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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. owbc
    Sounds like DeRosa thought the US had already advanced and let the players go out on Monday night. What a blunder. Other than Harper I don’t have a huge problem with the lineup. Witt and Turang are the clear stars of the show. They lack pitching and were unmotivated last night. If they get lucky enough to advance they are going to get bounced by the more motivated teams.
  2. owbc
    There's a crazy amount of speculation going on with oil prices. Tomorrow Iran could say "actually the war will continue as long as we want it to continue for" and it will go back up. The broader market seems to be in the "short lived disruption" camp.
  3. owbc
    It is great to be able to watch this much prime time baseball in early March. Loving every second of this tournament.
  4. owbc
    And now he adds an RBI double to go with the superb fielding.
  5. owbc
    Some scenarios that will almost certainly see improvement after challenges start happening: - Catcher sets up on one corner and has to reach across the plate a pitch on the opposite corner. Almost always called a ball. - Catcher/pitcher gets crossed up - Strike called a ball on a stolen base attempt - Umpire misses a call, and then gives a "make up call" on another pitch later in the AB.
  6. owbc
    Which piece of bad news would you like? I assume the jobs report…
  7. owbc
    That's what happened in the minor leagues.
  8. owbc
    This loop of strike zone over time shows how much better umpiring has become: 2025 is incredibly good compared with 2007. When you look at 2025 you can barely see any room for improvement at all -- it looks like too many middle-height pitches off the plate get called strikes and too many pitches in the far, far corners get called balls. But other than that the challenge system is really about catching egregious, outlier misses. All evidence suggests that the immediate feedback of the challenge system makes umpiring even better, so 2026 will have even less misses than 2025.
  9. owbc
    Still feels like there is little/no upside and a ton of downside from an investment strategy perspective. Iran’s entire strategy is going to be to disrupt economic activity.
  10. owbc
    So far the markets have mostly shrugged it off. Oil prices driving inflation seems to be the biggest immediate risk.
  11. owbc
    Put me in the "don't care" camp. He's getting paid to win games in October and anything before that is a bonus.
  12. owbc
    I'm fine seeing Durbin go, I love "sell high" trades. But from a fan perspective, it will make it hard to get attached to role players since any overperformer who isn't a core star and doesn't have peripherals backing it up is headed straight for the trading block.
  13. owbc
    My in laws who live in Vegas are on the list. Currently you have to buy all 6 games as a package. They asked if we were interested in coming to see the Brewers but the games are on weeknights and I don’t have much interest in going to the desert in summer. Personally I would expect tickets to be readily available for these games.
  14. owbc
    I wonder how the FO would grade themselves... Woodruff accepting the QO set the tone for the offseason, ate up most of the budget, and triggered the call to trade Peralta. Do they regret extending the QO? I bet they would grade themselves highly on trade return. Peralta trade sets them up well for the future but could backfire in the short term with how important it is that Woodruff doesn't get hurt. They likely project the Durbin trade as lopsided in our favor. On FA signings, likely a high grade as well for gap filling the roster while not committing any $ beyond 2026. Who knows what the other potential options were.
  15. owbc

    Solar

    owbc replied to wallus's topic in Off-Topic Forum

    Personally I don’t think other buyers valued it at $50K which is part of the reason we got the house in the first place. The sellers did a pretty big set of upgrades (roof, solar, HVAC) which I found attractive.
  16. owbc
    If you said that to a Pittsburgh Pirates fan they would probably punch you in the face.
  17. owbc
    I see comments dated October 2025. I think the conversation is worth having, I don't think the details have been ironed out yet (will be part of CBA I assume) and with the WBC coming up there will be more talk about it.
  18. owbc
    This is almost certain to happen, Manfred suggested it would be an 11-day break instead of the usual all star break.
  19. owbc
    Wisconsin might have a chance when they expand to 48 in a few years
  20. owbc
    Typical "buy low" move from the Brewers with our usual preference for defensive flexibility. Had a 110 or greater OPS+ in both 2024 and 2023. Fell off a cliff last year but Savant suggests that he mostly got unlucky. His xwOBA was basically the same as 2024, xSLG actually went up. I'm pleasantly surprised, I thought we were going to resort to dumpster diving but Rengifo is a proven major leaguer who could play every day if we really needed him to. His glove may be what ultimately costs him playing time, since he's not at the level of our other options.
  21. owbc
    They win 100 games. They have a better Opening Day roster than 2025 and a ridiculous supply of near-MLB ready young talent to fold in as the season progresses. They do it by being #1 in MLB in run prevention. They come into 2026 with more pitching depth, a better bullpen, and better defense than 2025. They won't quite match their offensive output from 2025, but they will get close enough to improve as a whole. [disclaimer: I would officially project them for low-90s wins, there was definitely some luck involved in last year's win total and I worry about having worse injury luck. But I think 100 wins is their ceiling.]
  22. owbc
    Regarding whether or not we are better than 2025, I think it's unfair to compare to the September roster, the real comparison is the Opening Day roster... Jake Bauers Vinny Capra Oliver Dunn Rhys Hoskins Joey Ortiz Brice Turang So...yes, we are in insanely better position with the infield than we were a year ago.
  23. owbc
    I don't think it's controversial to say that if they can't turn Harrison into a MLB caliber starting pitcher then the trade will be a failure. It's also not controversial to say that the trade left a disaster on the left side of the infield from an offensive perspective. Really this trade is a straight up buy low, sell high.
  24. owbc
    At least he gets to be their ace and Opening Day starter! (not sure if that should be in blue or not...)
  25. owbc
    The only thing missing is a World Series appearance, but that will come sooner rather than later if the current organizational trajectory continues. I always thought we would have to do it as underdogs but what's probably going to happen is there will be a year that we are just so freaking good that not even the Dodgers can stop us.
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