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Boomer5

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Everything posted by Boomer5

  1. Boomer5
    We have until opening day to trade Luc, which is plenty of time to make a deal. After that, the risk outweighs the reward unless a key catcher gets hurt, but knowing the Brewers luck, we know that key catcher will have a french sounding last name.
  2. Boomer5
    I will be a huge fan of the Links Report this year, thats for sure.
  3. Boomer5
    Jonatahn Villar will be starting SS, Aaron Hill will be starting 3B and Broxton will lead off. Lucroy will still be with Brewers on Opening Day. My lineup guess: CF Keon Broxton 2B Scooter Gennett LF Ryan Braun C Jonathan Lucroy 1B Chris Carter RF Dominga Santana 3B Aaron Hill SS Jonathan Villar Im not doubting your lineup. It may very well be the case. I was only commenting on spring performance where both Villars and Hill were badly outplayed. As for Broxton at lead off, that is possible, he fits the "mold" more than Santana though CC seems to be intrigued with him there. Luc has no business being on this roster by opening day unless the Brewers think they are going to contend or they have a crystal ball and think some contenders catcher is about to get hurt. Luc has proven he is healthy so his value is at an all time high right now.
  4. Boomer5
    If spring training performance means anything, this would be our lineup and it wouldn't be all that tough a decision other than batting order as these guys are the clear best at their position in camp: RF Santana 2B Gennett LF Braun C Luc (I cant imagine how he will be on our roster opening day though) 1B Carter CF Broxton 3B Perez SS Rivera
  5. Boomer5
    Probably. None of the trades we made were home runs, but that wasn't really the point of this trade or any of the trades. It was about getting Diaz and continuing the ahem, rebuild. Spring training stats are the those double edge swords, Segura and Sardinas look like All Star SS right now but in fairness to Stearns he thought he had what he had and moved accordingly. I cant fault him for trading Segura as he just looked so bad the last two years and Diaz is receiving some big time comps off last year. Sardinas is a different story, he was sold low and fringe SS are more valuable that fringe OF.
  6. Boomer5
    For what its worth: OPS by Player in ST Santana: 1.392 Braun: 1.381 Presley: 958 Broxton: 870 Kirk N: 747 Reed: 744 EY Jr: 625 Flores: 609
  7. Boomer5
    Everyday Luc is on the roster makes the team that much more competitive and you all know my opinion on that. There is still a few weeks before opening day, and that is plenty of time to make a deal. I full expect a deal is done before opening day. To keep him beyond that makes no real sense unless they are hoping for some season ending injuries to contending teams catchers?
  8. Boomer5
    Braun-Broxton-Santana Thats the strongest OF right now and at Broxton's age you don't worry about burning options and none of the no option brigade has outplayed him. The bench will be Flores and I am assuming Presley because he would be the better PH, which is all you'd need a 5th OF for right now.
  9. Boomer5
    I'm seeing on the mlbtalk that this is a potentially catastrophic injury to his eye. Kirby Puckett , Tony C stuff Is that true???? This is horrible if true.
  10. Boomer5
    Flores will be 24 in a few days, just as a FYI. He isn't fast enough to play center, but I do think he will be on the roster. Broxton has played well enough to make the team and is as close as we have to a legitimate CF.
  11. Boomer5
    Luc is clearly healthy and in All Star form which means his value is at its peak. You guys are right. A foul tip or twisted ankle ends our ability to make a game changing trade for him. Undoubtedly there are 3-6 teams highly interested in him. The Brewers should tell those teams they are conducting an auction with it closing on opening day.
  12. Boomer5
    Santana looks like he is ready to make the leap to the next level. I loved the trade at the time and nothing I saw at the end of 2015 made me thing otherwise. He has the makings of an elite run producer. What can we make out of spring training stats? Santana sure passes the eye test as they say. Spring is an interesting time. Small samples. Guys working on things they wouldnt do in a game. Pitching is low end. Etc Etc Etc. While Santana is tearing it up, the scrapheap brigade has for the most part (other than EYJr and Wilkins) been terrible. More spring fun: Do yourself a favor and do not look up how Sardinas is doing........... As of now assuming Braun can be ready opening day????, its looks like: Santana RF 1596 Spring OPS Villars SS 490 Braun LF N/A Luc C 820 Carter 1B 854 Hill 3B 618 Flores CF 649 Walsh 2B 623
  13. Boomer5
    Everyone other than Nelson and Jungmann could be on that short leash for Davies to replace him.
  14. Boomer5
    Is Anderson working on something in ST? I know it isnt a big sample, but you kind of have to get some batters out at some point.
  15. Boomer5
    Morales is a pretty decent pitcher (good stats, didnt get a lot of high leverage chances though), I wonder why he was still available in March?
  16. Boomer5
    I really want to like this guys list. I am more bullish on Reed than most here and more bearish on Nottingham due to I think not sticking at C and his power falling off after the trade to Oak. So I read this with some joy. But then I saw Orf is ahead of DemiO, Lara, Houser, and Barrios?
