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Everything posted by jay87shot
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AZ Fall League - Rosters, Schedule, Streaming, etc.
jay87shot replied to nate82's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
I am no expert but doesn't it look like his bat/hands aren't in a great hitting ready position when the pitch is coming in. It seems like the bat is way behind his head when he loads. Maybe it's the camera angle or the is a mechanical reason but I would push a guy like him to shorten his swing a bit. -
None of these cuts are big deals to me, I would have thought we could have gotten something for Wilson, Zas, Rae, or Herget. Even if it was some cash considerations or international money. My guess is that the market is overflowing with similar guys from around the league so giving up something doesn't make a lot of sense.
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It hasn't been brought up but what thoughts do we have on trading Freddy Peralta, he only has 2 years of control left at a reasonable rate. He has been more of a #3 starter the past 3 years but has the top of the rotation upside with his k rates and strong 2021 season. I would guess we would ask for a better package than what we got for Corbin based on the extra year of control and cost effective contract. My thought is that if we could get a young starter and a 3B/IF that it might be a sneaky good way to improve the roster especially if you have confidence in Myers, Woody, and Civale staying healthy and effective. Maybe we could even find a money bags team to take Rhys with Freddy and get a 1B option in the deal or a Devin trade. Sorry I am going to run with this idea. 1) Trade Freddy and Rhys to NYM for Brett Baty, Brandon Sproat, and Nick Morabito If the Mets lose Alonso, Manaea, Severino, and Quintana this works well for them. They get a cheap starter to pair with Senga and probably a big FA addition and Rhy fills in the 1B/DH power hitter hole left by Alonso/Martinez. (I am sure he could find a way to get along with McNeil). We get a 3rd baseman and a high upside starter who isn't quite ready but has stuff that approaches Misi. Add in a toolsy upside prospect like Morabito for good measure 2)Trade Devin to Tex for Nate Lowe Texas was looking at potentially trading Lowe at the deadline, here we get 2 years of a more consistent 1B and Texas get a closer they need. 3) Sign a 1 year vet starter to replace Freddy and bridge the gap to Sproat, Misi, Henderson, and the other prospects. After reading mlbtraderumors top 50 FA's I kind of like Shinnosuke Ogasawara as a 1 year option better than the like of Buehler, Scherzer, Verlander, Bieber, etc. That scenario improves 1B and 3B (hopefully) keeps the rotation solid and adds a couple young guys with out adding payroll. Thoughts
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https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/milwaukee-brewers/payroll/_/year/2025 We are at around $110-115 million depending on arbitration deals. Last year the spotrac site had us at $115 total for the year. With the media rights uncertainty I would guess it will be hard to go over that $115 mark. So basically if we trade Devin his salary is about what we have to sign free agents assuming we don't take any salary back. We could always trade Civale or try and find a Hoskins taker if there is someone we would want to sign but that might be tricky.
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The Guardians release James Karinchak today, he would be an ideal high upside cheap arm to add. Sixto Sanchez possible as well if his arm is still even attached to his body.
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How long does Doc keep his job, giving him a long term deal last year is looking as bad as the Dame trade right now. I don't know how much of the deal was guaranteed I guess so maybe not. I think I would look to trade Bobby and Brook around game 15-20 if this doesn't get much better. I doubt we can get much for Dame or Middleton at this point but we need a younger core to support Giannis. 1)Portis to Hou for Cam Whitmore and Jock Londale The Rockets need a better big to help Sengen unless Adams comes around (Jabari Smith is still to much of an outside player in my opinion) Cam Whitmore is blocked there and would be a top notch young guy to get. 2)Brook and Pat C to GSW for Wiggins and Looney The Warriors need some defense and Lopez does that, they have Kuminga, Pod, and Moody to fill in for Wiggins. I am not a huge fan of taking a couple more year of Wiggins but athletically he is still there. 3)Beauchamp for Mo Bamba Bamba gives a bit more size to help Giannis Dam, Middleton, Wiggins, Prince, Giannis Trent, Whitmore, Looney, Londale, Wright, Green, Jackson, Johnson, Smith, Bamba
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I think it is crazy that Chourio and Frelick were the 2 best RF in the NL. I fully expect us to to win at least 3 or 4 next year depending on the offseason. Turang and Frelick repeat, Chourio in LF, Mitchell/Perkins in CF (if healthy) and Contreras and Ortiz likely have a decent shot. If we add a defensive 3B or interesting utility guy that could be even better. I doubt 1B or P have a shot but maybe we can add someone to take Bauers spot or a starter makes some plays. Gold glove sweep coming in 2026 when Rhys is gone, calling it now all 10 spots Brewers gold gloves.
