BrewerFan
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Everything posted by BrewerFan
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I WAS going to add to that post(and then deleted it) that I think we'd have been in a lot of trouble if we'd have to start either of the last 3 guys in year 1. I was looking at it much more from a Green Bay POV, but listening to Brady...what they're doing, maybe Atlanta with Penix, it might be the way to go? Or at least just have more patience and build around these guys. The Packers gave Favre a much longer leash years ago. His 3rd year he threw IIRC 19 TDs, 24 INTs and in today's game, he'd be like Justin Fields most likely. So now you're pretty much demanding a guy come in at 21-22 and perform immediately in most cases? Favre started the soonest and he was all instinct, but made awful decisions and played in a simpler...but MUCH more physical era. Rodgers...I feel like people forget how funky he looked. He got a lot of the criticism Love got. Not as much, but he looked pretty bad with that high tight, and funky delivery. Love, we all remember. He could be out of the league at this point. I don't think he was more ready than a guy like Zach Wilson, but Wilson isn't playing. I think Tom Clement has done so much to do exactly what Brady is talking about along with MLF, lucky to be a Packers fan. I don't know if the game is getting worse though...I think you see more just REALLY talented players, but there are definitely guys who would probably have done much better in better situations. Trey Lance should have sat 3 years. Never should have been expected to start so quickly...and there are a ton of examples. It makes CJ Stroud's season last year that much crazier(though I still like Love better).
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I'd not be surprised if the Yankees go after him. They've been complaining(well, fans have) about how bad they are at the other IF spots, lack of production. Volpe is their SS, BUT, depending on what they have to do with Cole and Soto, maybe he just moves to 3B? I also think he's still an elite defender who's had a bad season. His range and arm strength haven't declined, so, I think he's got a few years left there. This is just about the best situation for the Brewers. Get the most out of him in a walk year with a good draft class and two young SS's who can take his spot and hopefully, we can find a 3B/2B stopgap. LAD, SF, Seattle and NYY with one darkhorse. Hard to see the Braves spending that money or the Padres.
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Plus...Hudson has been injured, so why tax him and Wilson...he's a fairly valuable piece(though I'd have been less upset about losing him). I'd like to see Paredes back also. He looked like he had pretty good stuff as well. Certainly as a guy who as it stands would probably be one of the last men in the BP.
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He's an incredible talent, but...if there is a team that can ruin him, it's the Bears. He plays undisciplined and he looks for the big play too much. He's a rookie, so relatively minor knocks at this point, but...still. If I was the Bears...I think I'd have kept Fields rather than trade him for a 6th, let Williams sit for a year...but I get nobody really does that on purpose with a guy who's as decorated as Williams(and he may have insisted on going elsewhere as he initially did or was rumored to have done).
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Seems like they just needed space and opted to options or IL two guys who just threw a lot in Hudson who threw 2 innings on the 31st and 1 2/3 yesterday and Wilson who threw 3IP into extra innings two days ago and brought back two pitchers who...are fresh, healthy and ready to go. I'm not really seeing the big problem here. Williams, Megill, now Ashby...Pegeuero the guy who at his worst is not an MLB-caliber reliever(isn't that juust about every pitcher "at their worst?") is back up. I'm feeling pretty good about the staff right now, particularly with the power arms we've got an DL Hall looking great his last outing. But that's just one outing. Still, for the team with the best ERA in the NL, this feels more like it's an issue of trying to keep as many options available and give guys some rest more than anything else.
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Yes, I'm not including Mears into the "curse" of the Brewers deadline relievers. I'm completely confident he will come back and pitch at a very high level if not this year, next year(most likely next year). He's got elite stuff. Give him a little time with the Brewers. Time for them to work with him and get him going, he'll be fine. The trades I disliked the most, I was still wrong about. I didn't like Reece Olson trade, but I NEVER thought he'd be a 3.14 FIP/#2/3 starter type. Love to have him back. The other I really hated was the Bush trade and Antoine Kelly has been bad. So I was wrong there. The rest? Meh. I also liked Herrera, but the Brewers are pretty good about this. I just saw a 21-year-old who looks like he's still got room to add to that frame and is already hitting 97, but I really didn't see him much. You're REALLY searching to find area's to critique the Brewers front office with regard to pitching at this point. Imagine you said we're going to get a multi-inning reliever, a lefty who can throw 97-98, has NASTY breaking balls and is actually capable of being a Hader-like weapon in the post-season? What would you have given up for that?
