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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Inciarte has zero power though. Before posting a .199 ISO in AA & a .197 ISO in the AFL Dubon hadn't really shown any power either. ISOs ranged from .051 to .127 with a career mark of .080 up to that point. Ender's minor league ISOs ranged from .071 to .129 with a career mark of .088. I'm hoping that the jump in power production is at least somewhat sustainable for Mauricio but even if it isn't the high contact rates & plus speed (more Inciarte similarities) should give him a pretty decent floor for offensive production.
  2. sveumrules
    Dubon = infield version of Ender Inciarte.
  3. sveumrules
    I think everyone was kind of underwhelmed when Orlando hit 267/320/404 at Colorado Springs last year but if he were to reproduce those numbers in Milwaukee this year I think everyone would be pretty encouraged. Baseball is funny.
  4. sveumrules
    The only pitcher I'd trade for Swihart is Garza. Blake is NOT a catcher & his bat doesn't play at 1B or corner outfield. -10 DRS in only 740 MLB innings behind the dish & now he might have the yips on top of it? For comparison JT Realmuto had the worst DRS of all catchers in 2016 at -8 but that was in 1,113 innings. Swihart's pace would put him at -15 over the same number of innings.
  5. sveumrules
    Yeah, Villar & Perez should be able to handle SS fine for a day or two when Orlando needs a day off so I hope they go the Aguilar route with the 5th bench spot (assuming they don't go with 13 pitchers) to give Thames a break against tough LHP here & there.
  6. sveumrules
    Speaking of former Brewers first round picks it looks like the White Sox have requested release waivers on Brett Lawrie.
  7. sveumrules
    Ben Sheets absolutely deserves a spot on the Walk of Fame. Best pitcher in franchise history, or at worst second best behind Higuera.
  8. sveumrules
    Bill/Brian interviewed Keon between innings during the ST game against the Royals and he said despite the recovery/rehab taking longer than expected that his wrist feels 100% now.
  9. sveumrules
    I know it probably gets old for some of the veteran players, but from a fan's perspective I think it is a perfect length. I mostly enjoy seeing some of the guys from deeper in the system, even if it is for only an inning or a plate appearance. Like the other day when Tristan Archer pitched. I had seen his name in the link report here and there but never really delved deeper thinking; old for level, late round pick, relief only, just a guy, etc. But after seeing the movement on his pitches I can understand how he ran a 9:1 K/BB walk ratio at AA and it gave me hope that he could be a future big league contributor. I'm also calling shenanigans on Eric Thames being 6 feet tall. He barely looked taller than Ben Revere when he was on first base.
  10. sveumrules
    My first thought was the same as yours Cheez, the movie came out before either was born! I was 13 when the WW movie came out. Maverick & Hader were both born in 1994 so they probably would have been more familiar with a Step Brothers or Superbad spoof.
  11. sveumrules
    I think aside from the general eye test similarities the Broxton/Cameron comps come from the fact that Keon's triple slash last year was just about a dead ringer for Cameron's career line... Cameron career: 249/338/444 107 wRC+ Broxton in 2016: 242/354/430 109 wRC+ Granted it's mostly pointless to try & draw any meaningful conclusions comparing a 7884 PA sample against a 244 PA sample but WAR actually liked Keon's defense/baserunning more than Cameron's as Mike's career is at 3.9 WAR/600 PAs while Broxton's 2016 was a 5.1 WAR/600 PA pace.
  12. sveumrules
    What makes Brinson's ceiling much higher than Keon's? Sure, he's younger but I think both players have very similar skillsets; low contact, good power, plus speed. I'm with adambr2, if either (or hopefully both) turn out anywhere near Mike Cameron we'll be very lucky.
  13. sveumrules
    Dave Cameron has listed his 10 best transactions of the offseason with the Brewers getting an honorable mention for their return on the Thornburg trade and the signing of Thames coming in at #5 on the list. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-best-transactions-of-the-2017-offseason/ "The nice thing about this deal is that there’s basically no downside. If Thames is current-day Moss, well, okay, he’s making bench-player money on a team that has to spend money somewhere and needed a first baseman. But the upside here seems real, and if he ends up being a high-level hitter, the team will have gotten themselves a real asset without any real expense."
