BruisedCrew
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Why waste Yelich on an intentional walk.
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Hasn't Yelich also played quite a bit of 1B? Although I don't think they want Braun playing anywhere but LF anymore and I think Grisham is pretty limited to either LF or CF. According to Baseball Reference, Yelich has never played 1B in MLB. And there’s no reason to put him there. He’s an excellent corner outfielder and, because his arm isn’t strong, he’s perfectly suited for LF.
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Could this series, this week, and this season be any more anemic? I think the great chemistry of a team having fun like they did in 2017 and 2018 is gone, and a total collapse like in 2014 is a real possibility. It’s been a downhill battle, but the Brewers will probably be passing the Reds soon.
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Joey Votto is hamstringing an organization. Braun is not only more productive than any of those players, he's also being paid less, and can be off the books after next season if needed. The Brewers can always structure a contract to backload it to after Braun is off the books. Wait wait what? Votto? WAR by year: 2015 - Votto 7.7, Braun 3.8 2016 - Votto 4.0, Braun 4.4 2017 - Votto 7.4, Braun 1.2 2018 - Votto 3.5, Braun 1.1 2019 - Votto 1.0, Braun 0.9 To somehow say Braun is *not* hamstringing an organization and Votto IS based on recent historical production is completely false and pure unashamed homerism. Not when you factor in what they are being paid and, more significantly, the fact that the Reds still owe Votto $25 million per year for each of the next 4 years.
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We should give Yelich a few days off I think. I think there’s about a 90 percent chance that Yelich’s back or something is hurting. All great hitters go through slumps, but Yelich has looked horrible at the plate this week. Even before that, he was striking out a lot more and driving the ball a lot less than he has since he’s been with the Brewers. He’s taking more strikes and missing pitches that he usually mashes. He’s such a good hitter that he still can flare a hit to left field or ground one through the infield once in awhile, but he looks like a shell of the hitter that he was earlier in the year and all of last year.
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Didn’t we have a post show that our stats and record are damn sad the same against both hands? Those numbers might tell part of the story, but when I looked the Brewers are averaging about a half a run less in games started by lefties (including games started by crap lefties) than games started by righties.
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Salvage day tomorrow with an offense that might not be able hit a ball off a tee. Yelich and Hiura have done very little this week and nobody is picking them up, though Braun has tried to do his part. This is looking much more like a team ready to collapse completely than to suddenly win 8 out of 10.
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Well, the Brewers haven’t messed up any scoring chances today.
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If you’re talking about Castellanos double, what was Yelich supposed to do? He hustled over to get to the ball, then slowed so he could turn to get in position to throw to second. He doesn’t have a strong arm so the fact that he wasn’t able to throw him out had nothing to do with being nonchalant.
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It might still be too early to call this a must win series, but if the Brewers can’t at least avoid a sweep even the biggest optimists will have to realize that they are getting into a difficult position. Two more losses would bring the Brewers to within a game of ..500, put them 4 games behind the Cubs, and push them further back in the wild card race. They are quickly getting closer to teams like the Mets, Giants, and Diamondbacks than they are to the top wild card contenders with the season past the two-thirds mark. If the Brewers are going to turn things around it has to start soon. I keep watching for signs of the offense coming out of its doldrums, but it hasn’t been able to sustain any momentum from the encouraging Arizona series or the excitement of the two late game comebacks over the Cubs. Even Yelich has looked shaky at the plate; he has been striking out much more frequently than he did in his first season and a half with the Brewers. Just 15 runs in the last 5 games has been the main reason they have lost 4 of those games.
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At the time it seemed like a huge deal but looking at it now this is true. I don't know how many games having Hiura down and Shaw up cost us in June, but if it's 2, this race looks much different and maybe our deadline moves are different. Obviously there’s no way to quantify this, but here’s a few numbers and a guess. When Hiura was called up on May 14 the Brewers record was 24-19. When he was sent down on June 2 they were 34-26 (so 10-7 while he was up). When he came back on June 28 they were 43-38 (9-12 while he was gone) They are now 57-54 (14-16 since his return). The Brewers are 24-23 with Hiura on the team and 33-31 without him. I’m certainly not going to argue that sending Hiura down wasn’t a mistake. But, so many things about this team scream “.500 team” that it’s hard for me to believe that having him for all of June would have made that much of a difference in the big picture. There’s no point getting revved up about whether his presence would have won an extra game or two. Maybe he would have gotten a few big hits to turn around a close loss or maybe he would have made a critical error to lose a game. Since we’ll never know, why worry about it?
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Looks like Counsell may have been on to something not worrying about having Hader available today.
