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Brew crew 92

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  1. My impression was that he threw in the 92-93 range and relied more on command. Maybe he's just adding a couple MPH as often happens when a starter moves to the pen. He was 90-93 in Spring Training. 93-95 against Toronto last exhibition game out of the pen. Curve is a plus pitch and command plus. Bulldog mentality. Gonna help us out of the pen this year.
  2. Well, he could avoid that by just not coming out and pitching right away. Hopefully the Brewers would demand he throw a few innings in AAA before he pitched for us. But the three-year deal is a non-starter for me. The Brewers can build an incredible bullpen moving forward without wasting money on Craig Kimbrel for THREE years. I'm alright with it for one because of all the bad luck, but next year by the ASB we should have Wahl, Knebel, Jeffress, Hader, and who knows what young arms will be up and ready. Agree, one year, not three. Probably not gonna happen so I’ve moved on. Wahl knebel jeffress Hader Rasmussen Guerra Claudio perdomo In my way to early mid season 2020 superpen prediction.
  3. Peralta can’t throw ALL FBs, certainly not 90-92. Curve ball needs thrown least 30% of the time at that velo. He has a change up but never throws it. Maybe he needs to go down and throw 70% curves and change ups for 2-3 starts. Houser can come up.
  4. Has to throw harder than 90 to start the game. I don’t understand the low velo, is he not warming up in bullpen correctly? It’s every game.
  5. I think it’s just a matter of time before he replaces Barnes. Stuff just as good and more experience late in games. Wish it would happen already.
  6. No move announced yet. Wouldn't surprise me if they waited till tomorrow to see if anyone else in the pen bites the bullet and has to cover multiple innings tonight. Anderson, Barnes and Petricka are all possibilities. Don’t think they’ll pitch chase or Barnes, cause of the innings they pitched yesterday. And really hoping yesterday was last time we EVER see Petricka pitch for the crew.
  7. Counsell has him #7 of the 8 pen arms. Mop up duty, lowest pressure situations he’s barely serviceable. gonna be tough for him to hold off Jackson for much longer, in my opinion.
  8. 1.)Drew Rasmussen- highest ceiling pen arm, think he will explode thru the system. Activating him on fri to pitch in miller park a sign of things to come. 2.)Angel Perdomo- Another high ceiling pen arm. Lefty high 90s heat, yeah. Command needs improvement, but he’s hard to hit. 3.)Jay Jackson- pitching pretty well in AAA, think he could be next up. 4.) Miguel Sanchez- CC pitched him a lot in spring training, so he must like him. Not sure Brown and Houser gonna be in pen. Think they like their potential to be quality starters. Love both out of the pen though, especially Brown.
  9. I am sure both Keuchel and Kimbrel received multi year offers this off season. Maybe even 3 year offers. I am sure, at some point in the off season some team offered them a one year deal over the QO. They said no. I still do not see what will change in-season that will cause a team to go 4-5 years or at this point, even a one year deal north of 18 million a season. And again, I say this as "are they going to get MORE than what was offered in the offseason at this point, not, will they get signed eventually. The reports I’ve read and heard is kimbrel holding firm on multi-year deal. While Keuchel likely to sign 1 year QO type deal.
  10. Velo the same every outing is concerning. Last year he didn’t have shoulder weakness. Lower velo wouldn’t be as concerning if he was getting AAA hitters out. People much more informed on what is happening are making this decision. I suggest we trust them. Ok, you have a point there. As is he’s better than Barnes Petricka.
  11. Velo the same every outing is concerning. Last year he didn’t have shoulder weakness. Lower velo wouldn’t be as concerning if he was getting AAA hitters out.
  12. 90-91 means he’s not ok. Counsell said expect to see him in Milwaukee on this coming homestand?!?!
