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liveforoctober

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Everything posted by liveforoctober

  1. liveforoctober
    Who knows, but it would against the Brewers' MO to sign him to a big extension I think. The pending lockout makes things all kinds of complicated. If we extend Contreras (and assume he resets the catching market) and then we miss a year in his prime (and a possible salary cap is instituted so catching salaries begin the rescind?) .. we will have just handcuffed ourselves pretty hard. Meanwhile, if we do get locked out - the minor leagues go on as scheduled... so Dinges, et most will continue to get their development work. It would be very Brewers-like to grab another 'on the cusp' catching prospect during the season for this exact reason. Next year when the 40 man rosters lock - Quero and Contreras won't be able to play. But Dinges and (insert new guy here) can develop and be ready to compete in '28.
  2. liveforoctober
    My only response to this is just a preference on communication in general. I have no way of backing this up with any data - but I would bet at least a small percentage of the reason Andrew Vaughn saw immediate success with Milwaukee after leaving Chicago was because the FO and coaching staff here were "optimists" when talking to him while the Chicago FO were "realists" with him. I don't think Hamilton is going to hit .300 or hit 20 home runs for us. I do not think the Brewers folks think that either. But he is a Brewers player now so I think everyone has a choice to either look at it and see all the bad that this presents us with "well he offers no everyday solution at 3B nor does he have power nor does he get on base very often" or you can look at the positives that we are now presented with "we have an elite late inning defensive alignment now with Turang, Ortiz, and him to close games AND our starting staff now has a bit more balance with the lefty that we acquired." I don't think either of those interpretations is wrong and if you choose to see the bad in all of it then you do you. But if the definition of optimism is seeing or expecting the best out of situations and your viewpoint is on the opposite side of that...
  3. liveforoctober
    Not for naught, Sanchez still has one of the best looking right handed home run swings in the game IMO. That big leg kick makes it look like every pulled home run is 1,100 ft off the bat. Hopefully we get our fair share of them this year.
  4. liveforoctober
    Quero isn't coming up for the same reason you wouldn't bring Cooper Pratt up right now to sit 6 days a week.
  5. liveforoctober
    I'm not disagreeing with any of that.
  6. liveforoctober
    I know it is only one metric - but in 504 career at bats David Hamilton has posted 3.5 WAR (BRef). In 445 at bats last year Durbin posted 2.8 WAR (BRef). I'm not saying they do or don't but if they believe they are selling high on Durbin and think they can bump Hamilton's offensive output ... it isn't a stretch.
  7. liveforoctober
    "You have to get power someplace" I just don't know if that is true. The Brewers had arguably a top 3 offense in baseball last year. Inarguably a top 5 offense. We excelled in just about everything except clearing the fence with a few more of our fly balls. (also for context, the Brewers hit 166 HRs last year which was 22nd in the league. Detroit was #10 with 198. Does Detroit 'have punch' in their lineup compared to us given their Top 10 appearance? They hit 32 more home runs, which is roughly 1 more every 5 games) All of us want a unicorn at every position that can do all of the things. But there are so few guys around the league who can... so you typically have to give to get with skillsets. If you desire power in your lineup ... that usually means you strikeout a lot more, you clog up base paths, and you have a few more rock hands playing defense. When you employ plus defenders, high contact/high OBP, base merchants... that typically means you have to give up power. It is pretty obvious which way the Brewers want their guys to lean. I'm not mad at anyone for wanting different skillsets amongst their guys. Personally, I would much rather have Sal Frelick on my team over Jay Buhner. I'm just saying we are currently fans of Matt Arnold and his FO and the concept of "power position" is just not a thing.
  8. liveforoctober
    The Pete Alonso/Eugenio Suarez types are the dinosaurs in today's game. Everyone today is an athlete and expected to contribute in all phases. I don't think teams still do the "RF and 3B need to hit home runs" thing anymore. Last year only eight starting 3B (qualifying) had a slugging % above league average. Only seven 3B hit 20 or more home runs -> 2025 MLB Player Hitting Stat Leaders | MLB.com The last time the Brewers had a starting 3B who was considered a 'power hitter' was Moustakas in 2019. Since then the player who has started the most games each season for us at 3B: Eric Sogard, Luis Urias, Luis Urias/Jace Peterson, Brian Anderson/Andruw Monasterio, Joey Ortiz, Caleb Durbin. In 2024 Ortiz ranked 9th among qualifying 3rd baseman in slug% (ahead of Arenado and Ryan McMahon) -> 2024 MLB Player Hitting Stat Leaders | MLB.com His 2.7 WAR (baseball reference) made him a top 100 position player based on WAR (ahead of Pete Alonso, Sal Perez, Chisholm, Christian Walker, etc) If the Brewers get 2024 Ortiz at the plate ... he would be a Top 10 3B in the league - value wise.
  9. liveforoctober
    My very first thought was the same "that seems like a good deal". I am not sure why people think we should be getting one of the Holliday boys back for a season of Devin Williams or a season of Freddy Peralta.
  10. liveforoctober
    Also a side note ... I can't remember a time in my life having more left-handed pitching than we currently do.
