LouisEly
-
Posts
12,042 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
14
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by LouisEly
-
Regarding graduate transfers to fill the last two open schollies, I think the most likely is Chris Olivier, a 6'8" 245 lb power forward from Eastern IL. He's from Chicago, so Marquette would be close to home, and he'd make a great backup for Fischer/Ellenson at the 4/5. Second would be Anton Grady, a 6'8" 225 lb PF from Cleveland State, who averaged 14 ppg and 8 rpg; would also make a great backup for Fischer/Ellenson. Third would be Thomasz Gielo, a 6'9" 220 lb PF from Liberty. Not the post presence the other two have, but he can step out and hit the 3 (career >40%). And he's Polish, so Wojo may have a soft spot for him.
-
He's at the Nike camp so he's not a shoe-in at Maryland like his teammate Stone. But with his family/brother in Milwaukee, you're right in that Marquette has a great shot at him. He'll probably be a one-and-done, but you never know - with Giannis giving the family financial stability he might stick around to develop his skills and get an education or at least 1-2 years closer to graduation.
-
I'm really intrigued by Tyus Jones. For a true freshman he looked outstanding, just quicker than anyone on the floor. I realize I probably saw his two best games of the season, but again - he was a true freshman. A guy I'd love to see as their 2nd round pick who, very surprisingly, isn't getting mentioned in mock drafts at all is Oregon's Joseph Young. The knock on him is that he's short for a 2-guard; if he were 3" taller I'd bet he would be a lottery pick. Watching him play this past year, he reminded me a lot of another 6'2" shooting guard who was a 2nd round pick and has gone on to have one heckuva career. The other 2nd rounder is Alan Williams of UCSB who is a little short for a PF, but he led the NCAA in rebounding this year and at 6'8", 265, no one is going to push him around down low.
-
Broxton seems afraid to throw his slider. At least, throw it for a strike. He needs to have confidence in it so that hitters don't sit on his fastball. He might be overthrowing the slider; in the at-bat to Castellanos the one slider he threw was at 91mph. Is the slider going to do anything when it is thrown that hard? Broxton might be overthrowing, and simply trying to do too much. Take a couple of mph off the slider and throw it for strikes. -
I would really dislike that trade. Nene is 32 going on 33; 'sova is 28 and Mayo is 27, and that's 23ppg that would need to be replaced. And for the season, Nene averaged 5.1 rebounds per game; 'sova averaged 4.8, so I don't see much improvement there. All good NBA teams have a scorer coming off the bench, and I think Mayo fits that well. I also think that Mayo is one of the few guys who showed fight against the Bulls, and I think he's really responded to Kidd's coaching. He grew into a leader this past season, and the young Bucks need one on the team. I'm open to trading those guys, but not for someone who will be 33 next season. And since Mayo is only 27, I'd rather sign him to a reasonable 2-3 year extension than trade him for someone well past 30.
-
Bah! I had Heiden on my mind but forgot to put him down.
-
Despite their play yesterday, I think it's a given that Harrison and Gatewood find themselves in Helena in a couple of weeks. I also think that it's time for Strong and Chapman (despite the HR yesterday) to make their way to AAA.
-
Good ones Game05. Really like the Rashard Griffith one. I'll add: Steve Stricker resurrecting his career from almost being off the tour to being one of the best players in the world in his late 30's. Dan Jansen and his bad luck at the Olympics, trying so hard for his sister. The obvious one is Barry Alvarez turning around the entire football program. Or Pat Richter turning around the entire athletic department. Mark Johnson and how he scored two goals in the "Miracle on Ice" game, yet Mike Eruzione and Jim Craig are the ones who are remembered from that team. One has already been done - there's a documentary called "Under the Ice" about the sturgeon spearing season on Lake Winnebago. The other obvious one is how Bud Selig brought baseball back to Milwaukee (and how his daughter was made a scapegoat for the awful teams in the late 90's/early 2000's). Edit: And how could I forget, the one that I would produce, "The Curse of Gorman Thomas" - how the Brewers fell apart after the trade of Gorman Thomas. They haven't been back to the World Series since the trade, and after the trade many of the best Brewers and biggest accomplishments have been by Brewers that wore his #20 (Juan Nieves and the no-hitter, Jeromy Burnitz being the first Brewer in the home run derby in the All-Star game, Jonathan Lucroy, etc.).
