Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

long ball

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,270

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by long ball

  1. long ball
    Even if Hiura is up in the bigs for good by May 2019, I still think Lowrie would get plenty of PAs. He probably isn’t super interested in signing up for a super utility role given the year he’s coming off of though.
  2. long ball
    This type of strategy works in short stints, but won't work over the course of the season. It works in the playoffs when you played 5 games in 7 days with 2-3 days of rest between series. It will work in September when you have 18 pitchers. It won't work in April, when we play 27 games in 30 days and only really have the ability to rotate 2 or 3 guys max from AAA. You'll have guys that are ineffective and need to be pulled right away. You'll have extra inning games that blow your strategy to smithereens. You'll have a guy that can't be optioned dealing with a blister, or a tight muscle, or the flu...that you don't want to put on the DL because it's a 3-4 day thing...so he's basically wasting a roster spot. And then we're the NL, so you'll run into situations of being tempted to pull your pitcher 1-2 innings before you want because you're down 2 runs and have the bases loaded with 2 out and the pitcher up. You're idea is theoretically sound, but it relies too much on a perfectly mapped innings plan and won't work in practice...at least not over the course of the entire season. Once they went to it, the Rays used the opener for like 60% of their starts and they had the best team ERA once they started using it. Sure they got a big boost from Snell having a legit ace type season, but I think the concept has been proven to an extent. You need the right roster, but the Brewers have sorta built that roster already.
  3. long ball
    I have mlb network radio on in the background a lot during the day. They interview a lot of GMs and mangers. They ask almost every single one of them how they feel about the opener/bullpenning. Most will say that they don't think it's sustainable over the course of the season and that the only way to be able to do it is to have a very deep staff and have multiple guys with options where you can continue to cycle through them. Well, the Brewers had that type of squad last year and should have that again in 2019. While it mostly looked traditional in 2018 with starters starting and throwing a bulk of the innings it did start to trend on bullpen heavy. Early hooks for starters, longer stints for relievers. The Brewers have 17 pitchers on the 40 man roster who have already shown they can contribute on the mlb roster and many of them still have options. They're a team who can afford to be creative. I think they push it a little further in the regular season in 2019 than they did in 2018.
  4. long ball
    Claudio had 17 appearances in 2018 of 4 or more outs. So if he can serve as a LOOGY + rubber arm kinda like Jennings was in 2018 that's useful. The minor league option is even better. He comes in to soak up a couple garbage time innings and then gets optioned for a couple weeks.
  5. long ball
    MLBTR has him projected for $1.3mm in arbitration so not really any savings over Dan Jennings or Xavier Cedeno. Adam Mccalvy tweeted that Claudio has a minor league option remaining which helps for roster construction. I'm not a huge fan of giving up the drat pick for him, but the deal makes sense for 2019.
  6. long ball
    I don't think the Brewers really missed out at those prices. Mets are making up a pretty solid roster though.
  7. long ball
    Good hitter, but can't field. If he's available in July for super cheap maybe he's a worthwhile target where you can hide him on the 25 man for a month before rosters expand, but he's not really a fit on this roster over the course of 162.
  8. long ball
    I'm not really worried about Murphy as a hitter. He will almost certainly hit pretty well. I am concerned about the defense at second base though. Maybe being further away from his knee surgery will improve his mobility some. Last season the rotation was fly ball heavy. But there's a reasonable chance that Anderson, Peralta, and Suter aren't in the rotation next year. Woodruff, Burnes, Nelson, and Davies are more ground ball heavy while Chacin is closer to being neutral. Yes positioning matters, but with more ground ball pitchers you're looking at more opportunities for failure. Murphy also looked very cumbersome trying to turn the double play last year. It's interesting that we've heard the Brewers connected to Kinsler and Murphy. Pretty different skill sets at this point in their careers. The one common theme between the two is that they're probably 1 year deals and neither is a major road block for Hiura if they decide he's ready.
  9. long ball
