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Jopal78

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Everything posted by Jopal78

  1. Jopal78
    Arnold literally gave nothing up for Montas. Junis pitched 41 innings for the Queen City, did not receive a decision and is now a free agent. Wiemer couldn’t beat out several journeyman players who were soaking up at bats in the Reds outfield, got one major league at bat for Cincy and was traded in the India deal to essentially free up a 40 man spot. As for Montas, when bad players are making 10+ million a year; a guy like Montas who takes the ball every 5th day— keeps the team in the game has real value, especially to the Mets who used 9 different pitchers at the back end of their rotation (Severino, Manea and Quintana all started 30+ games).
  2. Jopal78
    Why would the Yankees or Dodgers ever agree to share revenue from YES Network or Spectrum? Why would they cede their competitive advantage? They simply need an opposing team to play, and none of the other clubs have gone out of business with the current model. Therefore the big city clubs view this issue as “if ain’t broke don’t fix it”. When many of the teams are now owned by hedge fund people, I don’t think they really care either as owning the team is just another investment with a long term goal of making a killing on the equity.
  3. Jopal78
    I don’t know what your point is here. Snell has one complete game in his career, and has made 28 or more starts just twice in his career. It is not as if he is some workhorse as your post seemingly suggests. Next, that stating pitchers are going through the line up twice before giving way to the bullpen isn’t something new or particularly noteworthy on a fan site message board
  4. Jopal78
    Doubtful. Despite being on the 40 man roster Wiemer got 1 big league PA with the Reds while they trotted out Will Benson and journeymen Jake Fraley and Amed Rosario in the outfield. Now he’s a throw in to clear a 40 man spot in Cincinnati. Anything is possible, but with 2025 being his final option year he’s got one season remaining to establish himself as 40 man roster worthy.
  5. Jopal78
    And trade Hoskins and his guarantee for 25.
  6. Jopal78
    Would you claim Patrick Wisdom if you ran the Brewers? He certainly has his warts as a low average/low OBP hitter but has a projected arb salary of just 3 million in ‘25 and isn’t a FA until after ‘26 has hit 88 homers in 1473 career PAs or one every 16.7 PA and is capable of playin 1B, 3B, LF and RF. Would fit the power bat off the bench with some defensive versatility. If it were me, I’d take a 3 million dollar gamble and claim him on waivers to fill the Jake Bauers roll in ‘25
  7. Jopal78
    You could be right… I hope you are. I don’t really care what the WAR translated into dollar value is. That’s fun to argue about on a message board , but real life trades don’t come together based upon a surplus value equation with amorphous variables. I think you’re over valuing Williams and under valuing Bohm which isn’t surprising given it’s a Brewers fan site. Hopefully if that swap is actually possible the Brewers jump on it immediately.
  8. Jopal78
    Sure, but do the Phillies have a proven replacement at 3B to soak up 600+ PAs in ‘25 (and ‘26) at 3.0 WAR level production? Plus Williams is a 60 inning rental before he tests free agency after ‘25. The Phillies future goals are as a perennial World Series contender, in that context it does not make sense for them to create a hole in one part of their roster in order to patch another for what almost certainly would be one season. (Not to mention Williams in a very small has struggled mightily in the playoffs being unable to finish the inning in 2 of his 3 appearances). Isn’t it more likely they simply sign Clay Holmes or other high leverage relievers and keep Bohm? Seems to me that aligns more with their future goals though it hurts them in the short run with luxury tax payments. Next, even assuming the Phillies are looking to trade him for bullpen help. Devin Williams is a highly paid free agent to be. Seems to me the Phillies initial targets would most likely be players with equal or greater control remaining than Bohm and lower salaries so if they do weaken their lineup and infield they gain some benefit in the short run with less payroll susceptible to the luxury tax. As for Patrick, he’s a little guy (6’1” 205) with his 3rd organization since ‘21. His K/9, GB% and FB% didn’t change much from last year but the BABiP against him dropped tremendously to .267 and he wins the AAA pitching triple crown. Seems like a midnight pumpkin rather than a prospect sweetener to a contending club.
  9. Jopal78
    The Brewer colored glasses are alive and well! The Phillies drafted Bohm 3rd overall in 2018, stuck with him as he struggled. He blossomed into an All Star player, was 4th on their team in PAs this past season and with two more years of team control— now they’re going to trade him for a free agent to be closer and a journeyman minor league pitcher!? No way.
  10. Jopal78
    Doesn’t the original graphic need a bunch of context to mean anything? If it only refers to 2024, who cares? Hudson had a huge year for Milwaukee after coming over in a trade. Tyler Jay has the best 3 innings of his short career after being acquired from the Mets. Obviously, Civale pitched much better for the Brewers and there was even marginal improvement from Montas. Of course that’s a lot of improvement and really only offset by DL Hall who pitched much worse with Milwaukee than Baltimore. But what about Keuchel? He was not a “trade” per se, but was acquired from outside the organization. He made 4 starts, performed worse than he had been last year in the majors and got himself released. Mitch White was another purchase and continued to get clobbered in Milwaukee like he had in SF, and LAD. Certainly in 2023, Chafin, Javy Guerra didn’t pitch very well after coming to Milwaukee in trades and in 2022: Matt Bush, Jc Mejia, and Rogers all pitched poorly for the Brewers as did Urena and Jake McGee who were in season acquisitions of a non-trade type. Seems to me this is just slicing data in a specific way to support an argument, more than identifying an actual trend.