-
We're both right and wrong. It was a 4/$84M extension that starts in 2016; the Red Sox also have to pay him the $12.5M owed to him for 2015, so the Red Sox are paying him 5/$96.5M.
-
You're not going to see any trades in May or the first half of June unless a big payroll team (Yankees, Dodgers, Tigers, Cardinals, maybe Angels) suffers a season-ending injury. But the good news is, with the extra wild card team there could potentially be more buyers in July, pushing up the return. A couple of injuries in the bullpen or at 3B, and the return for Ramirez and Broxton could be more than you think.
-
So Noskowiak ends up at Iowa State. Noskowiak, McKay, Burton, Matt Thomas... "The Mayor" is starting to tick me off. But Marquette gets UNC-Ashville transfer PG Andrew Rowsey, who has averaged 19.7 ppg in 63 games. He'll have to sit out a year, but will (hopefully) join Sandy Cohen as one of two juniors on the squad in two years. I think there were two graduate transfers that were looking at Marquette as well.
-
Nice to see Broxton climbing the ladder at 97 and 98. Hopefully we can see that consistently for another two months so maybe the Brewers can get something for him besides a little salary relief. If Herrera doesn't bobble that grounder or if Gomez makes a good throw to 1B (or if Kinsler gets called for interference), Fiers gets out of the 6th with a quality start and only two earned. While he wasn't striking guys out, I can only recall one or two hard-hit balls by the Tigers all game (the leadoff single in the first; Cabrera's triple was a soft line drive that if Gomez is playing two feet further to his left gets caught - or if Gomez doesn't dive, is just a single). Fiers gave up 34 foul balls, more than the entire Tigers pitching staff. Seems like he has been giving up a ton of foul balls.
-
Why do you keep saying this? He got 4/82 and he's only 26 and improved each of the last three years he was pitching. Copied directly from BR.com: 2015 26 Boston Red Sox $12,500,000 5.170 2016 27 Boston Red Sox $20,125,000 2017 28 Boston Red Sox $20,125,000 2018 29 Boston Red Sox $21,125,000 2019 30 Boston Red Sox $21,125,000 30 Boston Red Sox $21,125,000 Earliest Free Agent: 2020 Career to date (may be incomplete) $36,231,000 Does not include future salaries ($103.6M)
-
I just requested to join the group. I'll PM you my name so that you know who it is. And hey, who had BillScottCanRake as a long-dormant poster they'd like to see chime in?
-
Porcello has a career ERA of 4.30 (Garza's is 3.80) and K/9 of 5.6 (Garza's is 7.5) and Porcello got 6 years, $115M. If you want younger than Garza, it will cost $100M or you're rolling dice on a guy off of the scrap heap. Garza's remaining contract is very low risk, especially for an up-and-coming team that is expecting to compete for the next 2-3 years.
-
You're exactly right, there are opportunity costs. There are opportunity costs for investing in major league players instead of prospects. And there are opportunity costs for investing in prospects instead of major league players (not competing, not giving free agents a reason to sign here because they think the team is not likely to or trying to compete which makes the chances of competing even less). They thought the opportunity costs of not going for it were greater than the opportunity costs of not investing in prospects. Prospects are the future, but the future is always unknown so in business you always discount future values. There are zero guarantees for the future. Sure you can say they could have done both, but the reality is that they didn't have the resources to do both. They would have had to make perfect decisions about every player to sign to the major league club and every prospect to give high signing bonuses to. But no team, no GM, no director of scouting makes perfect decisions. They didn't have the resources to allow for the extra cushion needed to account for the percentage of decisions that would not pan out. That's what a high payroll gives you - the resources to make up for the bad decisions that are invariably going to be made. If they tried both they would have built the major league club half-arsed and the farm system half-arsed and neither would accomplish anything. The only had the resources to do one thing whole-arsed.