  11. liveforoctober
    Well, this definitely clears the runway for infield innings in Nashville. I'm not sure Mona or Seigler were going see much big league time once Jett proved worthy ... so both would have been eating innings down there. Lots of quick promotions seemingly in the pipeline once the season starts. Can't worry about opening day infield options yet - more action is coming. Will wait until we have our roster set. I hope Brock Wilken has been eating his Wheaties. He may have just been handed a life changing opportunity.
  12. liveforoctober
    Wonderful. I wasn't implying we did. Also, the OG poster was talking about positional depth during the season if our 1B options failed, not opening day options. But thank you!
  13. liveforoctober
    I'm excited to find out if one is worthy this year. I was just curious. I ask because I remember how passionate you were to trade everyone away at the deadline last summer and so that coupled with this made me think you don't put much weight in the future waves of guys.
  14. liveforoctober
    So last year between Hoskins/Vaughn/Bauers Brewers' at bats (not counting Mona and others) ... they combined for a 2.9 WAR at 1B. I do know that number is a little funny for a few reasons (Bauers in LF, etc) I would put that as the benchmark for the group this year again and I have relative confidence they will get that production. Limit Bauers' AB against LHP - but keep Vaughn rested. I don't expect Vaughn to hit .300 again or even close to it ... but whatever alteration the Brewers made to him AND getting him out of that White Sox situation clearly changed the player and I would be pretty stunned if he cratered all the way back to his CWS numbers.
  15. liveforoctober
    Do you follow our minor league system much?
  16. liveforoctober
    Lots of reasons to sign players in the minors even if/when both parties understand the player will likely never sniff the Majors again.
  17. liveforoctober
    Turning 35 this year. When will his power fade? When it does he is a below replacement level player. Can't play defense and can't get on base - two things our front office yearns for. His last full season in Cincy in '21 he put up -.7 WAR (ESPN)! Pass for me at $15+mil. Hopeful for him that he has another great power season and parlays it into another contract or the Reds pick up his option. Glad we are not the ones rolling the dice.
  18. liveforoctober
    Definitely. I meant more so the 3 of them arriving at the same time, from the same position, all as MLB worthy prospects more so than "we have 3 top 100 guys". The ceilings of Made, Pena, Pratt, and now Williams definitely far exceed what was expected from them. This is more so just a response to any worries people may have about having too many good guys. During the Peralta trade lead up I saw a poster comment and say "how many prospects do we really need?" ... and the answer, within reason, is all of them. We want all of them. If the Brewers have the chance to acquire another Top 100 SS that is bound for AAA this year with surplus value - I hope they do it.
  19. liveforoctober
    I think the other thing that always comes true is the MLB hit rate of prospects. The forever example moving forward is the trio of Frelick, Wiemer, and Mitchell coming up together. So many convos of having the outfield of our future set. One worked out, one didn't, one can't stay healthy. 3 blossoming prospects and we hit (thus far) on 1/3 of them. So the excitement of having a farm system with Williams, Pratt, Made, Pena, Wilken, Fischer, etc ... is that I'm confident we have 2 guys in there somewhere who will be really good big leaguers for us on that side of the diamond. Just a matter of seeing which ones can get to the finish line. IF we end up with a surplus... awesome, then we have some moves to make to supplement elsewhere.
  20. liveforoctober
    IMHO they are grooming Quero to be their everyday catcher as soon as next season and they need to know if he can do it - he needs to play every day.
  21. liveforoctober
    If he was brought up he would sit the bench 6 days a week..
  22. liveforoctober
    What an amazing problem. Speaks to the crazy depth of our farm right now. Latest rankings after the trade have Blake Burke as our #30 prospect and that's wild - he had a really good year last year. Anyway, in my head you don't disrupt the rocket ships in your system if you have any. The Brewers have one for sure in Made and one possible in Pena. It makes sense to me that you move other pieces to accommodate their timeline. Neither one of those guys has any use for Appleton pitching anymore. They belong in AA at a minimum. Figure out the rest of the guys after that. Dream scenario for MKE is Ortiz has a good camp, Pratt has a GREAT camp and Williams proves he can play short. Then another big league contender suffers an injury and they call us desperate. I'm not predicting or hoping for it ... but I think a good Jett Williams spring training probably puts Pratt on notice. Made is coming and Williams is here. Another side quest - I've never thought about Ortiz at 2b as a utility guy. We know he can play 3B and SS. IS it possible Jett wins the job and Ortiz could fall into the Mona role?
  23. liveforoctober
    Anything is possible but he instantly becomes the best position prospect in our system that can help us Day 1. I can't imagine him getting dealt. If anything I would say this makes Pratt available. Best case scenario for both Pratt and Made are late season call ups... but Jett just needs a good camp and he is probably on the OD roster and getting 3+ starts a week all over.
  24. liveforoctober
    I'm not sure this makes much sense though. You are saying that only 8-10 teams (from your prior response) have a lab with advanced equipment that measures pitching metrics? ... and of those 8-10 teams the smallest market in baseball is one of them? "Brewers' pitching lab" is almost assuredly metaphorical. The same way "Mike McCarthy's QB School" in GB was metaphorical. Sometimes it's ok to give credit to people too! Chris Hook has been here for a long time - we just signed him to an extension last year.
  25. liveforoctober
    Baty seemed to be the most popular name thrown around pre-trade. I saw a lot of Duran as well but I am not sure that was realistic because it likely would have required prospects as well on our end.
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