  13. But don’t we have what your looking for already in the minors that can be brought up? In my opinion, what this pen needs is 1 more high leverage arm we can use when Hader is down that can close out or shut down the enemy. Now maybe that arm is jeffress? I think we’ll know more 10-15 games from now. If not jeffress, Nelson? Trade? Counsell is doing a tremendous job knowing who to put in and when. I believe he, like myself, has 0 faith or trust in bringing in Barnes Petricka. I’m looking for them to go ASAP. Jackson fields Sanchez. The crew must really want to see what houser can do as a starter, or wouldn’t he be in the pen? Brown, thinking they see a potential quality starter long term and don’t want to start his clock til after S 2.
  14. Great seeing Rasmussen pitch in miller park! Not a bad debut either. 2 IP 1 hit 0 BB 3 Ks
  15. What about stearns favorite pen arm trading partner rick Hahn? Alex colome-7.3 mil 2nd yr Arb. Kelvin Herrera- 9 mil each of next 2 yrs plus club option 10 mil Colome > Ray & hill Herrera > Grisham & hill & Lazar
  16. Outside of Hader and Guerra, who else besides me gets a horrible, sick feeling at the pit of their stomach when any of the other 6 pen arms are brought in? Ok, it’s not quite as horrible when Anderson or Claudio in.
  17. I think we would all universally agree David Stearns has done an outrageously superlative job up to this point completely rebuilding the Organization from top to bottom. I’m very interested to see how he handles what, in my opinion, is a pitching deficiency not worthy of a serious title contender. With an inconsistent homerun reliance offense and a tremendously inexperienced starting staff, i’ll be curious to see how much patience he exhibits and or what remedies he decides to offer. Is he going to wait for possible internal replacements? Stay the course? Or does he have a little Rizzo DiPoto Theo in him?
  18. There's always a reason to make a trade, every day of the season, as you can always get better and there will always be a player out there better than the worst player on your roster who can be had for a price you can afford. So yeah, in that sense there's a reason. But specific to the current situation? Honestly, I'd argue not really. Not yet. Unless the kind of opportunity shows up that you'd take any day, even with a good bullpen. Only 13 games into the season, bullpen pitchers have between 1 and 7 IP. 2/3 of the bullpen have ERAs way, way above their career numbers. Brewers bullpen currently has a 5.45 ERA. The 9 guys who have so far pitched out of the pen have a 3.66 ERA between them (equally weighted), which for Anderson and Guerra is mostly as starters. That would put them ~12th in the majors as thing stand now. Which isn't amazing, but it's slightly better than average. So you have to ask yourself, is there anything that suggests they won't pitch more in line with their career norms going forward? xFIP (4.18, 91 xFIP-) and SIERA (4.01), the two best publicly available predictive metrics of the kind until DRA is up and running would suggest that improvements are to be expected. It's early days with small sample sizes for those metrics too, but at this point they're still much, much, much better than using current ERA. I don't know what their internal metrics show, but unless they're alarmingly bad I'd have patience. There are still internal replacements to be evaluated, whether in the form of JJ, Nelson, Burnes/Woodruff, Fields, Hart or younger guys like Olczak, Sanchez, Brown. Give it some time to filter out the worst noise, and to try the options that can be used without having to release/waiver anyone or give up any prospects. Another reason to do that is that the market in April is bad. Yes, trades can be made. But it's very much a sellers market; only the teams that have already given up on the season will be shopping relievers. Others will have to be absolutely blown away by the offer, and that's something we shouldn't be doing. Even the teams perfectly willing to sell will be hesistant, as there will be greater demand later in the season. There will also be an increased supply eventually, as teams drop out of the playoff hunt, but demand will increase earlier than supply does. It's not that wins in April matters less than at any other point of the year. It's that with these small sample sizes, and the factors unique to March/April (Weather, offseason rust, adjusting to new environments etc) it's much harder to know what's what. Stats and wins and losses are so heavily influenced by individual blowup outings, by the quality and handedness of hitters and pitchers faced, by whether fly balls hit just above or just below a yellow line on a wall, by umpire performance (Could you really read much into the numbers for a pitcher, in either direction, if he'd made his debut with last night's Phil Cuzzi strike zone?), by weather, by which ballparks played in, by not being in the right place mentally after a breakup or the loss of a pet or whatever. Or by many, many other reasons that can be classified as luck or chance or temporary