sveumrules

Pretty rare for teams to select a 1B in the R5. 15 picks in 2024, 10 picks in 2023 with zero 1B. 1B Ryan Noda was one of 15 picks in the 2022 R5 and he put up 122 wRC+ | 2.1 WAR with OAK in 2023 but struggled last year and is currently in AAA with the Angels. No R5 in 2021 on account of the lockout, but 18 picks in 2020, 11 picks in 2019, 14 picks in 2018 all with no 1B taken. Mike Ford was one of 18 R5 picks in 2017 but was returned. So out of the last 101 R5 picks only two have been 1B.

In three of the Brewers losses they scored two runs. Hard to win scoring two runs. In four of the Brewers losses they gave up double digit runs. Hard to win giving up double digit runs. They did blow the game pretty bad Saturday, but these things happen. Should be 9-7 instead of 8-8, oh well, plenty of season left.

Yeager made it interesting with a walk, single and wild pitch in he 9th, but ultimately held on for the 9-8 Biloxi win. EBJ (HR | BB), Lara (2B), Pratt (HR | 1B), Wilken (BBx2), Miller (1B | BB | HBP), Adams (2B | BB), Warren (1B | SF | SB), and Murray (1Bx2 | SF | SB) made it a pretty full box for the Shuckers offense. Brian Fitzpatrick picked up the win with three scoreless frames - 2 H | 2 BB | 4 K.

Peek allowed the triple to score tying the game, but Wisco has rallied back here top of eight with a two RBI double from Jadher Areinamo, an RBI single from Blake Burke, and an RBI double from Eduardo Garcia to take a 5-1 lead.

Tyson Hardin notched another impressive start with 4 IP | 0 R | 4 H | 0 BB | 5 K, and Jeferson Figueroa followed with two scoreless frames (1 H). Zach Peek has taken the mound here bottom of seven and just surrendered a one out triple. T-Rats scored the lone run of the game (so far) on a Juan Baez RBI single top of six.

Real fun AB to foul off all those high fastballs then go down and get the off speed at the shoelaces.

McGee put up a zero in the 8th (1 H | 2 K), but Blake Holub has made things interesting in the ninth going BB - K - 1B - BB to load the bases with one down. Pulls it together with a strikeout and F9 to nail down the 6-2 NASH win.

Biloxi goes final losing 8-3. Josh Maciejewski had the lone zero in the pitching box going three scoreless (1 H). Wisco scored three in the top of the 11th, but Aaron Rund couldn’t hold the lead as they fell 5-4.

Liranzo has a more typical 1-2-3 inning in the 7th with two strikeouts and a popout. Easton McGee now on for the 8th.

Still early tiny sample time, he was down in the dregs with the rest of the Biloxi batters before his two HR outburst yesterday, but encouraging nonetheless. Between the extenuating circumstances Brock faced last year, and the youth of guys like Lara, Pratt & Adams, I’m willing to give them some runway to get going.

Freddy Zamora pinch hit two RBI single increases the NASH lead to 6-2. Garrett Stallings went four up four down (2 K) in relief of Woodruff while Jesus Liranzo faced the minimum in the 6th going BB - K - DP.

EBJ with a three RBI double has it down to a 5-3 deficit. Wilken has a single and double so far to push his OPS over .900

Just A Bit Outside…

Have to imagine that’s a typo on the graphic with Lara at SS (& Adams at 2B too)

No reason we couldn’t have had both.

Gotta be tough running uphill to first.

If you think the FanGraphs projections are a lil outta whack, don't look at PECOTA over on BPro... CHC: 93.6 W | 92.3% winDIV MIL: 79.6 W | 4.5% winDIV STL: 74.9 W | 1.4% winDIV PIT: 73.8 W | 1.4% winDIV CIN: 72.2 W | 0.4% winDIV

