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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Exactly, when you’re a lawyer/agent, a client firing you is part of the business and unless all his clients left him en masse, it doesn’t really suggest anything noteworthy. The reality is professional ethics require an agent to convey all offers or counter proposals to their client. So a ball player wishing they had done something different once the ink is dry on the contract is really just sour grapes and not uncommon. Jordan Montgomery, for example probably was a little hasty in his criticism. After all it was his 6+ era that got him moved to the bullpen. Yet depsite all that he had a player option which he exercised for ‘25 where he will make 22 million pitching in long relief and will have made $47 million in total from Arizona while basically sucking.
  2. Jopal78
    Sorry to say but Scott Boras is still the gold standard in MLB and only getting better. When pro ballplayers are trying to make as much money as possible in the short amount of time they have the insane earning capacity in the major leagues they simply are not going to waste their chances with Boras if he isn’t delivering results. The reality is teams are simply not handing out as many mega deals as they used to. Boras being the wily fox he is, has adapted, getting his clients lots of opt out opportunities and high AAVs. His clients contracts continually push the AAV and with the opt outs is ensuring his clients will always have a chance to be amongst the highest paid, and even if their performance doesn’t live up to the AAV they’re protected with the player options. Corbin Burnes for example has an AAV of $35 million which places him Top 15 in AAV in all of MLB and if he pitches well he gets to test the waters again in 2 years to further increase the AAV. On the other hand, Cody Bellinger got 27.5 million dollars in from the Cubs last year and after the Cubs paid the Yankees to take him, he’s still owed $58 million over the next 2 years. The AAV is 28.5 million a season which places him in the Top 50 of all MLB players in terms of AAV despite having simply decent production.
  3. Jopal78
    Ok, and the seller will have to pay huge tax on the income. For some uber rich card enthusiast I suppose it’s a cool buy, but the chances it’s worth anything significant in 20 years seems really remote. Lucky Kid to get the right card at the right time
  4. Jopal78
    I think this kid should’ve taken the Pirates ticket offer. 2 tickets behind the plate even for the Pirates against bad teams would still get at least $100 for the pair or $8100 a year for 30 years. Obviously some games would sell for more. An auction house might net more but they are going to take 40-50%
  5. Jopal78
    Not a chance. Maybe if Skenes winds up being a legendary pitcher it would hold value to card collectors but even the those typically are t the folks paying hundreds of thousands of dollars for cards. One of a kind memorabilia sure I can see it, one of a kind baseball cards sure fire money losers at those amounts.
  6. Jopal78
    Exactly. It boggles my mind someone will shell out hundreds of thousands of dollars (if not more) for a baseball card which in 15 years won’t be worth even 1/20th of that. Babe Ruth game worn jersey from 90 years ago, I get that. A 1/1 rookie baseball card from 2024…. Not so much.
  7. Jopal78
    If the Reds don’t add him to the 40 man roster before breaking camp he can opt out 5 days before Opening Day. With Miley being 38 and a finesse pitcher coming off TJ surgery. I’m sure it’s the cash, a 2.5 million dollar guarantee for a lottery ticket was apparently too much for Milwaukee
  8. Jopal78
    The Brewers and Padres don’t really match up for a trade. Milwaukee doesn’t have a glaring need at SP (Peralta, Civale, Cortes, Myers, Hall, Woodruff, maybe Wade Mikey yet). Next, with the Padres roster, they’re not looking to rebuild so they wouldn’t have much interest in anything but major league ready talent
  9. Jopal78
    You are incorrect about value. Pro sports teams have become the ultimate investment. They are scarce. There is no risk of losing your money: they’ll never go out of business, and the sale prices only go up. Plus only the elite investors can get in due to the amount of capital needed to buy one. The value of Attanasio’s team isn’t tied to fans in the seats it’s tied to what other teams sell for, and intangibles like “heritage” and “brand”. Judging by the teams they fielded during his ownership, he is aware however the revenue generated from the smallest market in MLB is influenced almost entirely by the product on the field. Good teams on the field mean more luxury suite leases, more consumers of game broadcasts, more licensing fees, internet clicks, merch sales, ticket sales, concessions and parking, etc. With their run the last 5 years the potential market revenue is very likely maxed or close to maxed out. So there really is no reason for him to sink more money in his team, and while fans might be disappointed to see Burnes and Adames leave for more money elsewhere the fact they do probably doesn’t bother him that much as an owner.
  10. Jopal78
    The Dodgers didn’t get where they are by giving away talent. May has tore his elbow ligament twice, an increasingly common occurrence (de Grom, Evoldi, Buehler, Taillon, Drew Rasmussen, etc.). He missed last year not with an arm injury but with an esophageal tear. I’m sure if the Dodgers wanted to trade Dustin May, there would be any number of teams lining up for the reasons you state thereby driving up the price to the realm of legitimate talent.
  11. Jopal78
    My point is, someone will always pay money to broadcast baseball games. The rate they pay may fluctuate as technology changes how the game is consumed, but there is zero chance teams won’t have someone paying them for rights. Secondly, a team doesn’t have to be in a major market to have a competitive advantage financially over the teams they’re competing against. DeWitt can afford to hire better players than Attanasio can because the Cardinals media market is huge geographically. He might be cutting payroll in 2025 because he doesn’t have the horses to compete with Milwaukee but that doesn’t mean there’s an interest in ceding that competitive advantage in the future. Same for the Tigers, in the long run the Ilitch family has no interest in making their path in the AL Central more difficult by giving the Twins, Guardians and Royals more resources. Eating the rich always sounds good, but I think you’re over estimating how willing the middle market clubs (which make up most of MLB) would be to change their status quo financially.
