Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

sveumrules

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,922

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    213

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Not worried about Giannis in the least. Bucks can offer the most money & he seems to like it here. He's more than earned the right to control his own destiny, so I'll be fine with whatever decision he ultimately makes.
  2. sveumrules
    BRef lists Black as exceeding rookie limits in 2019 & Wahl as still rookie eligible from what I am seeing... https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/blackra01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/wahlbo01.shtml
  3. sveumrules
    BRef lists Black as exceeding rookie limits in 2019 & Wahl as still rookie eligible from what I am seeing... https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/blackra01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/wahlbo01.shtml
  4. sveumrules
    Houser MLB career: 8.9 K9 | 3.3 BB9 | 2.72 K/BB Houser MiLB career: 8.1 K9 | 3.0 BB9 | 2.69 K/BB For the two things he has the most control over, Adrian's results are remarkably similarly in the majors & minors. Houser also has better K9/BB9 numbers as a starter (9.4/2.9) than as a reliever (8.3/3.7) in his limited MLB sample thus far.
  5. sveumrules
    C: Pina 1B: Healy 2B: Sogard SS: Arcia 3B: Gyorko LF: Holt CF: Taylor RF: Gamel
  6. sveumrules
    Alec Bettinger the only Brewers prospect to crack the projection based ZIPS top 100, likely on the basis of his strong K/BB ratio at AA... https://blogs.fangraphs.com/zips-top-100-prospects/ Should be interesting to see how he fares in AAA this season, especially if the balls are still as juicy as last year.
  7. sveumrules
    In 2008 Prince Fielder was upset with his salary. All the team did that season was break a 26 year postseason drought & Prince went on to mash for four more years before getting paid more commensurately with his actual value in FA. It seems to me Hader understands the arbitration system is broken for relievers, but wanted to go to trial on the off chance he won (believe he said in his interview he wasn't expecting to) & also to bring attention to the issue. He also surely understands the only way to eventually get paid more commensurately with his actual value is by continuing to perform at an elite level, so he should have plenty of motivation to do so.
  8. sveumrules
    Was hoping for a full court alley oop or something, maybe they were saving it in case Pat advanced.
  9. sveumrules
    Burnes & Peralta combined for about negative 3 WAR in 2019 by runs allowed. If they are each able to turn in just average performances in 2020 that is a 7 win improvement right there. They also both have upside beyond being merely average. Obviously hope springs eternal this time of year, but if they're able to pitch closer to their 2018 levels over a full season we could be looking at an even larger improvement.
  10. sveumrules
    Always loved Tony's game. There aren't many profiles more exciting than a speedy, switch hitting, slick fielding short stop. Thought this was interesting looking at his BRef page... Tony | 8,793 PAs | 101 OPS+ | +23 BAT | +3 BSR | +32 FLD | 45.3 WAR Omar | 12,013 PAs | 82 OPS+ | -244 BAT | +8 BSR | +129 FLD | 45.6 WAR
  11. sveumrules
    The Red Sox traded Mookie Betts to get under the luxury tax this year. The Cubs couldn't afford Alex Claudio because they didn't want to exceed the luxury tax this year. The luxury tax essentially is a salary cap & the richer teams have been treating it as such for some time now. Here's how WS winners have ranked in payroll over the last 10 years... WAS (7th), BOS (1st), HOU (18th), CHI (14th), KC (16th), SF (7th), BOS (4th), SF (8th), STL (11th), SF (10th)
  12. sveumrules
    MIL 88 CHI 87 STL 86 CIN 83 PIT 61
  13. sveumrules
    Yup. Now 5-0 with a +84 point differential without Giannis this year. Granted the games were against NO, ATL, ORL, WAS & SAC, but still speaks to the overall depth of the team & effectiveness of Bud's system.
  14. sveumrules
    Maeda 2016-19: 589 IP | 95 ERA- | 89 FIP- | 7.9 rWAR | 9.6 fWAR Chase 2016-19: 590 IP | 90 ERA- | 110 FIP- | 10.6 rWAR | 5.1 fWAR Kenta has a higher K% (26.4 to 20.6), a lower BB% (7.3 to 8.2) & a lower HR/9 (1.18 to 1.45) which is why his FIP is 21% lower, & yet, Chase has managed to beat him by 5% at actually suppressing runs. So similar, but different. In terms of contracts Chase is at essentially 2/18 at this point while Maeda is 4/12 (plus all the weird incentives, if I did the math right his first four years cost around 34 million) so in addition to better peripherals Kenta also comes with twice the team control.
  15. sveumrules
    Don't see this proposal happening, but I do think they'll expand the postseason field to six teams per league once they add two more teams.
  16. sveumrules
    Despite the solid showing at the majors the guy LAD got from the Angels was never really highly regarded. He did well but he wasn't fawned over by "scouts." Eduardo Garcia probably gets it pretty close. Yeah, kinda depends on what LAD is looking for. Do they specifically desire a MLB ready 2B/utility contact/speed prospect (Rengifo's profile), or do they just want a prospect in the 45 FV range (where FanGraphs had Rengifo graded prior to 2019)? If it is the former, we don't really have anything like that, if it is the latter, a possible deal is a lot more plausible.
