rluzinski
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Everything posted by rluzinski
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Broadcast is saying Ramirez is close to returning but couldn't find any information speculating when exactly that might be. Any recent articles on the topic? Getting Gonzalez out of that lineup should help A LOT.
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Early runs sure make watching games more fun. I do not believe that having Lucroy bat behind Braun is going to result in pitchers pitching to him much differently, if at all. I don't think there is much evidence that protection plays much of a role at all. And despite Weeks' bad start and Lucroy's great 2012, they project pretty close to each other.
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Segura has had an unbelievable start to this season.
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I have no problem with Weeks moving down in the lineup but the reaction is kind of silly, considering he was bumped all the way down to.... 5. I know traditional lineup construction suggests otherwise but there is nothing particularly special about the 4 spot in the lineup. "Agree, Segura all but locked up the two hole." Love his great start but we are talking about 69 PA. He has a bad 50 PA and people will be calling for his head.
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How much longer should Rickie be given at the 4th spot?
rluzinski replied to The stache's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
There was at least one other poster advocating platooning Weeks with Gennett. And I don't follow your logic at all regarding why you think he won't hit those projections. ZiPS and everyone else already know that Weeks is striking out at a much higher rate than normal, even for him: http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/1849_2B_season_mini_4_20130422.png Why should we expect that to continue? It's not like ZiPS is ignoring that it went up last year or has been terrible this year. It takes that all into consideration. What is your projection for him, going forward, for 2013? -
How much longer should Rickie be given at the 4th spot?
rluzinski replied to The stache's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
ZiPs rest of season projection for Weeks: .244/.336/.428 Clearly, his struggles over the last 1+ years has translated into lowered offensive expectations going forward. That line with averagish defense at 2B has positive value, though. He can't continue to struggle defensively and be worth is contact, though. Furthermore, I don't think anyone is suggesting that Weeks fits well in the 4th spot. He was only there because the two best options there are unavailable. Even Weeks in his prime was a great hitting 2B but there's a reason 2B don't usually hit in the prime hitting spots. If someone wants to argue that Weeks should be batting lower in the lineup, that is reasonable. In my opinion, suggesting Weeks should platoon with Scooter Gennett is fairly ridiculous, however. I would say even suggesting he bat behind Betencourt and (especially) Gonzalez is based on shortsightedness. -
Wow. This thread is basically two guys ******** about Weeks (and everything else). Couldn't you guys just direct message each other? Over and out.
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Topper, ANYWHERE but 5th means he doesn't like batting 4th? The logic I see employed on this site just gets better and better.
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Is there a link available for when Weeks said, "I don't like batting 4th."
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I am not disputing the possibility that certain athlete's performances can be negatively impacted by the stress of a big moment. That would be an absurd stance to take. It would be impossible to prove it NEVER happens. I am suggesting that baseball fans are obsessed with constantly trying to attribute good and bad performances to a physiological response to strees. I'm also suggesting that none of us have any real chance of identifying when a bad performance was caused by a negative reaction to stress. The idea that relievers PROVE that clutch is real because some can't pitch in high pressure situations is ridiculous. Who? When? How many times does it have to be pointed out that relievers were never even used that way until very recently. And the idea that Axford's recent struggles are because because he can't handle the stress is laughable for the reason mentioned above.
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Axford is exhibit A that fans have no idea what they are talking about when they say this player or that is clutch or can handle the pressure or whatever cliche they want to use. A couple of years ago, it was clear to every fan that Axford was clutch has all hell and had ice running through his veins. That was obvious, since you can't have success as a closer without those kinds of qualities. Never mind he basically went from being a minorleaguer to the everyday closer overnight (something that is not supposed to be possible, since young guys will obviously piss themselves in those kind of high pressure situations). This guy was a closer's closer! Now, it's clear that Axford has none of those qualities. How could he, since he's pitching scared and timid and without confidence? I mean, you just have to watch the guy pitch... it's obvious! Basically, you guys just make this stuff up as you go or parrot whatever you here the guys on the TV say. Create a narrative to fit the situation, use anecdotes to support it, repeat.
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I agree that if a team was trying to find an infield position for him, 3B might be the best bet.
