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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Your suggestion was a very, very, very large overpay. I'll use BTV for current players and fangraphs FV value estimates for prospects. Made - 60 FV prospect so $55M value, Pena - 55 FV prospect so $46M value, Pratt - 50 FV prospect so $28M value Ortiz - $16.7M value Henderson - 50 FV prospect so $21M value Letson - 45+ FV prospect $6M value for Abrams - $50.1M value That's a roughly $49M overpay with Made, $40M overpay with Pena, and $22M overpay with Pratt.
  2. wiguy94
    That's probably too heavy in the other direction. A top 20 prospect in baseball, a big league SS who has been bad this year but for his career looks like a reasonable bet to be 1-2 WAR guy, a back end Top 100 prospect, and a roughly Top 10 org prospect. If you swap Pratt for Made/Pena it seems more realistic.
  3. wiguy94
    Jose Ramirez loves Cleveland and has a full no trade clause.
  4. wiguy94
    Felt like that was coming. Murphy said they wanted to ease Perkins in because he didn't have a super long build up and he had played 3 in a row.
  5. wiguy94
    Not enough. Boeve and Black/Martinez just don't carry much trade value.
  6. wiguy94
    Because Scott (edit: Thomas) wasn't on the active roster long enough, his Rule 5 status carries over to next year. Needs to stay on the 40-man and cannot be optioned. I think he's getting returned to St. Louis in the offseason.
  7. wiguy94
    It's not a Pat Murphy bullpen if all 8 relievers are being used.
  8. wiguy94
    Tyson Hardin to the 7-Day IL (hopefully this is just an innings limit thing and not a real injury as he's jumped from 40 to currently 84 innings) Tyler Bryant to the 7-Day IL Bayden Root promoted to AA from A+
  9. wiguy94
    Like for an example I'll use Juan Martinez in 2024. 195 PA, 20 BB, 23 SO, and according to MiLB.com only 1.785 pitches per PA for 348 pitches faced. Assuming every walk was 4 pitches and every strikeout was 3 pitches that already puts you at 149 pitches. That would mean in his other 152 PA he faced 199 pitches.
  10. wiguy94
    I'd warn to not trust any pitch data you see in the DSL unless you're getting it from a source that has access to pitch level data. If you follow a DSL game on gameday those numbers are just not what's actually happening. Unless there's a wild pitch, SB, or CS, you're typically going to see an in play AB is 1 pitch, a strikeout is 3 pitches, and a BB is 4 pitches. Edit: I'll add that the 2025 numbers might be legit as those numbers seem much more realistic.
  11. wiguy94
    This is them in 2024 and 2025. Lopez has been better across the board and significantly better xwOBA
  12. wiguy94
    Chourio seems to be trending towards what he did last year. 2024 May - .286 xwOBA June - .313 xwOBA July - .384 xwOBA 2025 May - .289 xwOBA June - .313 xwOBA July - ~.374 xwOBA after tonight
  13. wiguy94
    Basically Pratt for Otto Lopez? That seems like a bargain for the Brewers. Rodriguez, Black, and Hudson have very little trade value. Pratt looks like a glove first contact hitter which is pretty much what Otto Lopez is. Not seeing much of an argument for Ortiz being better than Lopez. Lopez has a career 97 wRC+ with 17 DRS and 21 OAA in his career. Ortiz has a career 87 wRC+ with 3 DRS and 18 OAA in his career. Lopez underlying batted bull numbers are much better than Ortiz as well.
  14. wiguy94
    Skenes last year threw 160 innings and this year is on pace for 180-200 depending on how much the Pirates want to push him. Misiorowski maybe tops out around 130-140 this year.
  15. wiguy94
    Surprised they were all that low but the fact none of them have good gloves probably pushes them down a bit.
  16. wiguy94
    A solid amount more. Skenes has 2 (maybe 1 depending on Misiorowski's ROTY finish) fewer years of control but he's fully built up to handle an MLB workload and has a significantly longer track record of success than Misiorowski.
  17. wiguy94
    I imagine it would take substantially more than Boeve/Black and Yoho to get Garcia
  18. wiguy94
    We should be getting statcast data for the ACL game tonight. I believe both times they have played at the Reds we have had it.
  19. wiguy94
    I'm just hoping Arizona plays their way into WC contention before the deadline and keep Suarez. I don't think the Brewers would pony up to trade for the best rental player on the market and I don't want the Cubs to get him.
  20. wiguy94
    I don’t know if the article was ever posted here, but he’s also a gigantic Oklahoma fan. Like grew up dreaming of playing for Oklahoma and his room is decked out in Oklahoma stuff type of fan. I think it’s probably as much Oklahoma as it is betting on himself.
  21. wiguy94
    I don’t see why Miami would sell Lopez but that would be a really nice fit for the Brewers to target. Would not be cheap though.
  22. wiguy94
    Looks like Sean Episcope and Josiah Ragsdale have also signed according to the BA Tracker. Episcope signed for $335,550 which is $111,850 under slot. Ragsdale signed for $237,500 which is $32,200 under slot. That puts the Brewers at $364,950 under slot through their first 3 signings.
  23. wiguy94
    Why will he get that in the offseason? He's a year older than he was last offseason when he had a similar season to this year and only got 1 year for $4.25M
  24. wiguy94
    No the Brewers should probably not extend the 36 year old pitcher with severely regressing underlying numbers to a 2 year deal.
  25. wiguy94
    Bryant's reaction there reminded me of many pitcher's when the UCL goes pop. Did not look good.
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