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long ball

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Everything posted by long ball

  1. I wouldn’t trade Made. I probably wouldn’t trade Peña. I have a prospect crush on Adamczewski and would prefer to keep him. The rest of the prospects yet to make their debut I could probably be convinced individually are worth trading for Skubal. I don’t want to trade Henderson even though I understand the injury risk may be higher on him than our other pre-arb starters. I know you have to give something to get something, but I’m not sure the Brewers would be willing to give up a good enough centerpiece to make a deal. And my message board GM feeling is that I wouldn’t either.
  2. I dont agree that Myers and Sproat were a wash in trade value at the time of the trade. from last year, the Dustin may trade may be a decent comp for a Freddy package. The Res Sox gave up Tibbs who has obviously had some helium since the trade, but he was still a pretty legitimate prospect at the time of the deal. I think if we end up trading for Freddy, the reaction on BF is going to be pretty negative on what it took to bring him back. personally, don’t think I’d want him back at this point. I just don’t think a Jett/Burke package is that bad.
  3. I don’t necessarily feel inclined to defend the Jett/Burke package for Freddy since it wasn’t my idea. This is the fangraphs post for anyone interested: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/lets-make-some-deadline-trades-2026-edition/ Freddy certainly has less trade value now than he did in the off-season: he’s stunk, less control, and acquiring team can’t recoup a draft pick. Worth noting, Jett Williams trade value has likely dropped since the time of the original trade as well since he’s struggled in AAA this year (I’m basing this on results alone, i haven’t dug into the batter ball profile at all). Burke to me is probably more valuable to the Brewers than he is in a trade. He’s not rule 5 eligible for another season and he’s in that mix of guys to play 1b/DH after we no longer have bauers, Vaughn, and slightly further out Yelich. We don’t need all of Burke, Fischer, and Adams to pan out. Similar to the OF situation a few years back with Frelick, Chourio, Weimer, and Mitchell. Hang onto all of them and hope you get a starting caliber player(s) emerge from the group. Ultimately power only 1b/DH types probably aren’t that valuable in a trade and that’s reflected in his FV rating (40+ according the fangraphs off-season prospect write up) I do think it’s highly unlikely the Brewers and Mets could agree on a trade package centered around Jett Williams. The optics of it would be bad for both sides and furthermore I’d guess the Brewers are higher on Jett than the Mets are and that’s probably partly why the trade got done in the first place. if we agree to a trade for Freddy, i don’t see it actually including Jett.
  4. Dan Zymborski also pitched a Peralta to brewers trade: Blake Burke and Jett Williams as the package. I don’t actually hate this package. Williams hasn’t hit at AAA and Burke doesn’t have a vastly different skillset than Fischer. Burke may never be a starting caliber 1b/DH type at the mlb level. ultimately it only makes sense if the Brewers think they can get him back on track to a sub 4 era type starter the rest of the way.
  5. My armchair GM/Manager feelings are mixed. Reasons to keep in in the rotation: 1. we have a 4 game lead over Atlanta on the 2 seed and developing sproat as a starter at the big league level is probably best long term. 2. we don’t currently have a healthy option who is better than sproat 3. he’s one of the few starters we have who could theoretically go a full seasons workload since he threw 142 innings last year between mlb and aaa. reasons to bounce him the the pen: 1. He’s not an option to start a playoff game in his current form, but might be able to help us in a relief role. Better to figure that out in the regular season than wing it in the playoffs 2. Ideally, Harrison will returns and to form soon and Misiorowski/Henderson remain healthy. If we acquire a SP by the deadline then we are looking at moving Gasser, Drohan, or Sproat to a relief role. Sproat has probably performed the worst as a starter of that group. I think ultimately I’d stick with him in the rotation for the time being, but acquisitions, overall pitching staff health, and the standings could quickly impact that.
  6. I’m probably in the minority, but I don’t really mind him being the 4th outfielder. who knows what happens at the deadline. If the Brewers add a complementary bat who plays corner outfield, Lara may get optioned if Frelick returns at some point.
  7. Man… I’ve generally not been bought in a trading for Skubal. I’ve mostly been skeptical that the Tigers will trade him however I think I’m coming around on the idea at this point. He’s been awesome this year since coming back from injury. His playoff performance has been every bit as good as his regular season performance. Even while playing better, the tigers just haven’t been able to truly get back into the playoff picture and have a bunch of teams to jump. Henderson scares me long term due to frequent injury issues. I’d hate to trade him, but if he’s the main piece for a Skubal trade, I think I’d get over it. Not sure really what a package would need to look like, but Henderson would have to be a pretty damn good centerpiece since he was a pretty highly ranked prospect who has done nothing but succeed at the mlb level so far. Henderson would hurt because he’s helping this years team so much, but if they went in for Skubal I’d have to imagine they make some other moves as well. (I’m not prepared to defend this. It’s just a gut feeling from a fan perspective and subject to change at any point lol)
  8. Top tier dream target: Joe Ryan mid tier dream targets: Taylor ward (I know he has not hit for much power this season but he has in the past). Morejon from the pitching side lower tier gamble: Eugenio Suarez. He hasn’t hit well this season at all. Would be a gamble for sure, hoping he can find the power stroke at either DH or some starts at third base (I know Ortiz has been playing very well, but we’ve seen hot months from him in the past, just check out his blazing hot august last month followed up by his pitiful September/October offensive results)
  9. We have seen Ortiz hot streaks before. Even last year when he was generally awful at the plate he managed to hit 343/387/443 in 75 PA last August. How did he follow it up in September? 214/225/257 in 72 PA. im happy we are getting the current hot streak, but I’m not confident he will be a competent hitter the rest of the way and in the playoffs. I hope he is though!