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2024 Major Publication Prospect Ranks
jay87shot replied to jay87shot's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Sweet, do they just do one per position for the entire minor leagues? If so this is crazy impressive having the best defensive SS in the minors at 19. -
I keep forgetting about Kim's injury, thanks.
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I don't/won't blame Mark if we are cheap this offseason and I don't blame the front office either they have used every avenue to put the best team out there every year and have a strong farm to maintain long-term success. I think it just is going to be a rough offseason as we really only need a piece or two in my opinion to put this team over the edge. We kind of made our big financial move for this offseason last year when we signed Rhys and the deferred a bunch of money to buyouts for Gary, Junis, and to a lesser extent Miley. It just stinks every year to see worse organizations like the Cubs go and recklessly spend on players 5/80 on a couple players and we aren't likely going to be able to go get one player on a multi year deal. Think how nice Kim from the Pads would be or a solid #2/3 starter like Nathan Eovaldi for us add. Odds are we are going to need to settle for a risk like Moncada or pitchers like Ross or Junis from last offseason who will have plenty of question marks. I am not advocating for us to be reckless, it would just be nice to be able to afford one nice player here or there when we need them.
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I agree that we should need to keep him more, however I think it is just the confidence the front office has in it's ability to find cheap arms. I wouldn't trade Civale either after letting Rae go but I do think he is justified being on the trade candidates list just based on our trade history. By trading him we would save $8ish million and get a decent prospect in return, I think the front office believes we could get a guy like Civale for less. Look at guys like Lorenzen and Clevinger who signed for peanuts at the start of the year, this does have a really deep class of starters.
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I have a feeling we are in for a sad offseason. The Rae move today makes me think we are going to cut salary especially with all the $ we owe in buyouts and some deferred money (not much). Hopefully we can fill a hole or 2 with the Devin trade and make it work.
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With Rae being cut loose today trading Civale wouldn't surprise me. It is how or organization works, especially with our overall depth and past ability to find/make effective pitchers. Add in the uncertainty of finances with the TV deal and we could be in for one weird offseason. I would prefer to keep Civale especially with some question marks in Woody and potentially Ashby.
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I am surprised we weren't able to trade Rae. I would have thought we could have gotten an 18 yo wild card prospect at least. Oh well, hopefully the money saved will go to a good player instead of like 4-5 nothings. I would rather see some of our prospects and Ashby get a chance to start so no big deal.
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- wade miley
- owen miller
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I think the brass will try and get a young controllable guy as much as possible, if that doesn't work my money is leading toward Luis Rengifo as a bridge to our prospects. Moncada and Polanco are kind of end of the offseason emergency adds if nothing goes our way type of guys in my book. I could live with either but there seems to be a dozen or so other options to explore 1st.
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There is no one on this team after Giannis who trys to get to the rim. If you take Giannis out of the equation the rest of the team is shooting over 50% of their shoots from 3. Bobby takes a lot of mid range shots that skews that number even some. I get that this team needs to create space for Giannis but just having 4 guys standing around the 3 point line won't work, get to the basket and it will create better more open 3 attempts.
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Don't forget Taylor Rogers who had been a solid reliever for 4-5 years and even a decent closer. He probably would have been worth an additional prospect but the Pads needed to shed salary. Lamet was a nothing part of the trade however.
