Brewcrew82
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Everything posted by Brewcrew82
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Lol. It is factually not the same trajectory Chourio was on. In his age 18 season, Chourio SKIPPED OVER the ACL, went straight to A ball and put up a 155 wRC+ over 271 PAs with a .276 ISO. He then was promoted to A+ ball before the end of July, putting up a 117 wRC+ and a .236 ISO, finishing the season in AA. In his age 18 season, Frias has spent most of his time in the ACL, with only a 93 wRC+ and a .182 ISO in full season ball (A) thus far. Literally not even close. As for May, here's how he compares THIS YEAR to the other non-Skubal pitchers traded at the deadline: May: 109 IP, 3.14 FIP, 15.5 K-BB%, 2.6 fWAR, 105 Pitching+ Gausman: 127 IP, 3.50 FIP, 16.9 K-BB%, 2.7 fWAR, 105 Pitching+ Soriano: 123 IP, 3.79 FIP, 13.7 K-BB%, 2.1 fWAR, 105 Pitching+ Ray: 122.2 IP, 4.36 FIP, 8.8 K-BB%, 1.0 fWAR, 89 Pitching+ Mize: 90 IP, 2.82 FIP, 17.6 K-BB%, 2.8 fWAR, 99 Pitching+ So, he in fact, compares quite favorably to the pitchers you cited. If you consider that Mize's velo and stuff is way down recently (he got shelled in his debut tonight), he certainly has a real argument for the 2nd best pitcher traded at the deadline.
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Frias isn't on the Chourio or Made trajectory. He's behind where they were at that age and been much worse than them statistically in full-season ball. That is a certifiable fact; not coping. He's also strictly a corner player, which they weren't. No one is saying he doesn't have tantalizing tools, specifically in terms of his raw power, but he has a ways to go to get to that level and the error bar is thus much larger. I still think they overpaid when you include Ragsdale. But considering there's a very real argument that May was the best non-Skubal pitcher traded at the deadline and they also got an established late inning lefty reliever, I maintain that the price is not as excessive as it seems I'm honestly just as excited by Brailyn Antunez right now, which may have been why they felt able to part with Frias.
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Caveat is it's Bleacher Report, but I think this is a pretty fair evaluation of the top prospects traded at the deadline. Frias isn't even in the top 10. For arguably the second best starter traded at the deadline plus an established late inning reliever, I don't think the price we paid is anywhere near as outrageous as many fans have portrayed. I think people to a large extent were seduced by Frias' ACL performance and Fangraphs putting him in their updated top 50, when in reality, he's probably more of a backend top 100 guy right now at best. And if he continues to perform like he is right now in A ball, he will likely fall off top 100 lists entirely. Still incredibly young and talented, but so is Brailyn Antunez who is performing much better right now. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/25461489-ranking-zyhir-hope-and-top-10-mlb-prospects-traded-2026-deadline
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Pirates (Jones) vs Brewers (Henderson): 8/4/26, 6:40pm
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Yes I have a right to respond to your opinion when it’s not supported by the facts. -
Pirates (Jones) vs Brewers (Henderson): 8/4/26, 6:40pm
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Absofreaking lately. You do realize it’s pretty much exclusively HOFers and multi time allstars who have done what he has at his age? Right? Any higher expectations is a you problem and most certainly not a Chourio problem. It is not normal for 22 year olds to have been this good this early. -
Pirates (Jones) vs Brewers (Henderson): 8/4/26, 6:40pm
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Is this a real take? That Chourio is a TT type outfielder to this point? The guy with a career 97 OPS+ and as much WAR in his career as Chourio has in 2+ seasons -
I think this is a defensible position to hold. It certainly confirms the preexisting notion of many fans. His regular season data is interestng Though, I would like to see him include xwOBA and not just wOBA into his analysis. However, the postseason data is still a super small sample size. Is there a carry over effect? Very well could be but hard to say for certain under those circumstances when it could also chalked up to random variation and luck. I think the Brewers' position would be their bats are due to have a sustained hot streak during the postseason one of these years, and that combined with their typically strong pitching could be enough to win them a WS. Increased power undoubtedly helps make up for that. Which may be why you're seeing a greater organizational emphasis such as the Andrew Fischer draft pick last year.
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This feels like an exaggeration. It remains a results-based business. Even those who are highest on Sproat's potential seem to have long soured on his ability to come anywhere close to it this year. You could afford to give him time to work through things earlier in the year, but there's been little obvious signs of improvement heading into the stretch run, which is why they needed May.
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Pirates (Jones) vs Brewers (Henderson): 8/4/26, 6:40pm
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Yelich has finally been moved down to the 7 spot folks.... -
I mean by that very same logic none of us are qualified to say that any adjustments were made by their hitting coaches...The tracking stats do indicate otherwise. Right now it's a hot streak. Nothing more nothing less. He was never as bad of a hitter as he was with the Brewers. Brewers knew this, and opted to go with the young prospect with better defense rather than continue to wait. Is it "problematic" that the Brewers' hitting coaches turned around Jake Bauers' and Andrew Vaughn's careers over a much larger sample size?
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The Athletic puts the Brewers in the losers category
Brewcrew82 replied to ImissDougMelvin's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't this one of the many outlets that has pegged us to be much worse than we have been the last several years? If so, why should particularly we care what they say about us now? -
You mean to tell me a guy is currently in a hot streak and experiencing the positive regression he was clearly due for at some point? He was never as bad as his surface numbers were for the Brewers, but he's nowhere near as good as his line is for the Padres right now. I don't think it's particularly problematic, especially when his swing hasn't changed at all as Wiguy indicates.
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Yep. The improvement from Sproat to May cannot be overstated. It's a big move to get your pitching staff to the postseason in good shape. And then May can definitely be a big part of the postseason pitching staff. Best hitter traded at the deadline was Luis Garcia, who is a 1B/DH. Brewers are stuck with Yelich and cannot then roster three first baseman/DH guys in Bauers, Vaughn, and Garcia. Was an incredibly weak deadline for impact bats unfortunately, and none really at positions where we could realistically use them.
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He's not an up the middle player like Made and hasn't been as good in A ball as Made or Chourio before him at that age. I don't see it. And is probably why the Brewers were willing to deal him. His value is dependent on his bat, which would likely need to develop to Caminero/Soto level to truly hurt us given our organizational depth. Non-zero chance obviously given his power tool, but not especially likely either.
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Zero interest in Lugo. He looks cooked. Wacha would be a fine addition for this year. Don't think I'd want to pay him $14 million for next season though.
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Brewers (Pannone) vs Giants (Webb): 7/29/26, 2:45pm
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Yep. PCA is two years older and he only really figured it out over the last couple months. Development is rarely linear. Chourio has plenty of time on his side, including the remainder of this season. He's in a major slump right now. Has a lot going on at home in Venezuela. Can't imagine playing a kid's game in the midst of that. He'll heat up, but it's gotta start with better swing decisions. I don't think he's that far away. -
Brewers (Henderson) vs Giants (Roupp): 7/28/26, 8:45pm
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Yeah. That's still not an accurate description of what happened but okay. -
Brewers (Henderson) vs Giants (Roupp): 7/28/26, 8:45pm
Brewcrew82 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
I never said Lara shouldn't be playing. I pointed out reasons why he would be on the bench yesterday, and why it was understandable under the circumstances. Of freaking course, Lara shouldn't be on the bench the entire week and should be playing most days.

