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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Who wouldn’t trade Love straight up for Williams?
  2. Jopal78
    I wouldn’t imagine their thinking is different than any other year. They still have many of core group of players at the major league level who have won 360+ games over the last four years, so as usual they will go bargain shopping in late January and early February for some free agents to supplement the core group then head to camp figuring to compete for the NL Central title yet again.
  3. Jopal78
    You really think the Union pushes players to sign contracts where they don’t want to sign just for the sake of comps/benchmarks for the next player to hit free agency? Egads. Players almost universally go where the money is; because that’s what’s best for their livelihood. For example, Burnes’ AAV for the next two years places him 7th highest all time amongst pitchers, and if all goes right he gets to opt out in 2 years and try his luck again at even more money. Its nice for him he signed with the team local to where he makes his home, but really if another team would have offered better terms I’m sure it makes no difference to him where he is plying his trade.
  4. Jopal78
    There are way more rams than the Yankees who own their own TV Network which broadcasts their games: Astros, Blue Jays, Cubs, Dodgers, Mariners, Mets and Red Sox. Some others teams have partial ownership interest in the network that carries their games. The Brewers are in the worst media market, hemmed in to the northwest by the Twins, the South west by the Cardinals, the East by the Tigers and the South by the Cubs and Sox. When video broadcast revenue is king, they have nowhere to really expand their local audience and can only try to turn out more viewers in a tiny geographic area
  5. Jopal78
    If I recall the strike in 1994 was over a salary cap. At that time the players would have agreed to a cap as long as the owners also agreed to a floor. Now, I don’t think the players will agree to a cap of any sort. Plus, there’s no reason for the Yankees, Dodgers, Mets etc. to share their local revenue. It’s their competitive advantage. Heck, the Dodgers probably cannot share their local revenue because of all the deferred money they’ve agreed to pay to Ohtani and others. If the Big Market Teams’ goal is to win a championship, sharing local revenue only makes that goal more difficult to attain, so it won’t ever happen.
  6. Jopal78
    It’s nice they made some snacks cheaper, but don’t be fooled that it’s some magnanimous overture; the high profit margin items (alcohol) are still full price and even at $2.00 they’re probably still making 100% profit on hot dogs and pop corn.
  7. Jopal78
    It has less to do with cash than playing time. Ian Happ and Crow-Armstrong are locked into LF and CF. Michael Busch is going to play everyday at 1B. When the Cubs traded for Tucker it meant the end of Bellinger (and possibly Seiya Suzuki) in Chicago. Given his anticipated production there was no reason to pay Bellinger nearly 60 million dollars the next two years to come off the bench and DH. What is interesting is if the Cubs had simply placed Bellinger on waivers would he have been claimed? Seems to me the Cubs kicked in cash to simply get a player in return: one who was a minor league free agent a year ago at this time.
  8. Jopal78
    Got any evidence of that? Sure it’s a huge media market in Chicago but here’s the 3 largest contracts ever handed out by the Ricketts family: Jason Heyward 8 yrs/184 million dollars, Dansby Swanson 7 yrs/177 million, Jon Lester 6 yrs/155 million. Never say never, but based on historical evidence It seems pretty unlikely the Cubs owners will suddenly authorize a contract for 10+ years and 350 + million dollars. In fact, they didn’t extend any of their World Series heroes over fewer dollars than that. Then there’s the question if that would even be an enticement for a top 10 hitter in baseball to sign an extension let alone forgo free agency. Tucker is a great player, but until proven otherwise he’s a one year rental on a 83 win team.