  10. Dud of a game. Can’t win them all, but I have a little optimism if we get to face Devin only down 4
  11. Well at least we can go to 2-3 innings of Bryse Wilson
  12. That might be true, but my main point by that comment was that IF he’s starting a game in the playoffs it’s probably like game 4 of the NLCS. I’m just not sure how important it is to acquire a guy like this. He’s not a ceiling raiser. now i don’t think Joe Ryan is getting traded, but he’s someone who is hopefully starting multiple playoff games for you.
  13. I fell like 90% of the time we see the 👀 emoji tweeted by an athlete it ends up being nothing, but I can’t help but be intrigued!
  14. To me Wacha is injury insurance in case Misiorowski, Harrison, or Henderson is injured come playoff time. I don’t love the money commitment for next year, but he could probably be moved if needed. id be fine with the move, but I also think if we are looking for a starter we should aim higher. I realize that right now there aren’t many teams who are clear sellers. id we want to add one of their scrap heap relievers to see if we catch lightning in a bottle that’s cool too.
  15. Man just a tough break. Basically no chance for Yelich to get back regardless. At least Pérez is likely done. Hopefully the pen can keep it at a 1 run deficit and we can score off their pen
  16. Pretty incredible work to be short handed in the bullpen going into the third game after a 4 day break. im only kidding. hopefully gasser has a nice bounce back outing and if not, the c bullpen can mop it up.
  17. Sign me up for this trade. (I don’t think there is a high enough caliber player we are giving up to get a deal done here). I guess a lot can happen in the next two weeks, but I don’t think Minnesota is selling.
  18. Holding onto him over the off-season while there is no 60 day IL is a point I didn’t consider. Wouldn’t matter much if the idea was to sign him just before the start of next season, but then you gotta have him occupy a 40 man spot all of the following off season (presuming it’s a 2 year deal hoping he can pitch at some point in 2028). id have to look more into what the roster projection looks like for the off-season following 2027 to see how much of a handicap it would be.
  19. The phrasing Murphy used yesterday did make me think that he might be hanging it up. I think we all knew he likely needed another surgery since it was reported that he had a new injury on the shoulder. for his sake, I hope he makes it back. For our sake, I hope it’s with the Brewers. As callous as it may be to discuss today, I think if he is interested in doing this with the Brewers it will be for much less money than it was the first time he needed surgery.
  20. The Brewers tried using an indicator card in spring training to alert players if the situation warranted using a challenge or not, but the league said they couldn’t do that. I don’t see any reason that it couldnt be part of the third base coaches signs before each pitch. It doesn’t need to be a secret. All you need to do is alert the player that this count/situation/inning warrants a challenge if you have a called strike on you. I do think in general that the brewers strategy is to leave the challenges for the catcher.
  21. Its funny, I find the 2028 opening day roster almost easier to predict than the 2027 roster. Catcher, third base, and first base are all tricky to predict. Especially with the CBA negotiations looming it’s hard to predict how active the trade market would be and how likely an extension for a guy like Made is to get done during the off season. By 2028 opening day I think we will know exactly where Made slots in defensively and will certainly be an everyday player by then. I would suspect that one of Adams, Burke, or Fischer has broken through and separated themselves as the future first baseman. Catcher, we will know whether Contreras was traded prior to his final year of team control and whether Quero has looked like a big leaguer. Even the rotation and outfield picture should have more clarity.
  22. I’m not sure Fielder is a future big leaguer, but it was definitely fun to have him in the org and he was one of the guys I’d be checking on when looking at minor league box scores.
  23. Looks like we need 1 spot on the 40 man to complete the move. I’d guess a Zastryzny 60 day IL since he’s had another set back. I was just commenting yesterday that I don’t think the Brewers are to the point of needing an innings eater type, but I’d still be interested in a guy you’d trust to start a playoff game. well this move probably doesnt solve either of those scenarios. if we really are adding $6-7m in payroll for this move I don’t understand it from a fan perspective. Not my money, but I also realize what the brewers have historically spent on payroll. maybe one or both of these guys could be useful. McCullers feels like a shot in the dark hoping he can stay healthy and effective. The other guy feels like bullpen depth to replace McGee on the shuttle squad.
  24. I’m not totally sold on needing a 6th starter innings eater type quite yet. I think the group of starters we have he enough guys who can get us through the season. We also have some dead weight on the 40 man (Zastryzny, Baddoo and maybe even Koenig and Black) where if we needed to add an Erik fedde type off the Dfa scrap heap later in the season it wouldn’t be too difficult to accomplish. gasser, crow, Henderson, and sproat all need big league development at this point and have varying degrees of innings pitched in a single season. Let them develop in the big leagues as much as possible. I do think another starter, but one who you trust to face 18 batters in a playoff game is a need. Being down Woodruff and Priester, two guys you probably hoped would be playoff caliber SP this season, is pretty rough. I’d currently think Miz, Harrison, and Henderson are your top 3 playoff starters which would probably be enough if you could guarantee their health, but we can’t do that. So adding another starter to that playoff mix is a bigger priority to me than an innings eater type.
  25. It’s really tough to predict which AL teams will be sellers and which ones will stand Pat/ buy. I think my main priority is wanting a starter who you’d be comfortable with starting a playoff game. We have enough depth options to get through the regular season IMO. Sonny gray is the guy I wanted, but if the Red Sox continue to play well they probably aren’t going to sell. I think you’ve put together a pretty good list of guys to consider and who may be available. I’m not really sure that the Angels should trade their guys, but who knows what they’d do. I like Mize, but I think the tigers hold onto their guys. I don’t want anyone expensive for next year (wacha). I’m not sure the blue jays or orioles sell. So that might leave us with Robbie Ray as a decent fit, but don’t look at his home/road splits.
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