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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. KeithStone53151
    I'd like to see Cain Yelich Moose Aguilar/Thames(preferably Aguilar) Grandal Braun Hiura SS P
  2. KeithStone53151
    Let's play the what if game. If Corey Ray looks really good and puts up strong numbers over the next 2 weeks in AA, any chance we can get value out of him in a trade? I feel like it would be heavily dependent on scouting, or making a trade with a bad franchise like the Marlins.
  3. KeithStone53151
    The 1b situation as a whole, but primarily Aguilar. Being able to plug one of Thames/Aguilar in the 4/5 spot in the lineup daily and get production will be huge for scoring in the 2nd half. I'm less concerned about pitching. I think we can and should put up big run totals in the 2nd half which should negate mediocre pitching. Cain Yelich Moose Aguilar Grandal Braun Hiura Arcia/Dubon P That lineup scores a lot of runs if Cain/Aguilar can get it going...and Yelich/Moose/Grandal can maintain their production.
  4. KeithStone53151
    Revenue sharing and a salary cap might work but it appears the players balked at that before. I find it so stupid that a salary cap/salary floor would be balked at by the players. I remember when Jeffress agent came in posting about collusion this offseason, he balked at anyone mentioning a cap/floor. A floor prevents teams like the Marlins/Pirates/A's, etc from having tiny payrolls and not trying to compete and guarantees them x% of the revenue. It honestly blows my mind that they wouldn't want this...but whatever, hopefully they can find something that works for all sides.
  5. KeithStone53151
    That seems like a poor example because I would bet neither was very happy with their deal and think it is a sign of how broken the system. Both would argue they deserve a nice multi year deal and based on the past I would completely agree. I also don't think either passed on a good multi year deal to come sign with us for a one year deal...they can say that all they want, but I doubt it. I think Moustakas specifically made a fatal mistake of passing up one thinking he could get more only to be wrong. As far as Grandal I think we offered so much for one year it was worth the gamble. I never really considered if saying they had multi-year offers was posturing or not. I think there have definitely been many other cases of players choosing less money over a desired location. This is much more of a thing in NBA/NFL but still happens in MLB as well. It's generally weird seeing players complain about bad teams when they are a significant part of the problem. That said, competitive balance is a bigger part of the reason.
  6. KeithStone53151
    I've been pretty set on the salary cap/floor system of NFL, and virtually guarantee players a minimum of x% of the revenue along with significantly expanded revenue sharing. At the end of the day, that's the most fair thing for baseball...assuming both sides can agree on what x% is. As for tanking teams...a significant chunk of that problem is players wanting to play on competitive teams. Look no further than Grandal and Moose taking less to play for the Brewers. Both were reportedly offered multi-year deals but both wanted a chance to win and took 1 year deals with the Brewers. This isn't an isolated incident either, players don't always take the most money.
  7. KeithStone53151
    I like the signing, but hard to believe this would preclude us from adding a more established starter. These are longshots, the likelihood of either wearing a brewer uniform are for sure less than 50%.
  8. KeithStone53151
    I feel like the Brewers will do well right out of the gate and stay competitive, and will probably make the playoffs. All the guys know they have to start out well or risk Stearns punting on the season and trading guys away. I think that sense of urgency will be a good thing. Also, I'm expecting Cain to start out hot with the time off. We need that 1-2 combo back where they open the game with 2 guys on, no outs, and Braun(or whoever is 3rd) up to bat with the SP having thrown 15 pitches already. That start to the game was very common a large part of our success last year.
  9. KeithStone53151
    I think you're fairly spot on with Woodruff. I remember thinking all 3 young pitchers would probably have a loose innings limit of 200...with Woodruff being the most loose and Peralta being the most strict based on age/size. That's at least what I thought they were thinking at the start of the season. Woodruff is 26 and a big dude, so I wouldn't be overly concerned with him in general. At the same time, they likely don't want him pitching something like 240-250 innings. 12 more regular season starts averaging 6 innings each(that's optimistic I know) would be 72 innings and put him at 180 total. Best case playoff scenario, Woodruff starts 6 games averaging 6 innings each and is up to 216 on the season. That's slightly higher than you'd like for sure but not ridiculous. It definitely makes sense to mildly curb his regular season innings just in case...even if we don't make the playoffs and he ends the season around 180ish, he'll have built the stamina to have virtually no innings limit next year.