  12. Jopal78
    Quero #15 Pratt #44 Black #56 Jesus Made (!) #78 Misiorowski #87 Of note, thinks Black should be Brewers 1B full time because he would out produce Hoskins. Black projects as a better defender at 2B or CF than 1B but is blocked at those positions. Misiorowski’s shaky command will limit him to relief work in the majors. Jesus Made is the only player on his Top 100 who has yet to play stateside. Pretty high praise.
  13. Jopal78
    Anything is possible, but if you think Bill DeWitt would vote to share his market revenue with Attanasio without the Yankees, Dodgers, and Red Sox sharing with him you’re dreaming
  14. Jopal78
    The ship has sailed on increased revenue sharing. The big boys already have their own networks which they co-own with private equity firms and other investors. Even if the vote to share all broadcast revenue was unanimous there would still be no practical way to unentangle the clubs from their business partners. This disadvantage is why they’ve expanded the playoffs to 12 teams. Only 3-4 teams have a legit chance to win it all, but if teams play .500 ball for the first 100 games they have a shot at the playoffs and who knows they could always get lucky.
  15. Jopal78
    My question would be does increased payroll directly correlate to increased franchise value or even increased profits? They’re professional baseball teams after all, and not some entity that has any sort of fiduciary duty to their fans. I think the Brewer’s owner has done a fantastic job with the product he has put out on the field compared to the last 10 years before buying the team, and in comparison to similarly situated franchises: Pittsburgh Cincinnati, Cleveland, Kansas City, Detroit, etc. Attanasio doesn’t owe me anything, and is unpopular as it may be doesn’t owe any of you anything either. I don’t understand why people think someone should invest more money in payroll without a direct correlation to it benefiting him somehow, especially if it means running his team at a loss or investing more revenue (his own money) than his market will bear.
  16. Jopal78
    Small cell lung cancer is a death sentence. I must’ve listened to Uecker at least 3,000 times in my life. The passion he had for Brewers baseball was incredible in light of what he likely was physically experiencing during the 2024 season, and mentally knowing the end of his life was approaching.
  17. Jopal78
    They do injury settlements in the NFL. They’re common with players who get hurt in preseason and don’t make the team. In this scenario Watson gets a chunk of cash (likely the pro rata amount of pay he would get for the weeks he is projected to miss) and the Packers release him. Packers get cap space, Watson gets to sign with another team and potentially not miss an entire season on IR which would almost certainly be the case with the Packers
  18. Jopal78
    The longer Ha Seong Kim remains unsigned the more likely I think he winds up with the Brewers. Too many traits the Brewers like to ignore: defensive skill, versatility, good speed. Plus his OPS last year outside of Petco was .750 and career it is .725, and not quite 30 yet. Short term fix at SS for 2025, they just have to wait him out for the right price.
  19. Jopal78
    Not surprising at all, Montas and Severino have been able to pitch effectively after suffering significant arm injuries. Houser has missed time with multiple elbow injuries since June of 2022, a time period which coincides with his production falling off. He’s on an MiLB deal because of those reliability issues.
  20. Jopal78
    Colin Rea illustrates how far the Brewers have come as an organization in raising their talent floor. Since returning from Japan, Rea had a 1.23 WHIP, a 3:1 K:BB ratio for the Brewers (49 starts/58 appearances), and in their analysis they believe they have enough starting pitching depth to make it worthwhile to let Rea go and reallocate his salary for 2025. 15 years ago those stats would have led the team and he’d probably be pitching at or near the top of the Brewer rotation.
  21. Jopal78
    I meant exactly what I said, Raleigh has more homers and RBI but Contreras has him beat in very thing else in “traditional counting stats”. Maybe the panel of arbitrators are all sabrematicians, but more likely they’re probably all just lawyers. None of this is rocket science and there’s no “pressuring players” to go to hearing etc. Contreras wants to make as much money as possible- that is after all the goal. I’m sure his representation did an analysis and opined he has a good shot at winning, so he decided to go to hearing.
  22. Jopal78
    Contreras knows what he’s doing. He has the better “traditional” stats than Cal Raleigh (avg. OBP, slg%, 2B, 3B, SB), and William is a multiple winner of the Silver slugger and two time All Star. He’s got a solid chance at getting his number and surely knows if he gets it his number this year his future earnings will exponentially increase the next two years. While it’s only a million dollars difference this year it likely means millions in career earnings so I’m sure he’ll also be disappointed if he loses.
  23. Jopal78
    Why would the Brewers clear the decks for Tyler Black anyways? He was outhit in AAA by several journeyman minor leaguers. I get it he’s a bonus baby and they have some cash invested, but nothing about Black screams difference maker. Bauer isn’t anything either but had a nice year as a pinch hitter for the Brewers last season.
  24. Jopal78
    That doesn’t happen either because agents take a percentage. Imagine if an Agent attempted to “push” or pressure a player, and got fired in the process;, they’d have invested all the time and effort only to get cut out of most of their fee.
  25. Jopal78
    Williams will probably get killed with all the hits he takes, but man it’s never over when he has the ball in his hand
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