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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    Over the past 3 years Oswalt has the 2nd most wins in all of baseball and Sheets has been hurt part of all 3 years. So yeah I'm not too surprised they don't compare. Oswalt also had possibly the best defensive SS in the last 100 years playing behind him (yes many think Everett is better than Ozzie was). Oswalt is a great pitcher, that doesn't mean Sheets isn't because he cannot match a .645 W% over the last 3 years. Very few pitchers in the history of the game match that.
  2. Ennder
    Over the past 3 years Oswalt has the 2nd most wins in all of baseball and Sheets has been hurt part of all 3 years. So yeah I'm not too surprised they don't compare. Oswalt also had possibly the best defensive SS in the last 100 years playing behind him (yes many think Everett is better than Ozzie was). Oswalt is a great pitcher, that doesn't mean Sheets isn't because he cannot match a .645 W% over the last 3 years. Very few pitchers in the history of the game match that.
  3. Ennder
    Over the past 3 years Oswalt has the 2nd most wins in all of baseball and Sheets has been hurt part of all 3 years. So yeah I'm not too surprised they don't compare. Oswalt also had possibly the best defensive SS in the last 100 years playing behind him (yes many think Everett is better than Ozzie was). Oswalt is a great pitcher, that doesn't mean Sheets isn't because he cannot match a .645 W% over the last 3 years. Very few pitchers in the history of the game match that.
  4. Ennder
    Wins are a team stat. The pitcher has an influence on them by how well he pitches and how deep he goes into the games but his run support controls how much he wins more than anything the pitcher does himself. Nolan Ryan only had a career winning percentage of .526. That doesnt' make him any less of a HOF pitcher, just means he had a lot of bad run support. A lot of HOF pitchers sit in the .500-.550 range for winning percentage because they weren't on dominant teams. Rollie Fingers had a .491 winning % and is in the hall. Since this is fueled by the Ben Sheets comment in the other thread I'd add that since Sheets broke out in 2004 he is 40-35 for a .533 and since the Brewers stopped being one of the worst teams in baseball he is 28-21 for a .571. It isn't a fluke that as his team got better so did his record. (added link to 'other thread' above --1992)
  5. Ennder
    Wins are a team stat. The pitcher has an influence on them by how well he pitches and how deep he goes into the games but his run support controls how much he wins more than anything the pitcher does himself. Nolan Ryan only had a career winning percentage of .526. That doesnt' make him any less of a HOF pitcher, just means he had a lot of bad run support. A lot of HOF pitchers sit in the .500-.550 range for winning percentage because they weren't on dominant teams. Rollie Fingers had a .491 winning % and is in the hall. Since this is fueled by the Ben Sheets comment in the other thread I'd add that since Sheets broke out in 2004 he is 40-35 for a .533 and since the Brewers stopped being one of the worst teams in baseball he is 28-21 for a .571. It isn't a fluke that as his team got better so did his record. (added link to 'other thread' above --1992)
  6. Ennder
    Wins are a team stat. The pitcher has an influence on them by how well he pitches and how deep he goes into the games but his run support controls how much he wins more than anything the pitcher does himself. Nolan Ryan only had a career winning percentage of .526. That doesnt' make him any less of a HOF pitcher, just means he had a lot of bad run support. A lot of HOF pitchers sit in the .500-.550 range for winning percentage because they weren't on dominant teams. Rollie Fingers had a .491 winning % and is in the hall. Since this is fueled by the Ben Sheets comment in the other thread I'd add that since Sheets broke out in 2004 he is 40-35 for a .533 and since the Brewers stopped being one of the worst teams in baseball he is 28-21 for a .571. It isn't a fluke that as his team got better so did his record. (added link to 'other thread' above --1992)
  7. Ennder
    Wins are a team stat. The pitcher has an influence on them by how well he pitches and how deep he goes into the games but his run support controls how much he wins more than anything the pitcher does himself. Nolan Ryan only had a career winning percentage of .526. That doesnt' make him any less of a HOF pitcher, just means he had a lot of bad run support. A lot of HOF pitchers sit in the .500-.550 range for winning percentage because they weren't on dominant teams. Rollie Fingers had a .491 winning % and is in the hall. Since this is fueled by the Ben Sheets comment in the other thread I'd add that since Sheets broke out in 2004 he is 40-35 for a .533 and since the Brewers stopped being one of the worst teams in baseball he is 28-21 for a .571. It isn't a fluke that as his team got better so did his record. (added link to 'other thread' above --1992)
  8. Ennder
    The entire W's argument is just silly (I'd use the real word for it but I'd get banned) so it isn't worth rehashing, anyone that judges a pitcher like that isn't going to change their mind no matter what you say and you have to just ignore it and move on. Suppan has won 16 games twice, Capuano won 18 once. Sheets won 12 games last year in a partial season. Every pitcher in the Brewers rotation that has started a full season has won 12 games at least once. The fact is even using his own terrible logic we have multiple pitchers on the team that have won 16+ games. Zambrano has never won more than Capuano's top end, Lilly/Marquis have never matched Suppan's. Hill has never matched Vargas/Bush/Sheets career high. Even using his ridiculous argument it doesn't favor the Cubs.