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Yuni's skill set is that he he has a little bit of pop. That's it. He's a sub .300 OBP batter, which is terrible for even a back up 1B. Or if he could play SS. He is no worse than Weeks at 2B and Weeks is a good regular 2B~ Yuni projects no worse at SS than Weeks does at 2B? Defensively, I know Weeks had a tough 2012 and has had a bad start to 2013 (after 14 games). Prior to that, has had developed into an averagish defender, however. In contrast, Yuni has always been historically bad at SS and it doesn't appear that any team is even willing to play him at SS anymore. His projected .290/.425 line would actually be decent at SS, otherwise. It's reasonable to conclude the ankle injury has negatively impacted Weeks' defense... but from averigish to terrible? I don't buy it.
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Nice to see Axford has some success with off speed pitches.
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brewers pitchers just don't walk anybody
rluzinski replied to djoctagone's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
For the record, the guys doing pure statistical analysis are a usually a different group of people from the self described pitching biomechanics experts that have cropped up all over the place in recent years. Who is Paul Sporer anyway? Why should we care what a former sotware salesman has to say about the pitching mechanics of Yovani anyway? I don't mean to suggest that sabermetricians never abuse the scientific method (they do). I just find a lot of this biomechanics stuff almost pseudoscience. Unless they have some kind of medical background, it's hard to take much of what they say very seriously (in terms of injury risk at least). -
I wish Betancourt and Segura could play SS at the same time. Betancourt would position himself about 10 feet behind Segura, anyway. It would be a blast to see the difference in their reaction time and range.
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Nothing is a sure deal but the Brewers have about a 95% chance of winning, so I am going to enjoy that fact.
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Wow. They really need to turn that thing off until July or so. They need to use career stats. Even in July, this type of information is descriptive, not predictive. Single season splits tell you what happened, not what to expect going forward. It's frustrating that while baseball is anti-stats in some ways, the stuff they do show is often worthless.
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The most you will probably see is Weeks and Lucroy get swapped in the lineup. That kind of move is so inconsequential however that RR might deem it not worth making.
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Quick question. If Gallardo has a bad outing, how long before someone states that is was obviously a direct result of his recent troubles?
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brewers pitchers just don't walk anybody
rluzinski replied to djoctagone's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
And what is a "heavy over the top pitching philosophy"? Do you just mean that they have a very rigid, unorthodox pitching philosophy that they force pitchers to follow? What is it exactly and where is this documented? Is it just something along the lines of "get ahead of the count with fastballs early" and "pound the strike zone"? The numbers should bear some of that out if it is indeed the case. For instance, if the Brewers have a philosophy that that pitchers should pound the strike zone in general, that isn't reflected in the 2012 numbers, as the Brewers strike percentage was right at league average. The Brewers actually started with less first pitch strikes than average in 2012: http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/NL/2013-pitches-pitching.shtml#teams_pitches_pitching::6 Now, perhaps that is because the 2012 pitching staff simply didn't have the skills to follow whatever philosophy the Brewers may or may not have. If that is the case, though, we can't just attribute their HR and walk rates to a philosophy so easily. Basically, I am asking for some evidence that: A. There is a "heavy over the top pitching philosophy" B. It's being followed by the Brewer pitching staff C. It has the result of adversely affecting certain pitching stats D. We should also expect a higher rate of injury -
Or if he could play SS.
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Going forward, no way Segura projects to be better than Weeks at this point. Happy to throw down some money to a good cause to whomever wants to put their money where their mouth is. $50 to the charity of your choice. It's easy to be 100% sure when you are anonymously sharing your opinion but everyone shuts up when they have some actual skin in the game. Someone, prove me wrong Weeks won a charity $50 last year, so I have a good streak going.
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I don't think I have ever been so excited about the Brewers being 5-8. I will be in the 5th row behind home plate on Friday, so I've been frantic for the Brewers to win a few games to make that game more fun. SWEEEEEEEPPPPP!
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Pardon me for not reading back but did someone really argue that he has a 100% chance of being good for 3 years or are you arguing against a strawman? Every year, pitchers lose velocity and as a result, effectiveness. I don't believe any aging curve suggests batters or pitchers should be expected to just fall apart, however. It happens, sure, but on average, they just fade each year.