metrics of good infielders because the Rockies target ground ball pitchers and Coors has more balls in play that any other stadium. McMahon is at something like +15 DRS | +10 OAA per full season since 2020. If teams think he is more of a +5-10 fielder than a +10-15 fielder that shaves two to four wins of that 11 WAR four year projection too.
  20. sveumrules
    Nick Merkel piggy backs four scoreless IP with 1 H | 0 BB | 5 K for the TRats.
  21. sveumrules
    Moore definitely has the edge as far as age relative to league, but average age is 1.5 years older between the Southern & Midwest leagues and Zamora missed some time as a 2020 draftee and then with injury after only 24 G last year so that eats into some of the raw age difference. I guess for me if two guys are around the same FV tier, and neither is an offensive juggernaut, give me the AA SS over the A+ 2B.
  22. sveumrules
    Winker still had a 108 wRC+ in 2022, they aren’t projecting him back to the 140 plus wRC+ marks he posted from 2020-21. As for the service time and salary, the front office appears to care otherwise there is no other reason for him to still be on the roster. At this point it is what it is, I’ll hope they make a move before the deadline while understanding the reasoning behind why they likely won’t.
  23. sveumrules
    The one guy on the list I’m not seeing it for is Robert Moore. Not incredibly young for his level (-1.2 years), bad SB vs CS (14 to 10), only a 105 wRC+. Probably more of a 2B than SS. Guess the plate discipline is okay at 10.3 BB% to 16.8 K%? I had Zamora over him because even with his struggles he’s still more viable at SS, and also performing better (113 wRC+, 13 SB vs 3 CS) at a higher level. Also had Dylan O’Rae and Filippo Di Turi over Moore at the end of the list because even with their limitations and higher volatility as guys still in complex ball there is at least a little more to dream on there.
  24. sveumrules
    “What?!?!?! Only #18 on the bee eff dot com Top 20?!?!? I’ll show those internet message board posters a thing or two” -Luke Adams, probably
  25. sveumrules
    You are conflating external evaluations with fan opinion. Of course fans were upset to lose Kelly, he is a talented arm with potential they'd been following for years through the minors. But there is a big difference between being a relief prospect who gets traded because his 40 man deadline is coming up and the team doesn't think he is worth the spot yet (Kelly's situation) and a CF prospect who has been ranked among the very best prospects in the game (Chourio's situation).
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