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Everything posted by jay87shot
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I would be fine with him coming back, we need someone who could fill in for a few weeks if Contreras or Haase get hurt in the first couple months before Quero is ready. I am sure there will be plenty of vets to pick up. I like Carlos Perez a AAA catcher from the A's. He hit 27 bombs last year. 31 in 2022, 31 in 2021. He seems like a good backup in AAA and DH. AAA will have Wes Clarke as an emergency. A Brett Sullivan reunion would work well for the same purposes.
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Obtaining dodgers starting depth
jay87shot replied to Scooterfletcher's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Any chance the Dodgers could be interested in some prospects for a pitcher. Like Wilken and Kuehner for a starter?? We have enough prospect depth and the Dodgers may be just looking to shave some 40 man space. -
I am going to run with the Casas idea. 1)Casas for Devin, Peguero, Black, Henderson 2)Coby Mayo for Freddy Peralta and Mike Boeve 3) Trade Rhys (eat 6 million) to Mets for low level prospect 4)Sign Buehler 1/15 (option(s)), Eovaldi 2/36, Scherzer 1/18, Beiber/Sugano 2/25 Ok this is a pretty big stretch but lets say the O's strikeout on pitching and get desperate for Freddy and the Mets strikeout on power bats. Our everyday positions would be lock in for like 3 years until arby raises. Our pitching would be solid this year but reliant on our younger starters for the future (which it is anyways).
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I was reading that the Red Sox are thinking about moving Rafi Devers to 1st creating a strange scenerio with Triston Cases and Yoshida. Would there be any possiblity that we could trade for Casas, he would be a perfect long term 1st baseman for us. Would Devin, Peguero, and 2 prospect (say Black and Henderson) get close? To much?
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I've written this before but I think the problem is that that Rhys has good value as a DH, he was worth 0.2 offensive WAR (between 1.9-3.4 every other year, not including 2020). Since we have Yeli and Contreras who will likely need a vast majority of the DH time there isn't really a DH path for him. If he does break the bat out for us and has a 3 WAR offense season the glove and baserunning likely makes that a 2 WAR season. For a team like the Brewers 2 WAR for $18 million isn't a great deal but I think everyone would take it in a heartbeat basically picking up the Willy slack. However I feel like there could be lots of ways we could find a 2 WAR 1st baseman cheaper. I am pretty confident that if Tyler Black provided even Rhys quality defense he would be worth over 2 WAR just because of the baserunning factor addition. The big question is how much would another team value him in a trade, coming of a poor season he is definitely going to have a negative value. My thought is that some DH/power needy team would put around a $8-12 million value on him, giving him a -6 to -10 million dollar value. Essentially saying we need to eat 6-10 million in a trade or add addition players that reduce that value. Now we aren't a team that can really just eat 6-10 million but saving the 8-12 million might be worth it if we can spend the money elsewhere and replace the Hoskins value cheaper (Black/FA/trade). One of my favorite trades to get rid of Rhys is sending Rhys and Civale to the Mets (say the Mets miss out on the top 4-5 bats in the market) for basically nothing and then using the money to sign a short term pitcher and then getting a 1B back for Devin (N Lowe, Mountcastle, Horwitz (plus), etc.)
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Having all this pitching depth is a blessing I just worry about having to cut 5-10 really interesting young arms. Are there any other teams that minor league systems really really lack pitching depth that we could do like a 4 for 1 swap and get a 3B. I look at the Mets maybe as an option they have a couple top 10 org pitching prospects but only 4 from 12-30. Is like Fitzpatrick, Cornielle, Middendorf, and Yeager (swap out whichever nontop 30ish prospect you prefer) to cheap to get us a guy like Baty or Mauricio
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60 million is also being deferred, I think it is crazy that the league always so much of a contract to be deferred over basically forever. I didn't read over how many year but in like 2035 they are going to be paying more deferred money than then a few teams entire salary. I don't actually mind this contract however, Snell has had 1 year in the past 6 over 3 WAR and with this going through his 36 season I guarantee at least 1 injury year. I doubt he gets close to making the value of this deal. However he probably will have a Cy Young caliber year in there and help them to another WS at some point. That rotation is gross especially if they get Sasaki and then sign Kershaw for later in the year when someone is hurt. Devin for Alex Freeland and Kyle Hurt ??? Devin for Bobby Miller and lotto prospect ???