  17. Boomer5
    Didn't see this... I'm not trying to prove any point. Braun might be better, might well be worse. I don't really even care that much about it. But I've easily disproven your proclamation that Braun "will" be worse. Worse isn't even really defined. So that's a blatantly false (you're fond of using the word controversial, apparently) and unprovable statement. There is no reasonable argument to be made that will assume Braun will be a better player the next 5 years than the previous 5.
  18. Boomer5
    It's not controversial, it's stating an absolute as fact. Again, there's no way of knowing. Over a long enough timeline, yes, it is very likely a player will get worse as he gets older. It's almost a given that 97 year old Braun will be worse than 32 year old Braun. But in the short-term, it is unreasonable to suggest that a 36 year old will definitely, assuredly be worse than a 32 year old. Also, what exactly is "worse" - what if he is cumulatively more productive in the next 5 years than he was in the previous 5 years? Is he still worse if he tails off at the end? Really? Its "almost" a given that a 97 year old Braun will be worse than a 32 Braun year old. Almost? So you're still not willing to go out on that limb, huh? As for your thoughts on him being more productive the next 5 vs the last 5, you're going to need to show some links that suggest Ryan Braun will do that. Because it sounds like you are taking statistically unlikely events to prove a pretty shaky point. Doesn't seem like a strong position? Here is mine for my somehow someway controversial POV: The Quick Opinion: A resurgence in 2015 was halted by back problems near the end of the year requiring surgery. Braun proved he could still play at a high level, but his days as an elite-level hitting outfielder are likely over. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3410&position=OF
  19. Boomer5
    I didn't want to offend whoever's grandmother he was referring to. [laughing] Nor would I!
  20. Boomer5
    Stating it as a fact ("will") is incorrect, yes. Unless you can prove that all 31 year old players get worse as 32 year old players. Plausible, sure. Will? No way of knowing. This was my statement: With the thumb and back there is no way he will play even at 2015 levels for the entire balance of his contract. Maybe the next two years but certainly not all 5. Im not a doctor but in the no ped era, players get worse as they get older, not better. Therefore every day we have him, is a day less of production to the market. It is pretty darn clear that my comment is that he will get worse as he gets older over the life of the contract. What in the world is controversial about that? For what its worth re 2016, ZIPS has him at 2.5 WAR and Steamer at 2.0 WAR. Fangraphs had his 2015 season at 2.8.
  21. Boomer5
    Sweet logic. Players get worse as they get older. So Trout will never perform equal to or greater than last year. Got it. Good to know that Braun is a worse player tomorrow than he is today. Braun will have better numbers this year than last year. His final 2yrs he'll still be a solid player because he was never an above average player to begin with - he was elite. Big difference The notion that a 32 year old player with injury and PED issues in the past will get worse as he gets older is somehow a controversial POV to you?
  22. Boomer5
    He might but this is the kind of post that doesn't do anyone any good. Thanks. I think. When discussing trades and the status of the 2016 MLB roster [sarcasm]is there a rulebook I can follow so I know not offend? I mean we all know Ramon Flores is the next Wade Boggs and Davis really didnt hit 20 HR's in Aug and Sep and wasnt under team control for 4 more years, and my favorite, while the team lost 94 games, it wasn't an indication of how good they really are, but what else do I need to know?[/sarcasm] This is an internet message board. And as long as we don't make personal attacks and just state our opinion, even if it isn't universally optimistic, what is the downside? And Id like to point out that I am sure there is some 97 year old grandmother out there that has less baseball knowledge than I do? Seems a bit excessive of a comment? BTW I am a HUGE Brewer fan, but Im also a realistic one. I love the direction the farm system has taken since the 2015 draft and get that the destruction of the MLB roster is for the greater good.
  23. Boomer5
    That is correct. I dont think anyone feels Bundy will become Clemens by 2017. But...he has ace potential and that is one skill set we dont have anywhere in the system other than maybe Nelson. Guys like that are very rare and if we can get one as an intriguing throw in why not?
  24. Boomer5
    Thanks. At least he is pitching.
  25. Boomer5
    Khris Davis and his 20 HRs in Aug/Sep and 4 years of team control says hello. Domingo Santana and his 2.5 WAR ZiPS projection say hello back at you, and then Khris Davis and his 0.8 WAR ZiPS projection say goodbye. Or if you prefer Steamer, Davis (1.3) and Santana (1.4) exchange mutual pleasantries. You're going to keep insisting that the Brewers are tanking no matter how many knock-down arguments people throw at your biases, and that's fine. But if the Brewers were tanking, the most useful predictive evidence we have tells us that making a trade whose consequence for this year's team is to replace Davis in the lineup with Santana would be at most irrelevant and at worst harmful to the Great Tanking Conspiracy. The beauty about sports is we dont have to argue about it, the results will be on the field. The team will be bad, and in fact, VERY bad the next 2-3 years and the Brewers will be picking very high in the draft. Call it what you want at that point.
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