  10. KeithStone53151
    The whole juiced ball thing is helping contact hitters become power hitters. LH Trea Turner would be amazing!
  11. KeithStone53151
    BA is one of the best play by play guys in the country. We are incredibly lucky to have him, those that dislike him...it's for sure a grass is greener situation. I would be very surprised if he hasn't been offered way more money to work for a big market team...and we've already seen him get poached for NCAA tournament, NBA playoffs, MLB playoffs, etc. He's a star at what he does. I personally like Rock, but I can completely understand some people not liking him. He does have useful insights occasionally, especially with catching...but I wouldn't mind some more fresh takes. Anytime someone gets hit with a ball or rolls an ankle, I'm just waiting for Rock's standard "welp it feels as good now as it's going to feel the rest of the game". Bottom line, we are lucky to have BA...but Rock is completely replaceable.
  12. KeithStone53151
    Yelich is signed through the 2022 season. The last year of the deal is a $15 million team option. I could understand perhaps dealing him after the 2021 season, but it makes next to no sense to look at doing it after 2020. Dealing Yelich will probably in large part depend on contention. If we are bad next year, there's an outside chance we float him at the deadline and see what kind of offers we get. On the flip side, if we are in first in the division in 2021 and 2022 at the deadline...we might just ride it out and take the comp pick. It's a very interesting discussion for next year at the deadline.
  13. KeithStone53151
    This won't happen, but for pure speculation purposes...I think something like Verdugo + Lux + Smith could be interesting, also add in them taking Braun and his contract. No way the Dodgers would be willing to give that up, but I think it has to be something like that to give up Hader. All those guys are either MLB ready or in the upper minors and very close to MLB ready. If we could get a package like that from the Dodgers, sign me up! Obviously losing Hader in the pen would be a huge blow. There is nothing wrong with taking a step back for one season, bringing in a ton of young talent, and being set up nicely heading into 2020. A big part of why I don't think Hader moves is...I don't think the Dodgers pony up an offer like that. I suspect they'd probably prefer to go after someone like Thor with a package that spectacular, and probably also try to get Diaz. I actually think the Dodgers and Mets match up really well for a massive blockbuster trade for Thor + Diaz...especially with the noted pressure/closing window and the Padres longstanding interest in Thor.
  14. KeithStone53151
    Right now, Arcia is a dime a dozen performer who's inconsistent. I wish that wasn't the case because he's more talented than that but it's reality. I guess I find two things strange: people thinking it's super difficult to replace average defense and below average offense at the SS position and people overlooking Dubon while he grades out like a borderline Top 100 over the past several years with the performance to match it. While I generally agree with you that Arcia is not THAT valuable and very replaceable, and that Dubon is underrated...I think you don't give Arcia's defense enough credit. He needs to be a bit more consistent, but he's a heck of a defender. Him being a strong defender helps cover for a mediocre 2b and limited range at 3b. Again, I still agree with you that I think Arcia is fairly replaceable. If we traded Arcia, we definitely should be looking at someone better than Saladino at the utility spot that can play SS. Frankly, we should be looking to improve that spot regardless...but I'd add urgency if we trade Arcia in case Dubon struggles out of the gate.
  15. KeithStone53151
    I tend to agree with thie Dubon/Saladino part. Especially with Saladino being bad so far. I think it would be wise to gauge the market and see what SS would be available for trade before we consider dealing Arcia. If the Dbacks sell, they might have a couple decent options.
  16. KeithStone53151
    Yeah Padres could easily pony up 2 of their stud pitchers for Thor. While they clearly can blow us out of the water if they want to, we have enough to make offers competitive with what the Padres would likely offer. There is certainly a limit on how much they'll give up for Thor.
  17. KeithStone53151
    It is Turang and it isn't even remotely close after him. Then after that it is probably Lutz and Dubon...then it really falls off. In the minors, yes it's Turang for sure. I would argue Burnes/Peralta still hold more value than Turang at this point...and both are young enough with enough team control that they can easily be considered young controllable talent with upside. I'm also obviously not a scout, but maybe scouts would like the changes Grisham has made and could view him in the Lutz/Dubon category. Reminder he's only 22, I think scouts would need to like what they see though considering his struggles the last couple years. Maybe a team still dreams on Ray's upside, but unlikely. Also don't forget Supak, his numbers have been incredible.
