Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

JosephC

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,594

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by JosephC

  1. JosephC
    Well now that it sounds like Nelson enters spring training with "no restrictions," how do people see the pitching staff shaping up? This is kind of what I see it looking on opening day unless more moves are made (or an unfortunate injury occurs). -Takes into account that the Brewers do not have many off-days early....I think they probably do start with 13 pitchers. -Does Counsell really favor veteran players? I guess I'm not convinced but a couple moves here does reflect that (Guerra over Burnes and Woodruff in rotation, Albers in pen). -Stearns trying to keep as much talent as he can (Houser on opening day roster as he is out of options). I'd guess- Rotation: Jhoulys Chacin Junior Guerra Jimmy Nelson Chase Anderson Zach Davies Bullpen: Adrian Houser Brandon Woodruff Matt Albers Alex Claudio Corbin Burnes Josh Hader Jeremy Jeffress Corey Knebel Minors: Freddy Peralta Taylor Williams Bobby Wahl Jacob Barnes Jake Petricka Aaron Wilkerson Marcos Diplan Trey Supak 60 day DL - Brent Suter And if they aren't being altogether truthful about Nelson and he does start the season on the DL....then Burnes goes from the bullpen to the rotation and Taylor Williams from the minors to the bullpen.
  2. JosephC
    I'm guessing Miley isn't back because - 2015-2017 ERA 2015-2017 FIP 2015-2017 WHIP 2015-2017 ERA+ 2018 xFIP relative to 2018 ERA 2018 HR/FB percent 2018 K/9 2018 K/BB
  3. JosephC
    Hats off to Miley for the job he did last year, but I just think there is too much data that suggests he won't be nearly as effective in 2019. I think this team could still use a lefty swingman just because there are only 2 lefties on the 40 man (not counting Suter because of injury). I haven't been happy with all the moves Stearns had made this off-season (Santana trade), but overall I think this is a really fine looking roster. Completely happy with the way the rotation currently sits.
  4. JosephC
    Just to throw this thread completely off the rails...$30 mil extension for Hernan Perez? I must have completely missed that one.
  5. JosephC
    Nope, Braun and steroids are forever linked. A large part of it was obviously his own doing with all the grandstanding proclamations of innocence and how he was victimized by the system. If some people want to cheer for him, that's perfectly fine. If some people want to make snide remarks about him until the end of time, that should be fine too.
  6. JosephC
    Crane didn't list the Phillies as a finalist, but I'll stick with the Phillies as my prediction. I think they strike out on Harper and Machado, and then they spend their money on what they perceive is next best, which I would guess means Keuchel and Kimbrel.
  7. JosephC
    Sounds like Jonathan India might be one of the main pieces in a possible deal which comes as a bit of a surprise. Was on the Reds message boards when the Gray deal was in the works and most of the folks there were happy to give up Shed Long because they figure he's limited to 2B and that India would wind up being their second baseman once he got to the majors. I wonder if Scooter wants to stay in Cincinnati? The Reds should have a bunch of money next off-season as they have Kemp, Puig, Wood and probably other contracts coming off the books. Realmuto makes good money but not huge money. Haven't looked at the Gray contract yet but I would assume that would be about 10 million for next year. They also dumped Homer Bailey's buyout on the Dodgers, which I think was something like 5.5 million. If the Reds can keep Scooter, then India would be a nice fit in a Realmuto deal. Rumor was that the Marlins wanted infielders, and India has some versatility where he could fit into different positions. The Reds still would have a ways to go to put together a good enough package for Realmuto, but India probably gets them about 60% of the way there.
  8. JosephC
    Last year the Perez/Spangenberg combination slashed .244/.294/.375/.669 which is terrible by almost any measure. Last year Villar slashed .261/.315/.377/.693 with the Brewers (does not include the Baltimore numbers). According to ESPN the slash line for MLB second basemen was .254/.316/.396/.712. Compare that up with team stats across the league, and the Perez/Spangenberg combo would rank 25th in OBP and 23rd in OPS when stacked against other team's second basemen. Unless the unexpected happens, it is a bottom-of-the-barrel offensive pairing the Brewers have penciled in. It's pretty clear that they expect Hiura sometime late May and are just don't want to throw money into the position at this time. If late May happens and Perez/Spangenberg are doing their usual thing with the bats, and Hiura gets hurt or is slumping, then Saladino/Dubon are the next insurance policy to get them through the next 4-6 weeks until they can trade for another second baseman....assuming that Saladino/Dubon also can't get the job done. I'm not a fan of the Perez/Spangenberg combo, but clearly they are just a bridge to fill the gap until the Brewers are finished playing Super Two games with Hiura.