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I love Haase as a backup especially with Contreras. He is affordable, a solid defensive player and showed enough last year that he doesn't need a lot of playing time to hit when he gets a chance. He is also athletic enough that if you needed him to play in the OF or maybe 1B as like an emergency he could probably do it fine. The bat is good enough to pinch hit if need be in a big situation.
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Does anyone have good insight on Derrick Harmon from Oregon? He seems like a potential upside replacement for Kenny Clark if we lose him but can't say I've seen much other than a highlight clip. Any WR stick out as go to threats where we would be drafting, I could see us parting with Romeo this offseason after his issues. I like our WR corp but it would be really nice to have that 1 go to guy when the going gets tough. I like Tai Felton a lot but don't know much about him other than a half or so I watched Maryland this year. I am not a huge fan of any of the free agents, at least not paying 20+ million for them.
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2024 Minor League Transaction Thread
jay87shot replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
I like all the minor league adds but we have like 40 pitchers between AA and AAA. Is there going to be a large amount of decent arms being cut or traded? -
He was medically cleared like 3 or 4 days ago but said he still didn't feel ready. I would hope he his back in the next couple games. He has had long enough, however with the team playing better and how little the nba regular season matters I am fine with him being out a couple weeks just to get to 100% before he is back. Trent, Green, Prince, and Jackson are all playing solid so no need to rush, but he had missed a month or so longer than expected for no given reason.
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Do we have any indications if we will be going back to an offense with the QB under the center? I don't mind the spread offense in college but feel that you really need a running qb to make it work. We haven't had a running qb and it has shown that we haven't had many long runs and the short yard running game has suffered because it is easy to predict what is going to happen if the qb can't run. I really would like a more pro-style 3 WR with the qb under center so we can still use the power run game but spread the defense out with our solid WR core.
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Whoops sorry wrote the wrong team. I would prefer he starts in Biloxi, not Carolina. Thanks
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I think the team kind of has to put it out there that we could keep Devin, it doesn't do anything for negotiating a trade to be to eager. With like 7-8 teams likely interested in Devin it is just best to sit back and let the couple good relievers sign and then cash in on a desperate team that missed out. I think all the Goldy stuff is just speculation, I don't think our front office would let that slip before Rhys decided on his option.
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From a talent point the Reds have massive upside but they have a weak bullpen and a lot of their young offense talent is streaky/iffy. The rotation will be solid and they have upside at all positions, they probably have some money to add a couple needed bullpen arms. I don't get the Nick Martinez QO move with that money they could have gotten a solid reliever and a decent 1B/DH. Martinez is solid but as a swing guy doesn't pitch in big situations, the versatility is nice but 20 million is way to much for a 6th starter/multi inning reliever even with a low 3 era in 140 innings. If the Cubs spend money wisely I think they could be the biggest threat but the pen needs an overhaul and they need a 3/4/5 hitter who can drive in runs consistently. The Pirates don't have the offense but will be tougher with their rotation. Maybe if they find away to add a couple bats but their owner is so cheap they are going to waste a few years of Skenes by spending peanuts on guys like Rowdy Tellez and Michael A Taylor. If the Cards trade a bunch of guys I don't think they will be worse, especially if they get decent young talent back. If they can get Jordan Walker, Nolan Gorman, and Alec Burleson in the right defensive spots this team actually could be better by subtraction and position changes. Arenado and Goldy were shadows of themselves at the plate, Contreras isn't the leader they thought, and the rotation was old and not scary. There is a lot to fix but if they get a couple young arms in trades and the young bats bounce back/continue to improve they could be better. I am not to worried but they have more upside than one would think. 1)Reds 2)Cubs 3)Cards 4)Pirates
