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sveumrules
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Everything posted by sveumrules
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Reed has 17 starts in the minors this year & threw 90-100 pitches during his starts on August 2 & August 8. His longest outing since he's been up in the MLB pen was 52 pitches over 3.2 IP on August 15. -
I think it's fairly cut & dry. Imagine instead that the whole situation played out like this. Peralta is at the plate instead of Lorenzen. The exact same thing happens, only Bill correctly interprets the rule & goes on & on about how we caught a break since Peralta was trying to get out of the way & its then just a foul ball. Peralta homers on the next pitch. No one here would be saying the rule was incorrectly applied & we'd all be laughing at the Reds fans (if there are any left) trying to apply their own interpretation of what a bunt attempt should or shouldn't be.
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If a batter is trying to pull the bat back they are not intending to meet with the ball.
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The MLB rulebook defines a bunt as "a batted ball not swung at, but intentionally met with the bat & tapped slowly within the infield." Since Lorenzen did not intend to meet with the ball, in the judgement of the umpires, it did not qualify as a bunt attempt.
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The way CC said the umps explained it to him was that by trying to get out of the way, Lorenzen was no longer offering & since he was no longer offering it was not a bunt attempt & just a regular old foul ball.
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BRef splits have a feature called sOPS+ which compares the batters line to a baseline of all batters in that same split. For his 75 late & close PAs this year Shaw has an sOPS+ of 112, so he has been above average in those situations despite his .216 batting average.
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Hader has pitched 4 times on back to back days, 8 times on one days rest, 11 times on two days rest, 7 times on three days rest, 6 times on four days rest, 4 times on five days rest, 1 time on six days rest & 1 time on seven days rest. He has gotten 8 days off between appearances zero times. He has now pitched in 44 of 134 games, or once every 3 games on average. He's currently 12th in relief innings in all of MLB. It would seem that Hader is being used plenty.
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MLB fired the arbitrator (Shyam Das) that cast the deciding vote to overturn Braun's suspension. I couldn't find anything about CDT firing Dino Laurenzi.
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Scooter bunting for a hit against the shift...so many loins tingling across the state of Wisconsin.
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Hadn't realized it has been so drastic but Thames sure has faded just like last year. Thames hit 328/431/574 in 72 September plate appearances last year. A little more consistency would be preferred, but it's still nice to have a number of guys who could go off & put up a 1.000 OPS to close the season.
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Goals for 2018/Expectations moving forward
sveumrules replied to Cool Hand Lucroy's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
^^^Great summation, Lathund. I agree with pretty much everything you wrote. How much ca$h there is to spend in the offseason will likely come down to how the Moose/Soria/Schoop situations play out & how deep of a postseason run we do or don't make, but the one free agent I see as an obvious target is Grandal. Ramos or Suzuki would be upgrades too & won't have the QO to deal with. -
With a single & bomb last night Schoop raised his OPS+ from 32 to 52.
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So happy we didn't deal for Archer.
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Cain currently has a 126 wRC+. His career mark is 110 & his previous single season high is 128. Yelich currently has a 142 wRC+. His career mark is 124 & his previous single season high is 132. Aguilar is a waiver claim that has 140 wRC+ this season & a career 129 wRC+ with Milwaukee. Shaw has a wRC+ of 117 in two seasons with the Brewers after posting a wRC+ of 98 in two seasons with the Red Sox.
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Legs too.
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2018 Standings and Playoff Race Discussion
sveumrules replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
This would be thee absolute "Most Brewers" of all possible outcomes, so I'm definitely expecting it to be the way things play out in this particular version of reality. -
So you're saying the last place Reds & the historically awful Orioles have a better coaching staff than the currently in the thick of contention Brewers? Choi was on the active roster for about two weeks & was blocked by Aguilar, Thames & Braun. How do his results in Tampa have any bearing on Coles coaching ability?
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Schoop has started 14 of 22 games since he got here, I don't see how Arcia or anyone else is putting him on the bench. His starts have followed a pretty consistent pattern thus far... Opposing starter is a lefty. 6 of 7 games. Anderson on mound. 5 of 5 games. Peralta on mound. 4 of 4 games. Guerra on mound. 3 of 4 games. Miley on mound. 1 of 4 games. Jhoulys on mound. 1 of 5 games.
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It looks like the matrix of will Schoop start looks something like this so far... Is a lefty pitching against the Brewers? Very likely, 6 of 7 games. Is Anderson starting for the Brewers? Yes, 4 of 4 games. Is Peralta starting for the Brewers? Yes, 4 of 4 games. Is Guerra starting for the Brewers? Very likely 3 of 4 games. Is Miley starting for the Brewers? Prolly not, 1 of 4 games. Is Jhoulys starting for the Brewers? Prolly not, 1 of 5 games.
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WPA graph for the game...
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Eddie Sedar with the send of a lifetime.
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So far this year Cain has 325 PAs in the leadoff spot with an 809 OPS, he has 94 PAs batting 2nd with an 819 OPS. No real difference. Yelich is at 371 PAs batting 2nd with an 879 OPS compared to 78 PAs from the leadoff spot with an 821 OPS, so a slight difference. If players truly are creatures of habit & can only perform to the best of their abilities in a specific batting order spot then we might have to petition the league to let us bat Cain & Yelich simultaneously third as 1,436 of Lorenzo's career 3,529 PAs & 1,518 of Christian's career 3,305 PAs have come from that spot. Prior to this season Cain had 225 leadoff PAs & Yelich had 313 PAs batting second.
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With his home run last night Schoop raised his OPS+ from 3 to 25.
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"Scoreboard Watching" Is Not Helpful...
sveumrules replied to BigAlBarampGrill's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The Brewers are currently running a payroll of $105,550,209 against a league average of $137,460,367. The Royals won the World Series in 2015 with a payroll of $126,529,835. against a league average of $126,949,017. If the Royals were on a shoestring budget, the Brewers are stealing from Goodwill. Payroll may not guarantee success or be an insurmountable factor, but it definitely helps & plays a huge roll in the sustainability of a team's success & how many mistakes they can absorb. Here how the playoff teams have ranked the last three years in payroll... 2015: LAD (1), NYY (2), TEX (7), TOR (10), CHC (11), STL (12), KCR (13), NYM (17), PIT (23), HOU (25). 2016: LAD (1), BOS (3), CHC (5), SFG (6), TEX (8), TOR (9), BAL (10), NYM (12), WAS (15), CLE (18). 2017: LAD (1), BOS (2), NYY (3), WAS (7), CHC (9), COL (16), HOU (17), CLE (18), MIN (19), ARI (23). Out 30 playoff spots the last three years there have been 16 that went to top 10 payroll teams, 11 that went to middle 10 payroll teams and 3 that went to bottom 10 payroll teams.