  9. JosephC
    Arbitration figures still seem to be largely driven by things like home runs and RBIs, and from that perspective Merrifield could easily be short-changed once he gets into arbitration. And he was only going to be a 500k-600k player in 2019, so for this season it will be a nice jump in pay. I certainly wouldn't claim to be any sort of expert in figuring arbitration estimates, but I'd take a guess that if he went year by year in arbitration he'd probably get something like 22-24 million. So this deal guarantees him somewhere around 70% of that. Seems pretty fair to me. Reasonable enough discount for the Royals. Now Merrifield has that money in the bank, does not have to be so concerned about injury or a regression in his performance.
  10. JosephC
    Boston could get away with having one or two holes in the lineup much easier than Milwaukee. The "top-level" hitting on that club is much better than the Brewers. If one goes by OPS, Yelich would have been the third best hitter in that lineup (pretty unbelievable but true). Top four qualifiers on each club, sorted by OPS. Betts = .346/.438/.640/1.078 Martinez = .330/.402/.629/1.031 Bogaerts = .288/.360/.522/.883 Benintendi = .290/.366/.465/.830 Yelich = .326/.402/.598/1.000 Aguilar = .274/.352/.539/.890 Shaw = .241/.345/.480/.825 Cain = .308/.395/.417/.813 There is no shame in having a lineup led by Yelich/Aguilar/Shaw/Cain, but what Boston had put together last year was just ridiculous. Not really a surprise that they were the World Series champs after being able to throw out firepower like that on a daily basis.
  11. JosephC
    Pretty much what I expected. I was hoping to sign Logan Forsythe as a cheap bridge to Hiura, but Stearns went Spangenberg instead. While I'm not a big fan of Spangenberg, his lefty bat does balance out the 25 man roster a bit better. The smart move was not to throw any significant money at second base, as they not only seem high on Hiura but Dubon as well. The only thing that worries me about the Perez/Spangenberg combo is that Counsell (while he's done such a great job) just can get all kinds of stupid when slotting Perez in a batting order. Adding Grandal should help the lineup in a pretty significant way. Arcia has to step up and prove he has a major league bat. I don't think he'll get a full three months this year if he starts off with a .190/.240/.280/.520 slash line. Only thing I really would like to see the Brewers do for the rest of the off-season is to sign a cheap lefty swingman because they are woefully thin with lefty arms on the 40 man roster. If they do have 10 million left on the budget, I'd rather them save it to make moves easier at the deadline. Outside of being short a lefty arm, I feel really good about the roster. Rather save the money now and use it towards the deadline when a team need becomes more evident. Who knows what injury will occur or which player will have a bad year?
  12. JosephC
    Looks like MLB Pipeline will have a top 100 update today. http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2019?list=prospects
  13. JosephC
    I agree - which is why I have no problem acquiring him. Not only does he become arguably the best starter on the staff, but he may be a good mentor for Burnes, Woodruff, and Peralta (among others). The Crew's had them to a point where they all won't be super two, and the better they do... the higher the return if they end up being dealt down the road. Besides that... I'd be happy to take his full salary provided the Diamondbacks give the Crew some prospects. Diamondbacks get: RHP Chase Anderson RHP Matt Albers C Mario Feliciano OF Trent Grisham RHP Phil Bickford Brewers get: RHP Zach Greinke C Andy Yerzy LHP Alex Young 1B Pavin Smith If I'm the Diamondbacks, I wouldn't even counter that offer. I'd take it just "as is" in about 1 nanosecond. Only giving up Smith while not having to eat any of Greinke's salary (unless you want to count the 2.5 million owed to Albers which would be a fair assessment) and getting an immediate MLB arm to replace him in the rotation, I'd take that no problem. This would be a good, solid trade for Arizona.
  14. JosephC
    I like Pollock as a player, but it's hard to ignore that games played column on the stat sheet. Think Braun has a durability problem? Over the last five years Pollock has averaged 94 games played per season. During that timeframe Braun has played in 639 games and Pollack has played in 469. On average, Braun has averaged 34 more games per season, over a full month worth of games. The average value per year of Pollock's deal is pretty attractive, but there is no way I could justify 5 years on a 30+ year old with an extensive history of missing games at this rate. Really surprised that Harper did not wind up in a Dodger uniform, especially after they moved Puig and Kemp off the roster. Have to wonder if teams really fear a rapid and steep decline in Harper's defense...because when I look at the guy he seems as sure a bet as any to be a superior offensive player over the next 7-10 years. The guy had a pretty mediocre stretch that nearly lasted half the season, and he still finished with a .393 OBP, .889 OPS, 34 HR and 100 RBI.
