The only BP ones I haven't seen are 127 Hours, Black Swan, and The King's Speech. When I think about what should win BP, I think about not only the impact it has in its particular year but also how well it will hold up over time. I also don't like most typical "Oscar-bait" movies. They may be good movies but most of the time are completely overrated. I'm still upset that Crash won in 05, even though the class wasn't particularly strong that year. The King's Speech (from what I've heard/read) and Social Network both seem like these types of movies. The King's Speech will probably hold up better over time but a movie about a stuttering British king just doesn't seem enjoyable to me (I know there's more to it than that but still). I enjoyed the Social Network and thought the writing was great but I don't think it's BP worthy. There were just too many factual inaccuracies for me. Same thing with The Fighter. I know both are fictional movies but when films make a point of saying they are based on true stories (more specifically, recent true stories), I think there should be more fact than fiction. True Grit was good and visually looked great but I don't think it really did anything that the original didn't. Winter's Bone and The Kids Are All Right feature great acting but for me, that's about it. I found both rather slow-moving and kind of dull. I liked Toy Story 3 more than I thought i would but it's still completely overrated and I just don't think animation belongs in the BP category because it's a different vehicle than live-action. For me, BP comes down to Inception and Black Swan (just from what I've heard/read). I thought Inception was amazing, from the story to the visuals to everything in between. I usually don't like big blockbuster movies winning awards, but in this, I think it's justified. I think Inception will definitely hold up over time. From what I've heard, the same would be true for Black Swan. I just think people will be talking about these two movies more than King's Speech and Social Network 20 years down the road.