  17. sveumrules
    I predict he ends up in Detroit, where he will team up with Christian Wood to bring multiple LOB trophies to the Motor City.
  18. sveumrules
    These are the win ranges I would place each of the NL postseason contenders in at the moment... 95-105: LAD 90-100: WAS, ATL 80-90: STL, MIL, CHI, CIN, NYM, PHI, ARI At this far too early juncture my best guesses would be LAD wins the west, then WAS/ATL get the east & a wild card. I feel like ARI has the inside track on the other wild card since the west will likely be the weakest overall division, though SD should be interesting with all the youngsters. It looks like ZIPS has the four NL Central contenders within about five wins of each other, so we'll probably need a hundred sixty two tree games or so to figure it all out again.
  19. sveumrules
    In 2011 when the Brewers won 96 games RRR used 105 different lineups. Outside of seven Estrada starts, five guys took the other 157 starts with Narveson throwing the fewest innings among starters at 161. In 2018 when the Brewers won 96 games CC used 137 different lineups. Eleven different pitchers started a game with only Chacin topping Narveson's 161 innings from the 2011 team. A lot sure seems to have changed in not all that much time.
  20. sveumrules
    Yup. The first step is deterrence. The Bucks allow an NBA low 22% of their opponents FGA between 0-3 feet & 15.3% of their opponents FGA between 3-10 feet (7th lowest). League average FG% is 66.2% at 0-3 feet, Bucks allow an NBA low 59.9%. So we deny the highest % shots more frequently than any other team & when teams do shoot from there they convert at a league low rate. Can't get much better than that. League average FG% is 39.5% from 3-10 feet while the Bucks allow an NBA low 31.4%, 2nd lowest is 36.6%, a massive difference. It's moving a little farther out, but the Bucks are also top 5 in the NBA defending midrange & long twos, 38% vs 41.1% league average from 10-16 feet & 37.1% vs 40.6% league average from 16 feet to the 3P line.
  21. sveumrules
    Looks like the Cubs ZIPS projections are out... https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2020-zips-projections-chicago-cubs/ NL Central contender ZIPS thus far.... CIN Starting Pitchers 14.2 WAR CHI Starting Pitchers 13.1 WAR STL Starting Pitchers 11.6 WAR MKE Starting Pitchers 10.4 WAR MKE Relief Pitchers 6.3 WAR STL Relief Pitchers 3.8 WAR CIN Relief Pitchers 3.6 WAR CHI Relief Pitchers 3.3 WAR CHI Position Players 24.3 WAR MKE Position Players 21.4 WAR STL Position Players 20.5 WAR CIN Postiion Players 17.8 WAR CHI Total Projected 40.7 WAR MKE Total Projected 38.1 WAR STL Total Projected 35.9 WAR CIN Total Projected 35.6 WAR Should be a fun summer.
  22. sveumrules
    Grandal 2017-19 | 117 wRC+ Narvaez 2017-19 | 115 wRC+ Grandal 2019 | 121 wRC+ Narvaez 2019 | 119 wRC+ Omar has been about 2% worse than Yasmani with the bat, both in 2019 & over the last three years. As for Moose he had a 137 wRC+ as a 2B, but only a 104 wRC+ at 3B, which is a much lower bar to clear. The bar at 3B gets much lower once you include Shaw's 242 PAs of 33 wRC+. All told in 2019, between 2B/3B the Brewers got a total of 4.1 WAR last year. I believe the players currently on hand to cover those two positions should be able to exceed that total. Hiura could beat it himself, which would make any 3B production we get in 2020 gravy compared to 2019. Sure we lost Moose/Grandals's 1,200+ PAs of about 116 wRC+, but we also lost 950 PAs of about 59 wRC+ from Shaw/Aguilar/Hernan/Spangy/Saladino.
  23. sveumrules
    Same here. The BOSTON RED SOX crying poor is just pathetic. John Henry should sell the team. If teams like the Red Sox, Yankees, Dodgers, Cubs, etc spent with impunity & chose to blow by the luxury tax every year, for multiple years in a row (which many fans seem to believe they could technically "afford" to do), outcry over the financial imbalance in the game would be deafening. Competitive balance might become even more skewed towards the top than it already is currently. When the rich teams choose to operate responsibly for their long term success within the rules established by the CBA by dipping under the tax threshold to reset the penalties every so often, they get ripped for being cheap, even though their perceieved thrift is what allows teams like Milwaukee to have a chance at competing in the first place. I hope rich teams continue to treat the luxury tax line as a soft salary cap because it is better for the competitive landscape of the league as a whole.
  24. sveumrules
    The Dodgers are clearly the class of the NL, but Muncy (208), Seager (181), Pollock (175) & Turner (118) have all missed 100+ games over the last three years. Smith & Lux are great prospects, but have less than 300 combined MLB plate appearances, so their production has a wide range of potential outcomes. Bellinger & Betts are superstars, sure, but even then they have both alternated MVP caliber seasons with merely All Star caliber seasons. Their OPS+ marks in 2020 will likely come in closer to their 135-144 career marks than their 169-186 career highs.
  25. sveumrules
    If they're not going to retain him anyway, it's not a bad deal for Boston. Alex Verdugo is a darn good headliner for any 1 year rental. Yup. Verdugo is at 2.1 fWAR/3.2 bWAR career in 488 PAs. He's a good bet to put up around 15 WAR over his five years of team control.
×
×
  • Create New...