  14. sveumrules
    Fangraphs "credited" Carter -5.2 runs for his defensive performance and gave him a -11.5 positional adjustment for a total defensive contribution of -16.9 runs. He had 631 PAs as a first baseman. Compare that to David Ortiz who received a -15.1 positional adjustment for his 612 PAs as a DH and it looks like as a full time DH Carter would pick up an extra two runs or so in value or about 0.2 WAR, so a pretty marginal difference.
  15. sveumrules
    Glad Chris didn't end up in Japan, though it would have been interesting to see if he could have made a run for Wladimir Balentien's single season HR record. Out of the rumored destinations to this point NY is pretty sneaky good for Chris. Bird is relatively unproven at 1B & Holliday's had two injury shortened seasons in a row, though moving to DH should theoretically help that. Even if Bird & Holliday are healthy all year I could easily see Carter getting a good 60 starts or so between platooning with Bird at 1B and giving Holliday occasional days off at DH.
  16. sveumrules
    Their current projected fifth starter Mike Montgomery has a career high of 150 innings back in 2011/12. Next in line behind him is living, breathing DL stint Brett Anderson. Nelson would give them some depth and an innings eater to pencil in as the 5th starter allowing Montgomery to move back to the bullpen. I doubt it's enough of an upgrade (or even an upgrade at all) that the Cubs would want to surrender anything of value for it.
  17. sveumrules
    Two of the greatest seasons of all time for sure. I'll take the Babe. Bonds probably had the slightly better offensive season on account of the 73 bombs, but Ruth's production was much more well rounded with the noted .393 average fueled by a ridiculous career best BABIP of .423 compared to only a .266 BABIP for Barry in 2001. The real deal breaker for me would be defense though. Accurately quantifying defense in this day & age is still an inexact science but even on an intuitive level it seems like a more or less prime Ruth at age 28 would be a better defender than a bulked up 37 year old Bonds.
  18. sveumrules
    Eibner is nothing more than AAA depth. They've got Toles, Pederson & Puig to start with Ethier, Thompson & Van Slyke as back up options ahead of Eibner. I think the need for the Dodgers to add an outfielder is overstated myself.
  19. sveumrules
    Definitely. The only real advantages Clark has on Maverick would be hit tool and age. Phillips seems like he has a more well rounded skill set with better power, defense and arm tools while speed is probably a wash, maybe slight edge to Clark?
  20. sveumrules
    Scooter does have the better career OPS, but there are two things working against him here relative to Logan. Gennett did most of his damage his first two years in the league with his last two both being below average, even for a 2B. Forsythe has done just the opposite, after a slow start to his career he has been an above average hitter the last two years. The second is that Scooter has played his whole career in an excellent hitter's park so his OPS+ of 99 & wRC+ of 97 fall short of Logan's career marks of 103 OPS+ & 102 wRC+ since Forsythe has played his entire career in a pair of pitcher's parks. Gennett is younger & cheaper than Forsythe, I'll give him that.
  21. sveumrules
    Fangraphs list is out.... http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-25-prospects-milwaukee-brewers/ Just for comparison's sake the only teams of the 14 released so far by Longenhagen that have more than the Brewers' 25 prospects listed are San Diego @ 32, Cincinnati @ 30 & the White Sox @ 27. Of the 14 teams released so far none have as many as the Brewers 8 players ranked @ 50 FV or higher. Closest are Colorado @ 6, Dodgers @ 6, Pittsburgh @ 6, San Diego @ 7 and the White Sox @ 7.
  22. sveumrules
    Jeff Sullivan takes a pretty interesting look at how teams projected to win less than 70 games (as the Brewers currently are) have fared over the last dozen or so years... http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs/how-much-hope-do-the-bad-teams-have/
  23. sveumrules
    I would hope if the top 6 starters are all healthy that Anderson is the odd man out. Davies & Guerra aren't going anywhere. Peralta/Nelson have higher upside. Garza makes the ca$h and at least when he starts there's always the off chance he airmails one into the stands.
  24. sveumrules
    Assuming health for all three starters and Kirk in the OF I'd give Nieuwenhuis a start against a RHP at each OF spot every home stand that is longer than 3 games. Looking at the schedule that would be about 11 games off for each OF & 33 total starts for Kirk. If anyone is hurt for any length of time I would hope that Brinson gets the call, assuming he is healthy & productive at AAA himself.
  25. sveumrules
    New Fangraphs scribe Travis Sawchik, who also authored Big Data Baseball about Pittsburgh's front office under Huntington, breaks down the Neftali signing... http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/brewers-sign-neftali-feliz-remain-interesting/
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