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Lovethegame5’s 2023 Payroll Blueprint:
jay87shot replied to Lovethegame5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I am guessing we trade Devin for prospects and sign Willy to like 4/100 or 5/125? I like that you put Willy to 3B and Ortiz to SS, I think that would be best after Willy's struggles last year. -
1)Devin to Yanks, CWS get Spencer Jones, Sal Frelick, Mike Boeve we get Garrett Crochet 2) We get Sandy Alcantara, Miami gets Tyler Black, Misi, Peguero, Juan Baez 3)Civale to SF for Lamonte Wade 4)Rhys (+5 million) to NYM for low level prospect Sign Joc Pederson 2/26 Sign HS Kim 1/8 with incentives to 10 and 2026 player option $20 million with 2 million buyout. Wade, Contreras, Yeli, Chourio, Pederson, Kim, Mitchell, Ortiz, Turang (sweet) Alcantara, Crochet, Freddie, Woody, Myers (Ashby) double sweet. If you want to really dream you could add Roki Sasaki and maybe trade Freddy for a big time reliever like Emmanuel Clase. C: William Contreras ($7.60M) 1B: Lamonte Wade ($4.3M) 2B: Joey Ortiz ($0.80M) 3B: HS Kim ($8M) SS: Brice Turang ($0.80M) LF: Yelich ($24.25M) CF: Garrett Mitchell ($0.80M) RF: Chourio ($4.25M) DH: Joc Pederson ($13M) 4th OF: Blake Perkins ($0.80M) Utility: Andrew Monasterio ($0.80M) Utility: Collins/Dunn ($0.8M) Backup C: Eric Haase ($1.35M) NA: Rhys ($5M) SP1: Freddy Peralta ($8.25M) SP2: Sandy Alcantara ($17M) SP3: Tobias Myers ($0.80M) SP4: Brandon Woodruff ($5.00M) SP5: Garrett Crochet ($2.9M) RP: Craig Yoho/DL Hall ($0.8M) RP: Trevor Megill ($2.00M) RP: Nick Mears ($0.90M) RP: Jared Koenig ($0.80M) RP: Hoby Milner ($2.70M) RP: Joel Payamps ($2.80M) RP: Bryan Hudson ($0.80M) RP: Aaron Ashby ($3.45M) NA: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M) Payroll is 7.12% under budget
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What about Devin to the Angels? They have said they are going to up payroll, Devin makes sense that there pen is weak and could trade him at the deadline and get basically the same value they give up. Devin for 3B/2B Luis Rengifo, RP Camden Minacci, OF Rio Foster We get a solid IF option and 2 upside prospect adds. The Angels get a big name to make there fans happy, they likely will rush Christian Moore to the bigs like Neto and Schaunel.
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If Devin has a 8.6 trade value, I think we will likely get around 12 back because he is likely to get a team back a compensation pick. I don't exactly know what a comp. pick value is on the trade value listing, I don't mind Madden and Anderson, maybe Detriot gets a comp pick and we add that to the deal.
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- ty madden
- max anderson
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Agree, he would likely platoon to some extent with Dunn or maybe Frelick if they have him give 3B another go. 2023 Monaserio yes, 2024 probably not. But again it kind of depends on how cheap the team is this offseason. Obviously if we don't add anyone Mone and Dunn/Frelick probably platoon 3B. There are probably 5 better options than Berti if we spend some money and a bunch of trade options before Berti or Mone at 3B.
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Jordan Romano got non tendered. Until last year he has been a top 5 or so closer. I am surprised a bigger payroll team wouldn't have given something for him. He still throws 96 with elite extension. He is not really on our radar with our pen depth but surprising. Kyle Finnegan as well but he doesn't quiet have the past upside results even though he throws harder. Griffin Canning could be a sneaky good cheap addition. He has a really good changup and maybe if he goes to the pen his stuff and control will play up and get some Bryse Wilson style improvements.
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I like Berti alot if we are going to be cheap. Solid defense I would pass on Sheets, if we trade Black maybe but I don't see anything different than Bauers. I would probably prefer going EMJ than Sheets.
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Good luck to Hoby, I am sure there is a couple million out there for him somewhere.
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Your trades are solid but I don't like spending $13 million on 2 washed up bench players. I would much rather just add 1 really good hitter like Joc Pederson to DH. The Singer trade is ok if you believe in Singer, but I wouldn't phrase trading Sal as selling high. I think there is still the upside to hit near .300 with like 40 doubles and to still have the great baserunning and gold glove defense.

