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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. The Brewers, like many other teams, churn the bottom 2-3 spots of the 40-man every offseason. Right now I have no desire to do the research, but I know that there have been several examples in recent years of guys the Brewers have signed or claimed and then put through waivers later on in the offseason to try to keep in the organization once they've found a more desirable person for that roster spot. I get the "don't assume he's going to AAA until he actually does" standpoint, but I think it also goes both ways - don't assume he's making the ML roster until he actually does. Likely moreso for a guy who has never been in the majors before.
  2. So we're using batting average and RBIs to assess a player's value? And you say my point is "nonsensical"?
  3. So we're using batting average and RBIs to assess a player's value? And you say my point is "nonsensical"?
  4. You're both correct. In 2022, among pitchers with at least 90 IP, Lauer ranked #119 in FIP, a low #4. In 2021, among pitchers with at least 90 IP, Lauer ranked #65, a high #3. Between 2021 and 2022 combined, among pitchers with at least 180 IP Lauer ranked #92, a high #4.
  5. You're both correct. In 2022, among pitchers with at least 90 IP, Lauer ranked #119 in FIP, a low #4. In 2021, among pitchers with at least 90 IP, Lauer ranked #65, a high #3. Between 2021 and 2022 combined, among pitchers with at least 180 IP Lauer ranked #92, a high #4.
  6. Umpires are going to need a new sponsor... Of course, turns our they were the perfect sponsor for Angel Hernandez.
  7. Chris Carter's career K rate: 33.3% Rowdy Tellez's career K rate: 22.4% (and 20.2% last year, 18.4% in 2021). Not sure what your definition of "mainstay" is, but Tellez is "good enough" at his current salary (that may change with arbitration). If Abreu costs $20M/year and Tellez comes in at his rough arbitration estimate of $5M... Abreu isn't worth $15M more. And Tellez isn't like Chris Carter at all.
  8. Chris Carter's career K rate: 33.3% Rowdy Tellez's career K rate: 22.4% (and 20.2% last year, 18.4% in 2021). Not sure what your definition of "mainstay" is, but Tellez is "good enough" at his current salary (that may change with arbitration). If Abreu costs $20M/year and Tellez comes in at his rough arbitration estimate of $5M... Abreu isn't worth $15M more. And Tellez isn't like Chris Carter at all.
  9. I'd rather the Brewers spend that money on extending Woodruff/Burnes. The money that Abreu/Bell will cost is not worth the upgrade over what Tellez will cost, but that depends on what Tellez gets in arbitration.
  10. I'd rather the Brewers spend that money on extending Woodruff/Burnes. The money that Abreu/Bell will cost is not worth the upgrade over what Tellez will cost, but that depends on what Tellez gets in arbitration.
  11. Apparently my company filed notice with the state of CA on Friday of a small number of layoffs (<100) in CA effective Jan 6th. CA has a law that requires employers to give 60-days notice to the state of any layoffs. From what I can tell, it's less than 10% of our CA employees (as our US HQ is in CA). I know this borders on political, but I am sick of the Fed raising interest rates with the deliberate outcome of increasing unemployment. I don't know anyone who is spending excessively and deliberately trying to spend more than they have to. I have a mortgage so my housing payment isn't going to change (save for small changes in taxes/insurance). My vehicle is paid off and I have no plans on changing that unless absolutely necessary. What I don't see people talking about is competition. Mergers and acquisitions have left most industries with at most 3-4 big companies that account for >75% of sales. If you want bran flakes with raisins for breakfast, your choices are Kellogg's, Post, and whatever the store brand is. If Kellogg's raises their prices, you can bet that Post and the store brand will raise theirs as well. If you switch to oatmeal, you have Quaker, the generic store brand, the premium/organic store brand, and maybe one or two smaller organic/premium companies. There's not a lot of choice, and they're all subject to grain prices. The Fed can only control interest rates, but the government needs to focus on increasing supply and competition. Demand isn't the issue.
  12. I'm hearing from a number of places that people are applying with no interest (so they can keep collecting unemployment), don't show up for the interview, etc. Have to go through dozens of applicants to find someone legitimately interested. My guess is it's to weed those out who aren't really interested.
  13. Not just post-Jonny, but also post-Brad. Don't undervalue what Davison brought on both ends of the floor, at the free throw line, in the locker room, and during practice. His 3-point shooting was mediocre, but he brought a lot of intangibles and I won't forget him hanging 29 on UNC in the tourney two years ago.
  14. They redid Granato's contract this offseason and he's only owed something like $1M if they fire him before the end of the season. Highly likely he doesn't finish the season.
  15. I think this is based on several assumptions that don't apply to everyone: You have to live in the same area - people who are retired or people who now can work remote don't have to stay in the same area, opening up many, many options You have to buy another house - there is nothing wrong with renting, especially now with interest rates high You have a family - many homeowners are single or a couple w/no kids and can get a one-bedroom if they need to, opening up many more options You have to have a home that has A, B, C, D, E, F, and G - you don't need stainless steel appliances, an attached 2-car garage, hardwood floors, quartz counters, open kitchen/living room, heated bathroom floor, etc., especially if you are only renting for a year or less There's plenty of housing options out there (so long as you don't have a big family).
  16. Interesting that Google Maps has the exit numbers on the map but you can't search by freeway and exit number. Interesting how the main population of the Fox Valley (Neenah/Menasha/Appleton) gets skipped as the stations break from Oshkosh (exit 119, Oshkosh Ave) to exit 150 (Kaukana, where there really isn't anything now, no shopping center/restaurants), especially with another one at exit 170. College Avenue (exit 138) would make so much more sense. Hopefully they put the one on exit 119 near Rocky Rococco's.
  17. Taylor is a great 4th OF and as a RHH will make a good platoon/PH complement for the LHH's Mitchell and Frelick. While not popular, I would not be surprised if they trade Renfroe. Only one year of control left and will likely get a significant arbitration raise. I don't think the Brewers like to let assets expire. Saving Renfroe's arbitration raise will allow them to bring in a free agent OF along with what they can get in trade value. I think they'd try to get a major league piece in return with more than one year of control, likely a setup man or long reliever/swingman.
  18. LouisEly

