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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Wagner definitely had better ERA and FIP but they pitched the same innings, had very similar WARs, and their WPA are almost identical (Nathan's a hair better, actually). They're closer than you're letting on, though I agree Wagner is better. For the record, I don't know if I'd vote for Nathan. I don't think I would. But I'd probably vote for Wagner. Joe Nathan was criminally underrated, that's more my point. Even if you think Wagner is better (and I do), it doesn't explain Wagner nearly clearing 75% this year (and should make it next year) while Nathan received virtually no votes.
  2. Joe Nathan is roughly the equivalent to Wagner and was out on the first ballot, IIRC. I'm not saying Wagner shouldn't get in, just pointing out the weirdness of HoF voting preferences. And I think it's pretty clear Mauer and Helton (ignoring his personal issues) are a step above Wagner's career.
  3. What a pleasant surprise! I was solo parenting last night and basically checked out of the internet for the entire evening. Woke up to find the Brewers actually signed Hoskins, which I *maybe* gave them a 10% chance of doing.
  4. I think my cutoffs for the hall and relievers is somewhere around Papelbon and Nathan... but I can't decide which side of the fence to put them. It's so hard to evaluate relievers, the current metrics and tiers don't do them justice. I've started leaning on WPA more for them, as it's the only thing that seems to approximate the actual value they bring a team.
  5. Oh, the Sox absolutely need to max out Cease's value but if the asking price is so high that rival executives believe he won't be traded at all, they're making a mistake.
  6. I haven't been able to nail down specific players, only that the ask is really big, as it should be. The Brewers letting it ride with Burnes makes sense, as they can compete in 2024 and then QO him at the end of the season. It's not a perfect option but it's not terrible, either. What the White Sox are doing with Cease seems insane to me. If they go into Opening Day with him as the starter, what a mess.
  7. I've heard rumors from other teams about Burnes and they went absolutely nowhere as well. One in particular seems entirely dead at this point.
  8. Thanks for the catch, moving categories.
  9. All quiet on the pitcher front. Mark Feinsand of MLB.com wrote this excellent write-up about both the reliever and starting pitcher winter markets. While the reliever free agent market seems to have stalled on Josh Hader, Feinsand goes on to point out that the starting pitching market hasn't fared much better with several high-profile free agents still on the market, headlined by Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery. In a cascading effect, this has caused the starting pitcher trade market to be equally slow, so much so that one NL executive is quoted saying "I don’t think the trade market will be very hot in the next month". Other executives stated that it's unlikely White Sox starter Dylan Cease will be moved due to his high asking price and there are doubts surrounding Guardians starter Shane Bieber. Is this a positive development for the Brewers and does it make a Corbin Burnes trade more or less likely? View full rumor
  10. All quiet on the pitcher front. Mark Feinsand of MLB.com wrote this excellent write-up about both the reliever and starting pitcher winter markets. While the reliever free agent market seems to have stalled on Josh Hader, Feinsand goes on to point out that the starting pitching market hasn't fared much better with several high-profile free agents still on the market, headlined by Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery. In a cascading effect, this has caused the starting pitcher trade market to be equally slow, so much so that one NL executive is quoted saying "I don’t think the trade market will be very hot in the next month". Other executives stated that it's unlikely White Sox starter Dylan Cease will be moved due to his high asking price and there are doubts surrounding Guardians starter Shane Bieber. Is this a positive development for the Brewers and does it make a Corbin Burnes trade more or less likely?
  11. The biggest problem with Arraez isn't his defense, it's his health. When he's healthy, he can hold his own at second base. He's not great by any means but with that bat, he's far from a liability. The problem is that the guy cannot keep his lower body healthy and he's only getting older. And when his lower body starts to be a problem, even if he stays on the field he's diminished in every capacity, and by a lot. Luis Arraez is fantastic if he's feeling good and hitting .330. But what happens is that he gets banged up and hits .270 for a couple of months with brutal defense. And his player type just isn't valuable at .270. But he's legitimately one of the most fun players to watch on a nightly basis.
  12. I mean, if Jake Bauers is the pole to clear, I guess I'd maybe take Votto? But the Brewers have done *so little* this offseason, they might be able to afford Hoskins. He's my first choice. And if they can't get him, I'd rather have Santana than Votto. And I say this as a person who adores Joey Votto and thinks he is one of the most fun players of this generation.