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Brewers (Montas) vs Reds (Cruz): 8/31/24, 6:15pm
BrewerFan replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Yeah, not sure I'd say he's been "extremely shaky" since then as...he threw 2IP after that giving up 1 Walk and nothing else in the following two outings and it's been 10 days since that outing. I think we may be reading a bit too much into...nothing. -
They look at your career, but they weigh your most recent season the heaviest. He will get a healthy raise, but more importantly, unless the Pirates think he's washed, why would they move off him? Next year should be a year they're targeting to try and start competing. With Skenes, Jones and then three more young arms, power arms in AAA. That window is opening and they're going to be competitive moving forward.
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Yeah, I'm not a trader, but the stocks that I am a bit more knowledgeable about or familiar with, I tried to scoop up on the 5th. I didn't have a lot of dry powder, but NVDA dropping to 92? Bought a few hundred shares of that in the 90s...I was a bit nervous as I'm already way too heavy there, but sold at 128.50 before earnings(which I was positive I'd regret, I just always want to have some liquidity in case something silly happens. I'm looking at SMCI right now. I think they're going to come back strong. META...I was going to sell at 500, but we went right past that. Got into AVGO that week. I'd been looking for an entry point there. I did take the 5th/6th to put another 7500 into an account I'd started for my Nephew. Well, accounts. 529 and then a custodial where I can invest in a little more growth, but I was a little tentative as back then, we weren't sure how long or bad it was going to be. Just had a bad Jobs report IIRC and the Carry Trade...obviously, with hindsight, we'd all be rich. Right now I'm just trying to plan my next steps. Financial institutions thrive after rate cuts, so I'll look there, but Sept is the worst month, and then you add two very different markets based on the President.
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Oh...damn, you'd hate me as a friend then! When I owned rental properties, I had an email that I checked daily, but my personal email, I'd have 2K in there. I'm probably at 750 and 200 are work related in some way(various reports I don't care about or need to see, but I have to mark read). work-related. I'm on a family plan for my personal phone...this number dates back to HS, so it's still in my Dad's name, so I get 15 spam calls a day from that, I get another ~10-12 work and 5-6 personal, so I don't answer save for a couple that have unique ring tones, but I'm bad with that also. And if you message me on FB, probably gonna be a week or two before that gets read.
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He looked pretty fluid as a receiver, but we do have Kraft and Musgraves. Feels like we want our #3/4 TEs to be more physical and contribute to STs. Maybe that was a weakness with Wilson. I don't know, I didn't watch that closely...hard to tell when there's no cohesive offense...your doubles or whatever, it's just not the same as working with an offense that plays together. Rumors about the Packers going after Huntley who was cut by the Browns...possibly cutting Willis(I've mainly seen it from Bukowski who comes up with some FF-type ideas, but this may be decent).
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What's the expression? Short-term voting, long-term weighing? After taking a little more time to digest the numbers, I think it's really just about the Blackwell delay and the deceleration of growth. Blackwell is probably going to bring in 40B in Q4(assuming it's in full production). But the margins dropping a bit and Huang guiding for lower margins in Q4 probably due to Blackwell...I think it's just going to be a lull. You grow 1000% in 2 years, I guess you need more than a 3.8% expectations beat. Still very bullish about them for the next 12 months. It's also hard to be mad at TSM raising prices as I own TSM stock as well. 3% GDP growth! Inflation coming down...pretty strong economy for all the Bears calling for a recession.
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Man, bad day for us! Stock announces a 50B buyback. They beat on the top line They beat on the bottom line They guide better than expected Blackwell, projected to help them generate 200B in revenue in Fiscal '26 And NVDA down 8-9% after hours. When you grow that fast, you can't just beat by 1.5B or ~4%, it has to be much higher. Gonna be a bad day for tech tomorrow(maybe, I never actually know what the hell the market will do from day to day). But if there's a huge overreaction and it gets down into the 100-110 range, I'll load up on more. Otherwise, AVGO...and then...IDK, more AMZN and IWM.