  15. JosephC
    starting?
  16. JosephC
    Free AmFam Brewer schedule magnets for the fridge. On Deck exclusive item.
  17. JosephC
    Just as fair a question is, how would today's player fare if you took all the roids and supplements and nutritional information and modern training equipment away from them and put them back 50 years? My guess is that not many of them would be in the same class as Aaron or Mays. The game evolves and technology changes, which makes these types of questions and comparisons really pointless.
  18. JosephC
    Bryce Harper - Washington Nationals Manny Machado - New York Yankees Dallas Keuchel - Philadelphia Phillies Craig Kimbrel - Philadelphia Phillies A.J. Pollack - Los Angeles Dodgers Marwin Gonzalez - San Diego Padres Gio Gonzalez - Houston Astros Mike Moustakas - Philadelphia Phillies Wade Miley - Washington Nationals Adam Jones - Cleveland Indians Josh Harrison - Los Angeles Angels Jose Iglesias - Pittsburgh Pirates
  19. JosephC
    They can at least extend the QO to Puig and recoup a pick or get him back for $13 million or a longer contract (not sure that's a good thing, but they could). I wouldn't be surprised if Alex Wood would play himself into QO territory. He's been awfully good but has been shuffled around because LA has such a big group of proven, veteran lefties. Over the last three years Wood has posted: 364 1/3 innings, 3.29 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3.39 FIP, 122 ERA+, 3.59 K/BB Kind of wish the Brewers would have gotten in on him.
  20. JosephC
    Maybe they will make enough money from this that they will be able to get rid of the five county sales tax by the year 2030!
  21. JosephC
    I'm an American Family customer and have to admit I've been very happy with them over the years.
  22. JosephC
    Great day for Josh Stowers, who just went from being something of an obscure prospect rated #10 in a poor minor league system, to one of the most attractive toolsy outfielders and almost a lock to be a top 100 prospect in all of baseball when the lists are updated.
  23. JosephC
    I would be shocked if this happens. I just don't think the money is there. But someone could legitimately say that Attanasio would only be really, really pushing the payroll for this season, as they will shed Grandal's salary after this season and a good chunk of Braun's money the season after that (still have to pay a notable buyout).
  24. JosephC
    Jones defensive metrics as a centerfielder have really fallen off the last few years. Obviously the eyeball test might say otherwise, but if just going by the numbers, at this point he'd have to be considered a poor defensive centerfielder. He is only about a .315 OBP guy, and his HR production fell from the usual high 20's to just 15 last year. I'm guessing the Brewers carry 13 pitchers for about 80% of the season. Unlike the old days, they don't have many off days early in the year, so they could start with 13 pitchers right from the start. That would most likely limit them to 4 outfielders with Perez and Thames moving out there when needed. So the backup outfielder is likely Gamel, who does have an option left. If Jones is added that kicks Gamel to MiLB to start the season, and also takes Gamel's lefty bat out of the equation which IMO would be a pretty big deal...although less of a big deal if the plan is to begin the season with Spangenberg as the everyday 2B. I just don't see Jones as being a good fit for Milwaukee. Maybe 15 years ago when 12 pitchers was the max number and 5 outfielders was the norm. IMO his production just isn't good enough anymore for the Brewers to use an outfield roster spot on him.
  25. JosephC
    MLBTradeRumors posted, and I'll do a copy and paste here: The Reds and Yankees are inching closer to a deal, with two prospects and a draft pick the expected return for Gray. Long and Stephenson (currently the #6 and #7 prospects in the Reds system per MLB.com) are the prospects most likely to be headed to New York. That's probably where much of the Stephenson AND Long concepts came from. Clearly stated two prospect and a draft pick and then named both Long and Stephenson. I'd still consider Long and a draft pick an overpay for Gray but it's not a crazy swap. Been checking out Reds message forums the last couple of days and they think Long is the ideal player to trade away. They think he's stuck at 2B and doesn't have the ability to play another position. Scooter is there short-term and they think Jonathan India eventually winds up at 2B...which would make Long a difficult fit on their 25 man roster.
×
×
  • Create New...