  13. In his daily roundup, Bob Nightengale (yes, I know) mentioned the Brewers are a good fit for the 40-year-old former-Reds slugger. This could be speculation on Nightengale's part - and we all know he's not above firing from the hip on these things - but having specifically mentioned "three teams are interested" in Votto last week, the Brewers are possibly in play. From a roster fit, Votto simultaneously makes sense and no sense at all, depending what you think of players like Tyler Black: can he stick at third, is he ready for a prolonged chance to hit MLB pitching? The Brewers are lacking in corner offense and should they decide to pass on bringing back Carlos Santana, Votto could be a stop-gap measure at first base and possibly DH. View full rumor
  14. In his daily roundup, Bob Nightengale (yes, I know) mentioned the Brewers are a good fit for the 40-year-old former-Reds slugger. This could be speculation on Nightengale's part - and we all know he's not above firing from the hip on these things - but having specifically mentioned "three teams are interested" in Votto last week, the Brewers are possibly in play. From a roster fit, Votto simultaneously makes sense and no sense at all, depending what you think of players like Tyler Black: can he stick at third, is he ready for a prolonged chance to hit MLB pitching? The Brewers are lacking in corner offense and should they decide to pass on bringing back Carlos Santana, Votto could be a stop-gap measure at first base and possibly DH.
  15. My point is that the Brewers feel like they’re being reactive instead of proactive with issues of this kind and their hitting prospects. If there is an issue that upper level pitchers will exploit, don’t wait until the hitter reaches upper levels to address it. Given how this franchise has failed to develop above-average hitters for the past decade, it feels like there’s plenty to criticize with their approach; letting Wiemer reach the majors without overhauling his swing is evidence they’re still not doing what needs to be done with their hitting development processes.
  16. I read concerns about his swing playing at the MLB level before he made his debut. It didn’t come out of nowhere. From Spencer: From MLB: https://www.mlb.com/news/what-to-expect-from-joey-wiemer-in-mlb “However, his whippy swing remained kinetic headed into his second full season, and upper-level pitchers took advantage. Wiemer struck out a career-high 30.2 percent of the time and swung and missed at 20.4 percent of his pitches faced (second-highest swinging-strike rate in the Southern League) with Double-A Biloxi last year, and that heightened concerns that the movement and torque of his work in the box would keep him a below-average hitter in the end.”
  17. I agree that Wiemer needs more seasoning in Triple A but it begs the question: with all of his wonky swing mechanics, why wasn't this addressed at some point over the past three seasons?
  18. So it turns out that our master server is getting hammered by bots. If you're unfortunate enough to be allocated to that server, that's why you're seeing site slowness. We're working on it and hope to have it resolved by tomorrow.
  19. Jon Heyman wrote that a rival executive has said "everything is on the table" when it comes to the Marlins improving their roster in 2024. Does this include even Luis Arraez? The Marlins have several intriguing pieces, including the two-time batting champion who flirted with hitting .400 for the first half of the 2023 season. Arraez, still only 26 years old, has spent every at-bat of his career with an average over .300 (excluding the first, obviously). Arraez is something of a throwback player whose primary concerns are health and defensive positioning. He's an adequate second baseman in his mid-20s but has often found himself at both first base and DH due to lingering injuries in his lower body. The Marlins also have Jesus Luzardo in their rotation and have been linked to trade rumors over the past few months. Luzardo is entering his age-26 season and posted a career-high 178.2 innings pitched in 2023 with an ERA+ of 125. He will not become a free agent until after the 2026 season. Who on the Marlins roster interests you? Leave a comment! View full rumor
  20. Jon Heyman wrote that a rival executive has said "everything is on the table" when it comes to the Marlins improving their roster in 2024. Does this include even Luis Arraez? The Marlins have several intriguing pieces, including the two-time batting champion who flirted with hitting .400 for the first half of the 2023 season. Arraez, still only 26 years old, has spent every at-bat of his career with an average over .300 (excluding the first, obviously). Arraez is something of a throwback player whose primary concerns are health and defensive positioning. He's an adequate second baseman in his mid-20s but has often found himself at both first base and DH due to lingering injuries in his lower body. The Marlins also have Jesus Luzardo in their rotation and have been linked to trade rumors over the past few months. Luzardo is entering his age-26 season and posted a career-high 178.2 innings pitched in 2023 with an ERA+ of 125. He will not become a free agent until after the 2026 season. Who on the Marlins roster interests you? Leave a comment!
  21. Okay, it turns out I was on the right path. One of our server instances (of four) was pegged at 99% CPU usage. We've added more instances (now six) and told the offending server to stop being naughty. Let me know if things are still slow in an hour. It takes a little time to spool up the new instances and properly redistribute users across them.
  22. I have a ticket out for this, hopefully it will be resolved soon.
  23. Wow, if it ever gets this bad, someone please let me know. I'm not seeing this kind of lag AT ALL and if I don't have knowledge of it, I will assume things are chugging along as normal.
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