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They have a little room to move with the veterans with 2+ years on the PS, but it's pretty much a set scale now after the last CBA. https://www.patspulpit.com/2024/8/28/24230532/patriots-2024-nfl-practice-squad-explainer
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Yeah, it'd be hard to let a WR like Lamb leave, but he'd have to be pretty damn special. Dallas has major problems with the middle of that defense though. They're not going to change until they stop the run and don't have to rely on Dak to carry them in the post-season.
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They can give them a little more, but I thought there was a limit to how much they could give him. Veteran players could earn another ~10-15K a week, but they're capped out at ~380 for the season and that's for the veterans. I know they just negotiated raises for PS players, but I thought it was capped based on service.
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I THINK they kept 12 DL to start the season...maybe 2 years ago? Maybe it was 3. But I thought in back to back years they kept 11 and 12 with one year Ford, Garvin, Tipa Galea...there's always at least one area they start out with a couple extra players and then with a little roster manipulation they get it in line. Could want extra DL just for week 1 in Brazil or because someone is banged up. Mosby played great, but...so did AJJ. It's not so much Ballentine OVER King, it's a 6th DE over King. And sure, he struggled, but when he was struggling, he was in the middle of the field with the 3rd team D playing man coverage. That's a hard cover for Jaire, Stokes or anyone. But, they definitely tested him. I hope he's back. I know some thought he may be more of a 3rd safety/slot type and...this wasn't a good year to try and make the team in that role, but still. Johnson Jr is still more surprising. I better see Anderson making a LOT of plays on STs as I saw Johnson blowing guys up on STs as well as filling in the run game.
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Yeah, the TB kicker was FSU's Aguayo. He was great in College and hit big kicks... Edit-Link about Aguayo https://www.profootballhistory.com/roberto-aguayo/ We did have 13 picks in the Carlson draft and he was a 6th. We've also cut 5 of the last 8 picks in that draft now with Clifford, AJJ, Dubose, and Lew Nichols. Cade York was another really good College Kicker drafted recently...it's just hit or miss, but a guy who has the physical ability and kicks a game-winner in the Iron Bowl, as big as THAT is down there... it's hard for me to get too upset about the pick. That SF kick...you can't put that one on him. The FB was tiled away from him. He had plenty of chances to fix that...and the Packers have to have fixed their overall kicking unit.
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Sure, that always happens, but I really don't understand the DBs. They have to be REALLY confident in Stokes and not high on Johnson or King. Anderson is the exact type of guy who I would think you could have cut, put on the PS and then activated if he was that important to the success of the STs. I also have trouble believing he's that much better on STs than Johnson in particular who looked really good covering kicks(plus the scoop and score, though that was more right time/place). I would be surprised to see both the CBs back. WR, Heath is another guy who's really good on STs, but Dubose looked good as well. Pratt doesn't sound like he's going to be invited back. That seems extreme to me for reasons I mentioned, but I'd guess practice plays as big of a role a the games. Otherwise, nothing to shocking. Mosby and Cox making it is a little surprising, but they always have at least one position like that.
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That's the one area he's really good. Picking up blitzers and as a receiver out of the backfield, he's also better in open space...which is counterintuitive. Most College Kickers either have poor FG% or they don't really attempt any longer FGs. I think even Tucker was a guy who didn't start for a few years and only had a ~83% FG% at Texas. Joseph was under 70%...so was Crosby at Colorado and then there was that incredible kicker from FSU Aguayo hit...like 30 in a row when FSU was great the last time and was awful. Kicker's a weird position where it's tougher to project to the NFL than most people would probably think. Moody was a guy I really wanted, but SF used a 3rd on him and he was great at Michigan...but terrible away from Michigan(or at least not good).
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They don't have to really do anyThn thing to just keep Parsons other than pay him. Lamb's deal is now a 6 year deal. Not that big of a signing bonus. They'll just add voids and restructure it a few times. They're still 20M under the cap and 30M under the '25 cap(So that'll be 50M with the carry over) and a ton of cap space the year after. ~21M of that is already going to Parsons. I'd expect he'd get a similar deal to Lamb, maybe more. You can(and people definitely have) argued they shouldn't. Especially since Dak is going to get the biggest deal in NFL history, but Jones has plenty of cash to keep them together.
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This all started with Adams IMO. Then Hill. WR contracts are just so out of control at this point. One WR cannot be worth 34.5M a year, right?

