Brewcrew82

Well the “facts” that you supposedly were stating was a just super lame comparison as put best by wiguy. Fearful is certainly a term that comes to mind when people say things like “we’re going to be out of first place by the end of the Dodgers series” or “this is going to be down to 4 games soon”. lol

I believe it was you just a page ago who said “current pace doesn’t mean squat”…. 98% is 98% and I think we should ground our expectations according to that and not our own fleeting, subjective impressions. It’s hard to be in a better position at the end of August that the Brewers are currently.

Well, first of all, the Brewers are already up by more games on the Cubs right now than the Guardians were on the Royals two weeks ago. Second of all, there's a fundamental difference in quality between between the Royals and Cubs....The Royals already have a dramatically better run differential than the Guardians. One which is actually closer to the Brewers than the Cubs. Third of all, the Royals were aided in their comeback by having 4 head to head games this week against the Guardians, winning the first 3 to tie the division. The Cubs have a grand total of 0 matchups with the Brewers remaining and the Brewers hold the tiebreaker over the Cubs unlike the Guardians which gives them an additional game cushion. "They have to win games" is a pretty generic statement that everyone agrees with on its face. Of course they do (and they have been). But that doesn't mean we have to be fearful that the lead is going to be down to a few games before we know it like we were assured that the Brewers were going to be passed over for first by the end of the Dodgers series.

I'm not fretting over Atlanta losing the 6th seed. The Braves have stabilized since we swept them and haven't even lost any ground to the Cubs over the past 10 days.

Again, though, the Brewers have been winning games and for essentially the entire season.... It really comes down to what you mean by "over". If you mean from a technical standpoint, no there's still a combination of 21 Brewers wins and Cubs losses that has to occur before it's over. If you mean from a probabilistic sense, it's as close to over as any playoff race in baseball if it's not over.

The Brewers have already been winning and their lead has grown by several games in August. You previously assured us that the Brewers would be out of first place by the time they played the Dodgers. I'd take a step off the ledge before dooming every time a team below us has a good series or two. The Cubs have been playing good baseball, but they have to catch the Braves first who they haven't even gained any ground on in the last week. Heck, their first order of business is catching the Mets.

While throwing out Keller, Jones, and Skenes....Just utter crap from the Pirates.

I thought we were supposed to get passed for first place by the end of the Dodgers series....

8 unanswered runs for the Cubs. Geez.

Pirates bullpen led by Bednar is going to cost the Brewers a game in the Magic Number column with an epic meltdown.

Going to be vs. the Brewers....

Based on the team X account's hyping of Mis today and Hogg's recent comments, I am now 99.9% certain the pitcher call-up is going to be him. Yoho would be great, but last night's outing, as uncharacteristic as it was for him, probably didn't do him any favors. Nevertheless, he's only one Wilson/Ross DFA or injury away. Position player is more up in the air imo. Black homered last night, but still doesn't look like he's ready to translate to the majors with his poor QOC metrics. I think given he's already been called up by the team multiple times including just recently you'd have to consider him the favorite. Hicklen is certainly in the running as he's likewise on the 40 man. You'd feel less guilty about taking away regular playing time from him than you would Black, and he could fill a RHH 5th Ofer need. On the flip side of the coin, Hicklen has been ice cold in August and actually hits RHP much better than LHP. Only other position players on the 40 man are an injured Quero, Yelich, and Dunn and then Capra. Capra is pretty redundant with Monasterio, however. So my best guess is Mis and Black.

Saw this today on Twitter. It's been talked about how Chourio has reverse splits, struggling more against LHP. And, in fact, his season long numbers still bear that out. However, as we've become accustomed to seeing, things are changing dramatically, especially since June. xBA vs. LHP by month: April: .202 May: .234 June: .280 July: .328 August: .467(!) Incredible how this sort of progression applies to virtually every aspect of Chourio's hitting.

ESPN released an article today from Kiley McDaniel ranking the best young players in baseball by age group (behind a paywall) https://www.espn.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id/41013727/mlb-ranking-baseball-best-players-prospects-every-age-16-25-2024 #1 in the 2004 age group is Jackson Chourio. He is the only one in that age group in the major leagues, with only two other guys even being in AAA and they were just recently called up for a "cup of coffee" within the past two weeks or so. Chourio has over 400 MLB ABs of above average production and is on pace for only the third 20-20 season by a player that young in history. Good news doesn't end there, however. Cooper Pratt takes up the 9 spot in the 2004 age bracket behind Chourio. Luke Adams is described as "just missed". Move up to 2006, and the Brewers have the #8 player in DSL SS Luis Pena. McDaniel describes Pena as one of the "breakout players in the league this summer". And to top it all off, one Jesus Made takes the #1 spot in the 2007 age cohort. Who does he rank ahead of? Only Ethan Holliday, the consensus favorite to be the #1 pick in next summer's draft who many scouts describe as being more talented than his brother, and Jacob Lombard, the early frontrunner to be the #1 pick in 2026. Brewers are tied with the Padres for most #1 players at 2. Even though it's still really early for these guys, it goes without saying, I think, that this type of stuff is how you win a WS.

Some rough batted ball luck for the Brewers there. Contreras and Hoskins were both over .500 xBA.

First multi-homer game against Webb all season....

That's one way to do it, Willy!

Move the runner over please.

So depressing seeing Hudson struggle to top 90 MPH with his fastball now.

Broke the scoreboard lol

Holy crap

It's technically 21 because we own both tiebreakers. https://www.jsonline.com/story/sports/mlb/brewers/2024/07/22/milwaukee-brewers-magic-number-teams-to-watch-schedule/74497776007/

Beautiful AB.

Talk about a depressing month plus from Black.