  18. KeithStone53151
    I wouldn't be too sure. Just because an AL east teams wants him...doesn't mean they automatically get what they want. There will be a ton of teams putting bids in for Wheeler. Also keep in mind the Yankees and Mets don't trade that often.
  19. KeithStone53151
    I know their whole shoulder program is a bit controversial...some like Joe Kelly swear by it while it may have ruined Tyler Thornburgs career. I wonder if he partially blames them for his struggles and just wants out of that organization. Right or wrong, I suspect that's a bit of a factor. That said, I'd only want Tyler if he accepted a minor league deal with some time in the minors to try and get right. With how bad he's struggling, no way should we be throwing him at MLB hitters.
  20. KeithStone53151
    It kinda blows my mind that a guy who was at one point considered the top pick in the draft last year and who comes and starts out the year in Low A, hovers around .300/.400 all year long and has great speed doesn't make the top 100. Specific to fantasy baseball, power > speed. Power leads to HR, RBI, OPS, etc. Turang is also only in low A, now high A. Turang in my opinion is the better prospects, but I can see how fantasy gurus are more intrigued by Grisham right now.
  21. KeithStone53151
    It's just as obvious we're not giving up 4.5yrs of Hader as he's more valuable than 2.5yrs of Thor. Plus it wouldn't make any sense on our end to ever make that swap. If you're offering several of Arcia, Burnes, Peralta, Turang, Lutz, Ray, Brown then there's really no centerpiece. It's just a quality package across the board lacking a true headliner. Hiura is the only actual centerpiece we have that's realistic value wise but we're not giving up 6yrs of him for 2.5yrs of Thor. Mets won't trade him this deadline. I feel like the only team that has a chance to put together a package for Thor is the Dodgers, or maybe the Astros. Both have the prospects, and i feel like both probably wouldn't have a huge issue giving up high end prospects simply because of how good they are at player development. Trade 2 top prospects, they'll develop 5 more next year. What do they care... If the Dodgers float Lux and one of their two catchers...that will definitely be enough to get a conversation going. And both players are at positions that they are very deep and don't really NEED to plug the roster immediately. They can also surely add a good arm to the package and give the Mets a nice 3 for 1 deal.
  22. KeithStone53151
    Jimenez was in A ball at the time of the trade. He was highly regarded, but not a top 5 prospect in baseball at the time. Cease had a good year coming back from injury but again...just was coming back from TJ and had serious command issues. The rest of the return was meh. I like both prospects and as a Brewer fan, loved the trade...but those prospects look better now than they did when traded for. That said, I do generally agree that we don't have a prospects of the caliber Jimenez was even at the time of trade. Turang is close, maybe the speed/defense is enough to cancel out Jimenez tremendous power...hard to say. We do have pitchers of roughly similar value as Cease, but nobody with his combination of draft pedigree and upside. My guess for Syndergaard, they want one of our two young pitchers and a couple more good prospects. Something like Peralta + Lutz + stuff. Maybe we get lucky and they value Ray highly instead of Lutz?
  23. KeithStone53151
    I think teams are getting smarter. The last couple years, we haven't seen as many solid/unspectacular players get big 4-5 year deals. Look specifically at Moose/Grandal...it sounded like they had 2 year deals available but took a 1 year deal with us instead. I'd bet in 2012 they'd get something like 4/60. Harper/Machado are so young that it makes some sense to give them such a long deal. These teams are locking in premium age 26-29 seasons, and paying for it to some degree on the back-end. Also, the GM that signed them will very likely have moved on before they have to deal with the bad side of the deal. And regarding Trout, others have noted he might be the best baseball player of all-time when all is said and done. The Angels did what they had to do to keep him around, hard to blame them for that.
  24. KeithStone53151
    I think we've mentioned this before here but Trout is arguably going to be the best player in the history of the game and is probably underrated. +1
  25. KeithStone53151
    I stand by that I don't think Wheeler is worth 1.7 WAR over the last 2 months. That said, I'm well aware the market will dictate price...and very likely a team will have to pay a premium in the given market. I guess it wouldn't surprise me if it took that caliber of prospects to land Wheeler...I just think it would be an overpay from a value perspective.
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