Theoretically you might have a point, but I preface that with saying that the guys making the selections know WAY more than we do about these guys. And I don't know if "shocked" is really the right way to say it, either. Granted the MLB draft is more of a crapshoot than the other pro sports, but personally I would be more disappointed if any of these top 3-4 picks don't pan out, than shocked if they do.