Realistically for any player to reach anywhere near 4000 hits, they have not only be in the big leagues by around 21-22, but also be producing from the start. On top of that, they need to produce very, very good seasons to even have a shot at it. We're talking 200 hits for 20 straight years people....let that sink in for a moment. 200 hits for 20 consecutive seasons. Assuming they don't have Cal Ripken's longevity, they're probably going to lose some significant time at some point in their career due to injury, making it even more unlikely that we ever see another 4000 hit player. Players just simply don't come up that young very often any more. I'm too lazy to look but not that many players even reach 200 hits for ONE season, yet alone 20 STRAIGHT seasons. Assuming they don't have Cal Ripken's longevity, they're probably going to lose some significant time at some point in their career due to injury, making it even more unlikely that we ever see another 4000 hit player. It's just too much, and if it does happen again it'll most likely be one of the most prolific, consisten hitters we've ever see. Start shaving a year or two off of that 20 year total and the average hits pers season become even more gaudy: 210.5 for 19 straight years 222.2 for 18 straight years 235.3 for 17 straight years 250 for 16 straight years I'll stop there as after that we're in MLB record territory. I just don't think 4000 hits is possible for a player to accomplish in this day and age. I hope I'm wrong, because I'd really like to see it, but I'm going with no going to happen. As far as 3000 goes....I'll say Jeter should make it for sure, A-Rod not too long after. I'm not willing to call any others locks at this point (and Ray Durham has that many hits!?!?)