  11. Jopal78
    Unless he suffers an arm injury in ‘25 the Brewers have until July 31st to trade Williams. Seems the likely course is to sit back and see if they get blown away with an offer, if not open the 2025 season and see what happens. If they fall out of contention they can trade him, and if they need a back end relief ace in ‘25 they can keep him and get a comp pick which is probably equivalent to caliber of talent they’d be offered in return anyways. There is no reason to be hasty to trade away a premium player just because they’re approaching six years of service time .
  12. Jopal78
    Williams doesn’t have 6 years of service time. So if the Brewers figured he’d make less via arbitration, they could potentially decline the team option and tender him a contract for 2025 and go to arbitration. (The optics on that are probably so bad it’s a non-starter). Either way I agree with you they’ll bring him back. I’m not so sure he gets traded either, despite having the worst game of his career and the worst time for the 2024 team, he’s a really good pitcher and they won’t just give him away if nobody is willing to trade them players that make the team better.
  13. Jopal78
    Then you need to read more carefully because I never said that I never said that. The difference in overall talent level between the Brewers and the Mets is not that different if at all. However, two of the very best players at their position in the NL are on their roster. Those two players are paid a ton of money based on prior performance and it’s the two same players who ended the Brewers season. It’s an interesting thought if the team is better off having a high floor in terms of overall talent with a lower ceiling, kind of describes the 2024 brewers or is it better to have weak spots on your roster but also a couple of players amongst the very best at their position.
  14. Jopal78
    My point exactly. The Brewers got beat by the Mets super-star players. Lindor worked a walk when the team needed it most, and Alonso hit the ball over the fence to de facto win the game. Meanwhile, the Brewers superstar player was out for the year with a back injury in July, while Contreras had 2 singles in 12 trips to the plate out of the #3 hole, and went hitless in the final game. And that’s being kind still calling Yelich a superstar, where he missed most of this year with injuries and was a disappointment the four years prior to that.
  15. Jopal78
    That’s so hard to quantify. For example, the Brewers have better outfielders and catchers than the Mets, but the Mets infield is better than Milwaukee’s. The real difference between the two is the Brewers don’t have two hitters like Lindor and Alonso, mainly because they are never going to commit the 55+ million dollars it would cost for 2 veteran hitters of that quality when they run total payrolls of $120 million dollars or less.
  16. Jopal78
    The Brewers were eliminated in a best of 3 series. A dumb idea by MLB and primarily so mediocre teams hovering around .500 can keep their fan base engaged. Meanwhile the deciding factors in best of 3 series isn’t talent, but luck and circumstance. The only valid criticisms against the ‘24 Brewers is they let the foot off the gas in September (.500 record) costing them a first round bye. Secondly, they played poorly against the bottom feeders in their league: Nationals, Marlins, Rockies and Pirates which also cost them a first round bye. Big picture: this collection of players is probably the best talent they’ve had top to bottom in the last 30+ years. It wasn’t too long ago that the organization was mostly devoid of talent and the roster was made up of journeyman players like John Van derWal, AAAA players like Wayne Franklin and washed up vets like Jeff Suppan.
  17. Jopal78
    1. Peralta 2. Myers 3. Rea 4. Civale 5. Woodruff Absent a trade to acquire a starting pitcher; I’d say those 5 have the inside track with Ashby, Carlos Rodriguez and Hall getting a chance to compete for a rotation spot in Spring Training. Besides, Brewers will decline mutual option on Montas and Miley. Joe Ross is a free agent, and Bryce Wilson is a possible non-tender candidate. That’s every who started (besides as opener) in ‘24 that’s still in the organization and’or not already out for parts of ‘25 with injury.
  18. Jopal78
    Not a talent issue, top to bottom the Brewers have better players overall than the Mets. This is execution, the players made mistakes and didn’t seize the opportunities the Mets gave them.
  19. Jopal78
    The Brewers ceded the competitive advantage (letting the Mets rest their pen); the psychological advantage, and their season hangs in the hands of Myers and Montas
  20. Jopal78
    See ya in’25
  21. Jopal78
    The Brewers are built to have little margin for error. They’ve played sloppy, their pitchers missed spots and they didn’t capitalize on opportunities. Usually means a loss.
  22. Jopal78
    I like Frelick: he runs, fields, throws well, works the count. I just feel he’s a high floor low ceiling player.
  23. Jopal78
    It’s okay if someone says “I don’t like Bauers” but to feign ignorance and post “why is he playing” while ignoring the obvious is kind of silly.
  24. Jopal78
    But for switch hitters the Mets are R-L-R-L too. Maybe a strategy thing so there’s no spot to easily bring in a pitcher with splits
  25. Jopal78
    Look at the lineup for both teams. Other than switch hitters in the Mets both teams are R-L-R-L it’s just the way most teams do it especially in the post season.
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