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Against RH this year - 3040 PA - 394 Runs - .129 runs per PA Against LH this year - 1238 PA - 137 Runs - .111 4278 PA this year in 110 games - 38.89 PA per game 38.89 * .129 = 5.0 runs per plate appearances worth of game vs RH 38.89 * .111 = 4.3 runs per plate appearances worth of games vs LH Does this not seem like a pretty decent difference without potentially making it worse having by having Shaw off the bench instead of Perez or Aguilar? The offense vs lefties can be propped up by various rate stats but the black holes keep them from scoring runs at a rate of .7 runs per game. One other aspect of this that would be hard to prove or quantify without a lot of digging would be the quality of pitchers the Brewers have faced. Especially back in June it seemed like teams were dredging up any lefty they could come up with to face the Brewers. Thise teams seemed to think they were better off coming up with any lefty than using one of their back end rotation righties. Producing as well (or as poorly) against Joe Schmo lefty as against an all star caliber righty isn’t a fair comparison. Maybe the Brewers being more successful against righties than lefties is more perception than reality. I do think that when the Brewers were 10 games over .500 they were 10 over against righties and .500 against lefties. So maybe things have leveled off.
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Cole Hamels to start Saturday vs the Brewers
BruisedCrew replied to Brewcrewin07's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I’m not buying into the deep hatred theory, but I do think it isn’t a coincidence that Hamels is returning against the Brewers. I looked at the Cubs injury report before last weekend’s series and it said Hamels was on rehab and, if things went well, he would start on Sunday. That didn’t happen, so then I looked again on Monday and it said Hamels would be throwing a bullpen session and would start on Saturday if that went OK. I think Maddon realizes that the Brewers are extremely left handed and have trouble with left handed pitchers, and that has just gotten more pronounced with Aguilar’s departure. Using Hamels against the Cardinals doesn’t give the Cubs any advantage over using Hendricks or Darvish because the Cards’ biggest power hitters (Goldschmidt, Martinez, DeJong) are right handed. It’s also not a coincidence that Maddon gave Quintana a few extra days between starts so he could pitch Sunday and Friday against the Brewers. I’m also not totally convinced that Lester was really pulled from his scheduled start against the Giants due to illness. That illness might have come up suddenly when Maddon knew that Hamels wouldn’t be ready for the Brewers and he wanted two lefties in the series. I know Maddon said that Lester’s illness was one reason he removed him from Friday’s game while he was sailing along, but that might have been a convenient way to deflect the criticism he was getting. Don’t kid yourself. Maddon, like all managers, plans his starting rotations to get favorable matchups if he can. I don’t see that as a sign of irrational hatred. I see it as a sign of respect and playing the percentages. -
Definitely not. Last year on August 1 they were 63-48, (second best record in the NL), a game behind the Cubs and 3 games ahead in the wild card race. Now they are 57-53, but still just 1.5 games out of first because nobody else has taken charge. They obviously are still in the thick of the playoff race, but at some point they have to stop playing .500 ball if they want to stay afloat.
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I believe they are the worst. Or they were. But that might have changed. At this point who cares. Our bullpen sucks According to Baseball Reference the Brewers are the worst in the NL at scoring runners from third with less than 2 out. They have a success rate of about 42% compared to a league average of about 51% and a high of about 58% (Rockies).
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In Counsell’s defense, maybe he saw the Quintana-Davies matchup tomorrow and figured Hader would be of no use to him anyway. I wonder if the Cubs’ TBA on Saturday will be Hamels coming off the IL.
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I am really surprised (and not too happy) to see Hader again today. You don’t know how effective he’s going to be pitching three days in a row, especially against the same team. I get the theory about getting the win today, but at some point the manager has to say that somebody else has to step up and pitch a scoreless inning, and if they can’t, you lose. But, since I don’t like the Brewers I don’t really care if he blows the game today and is unavailable until Sunday.
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Dude, when's the last time you said something without a whiny undertone? Are you sure you even like the Brewers? Dude, if I didn’t like the Brewers why would I waste my time complaining when they repeatedly fail to convert scoring chances?
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Three straight days for Guerra. Odds on keeping the ball in the park for a whole inning? Not only would more runs make this game more comfortable, but it might have helped save the pen a little for the Cubs series.
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Hate to be greedy but that sucked. Brewers should be up about 7-1, but instead they need their bullpen B team to be near perfect to scrape out a win.
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Like last night that was probably the only way they were going to score.
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Moustakas, Braun, and Thames against a sidewinding lefty. Can someone get the ball out of the infield?.
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Time for a Yelich gapper to left center. ETA I will take the functional equivalent.