  9. Ennder
    Yes but it isn't funny, that is the point. Nothing about the article is actually clever or interesting and the rankings are absurd even when taken in the context of the joke. Just a very poorly written article overall. I mean if the point is really to order the teams based on drug use he even did a terrible job of that.
  10. Ennder
    Then why is Oakland so low when they only have young guys now basically? Which Braves are accused of steroids to be in the bottom part? Why would the yankees be #6. I dunno, I stand by the fact that it isn't funny, even the little blurbs he wrote aren't funny. I don't usually read ESPN so maybe that is just par for the course with them.
  11. Ennder
    Jokes are usually funny which is what confused me. The point is also terrible if that is his point. Yeah you cannot predict the season perfectly but you can certainly do better than what he has listed. Last year I participated in the Predictatron 2008 competition at Bpro. I was off by the following amounts on W/L records 11 - 2 times (Col and Cle) 10 - 1 time (Sea) 8 - 1 time (Hou) 7 - 1 time (Was) 6 - 4 times 5 - 5 times 4 - 4 times 3 - 3 times 2 - 3 times 1 - 2 times 0 - 4 times (Mil!) I'm far from the best at this (though I did finish in the top 10 and won a BPro subscription) and I was pretty darn close on 16 of 30 teams, relatively close on 9 others and only far off on 5 teams total.
  12. Ennder
    I agree with LS Brewer. If you want to protect your sources simply do not bring anything up in the first place. No reason to post I know some inside info that makes Gallardo look bad but I can't tell you what it is. That just isn't good for anybody.
  13. Ennder
    Berkman's average was about 25 points lower than normal last year and he hit a few less doubles than normal. His BABIP was .020 lower than his career rates so that is probably mostly just bad luck. His ISO was higher than in 2003 or 2005. Other than that his other numbers are right in line with what he has done over his entire career. He is there best hitter though, Berkman's off year is better than Lee's career year.
  14. Ennder
    I don't know, Cashman hasn't made very man good deals that I can think of and he's just thrown a lot of money at good players in the FA market. Never seems like the Yankees get a 'steal'. I don't think Cashman is a bad GM per say but being in the top 5 just shows that this study is looking at W way too much. Here is some nice conversation on the article.. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2008/02/heymans-top-10.html#comments
  15. Ennder
    Yep, I'm sure that SI is using shallow metrics like this to decide which of course is completely meaningless.
  16. Ennder
    He did the same thing with JJ Hardy earlier that week too, I remember being irate about that.
  17. Ennder
    No, he called a press conference because the media keeps bugging him about it and he has to hold one to appease them. Personally I could care less about steroids, players have cheated in professional sports in every era of the game. This isn't some new shocking thing and it isn't going to stop teams from finding an edge somewhere. It is just a reality of profession sports. I'm glad they are cleaning up the game, I hope they find a viable way to do blood tests but I'm not going to crucify a single player who did what a ton of players were also doing.
  18. Ennder
    Kinsler is also an above average defensive 2B and Weeks is a hack in the field. Wasn't really comparing the two guys just saying they have roughly the same value right now. Both are power/speed high upside 2B who have had some injury struggles. I would imagine if we were going to extend Weeks the deal would be similar to that one.
  19. Ennder
    I'm sure he had a bad dream about spiders and was sleep walking.
  20. Ennder
    http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3252512&campaign=rss&source=MLBHeadlines I post this because Kinsler's value is probably in the same range as Weeks so it sort of sets the standards for a Weeks extension.
  21. Ennder
    I personally think it is because FB/CU is no longer as dominant as it used to be. Most pitchers throw more high stress pitches than they did in the past.
  22. Ennder
    I'm not convinced Bailey is ever going to have enough control to be a good pitcher. I think I like Cueto more as well.
  23. Ennder
    Not Brewer specific but there should eventually be a bunch at www.springtraining08.com
  24. Ennder
    If you look at something as simplistic as 3-yr average which is what I consider the lowest number of IP you need for ERA to matter you end up with this. Bush - 4.68 Capuano- 4.28 Gallardo - 3.67* Sheets - 3.63 Suppan - 4.11 Villanueva - 3.86* Maybe not the greatest playoff rotation but if Villanueva and Gallardo can do something like they have so far in their careers it is a good rotation. Really up to the defense to step up and play close to average overall to be able to hit those targets.
  25. Ennder
    The difference between Pie struggling through a year and getting a legit backup and playing Pie part time could easily be the difference between 1st and 2nd place though. When you look at the Brewers/Cubs and identify potential holes CF really stands out for the Cubs. Pie will probably be fine but if he stinks it up I'm sure they would like to have another viable option to take some of that playtime. Lots of minor league players take a season or two to really get it at the major league level and so far Pie has had enough struggles to suggest he could be one of them. I wouldn't go out and sign some stud CF to replace him, but adding a little CF depth to the organization would still be a smart move.
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