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rluzinski

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Everything posted by rluzinski

  1. Other than the actual result of the poor ABs, what clues am I missing to suggest that lack of effort could be a cause? Estrada is the only guy you could make any kind of reasonable case against, IMO. For anyone else, you are simply assuming that lack of success = lack of motivation, based on nothing, at least that I am aware of. It just comes down to frustrated fans wanting to see the source of their frustrations be punished, IMO. Pretty peculiar and counterproductive consolation if my theory is correct.
  2. I for one, was both co-captain of my football team and tested out of college math. Another of our captains is now a lawyer, and I used to box with a PhD candidate (I believe it was in chem). You don't need to be an illiterate boob to play sports. On several occasions, I've had to explain that I in fact have played organized sports in high school and didn't just hide behind my programmable calculator. It really seems to confuse people that you can actually do both!
  3. Some of us might need a break from the team, others might needa break from fellow BF.neters. Either way,a day off might be a good idea.
  4. While I have been guilty of this as well, using selective end points is not an objective way to assess the talent of a baseball team and can be very misleading. I can use my own selective endpoints to come to the complete opposite conclusion you came up with, if I want to: "Since starting 33-29, the Brewers have gone 24-20. If the Brewers continued that pace for the rest of the year, they'd finish with 91 wins and would probably make the playoffs. While the Brewers could suddenly change from what they've been the last 44 games, I'm glad there isn't more evidence that hints toward that." No, the correct approach is to consider all the information we have. We should examine the preseason expectations and the whole of the 2007 season so far (weighing the results of the current season more heavily). We should also consider personnel changes and how they might effect future expected performance. If we put all the information together, we come up with a far more objective assessment of the team and it's significantly less pessimistic that the doomsdayers suggest.I don't claim to know whether the Brewers will win the Central but the facts suggest that the Brewers still have a decent shot at the playoffs. And if Jopal was being disingenuous when he proposed a wager, we might as well just lock this thread. We have enough vent threads as it is.
  5. I think it's at least plausible. If may have had thousands of extra AB against his Dad. I can pretty much guarantee that his splits will even out some eventually. He's not always going to have a .800 OPS differential!
  6. Isn't there a difference between a strike signal and an out signal? i thought the ump signaled out.
  7. The dollar amount varies from around $40 to about $90. I haven't gotten a speeding ticket under $100 in about 10 years (all on freeways), so I'm not sure about those figures. Here's a FAQ from a Dane County website: LINK Am I missing something here?
  8. If the ump calls him out, he's gone. He asked the 1B ump for help and then signaled the out (not just strike 3). Looked like the inning should have been over. The only thing I could think happened is that the ump misread the 1B umps' call and incorrectly signaled an out.
  9. If you think it's a fact that this season is over, stop watching and leave us to our ignorance.
  10. Oh, that's right, they really don't have stellar pitching - just seems like it this weekend! You must have missed the first 2 games of the series. hard to be disappointed with 12 and 6 runs (and no, I don't care when in the game they score their runs). As for the road record, didn't all of Coco's 4 loses come on the road?
  11. Tell an old Red Sox fan that, and be sure to mention the name Thurman Munson at he end of it. Or an old Cubs fan and be sure to mention Ron Santo and the black cat at the end. To fans it matters, obviously. When assessing team talent, provided the personnel hasn't changed (injuries), it really doesn't matter.
  12. Is the theory that the Brewers are losing because they aren't properly motivated and Yost yelling at them will motivate them? That might work in Little League, I guess.
  13. Can't you request to see the reading on the radar gun?
  14. I guess he was just kidding. Ha, ha?
  15. If Jopal is willing to put his money where his mouth is, it could certainly be interesting.
  16. $50 sound great. We can send Brian our $50. Winner gets their $50 back. Loser donates their $50 to Brewerfan.net. You did want to actually wager something, right?
  17. At points in the year -- sure -- not so much in this last month, which is the context of what the chat was. All teams struggle to score runs for stretches but that doesn't mean you make fundamental changes as a result. Is June so far in the past that fans have already forgotten how great the offense performed in that month? Fans need to look at the big picture when assessing talent. Obviously, I'd love to see the offense improve even more but as it is, I think they are pretty good already.
  18. I think though they need to do a better job of getting on base, and perhaps that is the skewed perception you are referring to. I'll take more OBP and runs any day but the idea that the offense is bad the way it's currently constructed just rings hallow to me. They've scored plenty of runs.
  19. I think fans are sick of guys like Mench, Jenks, Weeks, Hall, Hardy, and Estrada having crappy useless ABs. And that really gets to the heart of the matter; confusing what's the most entertaining style of offense vs. which is the most efficient at scoring runs. I'd say that 99% of fans and the media would find a manufactured run substantially more entertaining to watch than a guy popping off a solo HR. I am part of that 99% but I'll take an "ugly" run over a pretty run any day, however. Big picture, I want an offense that averages the most runs per game and is as consistent as possible (doesn't score 10 runs, 1 game and 0 the next). A HR heavy offense usually scores a good amount of runs and, despite claims to the contrary, are just as consistent. I think the Brewers are a good illustration overall that team OPS that is weighted more to the SLG side, may have problems scoring enough runs. They are third in runs scored... what's the problem? It's just skewed perception, IMO. A guy hitting a ball to the warning track got just as close to scoring a run as a a guy who hits a single, steals 2B and gets saced to third, only to be stranded. It just seems like the small ball approach was closer to scoring because it took a heck of a lot longer. In reality, both approaches failed to the same degree.
  20. I think the beaning will motivate Wise, causing him to gain 4-5 MPH on his fastball and allowing him to be the closer for 2008. You can book it.
  21. Very nice post, Igor. I'm a big fan of Powell but I'm disappointed with Powell for his stance that the Brewers need to score more runs via the "small ball" route. When he offered that opinion to Uecker on air on Thursday, he said something to the effect that the Brewers score their runs with power and shouldn't try to chance that. I'd love to argue against it but frankly I don't really understand the argument to begin with. Is the idea that small ball offenses can score 1 run more easily? It's simply not true if that's the idea.
  22. however I guess I find taking the 8 position players head to head and calling it 6-2 in favor of one team, rather incomplete and/or arbitrary. It's a very bad way to compare two teams, IMO. It completely ignores the relative difference at each position, causing some serious distortions at times. OPS is quick and dirty offensive measure but it's not even close to the best measure. After 100+ games, straight runs scored can give you an OK idea of a team's offensive prowess (assuming consistent personnel).
  23. Wow, the Brewers sure got their share of bloop single luck that inning.
  24. All that article did was point out that Brewer fans and the media are freaking out and it speculates whether the players will as well. The only evidence they use to support that possibility is that the Brewers are watching the Cubs games. They are watching the Cubs games because they always watch baseball games before their own and the Cubs happen to be the team chasing them. So what? They also use a bunch of quotes from Estrada that make it sound like he's talking about the team, only to clarify later that he's talking about the fans. Pretty misleading, if you ask me. Yost says the team has remained steady. The players have said they have remained steady and they've done absolutely nothing to indicate otherwise. The fans and media over react after every lose and apparently assume that the players will do the same. It's all so damn silly.
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