  9. Jopal78
    It doesn’t happen all the time. Because of the difficulty seeing eye to eye on what’s a fair offer. I’m sure Tucker will say somewhere around what Ohtani and Soto are being paid; the Cubs will say something less than that. Then he will file for free agency and see who will pay him the most. in today’s game, Tucker would be crazy to not explore free agency. Secondly, the Cubs now have five starting outfielders (Crow, Happ, Tucker, Bellinger and Suzuki) and will get low balled by everyone when they try to deal Suzuki and/or Bellinger. This is because there isn’t enough playing time to go around, and Suzuki already has his agent grumbling that he wouldn’t have signed in Chicago if he knew they were going to DH him. Bellinger while not a bad player is guaranteed nearly 60 million dollars for the next 2 years. I suspect they’ll end up giving them both away: Suzuki because teams will know he doesn’t want to be there and Bellinger simply to move his contract and overall talent wise Tucker = Paredes, Bellinger and Suzuki
  10. Jopal78
    I think it shows what the league was willing to offer for 60+ innings of Devin Williams. The Brewers got a lefty starter who strikes out a batter and inning and generally keeps the ball in the park, they got a minor leaguer who the Yankees placed on their 40 man roster but wasn’t in their immediate future plans, and the Brewers got the all important cash. This trade likely doesn’t make the Brewers significantly better in the future but importantly reallocates assets by filling the rotation and dealing from an area of surplus, One other thing to remember is teams can always trade starting pitchers at the deadline and the Brewers now have 3 going into 2025 who will be on expiring contracts. If Milwaukee isn’t a contender in 2025 they are well positioned to get a talent infusion from shipping out veterans
  11. Jopal78
    Probably more of a question of who is more likely to help the big league team in 2025. Thomas already has 400+ innings at AAA. A guy they can theoretically use in the Bryce Wilson role.
  12. Jopal78
    You could be right on the WAR, I doubt it because unless Sanchez is putting up a .500 slugging percentage like his extended hot streak in San Diego in ‘23, he’s been a pretty poor hitter for years. But my point is; Gary Sanchez is not even a second tier free agent and he’s making 8.5 million dollars. To the Brewers it really never mattered what the ceiling is for free agents because they don’t shop there; but when Sanchez is helping push up the floor on what it costs to sign veteran free agents, it’s not a good sign for the smaller market clubs .
  13. Jopal78
    1 year 8.5 million. Now there is the real reason to be upset with celery in major-league baseball today. Sanchez made 7 million with Milwaukee, was slight above replacement level and gets a raise to 8.5 million. When replacement level veteran free agents bench player are getting 8.5 million a year, the margin of error for teams like the Brewers developing their own talent becomes almost non-existent.
  14. Jopal78
    Jim Bowden just suggested a trade of Devin Williams for Gavin Lux and Just Wrobleski. I’d do that trade in a second.
  15. Jopal78
    First of all, MLB as an entity wants all teams to have state of the art stadiums (even in Milwaukee) , that’s certainly not “pushing them to leave”. The approved public funding for their stadium in Las Vegas is 380 some million dollars. While Fisher has committed to pay the rest, there is some question if he and his family “are good for it”. Even in the articles you cited it notes Fisher is seeking to have his club valued at 2 billion dollars, then sell a minority stake for $500 million to get his share of the money together. That’s a lot of leg work to do with no guarantees, and why ground hasn’t broken yet and the clock already ticking on opening day 2028.
  16. Jopal78
    Do you make this stuff up? MLB didn’t push them out of Oakland, the A’s sought to relocate after reaching an impasse over who was going to pay for a new stadium in Oakland. They seemingly have the same issue already in Las Vegas over who is going to pay for what percentage of their new stadium, which is why ground has not yet been broken. Third, even assuming MLB would want to contract a team and charter member of the AL; major league baseball clubs are worth close to a billion dollars or more. Where would MLB come up with a billion dollars in cash to pay off Fisher if they were going to dissolve his team? Or do you think he and his lawyers walk away from a billion dollars?
  17. Jopal78
    They’re never going to get to Vegas. I do not think the money will even out and they’re already sticking millions of their own money into upgrading a “temporary” home field in Sacramento. (luxury boxes, premium bars, club houses). If no tax payers will agree to build them a stadium or pay for most of one; it seems most likely they’ll simply stay in Sacramento and continue to upgrade the stadium piecemeal.