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The Jays have some interesting IF depth with Vladdy, Bichette, Horwitz, Wagner, Clement, Barger, and Martinez. My thought would be that would want to keep Wagner for 2B and have Clement, Barger, and Martinez battle out 3B. Horwitz plays more 1B/OF and Vladdy DH's more. I would love Wagner and probably just make him the everyday 2B, moving Turang to SS. I do doubt the Jays would trade Wagner, however Clement, Martinez, or Barger might be gettable at a decent value. Clement was worth over 3 WAR and Barger and Martinez both were/are decent prospects who are ready. Clement doesn't walk at all but is a good fielder and Barger and Martinez both have power but might not hit enough. They do need some relief depth maybe Peguero and Canadian Dylan O'Rae for Martinez or Barger wouldn't be a bad idea.
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Great write up, Boeve is one I kind of hope doesn't reconfigure his swing for more power. As mentioned in the article he could probably get more power numbers if he lifts the ball more. However I think this might be a case of if it's not broke don't fix it. I think long term be could be a really nice 1B defensively. It will be really interesting to see how the Black, Wilken. Boeve, Adams, Bitonti 3B/1B future shakes out.
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I know we have done the Yeli trade back and forth the past couple years. The where would he accept a trade to and who would take on his contract etc. etc.. For just now lets say he would accept a trade to anywhere what would be some interesting deals? 1) Yeli to Seattle for Luis Castillo We get a top of the rotation arm and the Mariners get an badly needed offense upgrade. 2) Yeli to Toronto for Kevin Gausman and a 10-20 prospect Similar to the Castillo deal but we get a little sweetener because Gausman is a little more risky in my opinion. 3) Yeli and Williams (prospects) to Texas for Marcus Siemen and Nate Lowe I doubt the Rangers trade Semien but they have some infield depth that they could turn into OF/DH and a closer. We get 2 perfect players for our team. 4)Mets for Jeff McNeil (and prospects) Basically the Mets would be taking on salary and we would get long term salary relief, a versatile vet for 3B or utility, and some prospects. Not a huge fan 5) Dodgers for Miguel Rojas and Bobby Miller (more?) The Dodgers have all the money in the world so why not. 6) Padres for Jake Cronenworth and prospects I dont want anything to do with Manny, Tatis, or Bogeartz, Cronenworth is versatile enough to help at 1B/2B and maybe 3B. I'm not a huge fan but the Pads have OF holes potentially. 7) for Robbie Ray and prospects The Giants have been looking for a big name and have some extra pitching. Ray isn't my favorite but has some potential ace history. 8)Yeli for Arenado I don't think this makes a ton of sense for St. Louis since Arenado has been healthy but maybe we add one of our 3B prospects to get closer. They do have Gorman and Walker who are better suited for 3B then 2B or the OF/1B. 9) Yeli for Carlos Rodon (Yanks eat 10 milly a year) I guess this could make some sense if the Yanks lose Soto and can sign a pitcher. (I can't see Yeli accept a NY trade). There might be a few more.
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My guess would be that if we did a Devin for Bohm deal there would be some secondary pieces going one way or another but nothing huge, maybe like a AAA reliever, utility guy, non-top 20 organizational prospect, or cash. What about Williams to San Fran for LaMonte Wade and a relief prospect like Trent Harris. We get a Bauers/Sanchez replacement and a high end relief prospect while San Fran gets Devin without giving up any major pieces.
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Yophery has a 5 tool ceiling, hopefully we see him get close to 15/15 next year and will be a potential top 100 prospect. What do you all envision his ceiling in the pros, like a 20/20 player with a above average glove or is he to far away to tell if the power and baserunning will improve. I like the path of a level a year for him since he is so young, That would put him in the bigs at 22, unless he goes nuts before then.
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Williams might be able to get a top 100 propsect but not anyone in the top 50. For one year no one will likely give up 6 years of control of a big prospect. The price for a good reliever is still fine but gone are the days where 1 years of Aroldis Chapman got a top 25 prospect and 3 other pieces. If we can't get a 3B I am thinking of a Hader type return, 2 organizational top 10 prospects and a 3rd piece (not counting Lamet).

