I agree with all this. However, having about 8 teams that have a decent shot at winning the NFC means our chances are probably 10-15%.
The worst part about the 2025 Packers is that they gave us a 1 week preview in Week 1 of what they CAN be and then we haven’t seen anything close to it since. And every time since then you watch them and think, eh, they’re ok, but they could be so much more.