  18. Jopal78
    Arnold literally gave nothing up for Montas. Junis pitched 41 innings for the Queen City, did not receive a decision and is now a free agent. Wiemer couldn’t beat out several journeyman players who were soaking up at bats in the Reds outfield, got one major league at bat for Cincy and was traded in the India deal to essentially free up a 40 man spot. As for Montas, when bad players are making 10+ million a year; a guy like Montas who takes the ball every 5th day— keeps the team in the game has real value, especially to the Mets who used 9 different pitchers at the back end of their rotation (Severino, Manea and Quintana all started 30+ games).
  19. Jopal78
    Why would the Yankees or Dodgers ever agree to share revenue from YES Network or Spectrum? Why would they cede their competitive advantage? They simply need an opposing team to play, and none of the other clubs have gone out of business with the current model. Therefore the big city clubs view this issue as “if ain’t broke don’t fix it”. When many of the teams are now owned by hedge fund people, I don’t think they really care either as owning the team is just another investment with a long term goal of making a killing on the equity.
  20. Jopal78
    I don’t know what your point is here. Snell has one complete game in his career, and has made 28 or more starts just twice in his career. It is not as if he is some workhorse as your post seemingly suggests. Next, that stating pitchers are going through the line up twice before giving way to the bullpen isn’t something new or particularly noteworthy on a fan site message board
  21. Jopal78
    Doubtful. Despite being on the 40 man roster Wiemer got 1 big league PA with the Reds while they trotted out Will Benson and journeymen Jake Fraley and Amed Rosario in the outfield. Now he’s a throw in to clear a 40 man spot in Cincinnati. Anything is possible, but with 2025 being his final option year he’s got one season remaining to establish himself as 40 man roster worthy.
  22. Jopal78
    And trade Hoskins and his guarantee for 25.
  23. Jopal78
    Would you claim Patrick Wisdom if you ran the Brewers? He certainly has his warts as a low average/low OBP hitter but has a projected arb salary of just 3 million in ‘25 and isn’t a FA until after ‘26 has hit 88 homers in 1473 career PAs or one every 16.7 PA and is capable of playin 1B, 3B, LF and RF. Would fit the power bat off the bench with some defensive versatility. If it were me, I’d take a 3 million dollar gamble and claim him on waivers to fill the Jake Bauers roll in ‘25
  24. Jopal78
    You could be right… I hope you are. I don’t really care what the WAR translated into dollar value is. That’s fun to argue about on a message board , but real life trades don’t come together based upon a surplus value equation with amorphous variables. I think you’re over valuing Williams and under valuing Bohm which isn’t surprising given it’s a Brewers fan site. Hopefully if that swap is actually possible the Brewers jump on it immediately.
  25. Jopal78
    Sure, but do the Phillies have a proven replacement at 3B to soak up 600+ PAs in ‘25 (and ‘26) at 3.0 WAR level production? Plus Williams is a 60 inning rental before he tests free agency after ‘25. The Phillies future goals are as a perennial World Series contender, in that context it does not make sense for them to create a hole in one part of their roster in order to patch another for what almost certainly would be one season. (Not to mention Williams in a very small has struggled mightily in the playoffs being unable to finish the inning in 2 of his 3 appearances). Isn’t it more likely they simply sign Clay Holmes or other high leverage relievers and keep Bohm? Seems to me that aligns more with their future goals though it hurts them in the short run with luxury tax payments. Next, even assuming the Phillies are looking to trade him for bullpen help. Devin Williams is a highly paid free agent to be. Seems to me the Phillies initial targets would most likely be players with equal or greater control remaining than Bohm and lower salaries so if they do weaken their lineup and infield they gain some benefit in the short run with less payroll susceptible to the luxury tax. As for Patrick, he’s a little guy (6’1” 205) with his 3rd organization since ‘21. His K/9, GB% and FB% didn’t change much from last year but the BABiP against him dropped tremendously to .267 and he wins the AAA pitching triple crown. Seems like a midnight pumpkin rather than a prospect sweetener to a contending club.
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