    Pizza

    Slightly off-topic, but on the topic of Madison staples, I had La Bamba's for the first time in decades today. Good stuff as well. Sucks that the downtown Chicago location isn't open on weekends.
  19. LouisEly

    Pizza

    There can be a surprisingly high amount of variability in quality in franchised restaurants. The few I've heard from who have had it from Pizza Hut have had good things to say about it.
  20. You are likely getting interference from something nearby: In the presence of electrical interference, you may experience frozen images or intermittent audio while viewing over-the-air television programs. This interference may be caused by equipment in your home, such as hair dryers, sewing machines, electric drills, doorbell transformers, light switches, smartphone chargers, power supplies, computing devices, washing machines, clothes dryers, fluorescent lights, LED lights, or garage door openers. Electrical interference may also be caused by power lines. Interference caused by your power company's electrical equipment is normally continuous, and your power company should be notified. A simple method of determining the location of electrical interference is by using a portable battery-powered AM radio tuned to a quiet frequency at the lower end of the dial. You should hear static or a buzzing sound as you get close to the source of the interference. The closer you get, the more intense the static will be. If you're in an apartment/condo, it could be from a neighbor. If your antenna is near a wall, my guess is that there are electrical wires behind the wall or outside the wall.
  21. Not everyone who puts a property on the market has to sell. Sometimes it's a "make me move" number.
  22. All real estate is local. If someone lives in an area where supply is low and they have a median or less priced home they will probably not have to drop price at all and may still get over listing. If someone lives in an area where supply is high or they are priced on the upper end of the spectrum, they will likely have to drop price.
  23. Because they keep the challenge if they win it, about how many total pitch challenges per game would you say that there were? Did they tend to save them for later in the game or was it more whenever they thought they got hosed?
  24. Theo Epstein had some great quotes about this that I just saw on Quick Pitch. If you can find them, listen to them. Some great reasoning behind the changes. "The game has evolved in a way that nobody would have chosen if we were sitting down 25 years ago... nobody would have asked for a league strikeout rate higher than Bob Gibson's career strikeout rate... nobody would have asked for generational lows in stolen bases, triples, and doubles..."
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