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nate82

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Everything posted by nate82

  1. nate82
    The Red Sox just don't line up with the Brewers all that well for a trade for Burnes.
  2. nate82
    This trade would require Burnes signing a long term contract with the Giants. Without that you are only getting Whisenhunt, Bart and a lower level prospect. Without this the Giants won’t make the trade.
  3. nate82
    The Brewers get the value. The QO value is owned by the Brewers and is already added into Burnes value. When you are calculating Burnes trade value the QO offer is Burnes minimum value to the Brewers. Add that compensation to Burnes value without that and you get about $30mm in excess value. So $2mm from the compensation from the Brewers holding onto Burnes and getting the draft pick plus his value of $28mm.
  4. nate82
    Julien for Frelick would be about fair as fair can get in a one to one trade. I think the Brewers turn this down before the Twins do. Defensively Julien doesn't fit for the Brewers as it looks like Julien's best position is either LF, 2B or 1B. His arm is not good enough to play RF, SS or 3B. He is also limited speed wise so he is stuck at 2B, 1B or LF. Defensively I think he would be fine at 2B but the Brewers already have a bunch of fine at 2B defensively prospects. Bat wise he has more power than Frelick but I think Frelick has the better hit tool. If I am trading Frelick and it is to the Twins it would be for Lee and not Julien.
  5. nate82
    I think something like Leiter, Porter and Abimelic Ortiz (1B/DH) would be close to Burnes value. Porter has about $20mm in surplus value with Leiter having about $8mm and Ortiz with about $4mm. That gets you to $32mm in excess value. Which is about where Burnes is sitting at. I believe Burnes value is a bit lower in the current trade market so this would be a bit of an overpay by the Rangers.
  6. nate82
    So you are saying the Pacers are actually good then?
  7. nate82
    OMG!
  8. nate82
    Hopefully the after the win goes better than last time.
  9. nate82
    Because it is winter time and there is nothing else to do. Does there really need to be a reason?
  10. nate82
    I am not saying that is their value. I am saying that is what the Dodgers offered for Burnes and Adames and I don't think the Brewers are getting offers for either that are coming close to their values hence why I think their value is far lower than what their value is perceived to be. Meaning the Brewers are not going to accept these offers and are just going to keep both.
  11. nate82
    I am going to assume this is what the Dodgers offered for Burnes and Adames. I still don’t believe Burnes has the value people think he has. The Brewers are more than likely going to keep Burnes and Adames as the offers don’t look like they are going to be much more than what the Dodgers offered.
  12. nate82
    Don’t the Brewers have a roster crunch anyways even if MLB doesn’t reduce? The Brewers only had one rookie team this year and that was extremely crowded. Not to mention all of the DSL players they maybe bringing over this year and I seem to remember there being some issues with the size of those two teams in the DSL.
  13. nate82
    I am wondering if a state or city will challenge this deferred money that it should also be taxed by them and not just the state Ohtani resides in or doesn't if he leaves the country. In the past the amounts were not as large as what Ohtani will be paid in the future and compared to what the state or city would be taxing Ohtani on if he were to be paid his full amount. I don't think a state or city will challenge this but it brings up some interesting questions. OK make it two instead of three. Still two years in a row that the Giants were left to go to prom with mom.
  14. nate82
    I wonder if this is something with the Giants or just the FA's not liking the team construction. That is 3 now that have completely bailed on the Giants with competitive offers (Judge, Ohtani and Correa).
  15. nate82
    I think Toronto would be more interested in Burnes than Yelich. Bichette and Vlad are both FA's in 2026. They have one more season of the young players similar to what the Brewers were facing going into 2010 and then into 2011 being Prince's final year. Do the Blue Jays think of trading Vlad and Bichette if their season goes bad or do they trade now for someone like Burnes. Yelich doesn't really make any sense for the Blue Jays. It just adds salary and doesn't really fix a problem for them. If the Blue Jays don't sign someone in FA like Yamamoto then I think they will pivot to the trade market. If the Blue Jays are unwilling to trade Tiedemann then I don't think they are going to get the top pitchers on the trade market. The Blue Jays secondary prospects are just not worth as much to get a pitcher like Burnes or Cease.
  16. nate82
    Hader couldn't develop a change up like Sale as it is very difficult to do from the low 3/4 arm slot. It is extremely difficult to get on top of the ball from that arm slot which you need to do to have a successful change up. Hader just couldn't do that consistently. His change up in 2017 was rated as a 45 which is a below average pitch. Hader became a reliever because he couldn't consistently throw the change up and that was mainly due to his arm slot. If Misio will become a reliever it will mainly be due to injury concerns. Hader and Misio are completely different pitchers and there is no comparison other than looking at K% and BB%. I think MIsio has another year but he could see an MLB mound in '24 as a reliever. I believe the Brewers will want to build up his innings more so I am not sure that is 100% in the plans for the Brewers but it is possible he sees MLB action in '24 if everything goes right.
  17. nate82
    I can't believe no one else has posted this. The Brewers have new minority owners in Ralph and Shelly Stayer. They own the Johnsonville LLC. Yes that Johnsonville that makes sausage. https://www.mlb.com/news/johnsonville-llc-joins-brewers-ownership-group
  18. nate82
    If the Jays took on all of Yelich's contract and then offered something like Addison Barger and Kendry Rojas (LHP). I would be all over that. I think the Brewers would have to take on a portion of Yelich's contract to be able to move him. Tiedemann is completely off the table in a Yelich trade.
  19. nate82
    All spring training games are only exhibition. It is rare for a player to play the whole game during spring training. Also facing MLB pitchers in spring training is not the same as facing MLB pitchers in an actual MLB game. The majority of the time the pitcher is just working on something or are just warming up for the season. Missing one game is not going to hurt Chourio or any prospect at all. Not sure why you think the Brewers would hold him out of something like this. Missing one game won't hurt Chourio's development.
  20. nate82
    Chourio will still get games against major league pitchers. This is only one game.
  21. nate82
    Hopefully these are small cuts otherwise we will be back where we were inflation wise.
  22. nate82
    The Brewers don't play until March 17th which is the last game of this. I am fairly confident in Chourio being apart of this along with Black and Frelick. There isn't really a rule of who is or isn't allowed to play in this game. For example Corbin Carroll could be in this showcase.
  23. nate82
    MLB has announced Spring Breakout which is a showcase of prospects from every team. https://www.mlb.com/news/spring-breakout-prospect-showcase-to-debut-in-2024?t=mlb-pipeline-coverage
  24. nate82
    The one FA I would have paid a lot for signed with the Giants:
  25. nate82
    I would like to thank the Packers for keeping the Bears alive for a top 5 pick. Really truly thank you.
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