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CheezWizHed

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Everything posted by CheezWizHed

  1. I think you are assuming they will trade him to a team like the Brewers... Plenty of other teams out there that wouldn't blink at that if they had a hole at 1B and WS aspirations.
  2. I feel confident that we've established this season's floor. No where to go but up, right?
  3. Matt Arnold working on his roster management skills.
  4. While true, they weren't winning with Lillard on the court either. And relying on older players increases this risk, so there is part of this that is part of roster construction.
  5. I'm seeing he is at 0.6 bWAR, so he must've had quite a weekend! 😂 But that puts him around 2.5 bWAR on the season, so he is certainly earning his $18M (or right on the $22M if you want to add in next years $4M to decline the option). People aren't going to be knocking down our door for him, but if someone has a 1B hole, we should expect a positive return and nothing close to a JBJ situation. Not to mention that deals at the deadline (where options are scarce) are much different than the offseason when JBJ was traded.
  6. "Clap for Credit" - Classic😂 These are the learning opportunities that some people need. Welcome to adulthood!
  7. Brandon used up his 30 day injury rehab, so a new injury would need to be in play to extend the injury rehab (if that is indeed what happened).
  8. If Giannis went to San Antonio, I could cheer for that team. They were unofficially my second favorite team during the Robinson/Duncan era. Plus a smaller city with similar struggles to draw like Milwaukee (and a beautiful city if you've never done the Riverwalk...and remember the Alamo). For Dallas, the Luka deal went south with their fans so quickly, they might try a splash move to rebound quickly. But it could backfire just as badly on them in the long run...
  9. Maybe you should open a lawsuit against the county for that...
  10. To be fair, Arnold received criticism from day 1 of his hiring... Also, Williams bWAR is -0.8 while Durbin (-0.2) and Nestor (-0.3) make this a clear win on the trade.
  11. If he remains happy and healthy (two big "IFs"), that would be the biggest offseason addition we could've made.
  12. BrewerFan said "snaps" so I'm guessing that includes those RBs in the game on passing plays that go to WR and TEs also (i.e pass block or outlet routes). They need to be in the game for that too. Those snaps I listed where the RB was the focus of the play came up to 30 snaps per game, so just under 50% of the 62 average.
  13. I'm guessing "snaps" doesn't mean "carries". You need RBs in the game during passing plays too. Just for comparison: Ave Carries and Pass Targets per game in 2024: Jacobs 17.7, 2.5 Wilson 6.0, 0.8 Brooks 2.4, 0.9
  14. I'm reading The Beirut Protocol; the 4th book in Joel Rosenberg's Markus Ryker book series. The series has a Tom Clancy-like feel and is heavily focused on international politics; especially in the complicated Middle East. I find the series interesting as he is able to capture a lot of real international politics and/or tensions while telling an interesting espionage action fictional story. For example (not a real spoiler here...), one of the books in the series dealt with Russia potentially invading Ukraine and the US's response to those actions.... all written years before Russia actually attacked Ukraine.
  15. It's been a while since I've seen the movie or read the book (also very good), but I think you are correct. Vacationing might be interesting (I've been to Belarus and Ukraine), but I'd not be overly comfortable being that close to Russia for retirement. I'm at a 0.001% chance of retiring outside of the US, but Hungary and Argentina would be the first on the list.
  16. Uhg... Chicago is 100x worse than MSP, especially if you are flying through it. I've gone MSP end to end in 10 min. Moving sidewalks and the tram make it easier to move around. I've walked 10-15 min through OHare without anything but a few bathrooms. CDG in Paris is my second airport to avoid. You can go through security multiple times going international to EU local flights, plus a 20 min bus ride. And the French attitudes... I've seen some international airports have rooms for smokers (similar to the potty rooms for dogs). Didn't even look like you needed to bring cigarettes... just walk in and inhale. 😲😂
  17. Just to be clear, I was comparing Lloyd's impact in terms of "team improvement" from 2024. Lloyd might take snaps away from Wilson, but will he have a bigger impact than '24 Wilson did? I don't see Jacobs, Wilson, Lloyd, and Brooks putting up significantly more rushing yards than Jacobs, Wilson, and Brooks did last year. We don't plan to rush more times than we did last year and it would be challenging to be more efficient than last year (maybe Brooks, but he didn't have many rushes anyway). Lloyd might win more snaps, but Wilson was very efficient with his snaps last year so having a bigger impact will be a challenge. The passing game could be one where Lloyd has a bigger impact. We didn't have much of a check-down or RB screen production last year.
  18. Honestly, I'd pass. He had his dominant moments with us, but would implode at very inopportune times. I honestly don't think he can handle pressure well.
  19. Yeah, he was no slouch last year. I think he benefited from people backing off run D a bit when Jacobs left, but Wilson did a great job. I don't recall any cheap runs/games that padded his states either. Many people talk about how Lloyd will impact the team, but I don't think it is a gimmie that he gets a tone of backup reps. Catching the ball might be where Lloyd has the biggest differentiator from Jacobs, Wilson, and Brooks.
  20. Interesting contrast. Most of the Men's transfers have gone to smaller programs - validating that we are playing and keeping the right players. Then the women's loses someone to one of the best programs out there.
  21. I've decided to start believing the Jaire return whispers. If the Packers and JA were truly irreconcilable and the Packers haven't traded or cut him at this point, I'd assume he would be chirping away to the media to make it happen. It isn't the growing number of people whispering about it... it is his silence that gives me hope. Can't wait until our mandatory team activity as it would be nice to get a positive confirmation about it. A healthy and happy Jaire makes this defense much more formidable.
  22. This was my expectation post-trade too. A few get-us-through-a-rough-patch starts and then start tweaking some things in the pitching lab while at AAA. We have both Woody and Civale getting close to return.
  23. Well you walked into the nerd cave where I live. 😏 You are generalizing with probabilities, but that doesn't mean an offense is less streaky; meaning (to me at least) if you can consistently score runs from day to day. So not only scoring a lot of runs, but being able to do it vs LHP and RHP; vs flamethrowers and soft-tossers; vs All-Stars and AAAA pitchers... I think if you wanted to prove an offense was less streaky would be to show a distribution curve of the daily runs scored on a "small ball offense" vs an "elevation" offense to see which one has less daily variation. I'm going to guess that neither offense has an inherent advantage in being less streaky. I'll also postulate that the type of offense (elevation vs small ball) might even be a microcosm of the Moneyball concept (i.e. finding market advantages by going against the general trend). When elevation focus started, pitchers were pitching a certain "way" and elevation started crushing it. So everyone quickly adopted that focus. Then pitchers started altering their pitching methods and I think (not validated with numbers but just observation), the tide has turned a bit and neutralized the advantage a bit. Now the market seemed to swing a bit back towards steals and defense. And here we have the Brewers with a very unimpressive offensive squad, scoring 5th most (as of yesterday) runs in MLB and 6th in scoring last year.
  24. But is offense really less streaky when comparing "launch angle" ball vs small ball? Maybe anecdotal evidence on my part, but when we had the big HR hitters, streakiness was still an issue. Often the complaint was we only had single HRs. Or just a bunch of Ks. I'm with @Playing Catch, if you are hitting the ball hard...good things will happen. Weak ground balls are as bad as weak fly balls. (Although a few of those weak ground balls scored runs last night...😂 We agree that we wouldn't want to live off those.)
  25. Well, I hope we have a good scouting report on the guy... but of course LHPs have been our kryptonite.
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