    Murphy is probably the best bat available at 2b on the FA market. I do wonder if they end up signing Murphy if that makes Thames disposable from a roster construction stand point. I know people want to dump Thames because of the salary, but from a roster construction standpoint he still makes some sense. If they add Murphy, Thames becomes a tad redundant.
  10. long ball
    If it makes you guys feel any better... The Brewers posted a combined 227/290/378 line from second base last year. There's plenty of room for improvement.
  11. long ball
    I'm not sure the upgrade from Barnhart to Realmuto is worth the prospect cost for the Reds. I actually really like the Reds offense as is. Winker, Scooter, Votto, Suarez is a more than formidable heart of the order. Peraza and Barnhart hit plenty for their positions. They could stand to try Senzel in CF and upgrade on Schebler, but overall that's a very strong line up. They need some help on the pitching front. There's probably 3 pitchers on that whole 25 man roster from last year that I'd be interested in.
  12. long ball
    He's like the most Giants signing ever. I'd like the A's to bring him in and try him at 2b though.
  13. long ball
    Something interesting of note for Ian Kinsler: Baseball Prospectus' new batting stat DRC+ rates Kinsler at about league average the past two seasons while wRC+ has him below average the past two seasons. So if the Brewers see his offense as close to league average he makes more sense than I thought he did coming into the off season. Kinsler will almost certainly only get a one year deal since he's 36. Very strong defense + league average-ish bat as a stop gap till they call up Hiura is totally acceptable on a 1 yr $5mm deal.
  14. long ball
    I'd like to see a list of deferred money from this season and deferred money being paid this season. When I said it was ~$100mm in payroll I wasn't counting buyouts, deferred comp, or the ~$555k Suter will make this year while on the DL. EDIT: As far as I can tell, here is the dead money and deferred comp. Now I don't know how the Brewers will handle these obligations when it comes to current spending, but it looks like they're right at $100mm. Moustakas: $1mm buyout Soria: $1mm buyout Lyles: $250k buyout Suter: ~$555k earned in 2019 while on DL Garza: $500k deferred comp payment Braun: ($3mm) in deferred comp Cain: ($1mm) in deferred comp
  15. long ball
    If Xander Bogaerts is available (I highly doubt they actually trade him), he should definitely be on the Brewers radar.
  16. long ball
    I think in general there are better value plays out there in the relief pitcher market. I would be a hard pass on Kimbrel.
  17. long ball
    I think I would stretch Guerra out as a starter in spring training, but I agree his role in 2019 looks to be out of the pen. His first time through the order numbers in 2018 were very good. https://www.fangraphs.com/statsplits.aspx?playerid=5702&position=P&season=2018
  18. long ball
    I think that's an awesome addition by the Phillies. They're having a nice start to their off season.
  19. long ball
    That's interesting. I think I would prefer Grandal if they're going to make the multi year commitment to a FA catcher. but Ramos isn't attached to a QO.
  20. long ball
    I haven't looked up the numbers to confirm this, but it feels like the Brewers struggled against Nova the last couple years (except Shaw). I'm not too upset to see the Bucs ship him out. I don't necessarily think it means much about either team. Pirates still have a pretty good group or starting pitchers. White Sox add solid mid rotation arm that even rebuilding or emerging teams need.
  21. long ball
    Stearns just reiterated on mlb network radio that 2nd base is the one spot on the roster they feel they definitely need to resolve this off season. So even if Hiura starting at 2b is in sight, it feels like they will make some type of acquisition for an infielder. With all of the options at 2b, they should probably just be patient. Someone is going to end up signing a 1 yr $4mm deal.
  22. long ball
    This is just for fun since things will likely change, but this is where I'd see it if the season started today. SP (5): Anderson, Burnes, Chacin, Davies, Woodruff RP (7): Albers, Guerra, Hader, Houser, Jeffress, Knebel, Nelson Line up (8): Pina, Aguilar, Perez, Shaw, Arcia, Braun, Cain, Yelich Bench (5): Kratz, Saladino, Broxton, Santana, Thames That's about $100mm in salaries for those 25 players (using mlbtr arb projections)
  23. long ball
    I'm at the point that I do not want Gray unless the Yankees are sending something back of use with him. I just think there are better ways to spend ~$9mm for the Brewers.
  24. long ball
    That's a solid name.
  25. long ball
    I was interested to see if Schoop would seek a multi year deal or not. He signed pretty quickly probably realizing there are going to be several 1 yr deals being signed on the 2b FA market and you may as well get your piece before everyone else.
×
×
  • Create New...