Mayo hit 098/196/098 (-6 wRC+) with a 47.8 K% in 46 MLB PAs last year. He followed that up by hitting 190/239/262 (29 wRC+) in 46 spring training PAs. His first 54 PAs at AAA this year are 196/278/326 (68 wRC+). Small samples all around, but dude is pretty much living on name value alone until he starts hitting again. FanGraphs just dropped their Orioles list today, here's what they had to say... "Mayo had a five-year track record of mashing dating back to high school before elevated strikeouts began to creep into his profile once he was promoted to Double-A. Since arriving in Bowie and then Norfolk, his K% has hovered around 25%, while Mayo’s underlying contact rate has slowly dipped into a problematic range, from 75% to 73% to 70%, as he’s progressed up the minor league ladder the last three years. Mayo’s funky, pull-heavy swing generates enormous pull-side power and loft, and he’s on time to destroy fastballs (his splits against plus velocity are great) even though he’s a massive, long-levered 6-foot-4 guy. His tendency to pull off toward the third base side has left him very vulnerable to sliders on the outer half, and as Mayo has faced more sentient pitching at the upper levels, this has been more consistently exploited. In spite of this, Mayo crushed Triple-A (.287/.364/.562) at age 22, including after he returned from a month-long IL stint due to a fractured rib. He looked positively lost during his 17-game, late-season big league call-up to Baltimore, during which he K’d in nearly half of his plate appearances, and a measure of that has continued in the early going of 2025, both during spring training and at the start of the International League schedule. Mayo is starting to have a more polarized power-over-hit offensive profile, where his projected output looks more like Chris Carter and Luke Voit. Even as he has struggled, his contact rate (70%) has still been a shade better than those guys, and Mayo’s strength and extreme pull approach should allow him to get to enough of his immense power to profile as a 2-WAR type of first baseman. But Mayo’s swing is really funky looking. It has worked for him his entire career, but there have been scouts that whole time who were skeptical it would work in the big leagues, and what’s happening with Mayo right now is what it would look like if they’re right. Mayo’s size makes it hard for him to move around at third base, and he has been speculatively projected to right field here at FanGraphs since before he was drafted because that’s the position that best takes advantage of his plus, max-effort arm strength. The Orioles have shown no inclination to try Mayo out there and began to deploy him at first base semi-frequently starting in 2023; he played about 20 games there each of the last two seasons, and has played first and third fairly evenly at the start of 2025. If Mayo can successfully play a more valuable position than first base, it will take pressure off the need for him to resolve his issues on offense."

Tall skinny pitcher, explosive fastball, iffy command. I know it’s irresponsible to throw out certain comps because they are so far fetched (Nolan, Maddux, Pedro) but Misio is one of the very small handful of pitchers with the combination of stuff / physiology to have even a fraction of a chance to approach the heights reached by Randy or deGrom. For maybe a more realistic potential ceiling, how about Blake Snell (140 K+ | 138 BB+ since 2021)? Big stuff but questionable command has caused him to vacillate between Cy Young seasons and long stretches of being more of a good but frustrating SP. Other recent SPs with big Ks and high walk rates would be guys like Freddy (133 K+ | 104 BB+), Hunter Greene (132 K+ | 109 BB+), Dylan Cease (131 K+ | 116 BB+), Michael King (123 K+ | 101 BB+), Cole Ragans (121 K+ | 110 BB+), or Cristian Javier (121 K+ | 121 BB+). If he could dial in the BBs you get into the range with guys like Strider (165 K+ | 96 BB+), Glasnow (147 K+ | 92 BB+), Ohtani (138 K+ | 99 BB+), Crochet (138 K+ | 99 BB+), Carlos Rodon (131 K+ | 93 BB+), or Robbie Ray (130 K+ | 97 BB+).

Mayo hit 098/196/098 (-6 wRC+) with a 47.8 K% in 46 MLB PAs last year. He followed that up by hitting 190/239/262 (29 wRC+) in 46 spring training PAs. His first 50 PAs at AAA this year are 190/280/310 (66 wRC+). Small samples all around, but dude is pretty much living on name value alone until he starts hitting again.

Yoho out tor the 8th. First back to back of the season for Craig.

Stiven Cruz the lone bright spot in the Biloxi pitching box with two scoreless frames (2 H | 2 K).

Kay Lan Grand Slam !!

K, fly out, fly out = no runs.

Wilken and Adams walk to lead off the Biloxi eighth trying to kick start a comeback.