Brewcrew82
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Everything posted by Brewcrew82
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Brewers (Peralta) vs Yankees (Rodon): 3/27/25, 2:05pm
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
It's Christmas morning! -
I know we have the win total prediction thread, but it's also fun to make predictions about individual players, too. Here's what I have following ST, and I'm curious to see other people's opinions on some of these categories: MVP: Contreras (Chourio has a higher WAR season but Contreras remains as invaluable as ever behind the plate) Cy Young: Peralta (new slider/cutter helps lead to best season since 2021) Best Newcomer: Cortes (replicates 2024/2022 performances) WAR Leader: Chourio (5.6) HR Leader: Hoskins (31) Breakout(s): Ortiz (becomes clear top 15/10 SS as he hits like healthy 1st half self), Yoho (becomes primary setup man) Bounceback(s): Yelich (healthy 130+ games), Frelick (hits above .270 with an above average OBP and 10 or so HRs), Hoskins (hits many bombs another year removed from ACL injury without the lows of last season) Disappointments(s): Mitchell (K issues finally catch up to him) Hudson (unable to rediscover first half form), Payamps (suffers from 2023-2024 usage) All-Star(s): Chourio, Contreras (starters) Bold Prediction: Joey Ortiz puts up a higher WAR than Willy Adames.
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89-73. Make the postseason. Ho hum.
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I would be shocked if Yoho does make the OD roster given that he's not yet on the 40 man, and the Brewers go for preserving depth 99.9% of the time.
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Precisely. Get your best hitters as many ABs as possible.
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Chourio in CF for the first time with the MLB club. Love it as I think he’s more than capable and provides the team with more flexibility with Perkins out.
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Yelich might not be ready for opening day?
Brewcrew82 replied to TURBO's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
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Do you see anybody here giving them "A's" for their offseason? Because I see mostly C's and D's. So much for "blind optimism".
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RBIs has a lot less to do with winning than WAR I can tell you that. It’s a team stat that’s largely dependent on who gets on base in front of you.
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Who cares about RBIs in the year 2025. The name of the game is wins which is why I used WAR.
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Your exact words were “definitely not” about a majority of them…. When over a 162 game pace that’s exactly what Chourio would have done with his post-June pace. And like I said Chourio isn’t the only young player that could improve.
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Yes I have. Which is why I’m increasingly questioning if you even watched the last one.
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No we lambaste you because you jump up and down about how the Brewers are incapable of advancing past the 1st round of the postseason, while dismissing that if their all-star closer had pitched an inning of one run ball they would have done just that.
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I mean they had four months to make adjustments last year, and they didn't, including in the postseason. I would say William Contreras and Christian Yelich are fine enough protection to put around him in the lineup. Willy Adames put up a 3.0 bWAR last year. Chourio put up a 3.0 bWAR in the second half alone, which is an over 6.0 bWAR pace over a full season. So, to say definitively that he can replace only a "fraction of them" isn't really borne out of reality. Not to mention we have plenty of other young guys on this team who could improve and help fill in the gap.
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You don't think we can expect any of our young guys, like Chourio, to bite into those numbers with improvement?
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Not as confident as I am in saying Tyler Black will not be playing any 3B for this team.
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I've got them at a C-. Getting Cortes for Devin makes this a better rotation than last year, and arguably doesn't downgrade the bullpen much if at all considering how little Devin pitched for us last year. But they really needed to add someone in the infield or to add a power bat somewhere else to account for the loss of Adames. As it stands right now, I think we're at roughly even odds to win the division. Which isn't great considering we won it by 10 games last year.
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How quickly some people conveniently forget that we literally would’ve advanced in the postseason had our all star closer been capable of pitching a scoreless or even one run inning.
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Am I correct or did you not feel this exact same way about our off-season last year? If we can’t trust the team, then why should we entertain your position?
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I would say they view Frelick and Chourio equally. They only moved Frelick to RF and Chourio to LF because Yelich got injured and Frelick had a stretch of poor performances in LF. Otherwise, Chourio was the NL GG favorite in RF for a good chunk of the season.
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Blake is definitely a better defender. I’m not convinced Mitchell is, though. And all else being equal, I’ll go with the better hitter. Not sure Mitchell’s value would be depressed by moving him to RF, for instance. They’re so close defensively that I ultimately don’t expect them to do anything drastic, but I’d like to see them give Chourio reps in CF this spring.
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Sure, but even then, there’s a legitimate case to be made… I’d at least give him some time there in ST.
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He’s definitely a good fielder. All of them are. Perkins is a step above the rest, and should be playing CF any time he’s out there. I just wanted to point out that the 20 year old only a few years removed from playing in the infield was a lot better than people think compared to the 26 year old Mitchell. And it’s probably worth considering moving him there. If you do, you’re only increasing Chourio’s potential value.
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Also, here's some food for thought: Jackson Chourio (2024 OF): 6 OAA, 12 DRS, 9.4 UZR/150, 3.1 DEF Garrett Mitchell: (2024 OF): 2 OAA, 6 DRS, 7.9 UZR/150, 1.3 DEF. There's like a serious case to be made to move Chourio to CF.....
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Was just thinking about how our defensive alignment is a little more unsettled than usual heading into ST.... Catcher is straightforward with Contreras. But after that, it gets a lot more fuzzy... First base looks like Hoskins for now. But do you really want him playing the field that much? Is there a better option out there in FA and/or through trade? Second base ideally should belong to the Platinum Glover in Turang. But does Turang move to SS with Willy gone? 2B is also probably Durbin's best position, and you have to find him a place on the infield as of right now... Ortiz is the presumed favorite to start SS, but might the Brewers prefer to keep him at 3B where he thrived last year? In that case, could Turang be the one who takes over the SS position from Willy? Durbin is penciled in at third base right now according to most projections, but might he not be a better fit for 2B? Is Yelich healthy enough to play left field? Sal won the GG in RF, but Chourio was every bit as elite when he played there according to the metrics. Do you defer to your young stud?