-
You have a point with Brewers drafts improving with the new CBA. However, I disagree with your stance on the Pirates and Brewers. It was an easy decision for the Pirates; they were a bad team then (99 losses in 2009, 105 losses in 2010, 90 losses in 2011) and it would have been pointless to put money into the major league team. But the Brewers were contending for the first time in almost 30 years. They didn't have the resources to do both. They chose to invest in the ML team in an effort to "go for it". From a business standpoint, they thought that contending and winning would yield greater revenue to be able to reinvest in the franchise in the future. Yes, you can pick apart individual transactions such as Gagne and play the would've-should've game, but the point is that they had to choose one or the other. They couldn't do both. Now the tables are turned. The Pirates were contending the last two years for the first time in 22 years. If the same draft system was in place, would the Pirates have invested in draft picks the last two years with their limited resources? I don't think so.
-
Hard to believe Roache is only 23. He's average age for high-A. He skipped rookie ball and went straight to low-A. I guess if there are two guys I want to see do really well this year it is Roache and Tucker Neuhaus. Even though 66% of late 1st round picks flame out, I'd still like to see Roache make it and make that pick worthwhile. And it goes without saying what a legit 3B prospect, especially a LH hitting one, would mean to the org. For those who know Reed better than I, would he be able to CF if he wasn't on the same team as Taylor?
-
We have to remember that The Keg is one of the most hitter & HR friendly parks in baseball. I read something last year that ranked it as the second least pitcher-friendly park. Put Fiers in a park that supresses HRs - San Diego, Seattle, NY Mets, Dodger Stadium, San Francisco - and some of those HRs turn into deep fly ball outs, and his numbers get even better. His walks, hits, HRs, and ERA is up this year, but his FIP is 3.90 and his xFIP is 3.30. And he currently leads the league in K/9.
-
But you do not get to sign pitchers like Lohse at the age of 28 for only three years and the money we gave him. That's not realistic. The price would've been way more and the length would have been too. Exhibit A: Rick Porcello, at the age of 26 and of a career 4.30 ERA and 5.6 K/9, signed a 6-year, $116M contract with Boston this past offseason.
-
Drafting Philosophy Thread
LouisEly replied to xisxisxis's topic in MLB Draft & International Signings
Let's not confuse "high upside" with "high school". They are not mutually inclusive. For all the praise the Cubs have been getting for building a farm system, their first seven picks in 2013 were all four-year college players (Kris Bryant, you could say, is doing alright). Their first three picks in 2014 were four-year college players. For all the criticism the Brewers have gotten from their 2009 and 2011 drafts, the Cubs first two picks from 2010 are both out of baseball (as well as their fourth round pick). Their first two picks from 2009 have a career OPS+ of 71 and 80. Other than Javier Baez in 2011, their 2009-2011 drafts read much more of a "who?" than a "Who's who". Nelson, Thornburg, Davis, Gennett, Fiers, Rogers (and still potentially Rivera, Hall, Cravy, Jungmann, Lopez, and Strong) are a lot more than what the Cubs got from 2009-2011. -
The 3rd OF starter was acquired for a home-grown player (Hardy).
-
They also didn't throw as hard back then. When I first started watching baseball in the late 70's/early 80's, any pitcher who threw 90mph was "throwing gas". Now that's almost considered a soft-tosser. Sure, there were a few back then who could get it into the 90's, but not like today when almost everyone does. You also have to throw into the 90's to get drafted high. If you throw upper 80's in high school you might get drafted in the middle rounds as a "maybe he can develop" guy. If you throw mid-80's, forget it - you're playing college ball, and maybe not even D1. That means more stress and throwing harder at a younger age.
-
Link Report for Sunday 5/10 - Happy Mothers' Day!
LouisEly replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Jaye Chapman better not be in AA for much longer. -
Garza, I think, is tougher to trade due to his contract. He really needs to pitch better to attract a suitor. No one wants to take on $30M in salary for a guy like him unless they feel he's going to play better. Porcello got 6 years and almost $20M/year this offseason. Yes, he was only 26, but he had a career ERA of 4.30 and 5.6 K/9. Garza has a career ERA of 3.83 and 7.5 K/9. Two years of Garza for $30M is a freakin' bargain compared to what Boston gave Porcello. Good luck finding someone of Garza's caliber in the free agent market for less than $30M. Look at what Milwaukee got for Gallardo, who only had one year left on his contract.
