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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. adambr2
    Damn it.
  2. adambr2
    Unless you are Brandon Woodruff if you are a pitcher and you manage to get into a 3 ball count you should almost always be taking all the way until you either walk or strike out. Anderson just took a wild hack at Ball 4 and it wasn't close to being a strike. Really poor offensive day so far. Brault is the very definition of just a dude, and he'll walk guys if you let him.
  3. adambr2
    I'd suggest following Mass Haas @Mass_Haas, and/or Toby @YouKnowAndThat. They put out good Brewer content anyway, but posted updates on the status while the site was down as well. There was also updates on the technical issues on the Facebook site I noticed.
  4. adambr2
    Arcia has had a nice plate approach lately, but not so much that AB. Got 3 outside corner fastballs and tried to pull every one.
  5. adambr2
    Well that was a bomb.
  6. adambr2
    Not sure what the heck Yelich went up there looking for.
  7. adambr2
    Fair enough, I probably did sell Davies short. More of a #3/#4 starter than a back end guy.
  8. adambr2
    And unfortunately they have the 22nd ranked OPS at 3rd base. I do see a way to rank very highly at both spots going forward though... Me too ... continue to give your upper echelon 3B (the last two years) playing time until he gets it going. Face it people, they aren't going to give up on getting Travis Shaw right for a long time. He's too talented Is Shaw really that talented? I mean, they're all talented in the perspective that they got to this level, but I never really thought of Shaw as a guy who was just primed to break out at this level because of natural talent. I thought of him more as a guy who worked hard and always seemed to outperform his talent level until this season.
  9. adambr2
    I'm kind of in between the two of you (Joey and 92) on this one. I don't think what Davies is doing is sustainable. He's what he's always been -- a pitch to contact guy who relies on command. I'm not saying it's all smoke and mirrors, but yeah, his ERA isn't sustainable. His 4.00 FIP and 4.82 xFIP are either right in line or behind his career averages. This is a guy who many didn't feel was worthy of a rotation spot. He didn't morph into an ace. He is what he has always been, a very nice back end of the rotation starter. With that being said, other teams know the same things we do and aren't going to pay a ridiculous price for him. He's likely worth more to us now than anything we could get in return, especially from a contender who would want him but wouldn't be likely to give MLB ready production in exchange. So I doubt Davies is going anywhere. It would take a big overpay and still be a big risk.
  10. adambr2
    He's still going to be a pretty darn good value this year even with the mediocre offense. He's on pace to be about a 4 WAR player because his defense is that good. Could he end up being the worst contract on the team the last year or two of his deal, very possible. But for what he's produced in the contract so far already it would be almost impossible for it to turn out to be overall a bad contract. He would have to completely nosedive and soon.
  11. adambr2
    It's still the preseason rankings, minus the players who have graduated and having them replaced by the ones ranked #101 and up. Yeah, that would explain Ray's ranking, no way is he top 100 midseason. Does give us a good idea where they value Turang, though. I'd expect him around #80 midseason or higher.
  12. adambr2
    (One of) your mistakes here is that you seem to be assuming that operating income and net profit are the same. They are not. And we probably can spend 10-15M at the deadline if we want to, but it would be foolish to do it for the sake of doing it just because we *can*. We would probably do it if an opportunity presented itself that we felt we couldn't pass up on. And it still wouldn't guarantee we'd be better than the Dodgers.
  13. adambr2
    Sorry, you just can't run a small market ballclub like that. We can't try to compete with the Cubs and Dodgers on their turf. We don't have the financial resources they do, and the Dodgers have the farm system to blow any trade offer we make out of the water. That doesn't mean we can't make smart, calculated, aggressive moves to try to improve our weaknesses -- and recent history indicates we will. But we can't try to play the one-up game with the Dodgers and Cubs. Won't work, and the end result will likely be a return to the 2012-16 seasons. We don't need to beat out the Cubs and Dodgers. We just need to be better than them for a short time in October. We can try to improve our weaknesses. We can give ourselves a chance to beat them in the playoffs. But trying to go toe to toe with them over 162 games is a fool's errand.
  14. adambr2

    NBA Finals

    adambr2 replied to homer's topic in Other Sports

    I will always wonder if we make one more play in Game 3 game, and win the 2OT game, if we would have won it all.
  15. adambr2
    http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2019?list=prospects Pipeline currently has Ray at #85....(ummm, what?) and Turang at #100.
  16. adambr2
    Man, those couple days felt like forever. Welcome back Brewerfan.net!
  17. adambr2
    Wow, 3 million fans to the park, and we sell? Not happening. I think we are far more likely to be buyers than sellers, but your attendance should have zero to do with your decision to buy or sell.
  18. adambr2
    Agree with a lot of what you say Joey but I think Super 2 was a huge factor if not the biggest factor. To answer your question when they decide to bring him up for the first time isn't as big of a factor as how much time they let him spend on the active roster this hear as they can call him up and send him down as much as they want to get under the estimated cutoff.
  19. adambr2
    #1, yes, BUT markets fluctuate over time for many reasons, regardless of past precedence. Chapman for Torres was a pretty unprecedented trade when it was done, and I doubt any team would do it now. #2, we also can't compare prospects straight up based on their organizational ranking, as your #5 prospect one year might only be as good as your #12 prospect in other years or in other systems. Just because Dubon is highly rated in our system doesn't mean he is very valued as a trade chip. Looking at Soria for Medeiros+ last year, I'd say Medeiros probably had comparable value alone at that moment to what Brown is worth right now, and Smith is more valuable than Soria was.
  20. adambr2
    Dubon and Zack Brown is probably about exactly the kind of return it would take IMO. Dubon, sorry, he's just not much of a prospect. He's got a high probability of being an MLB player but his ceiling isn't much more than an Hernan Perez type. Career utility players just aren't great trade chips. Brown would be the more coveted asset, and ideally you'd like to send someone else, but his value has taken a bit of a hit this year. Brown+Dubon is probably about right. It seems like a lot, but it's just not a very good farm system. Smith is a high leverage lefty and even as a rental, they aren't cheap.
  21. adambr2
    We had a +18 run differential. The Marlins came to Miller Park and we now have a negative run differential.
  22. adambr2
    If we want to take it down a notch from that group, a guy like Jonathan Papelbon was still dominant through his age 34 season.
  23. adambr2
    Billy Wagner is the first one to come to mind. A lot. Pretty much all the elite ones (Rivera, Eckersley, Fingers) were at least mostly dominant well into their 30s, and Kimbrel is certainly in that company of relievers.
  24. adambr2
    It's definitely a good thing for the Cubs. If I'm being totally impartial, it's tough to compare our lineup, rotation, and pen to the Cubs and find an area where we are better.
  25. adambr2
    Agreed all 3 should go down. I'd option all 3 and call up Nelson, Wilkerson, and Hart.
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