circumstances. Any money or prospects spent now, is money and prospects not available to use later. None of us knows how much budget room there is, but with an already record payroll I think it's safer to lean towards the lower part of the spectrum than the top end. The later in the season a trade is made, the smaller the prorated part of the salary taken on is. At that point you also know your needs better. While one can argue about whether farm system rankings are too low on the Brewers, it's still not exactly a top system after recent trades and graduations. That needs to be managed properly. A reliever acquired at this point needs to be a "sure thing". It needs to be someone who will frequently see high-leverage situations even when/if the likes of JJ, Nelson, Burnes join the bullpen; improving the performance in low-leverage situations does very little to get more wins. There aren't many of those available out there. And for those who are, thier teams hold all the cards. I would certainly put up a high asking price and not waiver one bit on that until at least June if I was them. Overall I'd argue that we need to wait a couple of weeks at least before making any moves involving actual prospects or any real money. 1 month is still a very small sample, 1 month of March/April baseball even more so, but at least you can glean *something* from that. At that point we'll have a better idea of where JJ and Nelson are, if some of the early-season struggles are just that or indicative of something else, of which teams might be willing to trade, and about many other things. In my opinion the only problem with your well written thesis is the patience you preach. I would argue the following: 1.) the toughest stretch of games for the year starts today, and by May this team could be 5+ games out by then. With our pitching at the PRESENT time, who will we be favored against? 2.) we don’t need to wait till May to know outside of Hader , 0 high leverage arms. And I’m including jeffress. JJ gonna need more time to regain last year’s form, IF he’s able to at at all this year. 3.) we don’t need to wait till May to know that Petricka Barnes FOR SURE shouldn’t be in this pen. Albers Wilson are major ? Also. 4.) the crew is courageous to put our young guns in rotation, but especially this early in their big league starting careers, growing pains would be describing it quite mildly. It would be one thing to have a tor amongst the other two, but we don’t. Chacin at best a 3 and Davies a 4-5, which in turn puts tremendous pressure on a bottom of the league pen. What to do now? STRENGTHEN THE PEN 1. Call up Houser today and Brown on Sunday, to replace Petricka Barnes. 2.) Leave jeffress in AAA till velo up where it should be for him to have a good chance at success. 3.) trade for Greene or givens or Watson giving us 2 high leverage pen arms going into next weeks homestand. If we have to give up a better prospect because it’s april so be it. Lose the battle win the war.
  19. Who cares? Why would I even begin to speculate it? They've pushed their opening day payroll to compete this year. Made plenty of moves to put a really good team on the field. The payroll is the highest it has ever been at this point in our organization's history. I'm sure there is room if the right fit comes open throughout the year. There should be. Maxing out would be complete, an utterly, idiotic thing to do to yourself. Leaving a possible contending team with no wiggle room would be just flat out stupid. I don't know how else to say that. But spewing that MA is lying when saying all-in isn't true either. They have a budget. They have their parameters to work within as they should. You may want a winner but I'd be willing to bet that MA does too. He's shown that he's willing to do things that no other owner in Milwaukee has. He's fully invested with us in this. Other than that, again who honestly cares what I think their "breakeven payroll" is? What I get on you about is your agenda and your use of your opinion for fact. And you rationalize it with a sob story of how long you've been a fan of the Brewers like that should matter for being flat out wrong in many of your posts. We know your #1 agenda is to belittle me because I made your “ head hurt” reading thru posts. Didn’t your parents tell you to respect and be kind to your elders?
  20. Google: Forbes,statista,fangraphs est playoff revenue,new Fox tv deal, there are many others you’ll find while looking. I am curious what you think the breakeven payroll is for this year? One more thing: Rick Schlesinger said ticket sales up 20% Corporate sponsors are way up. Didn’t say how much. Can’t find that info by google. My guesstimate for this year’s breakeven payroll: 156 million
  21. Bam $ 50,000,000 not included in any of these figures. If Attanasio wanted to pay 80% of maryvale upfront he could have with bam money. What is this $50 million you speak of? Bam tech Mlb sold the technology they created for 1.5 billion Last year each team received a check of 50 million
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