Game Thread (4/27/2022): Brewers (Ashby) at Pirates (Wilson) - 5:35 PM CDT

[Brewcrew82]

I hate everything about this game. This ump has now missed two strikeouts that led directly to walks tonight. 

[Opening Day]

I want 3 hitting coaches next year.

[SomewhereInTime]

9 minutes ago, Brewcrew82 said:

We are going to go to the 12th inning and the score will still be 0-0 at this rate due to the ump, the baseballs, and the weather. 

Or just random variance?  I haven't seen a fly ball hit by the Brewers get caught at the wall yet.  Most have been well hit fly balls short of the warning track.  Sometimes liners are caught in this sport.

[Brewcrew82]

1 minute ago, Opening Day said:

I want 3 hitting coaches next year.

Not much the hitting coaches can do about tonight. We should easily be up 4-1 right now. 

[willie key]

3 minutes ago, Opening Day said:

I want 3 hitting coaches next year.

I want each player to have his own hitting coach

[SomewhereInTime]

1 minute ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

Are you kidding me? Every damned ball, right at somebody.

A .480 xBA on that ball from Tellez.

Sometimes the 52% outcome hits.

[Brewcrew82]

No reason why Yelich should not attempt a steal right here. 

[Sixtolezcano]

53 minutes ago, Brewcrew82 said:

We are going to go to the 12th inning and the score will still be 0-0 at this rate due to the ump, the baseballs, and the weather. 

Would have been nice. Wishful  thinking.

[Opening Day]

2 minutes ago, willie key said:

I want each player to have his own hitting coach

Like their caddy, carries the bats to the on deck cricle for them.

[Brewcrew82]

2 minutes ago, Brewcrew82 said:

No reason why Yelich should not attempt a steal right here. 

Or not. Glad they figured out to hit their line drives on the ground and find a hole. 

[SomewhereInTime]

The key is to keep putting the ball in play, keep hitting it hard.  Eventually enough of them fall for hits.

[Brewcrew82]

7 minutes ago, SomewhereInTime said:

Sometimes the 52% outcome hits.

And also the 0.7% outcome on Adames' first at-bat, apparently. 

[SomewhereInTime]

Just now, Brewcrew82 said:

And also the 0.7% outcome on Adames' first at-bat, apparently. 

Yeah if you believe any of that stuff.  I once saw statcast predict a linedrive homerun to left would be a homerun in 30/30 MLB ballparks.  Do you see the problem with that prediction?

[HarryDoyle]

11 minutes ago, willie key said:

I want each player to have his own hitting coach

I want each hitting coach to have a hitting coach coach.

[SomewhereInTime]

Much like official homerun distances.  They are numbers for entertainment purposes only.

[Brock Beauchamp]

26 minutes ago, SomewhereInTime said:

Sometimes the 52% outcome hits.

Obviously, but that was the fifth consecutive ball with a .400+ xBA that didn't land for a hit, the most unlikely a .930 xBA ball from Adames that wasn't a hit.

[Brock Beauchamp]

20 minutes ago, SomewhereInTime said:

Yeah if you believe any of that stuff.  I once saw statcast predict a linedrive homerun to left would be a homerun in 30/30 MLB ballparks.  Do you see the problem with that prediction?

I'm pretty sure the home run equations only factor in distance, ignoring walls, conditions, wind, etc.

And whether you "believe" the number or not, they're literally basing the xBA on tens of thousands of batted ball profiles and matching each ball to its closest equivalents. It's just a computer that has a big ol' database that checks similar historical results. Balls that were hit in a similar fashion fell for hits 93% of the time.

I mean, it's not that different than saying you don't believe in the number seven.

[Joseph Zarr]

Just an FYI for everyone as I'm unsure if this was touched on:

The word from Garrett Greene tonight on Luis Urias' rehab stint is the plan for Luis is to get through as many at bats in these Minor League games as the Brewers batters got in their shortened spring training. Whether or not all these at bats all happen with Biloxi or some happen with Nashville is unknown. However, what is true is Luis won't be down in the Minor Leagues for much longer. This is good news!

[SomewhereInTime]

Just now, Brock Beauchamp said:

I'm pretty sure the home run equations only factor in distance, ignoring walls, conditions, wind, etc.

And whether you "believe" the number or not, they're literally basing the xBA on tens of thousands of batted ball profiles and matching each ball to its closest equivalents. It's just a computer that has a big ol' database that checks similar historical results. Balls that were hit in a similar fashion fell for hits 93% of the time.

I mean, it's not that different than saying you don't believe in the number seven.

Sounds like 50/50 to me.  It's either a hit or it's not.  Two possible outcomes.

[Brock Beauchamp]

3 minutes ago, SomewhereInTime said:

Sounds like 50/50 to me.  It's either a hit or it's not.  Two possible outcomes.

Um... okay.

[Pugger]

PNC Park has to be the only ballpark with a harpsichord.  

[Joseph Zarr]

Boy, I saw all the lamentations in this thread and was assured the Brewers were still trailing 1-0. You all need to watch some Minor League knocks on the regular to garner some calming perspective. ? Carry on and let's bring another 'W' home for the folks back home!

[Joseph Zarr]

While watching the Saints versus the Sounds today I legit had a thought: If we combined these two ball clubs and just rotated the talent I honestly think they could beat the majority of the Big League bottom feeders on a regular basis. The pitching is that good and there is enough talent between the two clubs to do some damage.

[DuWayne Steurer]

25 minutes ago, SomewhereInTime said:

Sounds like 50/50 to me.  It's either a hit or it's not.  Two possible outcomes.

If I throw a dart at a dartboard, if I aim for the bullseye, I will either hit it, or I won't.  I can assure you I will not hit the bullseye 50% of the time, even though by this logic it is a 50/50 outcome.  

[TURBO]

Kid Rock Howard struggling...